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Levski vs Beroe Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 28 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 67-68
17-17 17-14 11-19 22-18
Position#7
Record4-9
FormLLLLL
Points / game75.9
Allowed / game78.9
vs
Beroe 🏆
Bulgaria
Position#12
Record5-8
FormWLLLW
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game85.7
BulgariaNBLRound 14· Triaditsa Sports Hall
Other2023-24
Meetings · Levski v Beroe
21 Nov 2026
LEV v BERO
upcoming
31 Jan 2026
LEV84
BERO79
16 Nov 2024
LEV58
BERO66
06 Mar 2024
LEV90
BERO59
28 Dec 2023
LEV67
BERO68
14 Apr 2023
LEV79
BERO88
21 Mar 2023
LEV85
BERO78
03 Dec 2022
LEV104
BERO74
06 Nov 2022
LEV85
BERO88
02 May 2022
LEV116
BERO74
22 Apr 2022
LEV86
BERO68
18 Dec 2021
LEV97
BERO85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Levski winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Beroe winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LevskiBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLevski
Date
Competition
CSKA Sofia
#5
L
72-85
72
85
-13
62avg 69
H30/10
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#8
W
78-76
78
76
+2
65avg 69
A06/11
NBL
Shumen
#6
L
67-85
67
85
-18
61avg 69
H10/11
NBL
Yambol
#9
L
82-93
82
93
-11
80avg 69
H17/11
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
76-78
76
78
-2
77avg 69
H24/11
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
L
68-83
68
83
-15
56avg 69
A29/11
NBL
Minyor
#10
L
73-78
73
78
-5
71avg 69
H02/12
NBL
Chernomorets
#2
L
72-84
72
84
-12
64avg 69
A09/12
NBL
Cherno More
#11
L
75-79
75
79
-4
69avg 69
H16/12
NBL
Balkan
#4
L
75-79
75
79
-4
72avg 69
A22/12
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-20
15-18
22-21
21-26
17-16
15-16
24-26
22-18
23-17
14-30
23-15
7-23
22-26
25-18
12-18
23-31
22-16
27-19
11-19
16-24
14-16
18-22
22-17
14-28
15-16
20-22
21-18
17-22
18-21
14-22
19-24
21-17
25-18
17-18
15-20
18-23
21-22
20-23
20-23
14-11
155.8Avg total
73.8Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)75.978.9154.8-3.031%
Season at home (7)73.480.3153.7-6.914%
Season away (6)78.877.3156.2+1.550%
Last 10 (10)73.882.0155.8-8.210%
Last 5 (5)72.680.6153.2-8.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)65.273.6138.9-8.412%
vs Similar (11)70.178.4148.5-8.318%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)85.177.1162.2+8.067%
This opponent (Beroe) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BeroeBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBeroe
Date
Competition
Yambol
#9
W
98-83
98
83
+15
93avg 71
A28/10
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
82-86
82
86
-4
76avg 71
A05/11
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#8
W
87-86
87
86
+1
80avg 71
H12/11
NBL
Minyor
#10
L
79-92
79
92
-13
69avg 71
A19/11
NBL
Cherno More
#11
L
76-94
76
94
-18
64avg 71
A25/11
NBL
Balkan
#4
W
75-74
75
74
+1
31avg 71
H29/11
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
L
79-81
79
81
-2
77avg 71
H02/12
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#5
L
86-99
86
99
-13
74avg 71
A09/12
NBL
Chernomorets
#2
L
74-86
74
86
-12
68avg 71
A16/12
NBL
Shumen
#6
W
90-85
90
85
+5
83avg 71
H23/12
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-14
17-34
17-19
33-16
24-22
13-23
30-20
15-21
26-20
13-9
27-33
21-24
31-18
20-27
16-21
12-26
26-27
6-29
26-21
18-17
21-15
20-15
14-24
20-20
17-21
19-19
22-23
21-18
20-27
25-29
23-16
18-27
18-23
17-23
17-17
22-23
23-22
20-19
19-23
28-21
169.2Avg total
82.6Scored
86.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)82.285.7167.8-3.538%
Season at home (6)80.283.0163.2-2.850%
Season away (7)83.988.0171.9-4.129%
Last 10 (10)82.686.6169.2-4.040%
Last 5 (5)80.885.0165.8-4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)78.886.9165.7-8.135%
vs Similar (1)102.086.0188.0+16.0100%
vs Weaker (5)83.072.8155.8+10.260%
This opponent (Levski) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: -5.7-5.7Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: -5.0-5.0Q4: -0.5-0.5
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: -5.7-5.7Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: -5.0-5.0Q4: -0.5-0.5
LevskiBeroe
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LevskiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CSKA Sofia
#5
L
29-38
29
38
-9
H30/10
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#8
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A06/11
NBL
Shumen
#6
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H10/11
NBL
Yambol
#9
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H17/11
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H24/11
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A29/11
NBL
Minyor
#10
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H02/12
NBL
Chernomorets
#2
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A09/12
NBL
Cherno More
#11
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H16/12
NBL
Balkan
#4
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A22/12
NBL
77.2Avg total
37.6Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)39.239.979.1-0.746%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.741.781.4-2.147%-
