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Levski vs Beroe Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 21 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 15:30
Projected 83-91
Projected total 174.6
Scheduled
Position#12
Record0-6
FormLLLLL
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game92.7
Vs
25%
75%
■ LEV 25%■ BERO 75%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
5.2/10
Around normal
6.7/10
Above normal
Position#11
Record1-5
FormLLWLL
Points / game90.7
Allowed / game87.8
BulgariaNBLRound 7· Triaditsa Sports Hall
Other2026-27
Meetings · Levski v Beroe
21 Nov 2026
LEV v BERO
upcoming
31 Jan 2026
LEV84
BERO79
16 Nov 2024
LEV58
BERO66
06 Mar 2024
LEV90
BERO59
28 Dec 2023
LEV67
BERO68
14 Apr 2023
LEV79
BERO88
21 Mar 2023
LEV85
BERO78
03 Dec 2022
LEV104
BERO74
06 Nov 2022
LEV85
BERO88
02 May 2022
LEV116
BERO74
22 Apr 2022
LEV86
BERO68
18 Dec 2021
LEV97
BERO85
Sections
Game preview & prediction
Levski host Beroe in the NBL. Pythia makes Beroe the favourite at 75% and projects 83-91, about 175 points in all. Overtime chance: 4%. Levski are 0-6 this season (79.2 scored, 92.7 allowed a game), form LLLLL; Beroe are 1-5 this season (90.7 scored, 87.8 allowed a game), form LLWLL.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Levski win
24.8%fair 4.04
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Beroe win
75.2%fair 1.33
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 12 Nov 20:59 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LevskiBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLevski
Date
Competition
Beroe
#8
L
76-92
76
92
-16
80avg 71
A10/04
NBL
Lok. Plovdiv
#4
L
90-99
90
99
-9
88avg 71
H15/04
NBL
Botev 2012
#6
L
71-90
71
90
-19
60avg 71
A19/04
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#9
W
88-87
88
87
+1
86avg 71
A25/04
NBL
Cherno More
#7
L
76-93
76
93
-17
68avg 71
H12/10
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
83-101
83
101
-18
77avg 71
A16/10
NBL
Shumen
#6
L
85-90
85
90
-5
77avg 71
H24/10
NBL
Botev Academic
#5
L
65-91
65
91
-26
36avg 71
A30/10
NBL
Minyor
#2
L
82-96
82
96
-14
no box
H08/11
NBL
Botev 2012
#9
L
84-85
84
85
-1
no box
A14/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-30
15-24
14-16
30-22
32-30
27-20
20-23
11-26
15-21
28-22
13-23
15-24
17-26
26-17
20-28
25-16
18-25
19-18
22-24
17-26
22-26
14-23
25-26
22-26
15-24
28-22
26-26
16-18
12-22
19-26
14-20
20-23
26-28
13-37
22-17
21-14
19-18
19-30
25-16
21-21
172.4Avg total
80.0Scored
92.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)79.292.7171.8-13.50%
Season at home (3)81.093.0174.0-12.00%
Season away (3)77.392.3169.7-15.00%
Last 10 (10)80.092.4172.4-12.410%
Last 5 (5)79.892.6172.4-12.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)78.093.2171.2-15.211%
vs Similar (3)79.078.7157.7+0.333%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Beroe) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BeroeBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBeroe
Date
Competition
Cherno More
#3
L
76-117
76
117
-41
60avg 76
A16/04
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
89-96
89
96
-7
86avg 76
H20/04
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
69-89
69
89
-20
54avg 76
A30/04
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
80-90
80
90
-10
74avg 76
H02/05
NBL
Botev Academic
#5
L
86-90
86
90
-4
76avg 76
A11/10
NBL
Lok. Plovdiv
#4
L
95-98 OT
95
98
-3
92avg 76
H17/10
NBL
Minyor
#2
L
104-110
104
110
-6
99avg 76
A23/10
NBL
Polytechnica
#14
W
99-58
99
58
+41
98avg 76
H31/10
NBL
Botev 2012
#9
L
84-89
84
89
-5
no box
A07/11
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#3
L
76-82
76
82
-6
no box
H14/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-32
20-29
11-37
24-19
27-27
23-24
19-22
20-23
19-22
15-22
17-22
18-23
14-19
25-23
18-23
23-25
30-22
22-24
9-21
25-23
21-24
19-15
28-26
19-22
28-31
23-27
34-24
19-28
23-19
36-17
17-13
23-9
20-30
19-23
22-22
23-14
14-16
22-17
23-21
17-28
177.7Avg total
85.8Scored
