Libertad vs Weber Bahia Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Mar 2015

Tip-off: 00:00

Final 79-75

26-20 11-9 23-21 19-25

Position#15

Record13-24

FormWLLLL

Points / game79.7

Allowed / game82.8

Libertad 🏆

Weber Bahia

Position#10

Record16-23

FormLLWWW

Points / game75.7

Allowed / game79.6

Liga A

Other2014-15

Meetings · Libertad v Weber Bahia

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Libertad winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Weber Bahia winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Libertad

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Atenas

82-79

H04/02

Liga A

Ciclista

#18

68-80

-12

A08/02

Liga A

Argentino

86-91

-5

A10/02

Liga A

Argentino

77-72

H19/02

Liga A

Gimnasia

84-92

-8

H23/02

Liga A

San Martin

88-85

H28/02

Liga A

Quilmes

89-99

-10

A04/03

Liga A

Penarol

108-117 OT

108

117

-9

A06/03

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#10

69-71

-2

A08/03

Liga A

Estudiantes

#12

74-82

-8

H18/03

Liga A

24-26

15-12

22-18

21-23

15-22

16-10

18-24

19-24

20-23

25-15

17-22

24-31

19-12

19-25

15-18

24-17

15-22

22-19

21-28

26-23

21-18

20-20

24-21

23-26

20-27

25-27

22-23

22-22

22-23

11-24

25-29

39-21

19-25

16-12

15-13

19-21

8-19

15-19

27-20

24-24

169.3Avg total

82.5Scored

86.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (37)	79.7	82.8	162.5	-3.1	35%
Season at home (17)	82.1	78.5	160.6	+3.6	59%
Season away (20)	77.7	86.4	164.1	-8.8	15%
Last 10 (10)	82.5	86.8	169.3	-4.3	30%
Last 5 (5)	85.6	90.8	176.4	-5.2	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	82.5	89.1	171.6	-6.6	20%
vs Similar ◀ (18)	78.6	82.1	160.6	-3.5	33%
vs Weaker (2)	89.0	79.0	168.0	+10.0	50%

This opponent (Weber Bahia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Weber Bahia Argentina

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Regatas

78-80

-2

A16/02

Liga A

San Martin

76-70

A18/02

Liga A

La Union

#11

67-93

-26

A20/02

Liga A

Penarol

74-81

-7

H24/02

Liga A

Quimsa

63-83

-20

A01/03

Liga A

Olimpico

#13

80-83

-3

A03/03

Liga A

Atenas

65-71

-6

A05/03

Liga A

Libertad

#15

71-69

H08/03

Liga A

Lanus

#17

95-91

H11/03

Liga A

Ciclista

#18

88-59

+29

H17/03

Liga A

15-29

24-9

12-21

27-21

13-22

16-19

27-17

20-12

17-21

15-28

16-26

19-18

10-17

21-16

23-27

20-21

19-26

22-14

10-23

12-20

16-21

24-19

19-21

21-22

25-18

13-21

22-16

5-16

25-19

12-16

13-15

21-19

22-13

21-17

20-28

32-33

25-12

20-9

22-15

21-23

153.7Avg total

75.7Scored

78.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (39)	75.7	79.6	155.3	-3.9	41%
Season at home (19)	80.7	77.2	157.9	+3.5	68%
Season away (20)	71.0	81.9	152.9	-10.9	15%
Last 10 (10)	75.7	78.0	153.7	-2.3	40%
Last 5 (5)	79.8	74.6	154.4	+5.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	68.0	78.7	146.7	-10.7	22%
vs Similar ◀ (16)	75.1	78.9	154.0	-3.8	38%
vs Weaker (5)	84.8	82.6	167.4	+2.2	60%

This opponent (Libertad) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

LibertadWeber Bahia

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	20.9	39.5	-2.3	30%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	19.2	19.5	38.7	-0.3	50%	-
Last 30 away (18)	18.2	21.9	40.1	-3.7	17%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	21.7	40.0	-3.4	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	22.4	40.4	-4.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	17.5	20.4	37.9	-2.9	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	18.9	21.5	40.4	-2.6	33%	-
vs Weaker (2)	21.0	18.5	39.5	+2.5	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.2	19.2	36.4	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	18.7	15.3	34.0	+3.4	69%	-
Last 30 away (17)	16.1	22.2	38.3	-6.1	18%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	19.8	38.5	-1.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	16.6	39.2	+6.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	16.1	21.9	38.0	-5.8	22%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	16.8	18.1	34.9	-1.2	44%	-
vs Weaker (5)	20.6	18.0	38.6	+2.6	60%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.8	19.2	37.1	-1.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	19.4	18.7	38.1	+0.8	58%	-
Last 30 away (18)	16.8	19.6	36.4	-2.8	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	18.3	36.7	+0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	20.4	37.8	-3.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	17.4	19.6	37.0	-2.2	60%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	17.8	19.9	37.7	-2.2	28%	-
vs Weaker (2)	20.5	11.0	31.5	+9.5	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.3	17.7	36.0	+0.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	18.8	18.4	37.2	+0.5	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	17.9	17.2	35.1	+0.6	59%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	16.8	35.6	+2.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	16.4	34.4	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	19.6	16.0	35.6	+3.6	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	17.6	18.9	36.5	-1.2	44%	-
vs Weaker (5)	18.2	17.2	35.4	+1.0	60%	-

LibertadLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Atenas

39-38

H04/02

Liga A

Ciclista

#18

31-32

-1

A08/02

Liga A

Argentino

45-38

A10/02

Liga A

Argentino

38-37

H19/02

Liga A

Gimnasia

37-41

-4

H23/02

Liga A

San Martin

41-38

H28/02

Liga A

Quilmes

45-54

-9

A04/03

Liga A

Penarol

33-47

-14

A06/03

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#10

35-37

-2

A08/03

Liga A

Estudiantes

#12

23-38

-15

H18/03

Liga A

76.7Avg total

36.7Scored

40.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.4	40.2	76.6	-3.7	27%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	38.6	38.2	76.8	+0.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (18)	35.0	41.5	76.5	-6.5	11%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.7	40.0	76.7	-3.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.4	42.8	78.2	-7.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	34.9	40.0	74.9	-5.1	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	36.7	41.4	78.2	-4.7	28%	-
vs Weaker (2)	41.5	29.5	71.0	+12.0	50%	-

This opponent (Weber Bahia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Weber BahiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Regatas

39-38

A16/02

Liga A

San Martin

29-41

-12

A18/02

Liga A

La Union

#11

32-49

-17

A20/02

Liga A

Penarol

31-33

-2

H24/02

Liga A

Quimsa

41-40

A01/03

Liga A

Olimpico

#13

40-40

A03/03

Liga A

Atenas

38-39

-1

A05/03

Liga A

Libertad

#15

37-35

H08/03

Liga A

Lanus

#17

43-30

+13

H11/03

Liga A

Ciclista

#18

45-21

+24

H17/03

Liga A

74.1Avg total

37.5Scored

36.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.5	36.9	72.5	-1.4	37%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	37.5	33.7	71.2	+3.8	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	34.0	39.4	73.4	-5.4	18%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.5	36.6	74.1	+0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.6	33.0	73.6	+7.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	35.7	37.9	73.6	-2.2	44%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	34.4	36.9	71.4	-2.5	31%	-
vs Weaker (5)	38.8	35.2	74.0	+3.6	40%	-

This opponent (Libertad) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.8	21.6	43.4	+0.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	23.2	19.1	42.3	+4.2	83%	-
Last 30 away (18)	20.8	23.2	44.1	-2.4	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	21.6	42.2	-1.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	21.2	43.8	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	24.1	24.8	48.9	-0.7	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	20.4	19.8	40.2	+0.6	56%	-
vs Weaker (2)	23.0	21.5	44.5	+1.5	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	20.2	39.4	-0.9	47%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.9	19.0	38.9	+0.9	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	18.8	21.1	39.8	-2.3	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	20.9	39.3	-2.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	19.0	38.2	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	16.8	19.4	36.2	-2.7	44%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	19.8	20.6	40.4	-0.9	44%	-
vs Weaker (5)	22.2	20.0	42.2	+2.2	60%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	21.6	43.3	+0.1	40%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	22.9	22.1	45.0	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (18)	20.9	21.3	42.2	-0.4	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.1	23.2	47.3	+0.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.4	22.8	48.2	+2.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	22.4	22.3	44.7	+0.1	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	21.0	20.5	41.5	+0.5	44%	-
vs Weaker (2)	24.5	28.0	52.5	-3.5	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	20.7	39.3	-2.1	37%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.6	21.8	42.4	-1.2	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	17.1	19.8	36.9	-2.8	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	20.5	40.3	-0.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	22.6	42.6	-2.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	15.6	21.3	36.9	-5.8	22%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	19.3	19.1	38.4	+0.2	56%	-
vs Weaker (5)	21.8	24.6	46.4	-2.8	0%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.5	43.2	86.7	+0.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	46.2	41.2	87.3	+5.0	75%	-
Last 30 away (18)	41.7	44.5	86.2	-2.8	28%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.7	44.8	89.5	-0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	48.0	44.0	92.0	+4.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	46.5	47.1	93.6	-0.6	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	41.4	40.3	81.7	+1.1	50%	-
vs Weaker (2)	47.5	49.5	97.0	-2.0	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.9	40.8	78.7	-3.0	37%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	40.5	40.8	81.3	-0.2	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	35.8	40.9	76.7	-5.1	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.2	41.4	79.6	-3.2	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.2	41.6	80.8	-2.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	32.3	40.8	73.1	-8.4	22%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	39.1	39.7	78.8	-0.6	38%	-
vs Weaker (5)	44.0	44.6	88.6	-0.6	60%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Libertad wins

