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Liaoning vs Guangdong Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 03 May 2024
Tip-off: 11:35
Final 94-110
26-28 17-24 23-30 28-28
Position#1
Record47-9
FormWWWWW
Points / game104.6
Allowed / game93.5
vs
Position#4
Record40-17
FormWWLWL
Points / game110.4
Allowed / game103.4
ChinaCBACBA - Semi-finals· Liaoning Gymnasium
Other2023-24
Meetings · Liaoning v Guangdong
06 Dec 2026
LIAO v GUAN
upcoming
11 Jan 2026
LIAO78
GUAN108
30 Dec 2024
LIAO95
GUAN89
11 May 2024
LIAO116
GUAN95
03 May 2024
LIAO94
GUAN110
01 May 2024
LIAO119
GUAN97
01 Jan 2024
LIAO104
GUAN93
29 Oct 2023
LIAO106
GUAN97
14 Dec 2022
LIAO85
GUAN99
14 Apr 2022
LIAO96
GUAN83
12 Apr 2022
LIAO92
GUAN79
13 Jan 2022
LIAO102
GUAN90
29 Apr 2021
LIAO102
GUAN98
08 Mar 2021
LIAO124
GUAN115
13 Aug 2020
LIAO115
GUAN113
03 Jan 2020
LIAO95
GUAN105
21 Dec 2018
LIAO106
GUAN103
31 Mar 2018
LIAO101
GUAN95
29 Mar 2018
LIAO95
GUAN90
22 Dec 2017
LIAO92
GUAN89
30 Dec 2016
LIAO133
GUAN110
02 Mar 2016
LIAO96
GUAN97
28 Feb 2016
LIAO103
GUAN88
10 Jan 2016
LIAO102
GUAN100
09 Jan 2015
LIAO111
GUAN114
15 Nov 2013
LIAO96
GUAN111
23 Dec 2012
LIAO109
GUAN113
14 Dec 2011
LIAO87
GUAN106
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Liaoning winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Guangdong winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LiaoningChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLiaoning
Date
Competition
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#2
L
69-96
69
96
-27
60avg 99
A24/03
CBA
Xinjiang
#3
W
96-85
96
85
+11
92avg 99
H26/03
CBA
Sichuan
#20
W
101-82
101
82
+19
104avg 99
A28/03
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#13
W
97-95
97
95
+2
87avg 99
A31/03
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#19
W
116-102
116
102
+14
114avg 99
A02/04
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#5
W
101-96
101
96
+5
104avg 99
H06/04
CBA
Shenzhen
#8
W
124-87
124
87
+37
109avg 99
H18/04
CBA
Shenzhen
#8
W
132-93
132
93
+39
118avg 99
H20/04
CBA
Shenzhen
#8
W
102-80
102
80
+22
87avg 99
A23/04
CBA
Guangdong
#4
W
119-97
119
97
+22
119avg 99
H01/05
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-25
12-27
18-21
18-23
19-22
24-26
18-17
35-20
29-13
23-22
32-15
17-32
35-23
23-27
20-24
19-21
35-31
31-23
32-24
18-24
28-27
30-20
19-27
24-22
25-30
28-22
38-13
33-22
29-20
24-28
40-19
39-26
26-19
25-21
28-19
23-21
32-31
27-25
30-14
30-27
197.0Avg total
105.7Scored
91.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (56)104.693.5198.1+11.184%
Season at home (29)106.590.2196.7+16.390%
Season away (27)102.697.1199.7+5.478%
Last 10 (10)105.791.3197.0+14.490%
Last 5 (5)115.690.6206.2+25.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (5)96.498.8195.2-2.460%
vs Weaker (25)109.095.0204.0+14.088%
This opponent (Guangdong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuangdongChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuangdong
Date
Competition
Beijing
#11
W
110-92
110
92
+18
110avg 104
A27/03
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#5
W
131-78
131
78
+53
150avg 104
H29/03
CBA
Guangzhou
#9
W
124-97
124
97
+27
128avg 104
H31/03
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#13
W
110-93
110
93
+17
106avg 104
A02/04
CBA
Tianjin
#14
L
112-113 OT
112
113
-1
106avg 104
A06/04
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#5
W
120-100
120
100
+20
113avg 104
H18/04
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#5
W
106-96
106
96
+10
100avg 104
H20/04
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#5
L
102-109
102
109
-7
106avg 104
A23/04
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#5
W
117-82
117
82
+35
116avg 104
A25/04
CBA
Liaoning
#1
L
97-119
97
119
-22
79avg 104
A01/05
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-32
26-16
24-20
27-24
43-17
