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Liaoning vs Guangdong Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 11 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 11:35
Final 78-108
18-31 21-33 16-22 23-22
Position#9
Record7-5
FormLLWWW
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game82.1
vs
Position#6
Record10-2
FormWLWLW
Points / game94.8
Allowed / game91.4
ChinaCBA· Liaoning Gymnasium
Other2025-26
Meetings · Liaoning v Guangdong
06 Dec 2026
LIAO v GUAN
upcoming
11 Jan 2026
LIAO78
GUAN108
30 Dec 2024
LIAO95
GUAN89
11 May 2024
LIAO116
GUAN95
03 May 2024
LIAO94
GUAN110
01 May 2024
LIAO119
GUAN97
01 Jan 2024
LIAO104
GUAN93
29 Oct 2023
LIAO106
GUAN97
14 Dec 2022
LIAO85
GUAN99
14 Apr 2022
LIAO96
GUAN83
12 Apr 2022
LIAO92
GUAN79
13 Jan 2022
LIAO102
GUAN90
29 Apr 2021
LIAO102
GUAN98
08 Mar 2021
LIAO124
GUAN115
13 Aug 2020
LIAO115
GUAN113
03 Jan 2020
LIAO95
GUAN105
21 Dec 2018
LIAO106
GUAN103
31 Mar 2018
LIAO101
GUAN95
29 Mar 2018
LIAO95
GUAN90
22 Dec 2017
LIAO92
GUAN89
30 Dec 2016
LIAO133
GUAN110
02 Mar 2016
LIAO96
GUAN97
28 Feb 2016
LIAO103
GUAN88
10 Jan 2016
LIAO102
GUAN100
09 Jan 2015
LIAO111
GUAN114
15 Nov 2013
LIAO96
GUAN111
23 Dec 2012
LIAO109
GUAN113
14 Dec 2011
LIAO87
GUAN106
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Liaoning winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Guangdong winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LiaoningChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLiaoning
Date
Competition
Beijing
#4
L
81-94
81
94
-13
78avg 88
A17/12
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#11
W
90-88
90
88
+2
85avg 88
H20/12
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#12
W
98-86
98
86
+12
95avg 88
H22/12
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#2
L
64-96
64
96
-32
54avg 88
A25/12
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#12
L
77-81
77
81
-4
71avg 88
A27/12
CBA
Shenzhen
#3
L
90-93
90
93
-3
83avg 88
A29/12
CBA
Shanghai
#1
L
65-91
65
91
-26
52avg 88
H31/12
CBA
Jilin
#15
W
86-72
86
72
+14
81avg 88
H04/01
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#17
W
79-66
79
66
+13
66avg 88
A06/01
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#19
W
88-71
88
71
+17
86avg 88
A09/01
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-24
20-19
21-19
18-32
25-17
22-25
23-16
20-30
27-21
33-22
23-20
15-23
17-23
12-23
22-30
13-20
19-21
20-13
14-23
24-24
31-27
17-25
23-22
19-19
22-28
12-24
16-19
15-20
30-17
14-20
20-22
22-13
24-11
10-18
20-24
25-13
28-18
19-16
20-17
21-20
165.6Avg total
81.8Scored
83.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)82.882.1164.8+0.758%
Season at home (5)86.883.2170.0+3.680%
Season away (7)79.981.3161.1-1.443%
Last 10 (10)81.883.8165.6-2.050%
Last 5 (5)81.678.6160.2+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)82.498.3180.7-15.914%
vs Similar ◀ (10)105.599.2204.7+6.380%
vs Weaker (13)101.888.5190.2+13.385%
This opponent (Guangdong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuangdongChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuangdong
Date
Competition
Guangzhou
#13
W
97-94
97
94
+3
95avg 97
H19/12
CBA
Qingdao
#7
W
89-80
89
80
+9
81avg 97
H21/12
CBA
Guangzhou
#13
W
93-85
93
85
+8
80avg 97
A23/12
CBA
Shandong
#8
W
94-88
94
88
+6
90avg 97
H26/12
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#10
W
95-89
95
89
+6
92avg 97
A28/12
CBA
Tianjin
#18
W
98-74
98
74
+24
97avg 97
A30/12
CBA
Beijing
#4
L
74-105
74
105
-31
63avg 97
A01/01
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#12
W
93-89
93
89
+4
84avg 97
A03/01
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#5
L
87-88 OT
87
88
-1
no box
H05/01
CBA
Shenzhen
#3
W
110-105
110
105
+5
113avg 97
H07/01
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-25
29-22
22-23
20-24
27-24
