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Liaoning vs Guangdong Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 29 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 11:35
Final 106-97
29-28 24-28 26-16 27-25
Position#1
Record3-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game106.7
Allowed / game89.7
vs
Position#4
Record3-0
FormLLWWW
Points / game109.7
Allowed / game99.3
ChinaCBARound 4· Liaoning Gymnasium
Other2023-24
Meetings · Liaoning v Guangdong
06 Dec 2026
LIAO v GUAN
upcoming
11 Jan 2026
LIAO78
GUAN108
30 Dec 2024
LIAO95
GUAN89
11 May 2024
LIAO116
GUAN95
03 May 2024
LIAO94
GUAN110
01 May 2024
LIAO119
GUAN97
01 Jan 2024
LIAO104
GUAN93
29 Oct 2023
LIAO106
GUAN97
14 Dec 2022
LIAO85
GUAN99
14 Apr 2022
LIAO96
GUAN83
12 Apr 2022
LIAO92
GUAN79
13 Jan 2022
LIAO102
GUAN90
29 Apr 2021
LIAO102
GUAN98
08 Mar 2021
LIAO124
GUAN115
13 Aug 2020
LIAO115
GUAN113
03 Jan 2020
LIAO95
GUAN105
21 Dec 2018
LIAO106
GUAN103
31 Mar 2018
LIAO101
GUAN95
29 Mar 2018
LIAO95
GUAN90
22 Dec 2017
LIAO92
GUAN89
30 Dec 2016
LIAO133
GUAN110
02 Mar 2016
LIAO96
GUAN97
28 Feb 2016
LIAO103
GUAN88
10 Jan 2016
LIAO102
GUAN100
09 Jan 2015
LIAO111
GUAN114
15 Nov 2013
LIAO96
GUAN111
23 Dec 2012
LIAO109
GUAN113
14 Dec 2011
LIAO87
GUAN106
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Liaoning winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Guangdong winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LiaoningChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLiaoning
Date
Competition
Zhejiang Guangsha
#6
L
77-87
77
87
-10
no box
A01/05
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#6
W
100-80
100
80
+20
no box
A03/05
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#6
W
95-84
95
84
+11
no box
H05/05
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#3
W
107-99
107
99
+8
no box
A08/05
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#3
W
111-93
111
93
+18
no box
A10/05
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#3
W
94-68
94
68
+26
no box
H13/05
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#3
W
106-70
106
70
+36
no box
H15/05
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#13
W
109-85
109
85
+24
109avg 102
H21/10
CBA
Sichuan
#20
W
108-94
108
94
+14
98avg 102
H24/10
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#12
W
103-90
103
90
+13
99avg 102
A27/10
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-16
18-25
23-20
18-26
19-25
25-27
29-10
27-18
29-17
16-32
30-14
20-21
30-29
26-24
27-22
24-24
31-32
29-19
22-21
29-21
25-20
26-12
20-20
23-16
28-22
26-25
24-8
28-15
28-12
33-27
23-26
25-20
33-25
28-27
25-23
22-19
30-23
27-15
22-24
24-28
186.0Avg total
101.0Scored
85.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)106.789.7196.3+17.0100%
Season at home (2)108.589.5198.0+19.0100%
Season away (1)103.090.0193.0+13.0100%
Last 10 (10)101.085.0186.0+16.090%
Last 5 (5)104.081.4185.4+22.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (5)103.487.6191.0+15.880%
vs Weaker (25)95.381.2176.5+14.176%
This opponent (Guangdong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuangdongChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuangdong
Date
Competition
Shanghai
#4
W
108-101
108
101
+7
no box
A28/03
CBA
Shenzhen
#5
L
95-98
95
98
-3
no box
A31/03
CBA
Shandong
#8
W
102-93
102
93
+9
no box
H02/04
CBA
Xinjiang
#10
W
108-95
108
95
+13
no box
H05/04
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#6
W
109-96
109
96
+13
no box
H18/04
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#6
L
87-98
87
98
-11
no box
A20/04
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#6
L
96-101
96
101
-5
no box
H23/04
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#12
W
118-98
118
98
+20
110avg 105
H21/10
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#2
W
106-96
106
96
+10
104avg 105
A24/10
CBA
Jilin
#16
W
105-104
105
104
