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Liberecko vs Valecnici Decin Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 22 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 17:00
Scheduled
Position#15
Record2-5
FormLWLLL
Points / game67.3
Allowed / game79.7
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.9/10
Around normal
4.1/10
Below normal
Position#1
Record6-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game84.2
Allowed / game71.5
Czech Republic1. LigaRound 17· Hala Kort
Other2026-27
Meetings · Liberecko v Valecnici Decin
22 Jan 2027
LIBE v VALE
upcoming
13 Nov 2025
LIBE69
VALE89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Liberecko win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Valecnici Decin win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LibereckoCzech RepublicLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLiberecko
Date
Competition
Svitavy
#5
L
78-101
78
101
-23
62avg 75
A20/03
1. Liga
Novy Jicin
#2
L
78-79
78
79
-1
71avg 75
A27/03
1. Liga
Novy Jicin
#2
L
86-96
86
96
-10
87avg 75
H29/03
1. Liga
Radotin
#18
W
81-77
81
77
+4
74avg 75
H18/09
1. Liga
Polabi
#16
L
72-88
72
88
-16
67avg 75
A27/09
1. Liga
Jindrichuv Hradec
#3
L
48-86
48
86
-38
36avg 75
H04/10
1. Liga
Sokol Prazsky
#9
W
98-76
98
76
+22
96avg 75
A23/10
1. Liga
Valecnici Decin
#1
L
51-89
51
89
-38
no box
A06/11
1. Liga
Litomerice
#12
L
64-67
64
67
-3
no box
H10/11
1. Liga
USK Prague B
#6
L
57-75
57
75
-18
no box
H13/11
1. Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-19
24-31
15-28
22-23
29-21
6-22
23-26
20-10
16-26
24-24
24-22
22-24
21-27
26-14
21-23
13-13
14-27
20-17
22-28
16-16
10-23
10-20
20-14
8-29
14-24
27-16
29-15
28-21
16-24
14-16
11-36
10-13
15-15
15-19
13-11
21-22
6-25
19-24
17-18
15-8
154.7Avg total
71.3Scored
83.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)67.379.7147.0-12.429%
Season at home (4)62.576.2138.8-13.825%
Season away (3)73.784.3158.0-10.733%
Last 10 (10)71.383.4154.7-12.120%
Last 5 (5)63.678.6142.2-15.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)68.282.6150.8-14.38%
vs Similar (15)82.577.5159.9+5.080%
vs Weaker (3)86.779.0165.7+7.767%
This opponent (Valecnici Decin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Valecnici DecinCzech RepublicLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDecin
Date
Competition
Pardubice 2
#7
W
94-74
94
74
+20
83avg 68
A27/03
1. Liga
Pardubice 2
#7
W
85-65
85
65
+20
78avg 68
H29/03
1. Liga
Zlin
#3
L
78-93
78
93
-15
62avg 68
A08/04
1. Liga
Zlin
#3
L
80-86
80
86
-6
68avg 68
H11/04
1. Liga
Polabi
#16
W
84-75
84
75
+9
71avg 68
H18/09
1. Liga
Jindrichuv Hradec
#3
W
68-64 OT
68
64
+4
56avg 68
A27/09
1. Liga
Slavia Prague Tygri
#17
W
79-71
79
71
+8
72avg 68
H02/10
1. Liga
Sokol Prazsky
#9
W
97-90
97
90
+7
86avg 68
H16/10
1. Liga
Litomerice
#12
W
88-78
88
78
+10
73avg 68
A23/10
1. Liga
Liberecko
#15
W
89-51
89
51
+38
no box
H06/11
1. Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-24
23-15
28-20
24-15
20-13
19-28
26-7
20-17
16-28
26-18
20-27
16-20
17-19
17-23
29-26
17-18
20-19
29-24
23-18
12-14
17-18
15-13
7-18
17-7
14-16
21-21
26-12
18-22
26-18
24-19
20-25
27-28
17-13
25-27
23-18
23-20
24-16
16-14
36-11
13-10
158.9Avg total
84.2Scored
74.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)84.271.5155.7+12.7100%
Season at home (4)87.271.8159.0+15.5100%
Season away (2)78.071.0149.0+7.0100%
Last 10 (10)84.274.7158.9+9.580%
Last 5 (5)84.270.8155.0+13.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)74.284.5158.8-10.225%
vs Similar (11)81.775.9157.6+5.864%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)86.374.7161.0+11.587%
This opponent (Liberecko) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -7.3-7.3Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: +5.6+5.6Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +1.6+1.6
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -7.3-7.3Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: +5.6+5.6Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +1.6+1.6
LibereckoValecnici Decin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LibereckoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Svitavy
#5
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A20/03
1. Liga
Novy Jicin
#2
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A27/03
1. Liga
Novy Jicin
#2
L
40-50
40
50
-10
H29/03
1. Liga
Radotin
#18
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H18/09
1. Liga
Polabi
#16
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A27/09
1. Liga
Jindrichuv Hradec
#3
L
20-43
20
43
-23
H04/10
1. Liga
Sokol Prazsky
#9
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A23/10
1. Liga
Valecnici Decin
#1
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A06/11
1. Liga
Litomerice
#12
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H10/11
1. Liga
USK Prague B
#6
L
25-49
25
49
-24
H13/11
1. Liga
77.7Avg total
34.3Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.340.379.6-0.950%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.440.881.2-0.447%-
Last 30 away (15)38.339.778.0-1.553%-
Last 10 (10)34.343.477.7-9.120%-
Last 5 (5)29.241.270.4-12.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)34.742.276.8-7.525%-
