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Leuven Bears vs QSTA Utd Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 79-76 (OT)
20-21 20-11 14-21 15-16 10-7
Position#11
Record10-15
FormWWWWW
Points / game75.9
Allowed / game78.1
vs
Position#19
Record6-15
FormLLWWL
Points / game72.8
Allowed / game79.1
EuropeBNXT League· Sportoase
Other2023-24
Meetings · Leuven Bears v QSTA Utd
20 Dec 2024
LEUV90
QSTA85
06 Apr 2024
LEUV79
QSTA76
04 Mar 2023
LEUV98
QSTA71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Leuven Bears winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
QSTA Utd winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Leuven BearsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBears
Date
Competition
Belfius Mons
#10
W
85-69
85
69
+16
92avg 67
H25/01
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#7
L
78-82
78
82
-4
75avg 67
A02/02
BNXT League
Oostende
#1
L
56-85
56
85
-29
43avg 67
H10/02
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
L
73-87
73
87
-14
66avg 67
H14/02
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#16
W
86-76
86
76
+10
77avg 67
A17/02
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#9
W
80-75
80
75
+5
77avg 67
H08/03
BNXT League
Den Helder
#20
W
98-79
98
79
+19
102avg 67
H16/03
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#18
W
80-75
80
75
+5
75avg 67
A23/03
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#16
W
71-63
71
63
+8
69avg 67
H27/03
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#17
W
85-71
85
71
+14
76avg 67
A30/03
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-15
22-17
24-27
22-10
13-28
19-15
21-22
25-17
22-22
2-17
13-26
19-20
24-17
17-20
25-23
7-27
19-14
22-20
24-20
21-22
23-18
18-19
24-21
15-17
24-23
26-12
28-20
20-24
27-24
19-15
15-18
19-18
17-18
22-16
18-20
14-9
18-22
23-18
20-15
24-16
155.4Avg total
79.2Scored
76.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)75.978.1154.0-2.240%
Season at home (13)75.977.5153.5-1.646%
Season away (12)75.878.7154.5-2.833%
Last 10 (10)79.276.2155.4+3.070%
Last 5 (5)82.872.6155.4+10.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)64.383.6147.9-19.30%
vs Similar (16)76.175.5151.6+0.644%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)84.073.4157.4+10.686%
This opponent (QSTA Utd) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
QSTA UtdLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUtd
Date
Competition
Donar Groningen
#13
L
63-87
63
87
-24
46avg 62
H06/01
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#18
W
85-81
85
81
+4
80avg 62
A13/01
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#17
L
88-90
88
90
-2
83avg 62
H28/01
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#15
W
90-59
90
59
+31
72avg 62
A03/02
BNXT League
Den Helder
#20
L
74-77
74
77
-3
58avg 62
A17/02
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
L
58-70
58
70
-12
42avg 62
H03/03
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#16
L
75-80
75
80
-5
62avg 62
A16/03
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#14
W
73-70
73
70
+3
69avg 62
H22/03
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#9
W
71-62
71
62
+9
72avg 62
A27/03
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#10
L
65-79
65
79
-14
53avg 62
H02/04
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-21
15-22
15-21
13-23
17-25
25-25
29-16
14-15
24-23
15-22
26-19
23-26
22-17
19-9
24-13
25-20
18-19
15-24
22-18
19-16
17-17
21-16
11-15
9-22
22-25
19-22
9-22
25-11
25-17
8-18
24-17
16-18
14-17
19-10
20-16
18-19
11-24
20-24
19-19
15-12
149.7Avg total
74.2Scored
75.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)72.879.1151.9-6.429%
Season at home (11)73.477.5150.9-4.227%
Season away (10)72.180.9153.0-8.830%
Last 10 (10)74.275.5149.7-1.340%
Last 5 (5)68.472.2140.6-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)69.481.5150.9-12.119%
vs Similar (10)78.378.3156.6+0.040%
vs Weaker (3)79.775.3155.0+4.333%
This opponent (Leuven Bears) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -0.5-0.5
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -0.5-0.5
Leuven BearsQSTA Utd
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Leuven BearsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Belfius Mons
#10
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H25/01
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#7
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A02/02
BNXT League
Oostende
#1
L
24-39
24
39
-15
H10/02
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H14/02
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#16
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A17/02
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#9
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H08/03
BNXT League
Den Helder
#20
W
50-35
50
35
+15
H16/03
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#18
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A23/03
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#16
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H27/03
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#17
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A30/03
BNXT League
76.4Avg total
39.4Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)37.738.576.2-0.952%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.237.476.7+1.869%-
Last 30 away (13)35.739.875.5-4.231%-
Last 10 (10)39.437.076.4+2.480%-
Last 5 (5)43.437.080.4+6.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)32.341.473.7-9.114%-