+1
100avg 105
A27/10
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-27
21-27
34-24
30-23
33-21
13-17
22-30
27-30
31-33
23-25
23-10
25-25
28-25
39-31
23-23
18-16
27-22
29-26
29-28
24-20
24-23
21-29
21-26
21-20
18-19
30-26
24-29
24-27
25-25
33-25
36-25
24-23
29-26
27-23
29-24
21-23
30-30
33-30
24-27
18-17
201.4Avg total
103.4Scored
98.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)109.799.3209.0+10.3100%
Season at home (1)118.098.0216.0+20.0100%
Season away (2)105.5100.0205.5+5.5100%
Last 10 (10)103.498.0201.4+5.470%
Last 5 (5)102.499.4201.8+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (4)104.898.2203.0+6.575%
vs Weaker (26)105.296.0201.2+9.277%
This opponent (Liaoning) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.0+5.0Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +5.7+5.7Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: +0.8+0.8
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.0+5.0Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +5.7+5.7Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: +0.8+0.8
LiaoningGuangdong
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LiaoningLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zhejiang Guangsha
#6
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A01/05
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#6
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A03/05
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#6
L
45-49
45
49
-4
H05/05
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#3
W
56-53
56
53
+3
A08/05
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#3
W
60-51
60
51
+9
A10/05
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#3
W
51-32
51
32
+19
H13/05
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#3
W
54-47
54
47
+7
H15/05
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#13
W
61-39
61
39
+22
H21/10
CBA
Sichuan
#20
W
61-52
61
52
+9
H24/10
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#12
W
57-38
57
38
+19
A27/10
CBA
97.9Avg total
52.5Scored
45.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)53.045.998.9+7.068%-
Last 30 at home (14)53.843.196.9+10.786%-
Last 30 away (14)52.148.8100.9+3.450%-
Last 10 (10)52.545.497.9+7.170%-
Last 5 (5)56.841.698.4+15.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (5)55.449.4104.8+6.080%-
vs Weaker (23)52.445.297.6+7.365%-
This opponent (Guangdong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuangdongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shanghai
#4
L
44-54
44
54
-10
A28/03
CBA
Shenzhen
#5
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A31/03
CBA
Shandong
#8
L
54-58
54
58
-4
H02/04
CBA
Xinjiang
#10
W
67-56
67
56
+11
H05/04
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#6
W
56-48
56
48
+8
H18/04
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#6
L
45-52
45
52
-7
A20/04
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#6
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H23/04
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#12
W
58-50
58
50
+8
H21/10
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#2
W
56-49
56
49
+7
A24/10
CBA
Jilin
#16
W
63-60
63
60
+3
A27/10
CBA
104.7Avg total
53.7Scored
51.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.750.1104.8+4.667%-
Last 30 at home (15)55.652.1107.7+3.567%-
Last 30 away (15)53.748.1101.9+5.667%-
Last 10 (10)53.751.0104.7+2.770%-
Last 5 (5)54.051.2105.2+2.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (4)54.251.5105.8+2.875%-
vs Weaker (26)54.749.9104.6+4.865%-
This opponent (Liaoning) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Liaoningtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Liaoning: 103.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.3 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 100.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.026.7