25-20
21-22
16-14
33-23
19-27
22-18
19-17
31-23
30-23
14-25
19-17
25-22
31-25
24-15
15-27
33-21
27-12
23-23
15-18
14-28
17-29
28-26
15-22
23-21
23-25
25-23
22-20
27-19
16-19
21-20
14-20
16-24
33-26
39-34
22-21
182.7Avg total
93.0Scored
89.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)94.891.4186.2+3.483%
Season at home (6)97.392.8190.2+4.583%
Season away (6)92.390.0182.3+2.383%
Last 10 (10)93.089.7182.7+3.380%
Last 5 (5)92.492.2184.6+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)89.092.0181.0-3.050%
vs Similar ◀ (17)101.4100.5201.9+0.959%
vs Weaker (11)102.788.3191.0+14.591%
This opponent (Liaoning) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: -2.3-2.3
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: -2.3-2.3
LiaoningGuangdong
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LiaoningLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Beijing
#4
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A17/12
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#11
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H20/12
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#12
W
60-43
60
43
+17
H22/12
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#2
L
29-46
29
46
-17
A25/12
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#12
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A27/12
CBA
Shenzhen
#3
L
48-52
48
52
-4
A29/12
CBA
Shanghai
#1
L
34-52
34
52
-18
H31/12
CBA
Jilin
#15
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H04/01
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#17
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A06/01
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#19
W
47-34
47
34
+13
A09/01
CBA
83.6Avg total
42.4Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.848.199.8+3.770%-
Last 30 at home (15)57.550.1107.7+7.480%-
Last 30 away (15)46.046.092.0+0.060%-
Last 10 (10)42.441.283.6+1.260%-
Last 5 (5)41.440.882.2+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)41.152.093.1-10.914%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)54.849.2104.0+5.680%-
vs Weaker (13)55.245.1100.2+10.192%-
This opponent (Guangdong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuangdongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Guangzhou
#13
W
55-47
55
47
+8
H19/12
CBA
Qingdao
#7
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H21/12
CBA
Guangzhou
#13
W
52-50
52
50
+2
A23/12
CBA
Shandong
#8
W
61-46
61
46
+15
H26/12
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#10
W
56-47
56
47
+9
A28/12
CBA
Tianjin
#18
W
60-33
60
33
+27
A30/12
CBA
Beijing
#4
L
31-57
31
57
-26
A01/01
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#12
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A03/01
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#5
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H05/01
CBA
Shenzhen
#3
L
49-50
49
50
-1
H07/01
CBA
96.3Avg total
50.5Scored
45.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.648.9102.5+4.777%-
Last 30 at home (15)54.246.1100.3+8.193%-
Last 30 away (15)53.051.7104.7+1.360%-
Last 10 (10)50.545.896.3+4.770%-
Last 5 (5)45.844.890.6+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)44.549.594.0-5.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)53.851.7105.5+2.171%-
vs Weaker (11)54.944.599.4+10.591%-
This opponent (Liaoning) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Liaoningtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Liaoning: 81.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.4 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 88.4 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.222.7
52.5%
54.6%45.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.97.6
33.2%
35.0%22.8
🏀 Free throws18.013.6
75.6%
73.6%13.6
