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Liaoning vs Guangdong Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 30 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 11:35
Final 95-89
24-24 23-19 20-19 28-27
Position#4
Record16-7
FormLLWWW
Points / game106.8
Allowed / game97.6
vs
Position#8
Record13-10
FormWLWLW
Points / game105.4
Allowed / game99.9
ChinaCBARound 24· Liaoning Gymnasium
Other2024-25
Meetings · Liaoning v Guangdong
06 Dec 2026
LIAO v GUAN
upcoming
11 Jan 2026
LIAO78
GUAN108
30 Dec 2024
LIAO95
GUAN89
11 May 2024
LIAO116
GUAN95
03 May 2024
LIAO94
GUAN110
01 May 2024
LIAO119
GUAN97
01 Jan 2024
LIAO104
GUAN93
29 Oct 2023
LIAO106
GUAN97
14 Dec 2022
LIAO85
GUAN99
14 Apr 2022
LIAO96
GUAN83
12 Apr 2022
LIAO92
GUAN79
13 Jan 2022
LIAO102
GUAN90
29 Apr 2021
LIAO102
GUAN98
08 Mar 2021
LIAO124
GUAN115
13 Aug 2020
LIAO115
GUAN113
03 Jan 2020
LIAO95
GUAN105
21 Dec 2018
LIAO106
GUAN103
31 Mar 2018
LIAO101
GUAN95
29 Mar 2018
LIAO95
GUAN90
22 Dec 2017
LIAO92
GUAN89
30 Dec 2016
LIAO133
GUAN110
02 Mar 2016
LIAO96
GUAN97
28 Feb 2016
LIAO103
GUAN88
10 Jan 2016
LIAO102
GUAN100
09 Jan 2015
LIAO111
GUAN114
15 Nov 2013
LIAO96
GUAN111
23 Dec 2012
LIAO109
GUAN113
14 Dec 2011
LIAO87
GUAN106
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Liaoning winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Guangdong winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LiaoningChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLiaoning
Date
Competition
Tianjin
#15
W
111-76
111
76
+35
118avg 101
H06/12
CBA
Fujian
#18
W
127-102
127
102
+25
134avg 101
H08/12
CBA
Xinjiang
#5
L
105-125
105
125
-20
99avg 101
A11/12
CBA
Sichuan
#19
W
86-77
86
77
+9
81avg 101
A13/12
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#2
L
94-95
94
95
-1
74avg 101
A16/12
CBA
Jilin
#14
L
102-114
102
114
-12
86avg 101
A18/12
CBA
Beijing
#3
L
105-106
105
106
-1
94avg 101
H20/12
CBA
Fujian
#18
W
104-90
104
90
+14
96avg 101
A23/12
CBA
Guangzhou
#16
W
98-97
98
97
+1
90avg 101
A26/12
CBA
Xinjiang
#5
W
115-89
115
89
+26
107avg 101
H28/12
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
37-26
31-12
18-20
25-18
23-27
41-26
29-23
34-26
25-25
22-40
32-21
26-39
26-20
27-20
15-23
18-14
37-23
16-32
15-21
26-19
21-36
17-41
38-18
26-19
33-18
25-30
25-27
22-31
16-29
39-24
24-10
25-27
25-20
22-25
24-27
27-25
33-21
27-24
32-29
23-15
201.8Avg total
104.7Scored
97.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)106.897.6204.4+9.270%
Season at home (11)112.397.2209.5+15.173%
Season away (12)101.898.0199.8+3.867%
Last 10 (10)104.797.1201.8+7.660%
Last 5 (5)104.899.2204.0+5.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)79.090.2169.2-11.225%
vs Similar ◀ (12)103.598.6202.1+4.958%
vs Weaker (14)108.195.3203.4+12.986%
This opponent (Guangdong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuangdongChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuangdong
Date
Competition
Jiangsu Dragons
#20
L
98-100
98
100
-2
92avg 105
H05/12
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#11
W
105-98
105
98
+7
102avg 105
A08/12
CBA
Beijing
#3
W
106-90
106
90
+16
104avg 105
H12/12
CBA
Shanghai
#10
L
91-124
91
124
-33
106avg 105
H14/12
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#20
W
103-86
103
86
+17
109avg 105
A16/12
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#12
W
112-97
112
97
+15
112avg 105
A18/12
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#1
L
107-113
107
113
-6
113avg 105
H21/12
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#17
W
107-72
107
72
+35
115avg 105
H23/12
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#9
L
87-102
87
102
-15
99avg 105
H25/12
CBA
Jilin
#14
W
106-65
106
65
+41
108avg 105
A28/12
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-28
23-20
28-24
24-28