vs Similar (16)38.237.675.9+0.656%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)42.337.579.8+4.883%-
This opponent (QSTA Utd) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
QSTA UtdLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Donar Groningen
#13
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H06/01
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#18
L
42-50
42
50
-8
A13/01
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#17
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H28/01
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#15
W
41-26
41
26
+15
A03/02
BNXT League
Den Helder
#20
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A17/02
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H03/03
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#16
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A16/03
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#14
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H22/03
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#9
W
33-27
33
27
+6
A27/03
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#10
L
31-48
31
48
-17
H02/04
BNXT League
76.3Avg total
36.6Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)36.041.477.4-5.424%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.341.376.6-6.113%-
Last 30 away (14)36.741.578.2-4.836%-
Last 10 (10)36.639.776.3-3.130%-
Last 5 (5)35.238.073.2-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)36.243.479.7-7.219%-
vs Similar (10)36.637.974.5-1.340%-
vs Weaker (3)32.342.374.7-10.00%-
This opponent (Leuven Bears) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Leuven Bearstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leuven Bears: 78.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.821.0
54.1%
52.2%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.37.3
37.8%
33.1%21.9
🏀 Free throws20.814.5
69.7%
71.4%14.5
They take 58.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
QSTA Utdtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

QSTA Utd: 73.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws7.8 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.321.7
52.5%
52.2%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.47.4
30.3%
33.1%22.2
🏀 Free throws11.77.8
66.7%
71.4%7.8
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Leuven Bears
WWWWWWLLLW
QSTA Utd
LWWLLLWLWL
#11
League position
#19
+4.2
Net rating
-1.9
109.1
Offensive rating
99.2
104.9
Defensive rating
101.1
55.0%
Effective FG%
49.9%
53.5%
Opp. effective FG%
50.4%
20.4%
Turnover %
18.0%
31.1%
Off. rebound %
27.1%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.18
37.8%
3-point %
30.3%
64.7%
Assist %
50.2%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence109.1 · 99.2Defence104.9 · 101.1Shooting55.0% · 49.9%3-point %37.8% · 30.3%Ball care20.4% · 18.0%Off. rebounds31.1% · 27.1%Free throws0.36 · 0.18Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Leuven Bears   ■ QSTA Utd
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Leuven Bears wins
0
QSTA Utd wins
DateGameScore
02/04/23QSTA Utd v Leuven Bears62-92
04/03/23Leuven Bears v QSTA Utd98-71
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/03/24ALWD Basket85-71
27/03/24HOkapi Aalst71-63
23/03/24AFeyenoord80-75
16/03/24HDen Helder98-79
08/03/24HCircus Brussels80-75
17/02/24AOkapi Aalst86-76
14/02/24HLimburg73-87
10/02/24HOostende56-85
02/02/24ASpirou Charleroi78-82
25/01/24HBelfius Mons85-69
QSTA Utdlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/04/24HBelfius Mons65-79
27/03/24ACircus Brussels71-62
22/03/24HKortrijk73-70
16/03/24AOkapi Aalst75-80
03/03/24HMechelen58-70
17/02/24ADen Helder74-77
03/02/24ABAL Weert90-59
28/01/24HLWD Basket88-90
13/01/24AFeyenoord85-81
06/01/24HDonar Groningen63-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Leuven Bears
BNXT League 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW40%
HomeLLWWW46%
AwayLLWWW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %40%46%33%
Points / game75.975.975.8
Allowed / game78.177.578.7
Point differential-2.2-1.6-2.8
Avg total154.0153.5154.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%31%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)100% (1)20% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
QSTA Utd
BNXT League 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL29%
HomeLLLWL27%
AwayWWLLW30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %29%27%30%
Points / game72.873.472.1
Allowed / game79.177.580.9
Point differential-6.4-4.2-8.8
Avg total151.9150.9153.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%9%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)40% (5)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oostende2422292%81.270.7+10.5
2 Den Bosch2118386%82.771.1+11.6
3 Antwerp Giants2519676%82.172.3+9.8
4 Leiden2115671%77.470.2+7.1
5 Limburg2517868%77.172.4+4.6
6 Zwolle2012860%75.769.5+6.2
7 Spirou Charleroi25141156%73.474.9-1.5
8 Liege25131252%79.279.5-0.3
9 Circus Brussels26131350%79.476.6+2.8
10 Donar Groningen21101148%72.071.1+1.0
11 Mechelen26121446%76.877.1-0.3
12 BAL Weert2191243%71.474.7-3.3
13 Leuven Bears25101540%75.978.1-2.2
14 Kortrijk27101737%78.280.7-2.4
15 Belfius Mons2591636%76.881.5-4.7
16 Feyenoord2171433%73.380.8-7.4
17 LWD Basket2161529%78.084.1-6.1
18 QSTA Utd2161529%72.879.1-6.4
19 Okapi Aalst2571828%76.280.8-4.6
20 Den Helder2351822%66.981.3-14.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Leuven Bears202014151079
QSTA Utd21112116776
← all games of the day
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