56.7%
52.7%53.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.311.3
33.0%
34.6%34.0
🏀 Free throws19.716.0
81.4%
76.0%16.0
They take 81.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Guangdongtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guangdong: 108.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.3 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 100.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.027.7
58.9%
52.7%55.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.712.3
43.0%
34.6%37.0
🏀 Free throws22.016.0
72.7%
76.0%16.0
They take 75.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 3/3 games with a box score before 29 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Liaoning
WWWWWWWWWL
Guangdong
WWWLLWWWLW
#1
League position
#4
+15.8
Net rating
+10.5
114.1
Offensive rating
117.9
98.3
Defensive rating
107.4
53.7%
Effective FG%
61.0%
44.9%
Opp. effective FG%
49.4%
14.6%
Turnover %
17.0%
33.3%
Off. rebound %
31.7%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.29
33.0%
3-point %
43.0%
57.9%
Assist %
58.3%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence114.1 · 117.9Defence98.3 · 107.4Shooting53.7% · 61.0%3-point %33.0% · 43.0%Ball care14.6% · 17.0%Off. rebounds33.3% · 31.7%Free throws0.24 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)90% · 70%
■ Liaoning   ■ Guangdong
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Liaoning wins
4
Guangdong wins
DateGameScore
18/01/23Guangdong v Liaoning108-99
14/12/22Liaoning v Guangdong85-99
16/04/22Guangdong v Liaoning116-117 OT
14/04/22Liaoning v Guangdong96-83
12/04/22Liaoning v Guangdong92-79
13/01/22Liaoning v Guangdong102-90
01/01/22Guangdong v Liaoning95-115
01/05/21Guangdong v Liaoning110-103 OT
29/04/21Liaoning v Guangdong102-98 OT
27/04/21Guangdong v Liaoning88-83
Liaoninglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/10/23AShanxi Zhongyu103-90
24/10/23HSichuan108-94
21/10/23HNanjing Tongxi109-85
15/05/23HZhejiang Chouzhou106-70
13/05/23HZhejiang Chouzhou94-68
10/05/23AZhejiang Chouzhou111-93
08/05/23AZhejiang Chouzhou107-99
05/05/23HZhejiang Guangsha95-84
03/05/23AZhejiang Guangsha100-80
01/05/23AZhejiang Guangsha77-87
Guangdonglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/10/23AJilin105-104
24/10/23AZhejiang Chouzhou106-96
21/10/23HShanxi Zhongyu118-98
23/04/23HZhejiang Guangsha96-101
20/04/23AZhejiang Guangsha87-98
18/04/23HZhejiang Guangsha109-96
05/04/23HXinjiang108-95
02/04/23HShandong102-93
31/03/23AShenzhen95-98
28/03/23AShanghai108-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Liaoning
CBA 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game106.7108.5103.0
Allowed / game89.789.590.0
Point differential+17.0+19.0+13.0
Avg total196.3198.0193.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Guangdong
CBA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game109.7118.0105.5
Allowed / game99.398.0100.0
Point differential+10.3+20.0+5.5
Avg total209.0216.0205.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Guangzhou330100%107.389.3+18.0
2 Liaoning330100%106.789.7+17.0
3 Beijing330100%118.3103.0+15.3
4 Shenzhen330100%102.089.7+12.3
5 Guangdong330100%109.799.3+10.3
6 Xinjiang32167%98.398.0+0.3
7 Qingdao32167%106.0107.3-1.3
8 Fujian31233%105.399.7+5.7
9 Tianjin31233%108.3109.3-1.0
10 Zhejiang Chouzhou31233%106.7108.0-1.3
11 Jilin31233%98.3100.7-2.3
12 Shanghai31233%109.0111.3-2.3
13 Beijing Royal Fighters31233%106.0110.0-4.0
14 Zhejiang Guangsha31233%106.3110.7-4.3
15 Jiangsu Dragons31233%95.3100.0-4.7
16 Nanjing Tongxi31233%96.7102.7-6.0
17 Shanxi Zhongyu31233%104.0111.3-7.3
18 Ningbo Rockets31233%92.3103.0-10.7
19 Shandong3030%91.3103.7-12.3
20 Sichuan3030%90.0111.3-21.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Liaoning29242627106
Guangdong2828162597
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