91.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)90.787.8178.5+2.817%
Season at home (3)90.079.3169.3+10.733%
Season away (3)91.396.3187.7-5.00%
Last 10 (10)85.891.9177.7-6.110%
Last 5 (5)91.687.4179.0+4.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)82.194.8176.9-12.710%
vs Similar (4)88.583.0171.5+5.575%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)88.781.0169.7+7.750%
This opponent (Levski) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 166
Over 166
69.6%
Under 166
30.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 171
Over 171
58.0%
Under 171
42.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 176
Over 176
45.6%
Under 176
54.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Levski total 83.5
Over 83.5
48.9%
Under 83.5
51.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Levski total 87.5
Over 87.5
34.0%
Under 87.5
66.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Levski total 91.5
Over 91.5
21.5%
Under 91.5
78.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beroe total 79.5
Over 79.5
87.4%
Under 79.5
12.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beroe total 83.5
Over 83.5
77.4%
Under 83.5
22.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beroe total 87.5
Over 87.5
64.0%
Under 87.5
36.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Levski -3
LEV -3
18.0%
BERO +3
82.0%
Best 5 market prices
LEV
No market prices yet.
BERO
No market prices yet.
Spread Levski 0
LEV 0
24.8%
BERO 0
75.2%
Best 5 market prices
LEV
No market prices yet.
BERO
No market prices yet.
Spread Levski +3
LEV +3
31.9%
BERO -3
68.1%
Best 5 market prices
LEV
No market prices yet.
BERO
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.7-5.7Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: -0.3-0.3
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.7-5.7Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: -0.3-0.3
LevskiBeroe
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LevskiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Beroe
#8
L
32-54
32
54
-22
A10/04
NBL
Lok. Plovdiv
#4
W
59-50
59
50
+9
H15/04
NBL
Botev 2012
#6
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A19/04
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#9
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A25/04
NBL
Cherno More
#7
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H12/10
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A16/10
NBL
Shumen
#6
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H24/10
NBL
Botev Academic
#5
L
31-48
31
48
-17
A30/10
NBL
Minyor
#2
L
39-65
39
65
-26
H08/11
NBL
Botev 2012
#9
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A14/11
NBL
89.0Avg total
40.1Scored
48.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.948.187.1-9.27%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.047.687.6-7.613%-
Last 30 away (15)37.948.786.5-10.80%-
Last 10 (10)40.148.989.0-8.810%-
Last 5 (5)37.451.288.6-13.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)39.348.587.7-9.27%-
vs Similar (3)36.045.081.0-9.00%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Beroe) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BeroeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cherno More
#3
L
41-61
41
61
-20
A16/04
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
50-51
50
51
-1
H20/04
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A30/04
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H02/05
NBL
Botev Academic
#5
W
52-46
52
46
+6
A11/10
NBL
Lok. Plovdiv
#4
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H17/10
NBL
Minyor
#2
L
51-58
51
58
-7
A23/10
NBL
Polytechnica
#14
W
59-36
59
36
+23
H31/10
NBL
Botev 2012
#9
L
39-53
39
53
-14
A07/11
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#3
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H14/11
NBL
90.4Avg total
44.1Scored
46.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.144.387.4-1.243%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.140.584.6+3.760%-
Last 30 away (15)42.148.290.3-6.127%-