Weber Bahia wins

Date	Game	Score
08/03/15	Weber Bahia v Libertad	71-69
10/02/14	Weber Bahia v Libertad	92-85
03/02/14	Libertad v Weber Bahia	81-73
31/01/13	Weber Bahia v Libertad	86-84
26/01/13	Libertad v Weber Bahia	87-83
20/02/12	Libertad v Weber Bahia	81-71
11/12/11	Weber Bahia v Libertad	76-82
08/03/11	Libertad v Weber Bahia	83-68
15/01/11	Weber Bahia v Libertad	56-71

Libertadlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
18/03/15	H	Estudiantes	74-82
08/03/15	A	Weber Bahia	69-71
06/03/15	A	Penarol	108-117 OT
04/03/15	A	Quilmes	89-99
28/02/15	H	San Martin	88-85
23/02/15	H	Gimnasia	84-92
19/02/15	H	Argentino	77-72
10/02/15	A	Argentino	86-91
08/02/15	A	Ciclista	68-80
04/02/15	H	Atenas	82-79

Weber Bahialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
17/03/15	H	Ciclista	88-59
11/03/15	H	Lanus	95-91
08/03/15	H	Libertad	71-69
05/03/15	A	Atenas	65-71
03/03/15	A	Olimpico	80-83
01/03/15	A	Quimsa	63-83
24/02/15	H	Penarol	74-81
20/02/15	A	La Union	67-93
18/02/15	A	San Martin	76-70
16/02/15	A	Regatas	78-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Libertad

Liga A 2014-15

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLL	35%
Home	WWLWL	59%
Away	LLLLL	15%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	37	17	20
Win %	35%	59%	15%
Points / game	79.7	82.1	77.7
Allowed / game	82.8	78.5	86.4
Point differential	-3.1	+3.6	-8.8
Avg total	162.5	160.6	164.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	11%	24%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	47% (15)	57% (7)	38% (8)
Overtime %	5%	0%	10%

Weber Bahia

Liga A 2014-15

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWW	41%
Home	WLWWW	68%
Away	WLLLL	15%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	39	19	20
Win %	41%	68%	15%
Points / game	75.7	80.7	71.0
Allowed / game	79.6	77.2	81.9
Point differential	-3.9	+3.5	-10.9
Avg total	155.3	157.9	152.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	8%	16%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	42% (12)	67% (6)	17% (6)
Overtime %	10%	16%	5%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Quimsa	39	33	6	85%	83.6	71.9	+11.8
2	Obras Sanitarias	41	29	12	71%	81.1	74.1	+7.0
3	Penarol	34	23	11	68%	81.5	75.8	+5.7
4	Regatas	40	26	14	65%	81.1	74.7	+6.5
5	Gimnasia	38	24	14	63%	79.2	73.6	+5.6
6	Quilmes	38	22	16	58%	77.8	78.1	-0.3
7	San Martin	40	22	18	55%	77.7	79.0	-1.4
8	Argentino	36	19	17	53%	78.6	79.4	-0.8
9	Atenas	41	21	20	51%	77.3	77.3	+0.0
10	Olimpico	41	19	22	46%	79.6	81.4	-1.8
11	Weber Bahia	39	16	23	41%	75.7	79.6	-3.9
12	Boca Juniors	40	16	24	40%	77.3	78.7	-1.3
13	Estudiantes	41	16	25	39%	74.1	76.3	-2.2
14	Lanus	38	14	24	37%	79.8	83.2	-3.4
15	Sionista	39	14	25	36%	72.4	76.3	-3.8
16	Libertad	37	13	24	35%	79.7	82.8	-3.1
17	La Union	37	13	24	35%	79.6	84.4	-4.8
18	Ciclista	39	9	30	23%	73.0	82.7	-9.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Libertad	26	11	23	19	79
Weber Bahia	20	9	21	25	75

← all games of the day

Libertad vs Weber Bahia Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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