30-18
28-23
30-20
29-29
30-22
33-29
32-17
30-17
41-30
22-23
17-23
28-32
26-29
28-17
23-27
40-21
19-32
31-21
30-26
30-19
26-34
27-18
23-25
31-20
27-25
21-32
23-32
31-14
34-25
21-26
31-17
31-32
25-27
14-30
27-30
210.8Avg total
112.9Scored
97.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (57)110.4103.4213.8+7.070%
Season at home (28)114.9102.5217.4+12.579%
Season away (29)106.1104.3210.4+1.862%
Last 10 (10)112.997.9210.8+15.070%
Last 5 (5)108.4101.2209.6+7.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (12)110.4101.6212.0+8.850%
vs Weaker (18)112.9103.9216.8+9.183%
This opponent (Liaoning) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: +9.3+9.3Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: +8.2+8.2Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +2.2+2.2
-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: +9.3+9.3Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: +8.2+8.2Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +2.2+2.2
LiaoningGuangdong
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LiaoningLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#2
L
33-52
33
52
-19
A24/03
CBA
Xinjiang
#3
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H26/03
CBA
Sichuan
#20
W
52-35
52
35
+17
A28/03
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#13
W
58-50
58
50
+8
A31/03
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#19
W
66-54
66
54
+12
A02/04
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#5
W
58-47
58
47
+11
H06/04
CBA
Shenzhen
#8
W
53-52
53
52
+1
H18/04
CBA
Shenzhen
#8
W
53-48
53
48
+5
H20/04
CBA
Shenzhen
#8
W
51-40
51
40
+11
A23/04
CBA
Guangdong
#4
W
59-56
59
56
+3
H01/05
CBA
100.8Avg total
52.6Scored
48.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.250.2104.4+4.167%-
Last 30 at home (16)56.149.5105.6+6.669%-
Last 30 away (14)52.150.9103.1+1.264%-
Last 10 (10)52.648.2100.8+4.480%-
Last 5 (5)54.848.6103.4+6.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (5)48.455.0103.4-6.640%-
vs Weaker (25)55.449.2104.6+6.272%-
This opponent (Guangdong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuangdongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Beijing
#11
W
59-48
59
48
+11
A27/03
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#5
W
73-35
73
35
+38
H29/03
CBA
Guangzhou
#9
W
59-51
59
51
+8
H31/03
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#13
W
71-47
71
47
+24
A02/04
CBA
Tianjin
#14
L
54-61
54
61
-7
A06/04
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#5
W
59-53
59
53
+6
H18/04
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#5
W
56-53
56
53
+3
H20/04
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#5
W
58-45
58
45
+13
A23/04
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#5
W
65-39
65
39
+26
A25/04
CBA
Liaoning
#1
L
56-59
56
59
-3
A01/05
CBA
110.1Avg total
61.0Scored
49.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.252.2111.4+7.073%-
Last 30 at home (17)59.852.3112.1+7.588%-
Last 30 away (13)58.352.1110.4+6.254%-
Last 10 (10)61.049.1110.1+11.980%-
Last 5 (5)58.849.8108.6+9.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (12)58.750.7109.3+8.067%-
vs Weaker (18)59.553.2112.7+6.378%-
This opponent (Liaoning) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Liaoningtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Liaoning: 105.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 100.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.029.6
52.9%
52.7%59.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.410.7
35.2%
34.6%32.1
🏀 Free throws19.814.2
71.7%
76.0%14.2
They take 86.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Guangdongtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guangdong: 111.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 100.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.829.6
57.1%