27-28
24-36
28-16
26-18
28-19
33-21
23-23
22-27
21-33
23-30
29-32
18-29
34-22
27-27
19-16
23-21
25-24
30-28
32-12
25-33
30-31
32-34
26-27
19-21
23-22
31-16
28-15
25-19
30-21
20-31
22-27
15-23
25-22
38-17
27-13
16-13
196.9Avg total
102.2Scored
94.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)105.499.9205.3+5.557%
Season at home (13)106.9100.2207.1+6.862%
Season away (10)103.599.6203.1+3.950%
Last 10 (10)102.294.7196.9+7.560%
Last 5 (5)103.889.8193.6+14.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)85.093.8178.8-8.80%
vs Similar ◀ (16)99.6103.1202.8-3.544%
vs Weaker (10)109.290.8200.0+18.480%
This opponent (Liaoning) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: +5.7+5.7Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -1.9-1.9
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: +5.7+5.7Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -1.9-1.9
LiaoningGuangdong
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LiaoningLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tianjin
#15
W
68-38
68
38
+30
H06/12
CBA
Fujian
#18
W
64-53
64
53
+11
H08/12
CBA
Xinjiang
#5
L
47-65
47
65
-18
A11/12
CBA
Sichuan
#19
W
53-40
53
40
+13
A13/12
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#2
L
53-55
53
55
-2
A16/12
CBA
Jilin
#14
L
38-77
38
77
-39
A18/12
CBA
Beijing
#3
W
58-48
58
48
+10
H20/12
CBA
Fujian
#18
W
55-53
55
53
+2
A23/12
CBA
Guangzhou
#16
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A26/12
CBA
Xinjiang
#5
W
60-45
60
45
+15
H28/12
CBA
106.2Avg total
54.3Scored
51.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.451.0103.4+1.453%-
Last 30 at home (14)55.350.0105.3+5.357%-
Last 30 away (16)49.951.9101.8-2.050%-
Last 10 (10)54.351.9106.2+2.470%-
Last 5 (5)51.653.6105.2-2.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)36.844.080.8-7.20%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)53.951.8105.7+2.250%-
vs Weaker (14)55.652.4107.9+3.271%-
This opponent (Guangdong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuangdongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jiangsu Dragons
#20
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H05/12
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#11
L
51-64
51
64
-13
A08/12
CBA
Beijing
#3
W
61-40
61
40
+21
H12/12
CBA
Shanghai
#10
L
44-63
44
63
-19
H14/12
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#20
W
61-49
61
49
+12
A16/12
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#12
W
55-52
55
52
+3
A18/12
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#1
L
62-65
62
65
-3
H21/12
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#17
W
54-38
54
38
+16
H23/12
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#9
L
50-52
50
52
-2
H25/12
CBA
Jilin
#14
W
63-39
63
39
+24
A28/12
CBA
105.7Avg total
54.7Scored
51.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.251.0104.2+2.250%-
Last 30 at home (17)54.549.6104.2+4.953%-
Last 30 away (13)51.552.8104.2-1.346%-
Last 10 (10)54.751.0105.7+3.750%-
Last 5 (5)56.849.2106.0+7.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)45.251.897.0-6.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)50.252.6102.8-2.438%-
vs Weaker (10)61.248.2109.4+13.090%-
This opponent (Liaoning) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Liaoningtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Liaoning: 103.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 103.8 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.825.9
53.1%
52.6%51.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.211.6
37.2%
35.1%34.8
🏀 Free throws21.417.3
80.8%
76.3%17.3
They take 80.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Guangdongtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guangdong: 102.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 103.8 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.426.3
