Libertad vs Penarol Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 23 Jan 2016

Tip-off: 23:30

Final 87-68

27-17 11-27 20-10 29-14

Position#6

Record17-13

FormLLWWL

Points / game81.6

Allowed / game78.4

Libertad 🏆

Penarol

Position#4

Record16-12

FormWLWLW

Points / game81.7

Allowed / game81.0

Liga A

Other2015-16

Meetings · Libertad v Penarol

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Libertad winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Penarol winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Libertad

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Lanus

#13

64-81

-17

A11/12

Liga A

Boca Juniors

#18

69-85

-16

A13/12

Liga A

Argentino

#16

83-67

+16

H17/12

Liga A

Estudiantes

#11

95-70

+25

H19/12

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

73-89

-16

H23/12

Super 4

La Union

76-91

-15

A07/01

Liga A

San Martin

#10

88-96

-8

A09/01

Liga A

Regatas

101-89

101

+12

A11/01

Liga A

Gimnasia

87-82

H14/01

Liga A

San Lorenzo

79-91

-12

H16/01

Liga A

16-20

16-18

22-18

10-25

20-18

20-17

19-30

10-20

19-9

16-22

23-17

25-19

21-11

18-18

28-18

28-23

24-12

19-21

16-31

14-25

15-18

19-23

24-32

18-18

20-23

23-23

28-20

17-30

25-17

28-22

26-20

22-30

25-13

21-20

20-19

21-30

19-20

24-21

15-25

21-25

165.6Avg total

81.5Scored

84.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (30)	81.6	78.4	160.1	+3.2	57%
Season at home (15)	86.7	74.6	161.3	+12.1	80%
Season away (15)	76.6	82.3	158.9	-5.7	33%
Last 10 (10)	81.5	84.1	165.6	-2.6	40%
Last 5 (5)	86.2	89.8	176.0	-3.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	87.0	82.0	169.0	+5.0	100%
vs Similar ◀ (23)	80.3	80.5	160.8	-0.2	43%
vs Weaker (5)	85.0	72.2	157.2	+12.8	100%

This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Penarol

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Weber Bahia

67-63

H07/12

Liga A

San Lorenzo

93-78

+15

H10/12

Liga A

Lanus

#13

81-89

-8

A13/12

Liga A

Boca Juniors

#18

79-96

-17

A14/12

Liga A

San Lorenzo

75-100

100

-25

A17/12

Liga A

Instituto de Cordoba

#19

89-66

+23

H13/01

Liga A

La Union

90-98

-8

H15/01

Liga A

Argentino

#16

95-74

+21

H17/01

Liga A

Estudiantes

#11

81-85

-4

A20/01

Liga A

Sionista

#20

82-73

A22/01

Liga A

20-13

16-21

12-13

19-16

28-18

21-19

23-14

21-27

20-21

22-25

15-18

24-25

19-20

21-19

23-24

16-33

19-16

17-27

23-28

16-29

16-14

22-15

31-11

20-26

27-26

23-17

14-32

26-23

30-15

27-11

17-22

21-26

15-17

30-23

18-25

18-20

26-16

21-13

22-18

13-26

165.4Avg total

83.2Scored

82.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (28)	81.7	81.0	162.8	+0.7	57%
Season at home (14)	85.1	78.3	163.4	+6.9	79%
Season away (14)	78.3	83.8	162.1	-5.5	36%
Last 10 (10)	83.2	82.2	165.4	+1.0	50%
Last 5 (5)	87.4	79.2	166.6	+8.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	79.5	88.5	168.0	-9.0	0%
vs Similar ◀ (26)	81.3	80.7	162.0	+0.7	58%
vs Weaker (2)	81.5	79.0	160.5	+2.5	50%

This opponent (Libertad) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

LibertadPenarol

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	17.3	36.4	+1.8	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.9	16.2	37.1	+4.7	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.3	18.5	35.7	-1.2	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	16.1	36.5	+4.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	18.2	39.0	+2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	25.0	13.0	38.0	+12.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (23)	18.3	17.9	36.2	+0.4	43%	-
vs Weaker (5)	20.6	16.6	37.2	+4.0	100%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	18.6	39.9	+2.6	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.6	18.8	41.3	+3.8	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.7	18.5	38.2	+1.2	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	17.6	39.6	+4.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	17.6	40.4	+5.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	20.0	24.0	44.0	-4.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (26)	21.4	18.4	39.8	+3.0	62%	-
vs Weaker (2)	20.5	16.5	37.0	+4.0	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	18.8	39.3	+1.7	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.8	18.2	40.0	+3.6	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.1	19.4	38.5	-0.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	20.5	40.9	-0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	21.8	44.8	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	21.0	20.0	41.0	+1.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (23)	20.3	19.1	39.4	+1.2	57%	-
vs Weaker (5)	21.4	16.6	38.0	+4.8	60%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	20.3	39.6	-1.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.1	19.1	38.2	+0.0	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.4	21.6	41.1	-2.2	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	19.0	41.0	+3.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.6	15.8	40.4	+8.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	14.0	27.5	41.5	-13.5	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (26)	19.2	19.9	39.1	-0.7	42%	-
vs Weaker (2)	25.5	18.0	43.5	+7.5	100%	-

LibertadLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Lanus

#13

32-38

-6

A11/12

Liga A

Boca Juniors

#18

40-35

A13/12

Liga A

Argentino

#16

35-31

H17/12

Liga A

Estudiantes

#11

39-29

+10

H19/12

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

43-33

+10

H23/12

Super 4

La Union

34-41

-7

A07/01

Liga A

San Martin

#10

43-46

-3

A09/01

Liga A

Regatas

53-39

+14

A11/01

Liga A

Gimnasia

46-33

+13

H14/01

Liga A

San Lorenzo

43-41

H16/01

Liga A

77.4Avg total

40.8Scored

36.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.6	36.1	75.7	+3.4	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.7	34.4	77.1	+8.3	93%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.4	37.9	74.3	-1.5	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.8	36.6	77.4	+4.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.8	40.0	83.8	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	46.0	33.0	79.0	+13.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (23)	38.6	37.0	75.7	+1.6	65%	-
vs Weaker (5)	42.0	33.2	75.2	+8.8	80%	-

This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Weber Bahia

36-34

H07/12

Liga A

San Lorenzo

49-37

+12

H10/12

Liga A

Lanus

#13

42-46

-4

A13/12

Liga A

Boca Juniors

#18

40-39

A14/12

Liga A

San Lorenzo

36-43

-7

A17/12

Liga A

Instituto de Cordoba

#19

38-29

H13/01

Liga A

La Union

50-43

H15/01

Liga A

Argentino

#16

57-26

+31

H17/01

Liga A

Estudiantes

#11

45-40

A20/01

Liga A

Sionista

#20

47-29

+18

A22/01

Liga A

80.6Avg total

44.0Scored

36.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.5	38.9	79.4	+1.6	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.7	37.9	79.6	+3.8	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.1	40.1	79.3	-1.0	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.0	36.6	80.6	+7.4	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.4	33.4	80.8	+14.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	34.0	51.5	85.5	-17.5	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (26)	40.6	38.3	78.9	+2.3	58%	-
vs Weaker (2)	46.0	34.5	80.5	+11.5	100%	-

This opponent (Libertad) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.1	19.4	41.5	+2.7	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.6	18.0	40.6	+4.6	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.6	20.7	42.3	+0.9	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.1	23.0	45.1	-0.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	23.2	45.8	-0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	20.0	19.0	39.0	+1.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (23)	21.7	19.5	41.3	+2.2	61%	-
vs Weaker (5)	25.4	16.4	41.8	+9.0	100%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	18.7	37.9	+0.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.6	17.1	37.7	+3.4	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.6	20.4	38.1	-2.8	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	20.5	40.3	-0.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	21.6	42.0	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	16.5	15.0	31.5	+1.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (26)	19.3	18.7	38.1	+0.6	42%	-
vs Weaker (2)	20.0	21.5	41.5	-1.5	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	23.7	42.8	-4.5	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.7	23.7	43.4	-3.9	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.6	23.7	42.3	-5.1	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	24.5	43.1	-5.9	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	26.6	46.4	-6.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	21.0	30.0	51.0	-9.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (23)	19.7	23.6	43.2	-3.9	30%	-
vs Weaker (5)	17.6	22.6	40.2	-5.0	40%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	23.0	43.9	-2.2	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.2	22.9	43.1	-2.6	25%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.5	23.2	44.7	-1.7	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	25.1	44.5	-5.7	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	24.2	43.8	-4.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	29.0	22.0	51.0	+7.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (26)	20.6	23.1	43.7	-2.5	35%	-
vs Weaker (2)	15.5	23.0	38.5	-7.5	0%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.3	43.0	84.3	-1.8	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.3	41.7	84.0	+0.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.2	44.4	84.6	-4.2	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.7	47.5	88.2	-6.8	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.4	49.8	92.2	-7.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	41.0	49.0	90.0	-8.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (23)	41.4	43.1	84.5	-1.7	43%	-
vs Weaker (5)	43.0	39.0	82.0	+4.0	60%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.0	41.7	81.7	-1.7	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.8	40.0	80.8	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.1	43.6	82.8	-4.5	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.2	45.6	84.8	-6.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.0	45.8	85.8	-5.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	45.5	37.0	82.5	+8.5	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (26)	40.0	41.8	81.8	-1.9	38%	-
vs Weaker (2)	35.5	44.5	80.0	-9.0	0%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Libertad wins