Last 10 (10)44.146.390.4-2.240%-
Last 5 (5)45.043.888.8+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)41.645.987.5-4.230%-
vs Similar (4)44.241.285.5+3.075%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)47.241.288.3+6.067%-
This opponent (Levski) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Levskitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Levski: 76.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.0 points a game
54%
26%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.318.4
49.3%
55.5%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.58.2
34.9%
29.8%24.6
🏀 Free throws20.715.0
72.5%
71.2%15.0
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Beroetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Beroe: 86.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀19%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.2 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.0 points a game
54%
26%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.025.6
54.5%
55.5%51.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.75.5
26.6%
29.8%16.5
🏀 Free throws25.019.0
76.0%
71.2%19.0
They take 67.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Levski
LLLLLLWLLL
Beroe
LLWLLLLLLL
#12
League position
#11
-16.0
Net rating
-0.6
89.4
Offensive rating
96.6
105.4
Defensive rating
97.1
50.5%
Effective FG%
50.0%
56.5%
Opp. effective FG%
56.4%
17.1%
Turnover %
14.7%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.37
34.9%
3-point %
26.6%
74.8%
Assist %
62.7%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence89.4 · 96.6Defence105.4 · 97.1Shooting50.5% · 50.0%3-point %34.9% · 26.6%Ball care17.1% · 14.7%Free throws0.34 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)10% · 10%
■ Levski   ■ Beroe
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Levski wins
6
Beroe wins
DateGameScore
10/04/26Beroe v Levski92-76
31/01/26Levski v Beroe84-79
19/11/25Beroe v Levski89-76
12/04/25Beroe v Levski84-76
25/01/25Beroe v Levski83-71
16/11/24Levski v Beroe58-66
10/04/24Beroe v Levski70-115
06/03/24Levski v Beroe90-59
28/12/23Levski v Beroe67-68
23/10/23Beroe v Levski76-86
Levskilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ABotev 201284-85
08/11/26HMinyor82-96
30/10/26ABotev Academic65-91
24/10/26HShumen85-90
16/10/26ABalkan83-101
12/10/26HCherno More76-93
25/04/26AAcademic Plovdiv88-87
19/04/26ABotev 201271-90
15/04/26HLok. Plovdiv90-99
10/04/26ABeroe76-92
Beroelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HRilski Sportist76-82
07/11/26ABotev 201284-89
31/10/26HPolytechnica99-58
23/10/26AMinyor104-110
17/10/26HLok. Plovdiv95-98 OT
11/10/26ABotev Academic86-90
02/05/26HRilski Sportist80-90
30/04/26ARilski Sportist69-89
20/04/26HBalkan89-96
16/04/26ACherno More76-117

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Levski
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLL0%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game79.281.077.3
Allowed / game92.793.092.3
Point differential-13.5-12.0-15.0
Avg total171.8174.0169.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Beroe
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL17%
HomeLWL33%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %17%33%0%
Points / game90.790.091.3
Allowed / game87.879.396.3
Point differential+2.8+10.7-5.0
Avg total178.5169.3187.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %17%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Balkan550100%89.471.6+17.8
2 Minyor660100%106.790.8+15.8
3 Rilski Sportist65183%90.874.3+16.5
4 Lok. Plovdiv54180%88.278.0+10.2
5 Botev Academic54180%91.082.6+8.4
6 Shumen54180%94.090.2+3.8
7 Cherno More64267%83.871.7+12.2
8 Spartak Pleven53260%82.476.8+5.6
9 Botev 201262433%79.890.2-10.3
10 CSKA Sofia51420%78.498.6-20.2
11 Beroe61517%90.787.8+2.8
12 Levski6060%79.292.7-13.5
13 Yambol6060%74.094.2-20.2
14 Polytechnica6060%70.094.7-24.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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