Last 30 away (13)38.737.876.5+0.946%-
Last 10 (10)37.639.677.2-2.030%-
Last 5 (5)36.440.076.4-3.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)38.041.179.1-3.129%-
vs Similar (10)38.041.479.4-3.430%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)42.339.681.9+2.867%-
This opponent (Beroe) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BeroeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Yambol
#9
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A28/10
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A05/11
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#8
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H12/11
NBL
Minyor
#10
W
51-45
51
45
+6
A19/11
NBL
Cherno More
#11
L
32-56
32
56
-24
A25/11
NBL
Balkan
#4
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H29/11
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H02/12
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#5
L
45-56
45
56
-11
A09/12
NBL
Chernomorets
#2
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A16/12
NBL
Shumen
#6
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H23/12
NBL
84.3Avg total
40.7Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (27)41.945.687.5-3.741%-
Last 30 at home (12)43.843.287.0+0.758%-
Last 30 away (15)40.347.587.9-7.227%-
Last 10 (10)40.743.684.3-2.940%-
Last 5 (5)40.042.682.6-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)39.845.785.5-5.932%-
vs Similar (1)47.043.090.0+4.0100%-
vs Weaker (3)58.046.0104.0+12.0100%-
This opponent (Levski) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Levskitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Levski: 73.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.619.1
49.5%
54.3%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.46.6
29.5%
31.3%19.8
🏀 Free throws23.215.8
68.1%
71.1%15.8
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Beroetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Beroe: 74.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.416.9
52.2%
54.3%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.08.9
37.1%
31.3%26.7
🏀 Free throws18.513.6
73.5%
71.1%13.6
They take 56.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Levski
LLLLLLLLWL
Beroe
WLLLWLLWLW
#7
League position
#12
-9.9
Net rating
-7.5
99.1
Offensive rating
107.0
109.0
Defensive rating
114.6
47.5%
Effective FG%
53.6%
51.4%
Opp. effective FG%
57.0%
17.3%
Turnover %
18.8%
24.8%
Off. rebound %
28.3%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.33
29.5%
3-point %
37.1%
76.7%
Assist %
55.8%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence99.1 · 107.0Defence109.0 · 114.6Shooting47.5% · 53.6%3-point %29.5% · 37.1%Ball care17.3% · 18.8%Off. rebounds24.8% · 28.3%Free throws0.38 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)10% · 40%
■ Levski   ■ Beroe
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Levski wins
4
Beroe wins
DateGameScore
23/10/23Beroe v Levski76-86
14/04/23Levski v Beroe79-88
21/03/23Levski v Beroe85-78
04/02/23Beroe v Levski78-71
11/01/23Beroe v Levski85-82
03/12/22Levski v Beroe104-74
06/11/22Levski v Beroe85-88
05/05/22Beroe v Levski79-87
02/05/22Levski v Beroe116-74
22/04/22Levski v Beroe86-68
Levskilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/23ABalkan75-79
16/12/23HCherno More75-79
09/12/23AChernomorets72-84
02/12/23HMinyor73-78
29/11/23ASpartak Pleven68-83
24/11/23HRilski Sportist76-78
17/11/23HYambol82-93
10/11/23HShumen67-85
06/11/23AAcademic Plovdiv78-76
30/10/23HCSKA Sofia72-85
Beroelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/23HShumen90-85
16/12/23AChernomorets74-86
09/12/23ACSKA Sofia86-99
02/12/23HSpartak Pleven79-81
29/11/23HBalkan75-74
25/11/23ACherno More76-94
19/11/23AMinyor79-92
12/11/23HAcademic Plovdiv87-86
05/11/23ARilski Sportist82-86
28/10/23AYambol98-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Levski
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL31%
HomeLLLLL14%
AwayWWLLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %31%14%50%
Points / game75.973.478.8
Allowed / game78.980.377.3
Point differential-3.0-6.9+1.5
Avg total154.8153.7156.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)25% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Beroe
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW38%
HomeLWWLW50%
AwayLLLLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %38%50%29%
Points / game82.280.283.9
Allowed / game85.783.088.0
Point differential-3.5-2.8-4.1
Avg total167.8163.2171.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%0%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)75% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chernomorets1312192%84.172.2+11.8
2 CSKA Sofia1310377%87.676.8+10.8
3 Spartak Pleven139469%86.878.4+8.4
4 Rilski Sportist138562%80.774.2+6.5
5 Balkan138562%81.879.1+2.7
6 Beroe135838%82.285.7-3.5
7 Yambol135838%80.085.5-5.5
8 Cherno More135838%78.985.0-6.1
9 Minyor135838%75.386.0-10.7
10 Shumen134931%83.486.1-2.7
11 Levski134931%75.978.9-3.0
12 Academic Plovdiv1331023%76.384.9-8.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Levski1717112267
Beroe1714191868
← all games of the day
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