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Guangdongtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guangdong: 93.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 88.4 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.524.5
55.1%
54.6%49.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.59.5
34.5%
35.0%28.5
🏀 Free throws21.716.3
75.1%
73.6%16.3
They take 72.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Liaoning
WWWLLLLWWL
Guangdong
WLWLWWWWWW
#9
League position
#6
-1.5
Net rating
+3.3
96.8
Offensive rating
99.8
98.4
Defensive rating
96.5
51.6%
Effective FG%
53.8%
52.5%
Opp. effective FG%
53.9%
13.0%
Turnover %
14.2%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.30
33.2%
3-point %
34.5%
60.4%
Assist %
64.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence96.8 · 99.8Defence98.4 · 96.5Shooting51.6% · 53.8%3-point %33.2% · 34.5%Ball care13.0% · 14.2%Free throws0.27 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Liaoning   ■ Guangdong
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Liaoning wins
4
Guangdong wins
DateGameScore
05/03/25Guangdong v Liaoning127-83
30/12/24Liaoning v Guangdong95-89
11/05/24Liaoning v Guangdong116-95
08/05/24Guangdong v Liaoning90-107
06/05/24Guangdong v Liaoning98-82
03/05/24Liaoning v Guangdong94-110
01/05/24Liaoning v Guangdong119-97
15/03/24Guangdong v Liaoning119-94
21/01/24Guangdong v Liaoning97-104
01/01/24Liaoning v Guangdong104-93
Liaoninglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/01/26AJiangsu Dragons88-71
06/01/26ANanjing Tongxi79-66
04/01/26HJilin86-72
31/12/25HShanghai65-91
29/12/25AShenzhen90-93
27/12/25ABeijing Royal Fighters77-81
25/12/25AZhejiang Guangsha64-96
22/12/25HBeijing Royal Fighters98-86
20/12/25HNingbo Rockets90-88
17/12/25ABeijing81-94
Guangdonglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/01/26HShenzhen110-105
05/01/26HZhejiang Chouzhou87-88 OT
03/01/26ABeijing Royal Fighters93-89
01/01/26ABeijing74-105
30/12/25ATianjin98-74
28/12/25AShanxi Zhongyu95-89
26/12/25HShandong94-88
23/12/25AGuangzhou93-85
21/12/25HQingdao89-80
19/12/25HGuangzhou97-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Liaoning
CBA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW58%
HomeWWWLW80%
AwayLLLWW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %58%80%43%
Points / game82.886.879.9
Allowed / game82.183.281.3
Point differential+0.7+3.6-1.4
Avg total164.8170.0161.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%60%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Guangdong
CBA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW83%
HomeWWWLW83%
AwayWWWLW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %83%83%83%
Points / game94.897.392.3
Allowed / game91.492.890.0
Point differential+3.4+4.5+2.3
Avg total186.2190.2182.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%0%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)75% (4)100% (2)
Overtime %17%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Shanghai1210283%93.179.0+14.1
2 Zhejiang Guangsha1210283%90.578.8+11.7
3 Guangdong1210283%94.891.4+3.4
4 Beijing129375%92.778.3+14.3
5 Qingdao128467%88.683.2+5.4
6 Shandong117464%94.490.5+3.9
7 Ningbo Rockets127558%90.485.2+5.2
8 Shanxi Zhongyu127558%90.286.2+3.9
9 Liaoning127558%82.882.1+0.7
10 Guangzhou127558%85.685.8-0.2
11 Zhejiang Chouzhou137654%88.384.9+3.4
12 Shenzhen126650%90.892.8-2.0
13 Jilin126650%82.485.7-3.2
14 Fujian135838%90.891.4-0.5
15 Beijing Royal Fighters135838%86.892.9-6.1
16 Nanjing Tongxi124833%86.691.1-4.5
17 Xinjiang124833%87.893.3-5.6
18 Tianjin1321115%89.796.5-6.8
19 Jiangsu Dragons121118%78.489.8-11.4
20 Sichuan130130%72.895.3-22.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Liaoning1821162378
Guangdong31332222108
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