59.2%
52.6%52.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.910.4
34.8%
35.1%31.2
🏀 Free throws24.818.6
75.0%
76.3%18.6
They take 74.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Liaoning
WWWLLLWLWW
Guangdong
WLWLWWLWWL
#4
League position
#8
+8.6
Net rating
+9.6
117.1
Offensive rating
113.2
108.5
Defensive rating
103.5
54.1%
Effective FG%
56.4%
51.3%
Opp. effective FG%
46.7%
17.2%
Turnover %
18.9%
37.1%
Off. rebound %
29.1%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.33
37.2%
3-point %
34.8%
59.5%
Assist %
73.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence117.1 · 113.2Defence108.5 · 103.5Shooting54.1% · 56.4%3-point %37.2% · 34.8%Ball care17.2% · 18.9%Off. rebounds37.1% · 29.1%Free throws0.27 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Liaoning   ■ Guangdong
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Liaoning wins
4
Guangdong wins
DateGameScore
11/05/24Liaoning v Guangdong116-95
08/05/24Guangdong v Liaoning90-107
06/05/24Guangdong v Liaoning98-82
03/05/24Liaoning v Guangdong94-110
01/05/24Liaoning v Guangdong119-97
15/03/24Guangdong v Liaoning119-94
21/01/24Guangdong v Liaoning97-104
01/01/24Liaoning v Guangdong104-93
29/10/23Liaoning v Guangdong106-97
18/01/23Guangdong v Liaoning108-99
Liaoninglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/12/24HXinjiang115-89
26/12/24AGuangzhou98-97
23/12/24AFujian104-90
20/12/24HBeijing105-106
18/12/24AJilin102-114
16/12/24AShanxi Zhongyu94-95
13/12/24ASichuan86-77
11/12/24AXinjiang105-125
08/12/24HFujian127-102
06/12/24HTianjin111-76
Guangdonglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/12/24AJilin106-65
25/12/24HZhejiang Chouzhou87-102
23/12/24HNingbo Rockets107-72
21/12/24HZhejiang Guangsha107-113
18/12/24ANanjing Tongxi112-97
16/12/24AJiangsu Dragons103-86
14/12/24HShanghai91-124
12/12/24HBeijing106-90
08/12/24ABeijing Royal Fighters105-98
05/12/24HJiangsu Dragons98-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Liaoning
CBA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW70%
HomeLWWLW73%
AwayWLLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %70%73%67%
Points / game106.8112.3101.8
Allowed / game97.697.298.0
Point differential+9.2+15.1+3.8
Avg total204.4209.5199.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%64%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)0% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Guangdong
CBA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW57%
HomeWLLWL62%
AwayLWWWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231310
Win %57%62%50%
Points / game105.4106.9103.5
Allowed / game99.9100.299.6
Point differential+5.5+6.8+3.9
Avg total205.3207.1203.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%31%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zhejiang Guangsha2319483%104.193.4+10.7
2 Shanxi Zhongyu2318578%115.0107.9+7.2
3 Xinjiang2217577%111.9102.4+9.5
4 Zhejiang Chouzhou2418675%115.5105.9+9.5
5 Beijing2216673%101.795.7+6.0
6 Liaoning2316770%106.897.6+9.2
7 Shandong2316770%104.7101.0+3.6
8 Qingdao2315865%103.399.5+3.8
9 Guangdong23131057%105.499.9+5.5
10 Beijing Royal Fighters23131057%105.1100.4+4.7
11 Shanghai21111052%108.3103.6+4.8
12 Nanjing Tongxi23121152%105.6106.7-1.0
13 Jilin2391439%103.7109.6-5.9
14 Sichuan2371630%101.1108.6-7.4
15 Ningbo Rockets2371630%102.2114.0-11.8
16 Tianjin2471729%99.5108.7-9.1
17 Guangzhou2361726%100.5108.0-7.5
18 Shenzhen2461825%103.8108.6-4.8
19 Jiangsu Dragons2432112%94.2104.2-10.0
20 Fujian231224%100.5115.8-15.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Liaoning2423202895
Guangdong2419192789
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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