Penarol wins

Date	Game	Score
04/04/15	Libertad v Penarol	88-84
06/03/15	Penarol v Libertad	117-108 OT
10/03/14	Penarol v Libertad	108-84
11/01/14	Libertad v Penarol	88-92
20/12/13	Penarol v Libertad	82-77
06/02/13	Penarol v Libertad	87-71
28/01/13	Libertad v Penarol	65-76
21/11/12	Libertad v Penarol	80-78
05/05/12	Libertad v Penarol	85-88
03/05/12	Libertad v Penarol	76-90

Libertadlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
16/01/16	H	San Lorenzo	79-91
14/01/16	H	Gimnasia	87-82
11/01/16	A	Regatas	101-89
09/01/16	A	San Martin	88-96
07/01/16	A	La Union	76-91
23/12/15	H	Obras Sanitarias	73-89
19/12/15	H	Estudiantes	95-70
17/12/15	H	Argentino	83-67
13/12/15	A	Boca Juniors	69-85
11/12/15	A	Lanus	64-81

Penarollast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
22/01/16	A	Sionista	82-73
20/01/16	A	Estudiantes	81-85
17/01/16	H	Argentino	95-74
15/01/16	H	La Union	90-98
13/01/16	H	Instituto de Cordoba	89-66
17/12/15	A	San Lorenzo	75-100
14/12/15	A	Boca Juniors	79-96
13/12/15	A	Lanus	81-89
10/12/15	H	San Lorenzo	93-78
07/12/15	H	Weber Bahia	67-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Libertad

Liga A 2015-16

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWL	57%
Home	LWWWL	80%
Away	LLLLW	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	30	15	15
Win %	57%	80%	33%
Points / game	81.6	86.7	76.6
Allowed / game	78.4	74.6	82.3
Point differential	+3.2	+12.1	-5.7
Avg total	160.1	161.3	158.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	37%	53%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	83% (6)	75% (4)	100% (2)
Overtime %	3%	7%	0%

Penarol

Liga A 2015-16

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLW	57%
Home	WWWLW	79%
Away	LLLLW	36%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	28	14	14
Win %	57%	79%	36%
Points / game	81.7	85.1	78.3
Allowed / game	81.0	78.3	83.8
Point differential	+0.7	+6.9	-5.5
Avg total	162.8	163.4	162.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	25%	43%	7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (6)	100% (2)	50% (4)
Overtime %	7%	14%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Olimpico	28	21	7	75%	82.7	76.9	+5.9
2	Obras Sanitarias	27	18	9	67%	86.2	83.2	+3.0
3	Gimnasia	29	18	11	62%	83.3	76.6	+6.8
4	San Lorenzo	30	18	12	60%	85.6	80.5	+5.1
5	Regatas	26	15	11	58%	81.1	78.5	+2.6
6	Penarol	28	16	12	57%	81.7	81.0	+0.7
7	Libertad	30	17	13	57%	81.6	78.4	+3.2
8	La Union	29	16	13	55%	81.4	79.8	+1.6
9	San Martin	27	14	13	52%	88.0	84.4	+3.7
10	Quimsa	27	14	13	52%	80.3	77.9	+2.4
11	Boca Juniors	28	14	14	50%	80.1	79.8	+0.2
12	Estudiantes	27	13	14	48%	74.0	81.8	-7.8
13	Weber Bahia	28	13	15	46%	74.8	79.4	-4.6
14	Lanus	28	12	16	43%	79.6	80.9	-1.3
15	Ferro	28	12	16	43%	75.9	78.8	-3.0
16	Instituto de Cordoba	30	12	18	40%	75.4	76.5	-1.1
17	Sionista	27	10	17	37%	77.6	82.0	-4.3
18	Quilmes	29	10	19	34%	78.3	82.1	-3.8
19	Atenas	30	10	20	33%	75.7	79.9	-4.2
20	Argentino	28	9	19	32%	76.8	82.2	-5.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Libertad	27	11	20	29	87
Penarol	17	27	10	14	68

← all games of the day

Libertad vs Penarol Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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