vs Similar (15)42.938.681.5+4.373%-
vs Weaker (3)40.041.081.0-1.033%-
This opponent (Valecnici Decin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Valecnici DecinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pardubice 2
#7
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A27/03
1. Liga
Pardubice 2
#7
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H29/03
1. Liga
Zlin
#3
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A08/04
1. Liga
Zlin
#3
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H11/04
1. Liga
Polabi
#16
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H18/09
1. Liga
Jindrichuv Hradec
#3
W
32-31
32
31
+1
A27/09
1. Liga
Slavia Prague Tygri
#17
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H02/10
1. Liga
Sokol Prazsky
#9
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H16/10
1. Liga
Litomerice
#12
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A23/10
1. Liga
Liberecko
#15
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H06/11
1. Liga
79.1Avg total
40.5Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.539.578.9+0.047%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.638.176.7+0.444%-
Last 30 away (14)40.541.081.5-0.550%-
Last 10 (10)40.538.679.1+1.960%-
Last 5 (5)39.835.074.8+4.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)37.544.882.2-7.225%-
vs Similar (11)38.638.076.6+0.645%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)40.639.179.7+1.553%-
This opponent (Liberecko) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Libereckotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Liberecko: 78.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.1 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.621.4
54.0%
51.2%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.37.8
28.6%
27.8%23.4
🏀 Free throws20.712.6
60.9%
61.8%12.6
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valecnici Decintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valecnici Decin: 83.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀21%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.8 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.1 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.724.9
55.7%
51.2%49.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.46.0
21.1%
27.8%18.0
🏀 Free throws26.016.1
61.9%
61.8%16.1
They take 73.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Liberecko
LLLWLLWLLL
Valecnici Decin
WWWWWWLLWW
#15
League position
#1
-2.4
Net rating
+5.8
83.1
Offensive rating
85.0
85.5
Defensive rating
79.2
49.5%
Effective FG%
46.4%
49.6%
Opp. effective FG%
46.1%
20.2%
Turnover %
14.2%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.36
28.6%
3-point %
21.1%
62.7%
Assist %
57.0%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence83.1 · 85.0Defence85.5 · 79.2Shooting49.5% · 46.4%3-point %28.6% · 21.1%Ball care20.2% · 14.2%Free throws0.31 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)20% · 80%
■ Liberecko   ■ Valecnici Decin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Liberecko wins
3
Valecnici Decin wins
Libereckolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HUSK Prague B57-75
10/11/26HLitomerice64-67
06/11/26AValecnici Decin51-89
23/10/26ASokol Prazsky98-76
04/10/26HJindrichuv Hradec48-86
27/09/26APolabi72-88
18/09/26HRadotin81-77
29/03/26HNovy Jicin86-96
27/03/26ANovy Jicin78-79
20/03/26ASvitavy78-101
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/11/26HLiberecko89-51
23/10/26ALitomerice88-78
16/10/26HSokol Prazsky97-90
02/10/26HSlavia Prague Tygri79-71
27/09/26AJindrichuv Hradec68-64 OT
18/09/26HPolabi84-75
11/04/26HZlin80-86
08/04/26AZlin78-93
29/03/26HPardubice 285-65
27/03/26APardubice 294-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Liberecko
1. Liga 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL29%
HomeWLLL25%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %29%25%33%
Points / game67.362.573.7
Allowed / game79.776.284.3
Point differential-12.4-13.8-10.7
Avg total147.0138.8158.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Valecnici Decin
1. Liga 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game84.287.278.0
Allowed / game71.571.871.0
Point differential+12.7+15.5+7.0
Avg total155.7159.0149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%25%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %17%0%50%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Valecnici Decin660100%84.271.5+12.7
2 Novy Jicin98189%86.673.4+13.1
3 Jindrichuv Hradec87188%84.670.0+14.6
4 Zlin97278%87.867.9+19.9
5 Svitavy97278%91.484.1+7.3
6 USK Prague B86275%80.173.9+6.2
7 Brno U2384450%85.180.2+4.9
8 CZ.ACADEMY63350%80.278.2+2.0
9 Sokol Prazsky84450%84.986.0-1.1
10 Vysoka84450%72.173.6-1.5
11 SK Zabovresky94544%72.278.6-6.3
12 Litomerice73443%78.781.4-2.7
13 Pardubice 283538%75.180.0-4.9
14 Opava 293633%73.877.3-3.6
15 Liberecko72529%67.379.7-12.4
16 Polabi82625%82.884.4-1.6
17 Slavia Prague Tygri82625%79.081.9-2.9
18 Radotin82625%73.186.1-13.0
19 MS Academy92722%75.686.3-10.8
20 Basketbal Olomouc81712%65.986.5-20.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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