52.7%59.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.811.5
36.2%
34.6%34.5
🏀 Free throws23.118.2
78.8%
76.0%18.2
They take 83.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 May 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Liaoning
WWWWWWWWWL
Guangdong
LWLWWLWWWW
#1
League position
#4
+16.3
Net rating
+15.4
114.5
Offensive rating
117.5
98.2
Defensive rating
102.0
52.8%
Effective FG%
56.0%
49.7%
Opp. effective FG%
46.5%
13.1%
Turnover %
15.9%
33.6%
Off. rebound %
36.8%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.28
35.2%
3-point %
36.2%
62.5%
Assist %
64.0%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence114.5 · 117.5Defence98.2 · 102.0Shooting52.8% · 56.0%3-point %35.2% · 36.2%Ball care13.1% · 15.9%Off. rebounds33.6% · 36.8%Free throws0.23 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)90% · 70%
■ Liaoning   ■ Guangdong
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Liaoning wins
3
Guangdong wins
DateGameScore
01/05/24Liaoning v Guangdong119-97
15/03/24Guangdong v Liaoning119-94
21/01/24Guangdong v Liaoning97-104
01/01/24Liaoning v Guangdong104-93
29/10/23Liaoning v Guangdong106-97
18/01/23Guangdong v Liaoning108-99
14/12/22Liaoning v Guangdong85-99
16/04/22Guangdong v Liaoning116-117 OT
14/04/22Liaoning v Guangdong96-83
12/04/22Liaoning v Guangdong92-79
Liaoninglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/05/24HGuangdong119-97
23/04/24AShenzhen102-80
20/04/24HShenzhen132-93
18/04/24HShenzhen124-87
06/04/24HZhejiang Guangsha101-96
02/04/24ANingbo Rockets116-102
31/03/24ANanjing Tongxi97-95
28/03/24ASichuan101-82
26/03/24HXinjiang96-85
24/03/24AZhejiang Chouzhou69-96
Guangdonglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/05/24ALiaoning97-119
25/04/24AZhejiang Guangsha117-82
23/04/24AZhejiang Guangsha102-109
20/04/24HZhejiang Guangsha106-96
18/04/24HZhejiang Guangsha120-100
06/04/24ATianjin112-113 OT
02/04/24ANanjing Tongxi110-93
31/03/24HGuangzhou124-97
29/03/24HZhejiang Guangsha131-78
27/03/24ABeijing110-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Liaoning
CBA 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW84%
HomeWWWWW90%
AwayLWWWW78%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games562927
Win %84%90%78%
Points / game104.6106.5102.6
Allowed / game93.590.297.1
Point differential+11.1+16.3+5.4
Avg total198.1196.7199.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%72%41%
Close games (≤5 pts) won86% (7)50% (2)100% (5)
Overtime %7%7%7%
Guangdong
CBA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL70%
HomeWWWWW79%
AwayWLLWL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games572829
Win %70%79%62%
Points / game110.4114.9106.1
Allowed / game103.4102.5104.3
Point differential+7.0+12.5+1.8
Avg total213.8217.4210.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%57%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (12)50% (4)88% (8)
Overtime %4%4%3%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liaoning5647984%104.693.5+11.1
2 Xinjiang57451279%106.696.0+10.6
3 Zhejiang Chouzhou58441476%109.099.3+9.7
4 Guangdong57401770%110.4103.4+7.0
5 Zhejiang Guangsha59362361%103.299.0+4.2
6 Shanghai60362460%106.4104.2+2.1
7 Qingdao54312357%102.299.6+2.6
8 Shenzhen58332557%104.2103.3+0.9
9 Guangzhou58322655%101.598.7+2.7
10 Beijing Royal Fighters55302555%105.9104.3+1.6
11 Beijing55282751%100.9100.5+0.4
12 Shanxi Zhongyu55282751%110.9111.2-0.3
13 Nanjing Tongxi52232944%103.1106.1-3.0
14 Tianjin52223042%106.8109.5-2.8
15 Shandong52213140%103.8105.1-1.4
16 Jilin52193337%103.6107.7-4.1
17 Fujian52173533%102.6106.9-4.3
18 Jiangsu Dragons5274513%91.7103.2-11.5
19 Ningbo Rockets5264612%93.5107.8-14.3
20 Sichuan524488%94.0110.5-16.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Liaoning2617232894
Guangdong28243028110
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