Quilmes vs Libertad Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 04 Mar 2015

Tip-off: 00:00

Final 99-89

27-20 27-25 23-22 22-22

Position#8

Record20-15

FormLLWLW

Points / game76.5

Allowed / game77.1

Quilmes 🏆

Libertad

Position#15

Record13-20

FormLLWLW

Points / game79.1

Allowed / game81.6

Liga A

Other2014-15

Meetings · Quilmes v Libertad

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Quilmes winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Libertad winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Quilmes

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ciclista

#18

94-72

+22

H26/01

Liga A

Argentino

74-81

-7

H29/01

Liga A

Quimsa

78-86 OT

-8

A01/02

Liga A

Olimpico

#13

58-73

-15

A03/02

Liga A

Olimpico

#13

87-85

H10/02

Liga A

Quimsa

72-97

-25

H13/02

Liga A

Gimnasia

79-84

-5

A16/02

Liga A

Boca Juniors

#14

81-71

+10

A17/02

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

68-89

-21

A20/02

Liga A

Lanus

#17

93-86

A22/02

Liga A

24-26

25-13

18-13

27-20

23-18

18-22

12-24

21-17

16-21

20-19

25-15

10-16

13-17

12-18

14-25

19-13

25-17

21-22

21-26

20-20

16-20

14-19

27-29

15-29

21-19

16-23

19-18

23-24

20-28

22-11

18-18

21-14

14-12

17-18

15-35

22-24

20-17

25-22

18-22

30-25

160.8Avg total

78.4Scored

82.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (35)	76.5	77.1	153.7	-0.6	57%
Season at home (17)	80.6	76.5	157.1	+4.2	76%
Season away (18)	72.7	77.7	150.4	-5.1	39%
Last 10 (10)	78.4	82.4	160.8	-4.0	40%
Last 5 (5)	78.6	85.4	164.0	-6.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	74.6	81.1	155.7	-6.5	40%
vs Similar ◀ (15)	74.0	76.0	150.0	-2.0	53%
vs Weaker (5)	85.2	75.0	160.2	+10.2	80%

This opponent (Libertad) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Libertad

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Boca Juniors

#14

76-84

-8

A14/01

Liga A

Gimnasia

78-84

-6

A17/01

Liga A

Ciclista

#18

110-78

110

+32

H20/01

Liga A

Olimpico

#13

96-77

+19

H29/01

Liga A

Atenas

82-79

H04/02

Liga A

Ciclista

#18

68-80

-12

A08/02

Liga A

Argentino

86-91

-5

A10/02

Liga A

Argentino

77-72

H19/02

Liga A

Gimnasia

84-92

-8

H23/02

Liga A

San Martin

88-85

H28/02

Liga A

24-20

18-23

17-16

17-25

14-10

14-24

27-34

23-16

27-15

25-12

28-19

30-32

27-21

19-26

26-16

24-14

24-26

15-12

22-18

21-23

15-22

16-10

18-24

19-24

20-23

25-15

17-22

24-31

19-12

19-25

15-18

24-17

15-22

22-19

21-28

26-23

21-18

20-20

24-21

23-26

166.7Avg total

84.5Scored

82.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (33)	79.1	81.6	160.7	-2.6	39%
Season at home (16)	82.6	78.3	160.9	+4.3	62%
Season away (17)	75.7	84.8	160.5	-9.1	18%
Last 10 (10)	84.5	82.2	166.7	+2.3	50%
Last 5 (5)	80.6	84.0	164.6	-3.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	79.8	86.9	166.7	-7.1	27%
vs Similar ◀ (17)	77.7	80.2	157.9	-2.5	41%
vs Weaker (2)	89.0	79.0	168.0	+10.0	50%

This opponent (Quilmes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

QuilmesLibertad

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.2	17.8	35.9	+0.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.9	16.5	36.5	+3.4	69%	-
Last 30 away (17)	16.8	18.7	35.5	-1.9	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	19.5	38.7	-0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	19.2	37.4	-1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	17.1	17.6	34.7	-0.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	18.5	17.1	35.6	+1.3	47%	-
vs Weaker (5)	19.4	20.0	39.4	-0.6	40%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	20.1	38.8	-1.5	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.2	18.9	38.1	+0.3	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.1	21.2	39.3	-3.1	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	18.9	39.5	+1.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	19.4	37.4	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	17.7	20.1	37.8	-2.4	27%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	18.9	20.4	39.3	-1.4	41%	-
vs Weaker (2)	21.0	18.5	39.5	+2.5	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.3	18.7	36.0	-1.4	37%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	18.5	18.8	37.3	-0.4	38%	-
Last 30 away (17)	16.5	18.6	35.1	-2.1	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	18.7	37.7	+0.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	18.6	37.4	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	16.8	19.6	36.4	-2.8	30%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	16.1	19.1	35.2	-2.9	27%	-
vs Weaker (5)	22.0	15.8	37.8	+6.2	80%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.8	19.1	36.9	-1.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.1	18.9	37.9	+0.2	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	16.7	19.2	35.9	-2.6	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	18.6	37.9	+0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	17.8	38.2	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	17.5	19.8	37.3	-2.4	55%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	17.7	19.5	37.2	-1.8	29%	-
vs Weaker (2)	20.5	11.0	31.5	+9.5	100%	-

QuilmesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ciclista

#18

49-39

+10

H26/01

Liga A

Argentino

41-40

H29/01

Liga A

Quimsa

36-40

-4

A01/02

Liga A

Olimpico

#13

25-35

-10

A03/02

Liga A

Olimpico

#13

46-39

H10/02

Liga A

Quimsa

30-39

-9

H13/02

Liga A

Gimnasia

37-42

-5

A16/02

Liga A

Boca Juniors

#14

42-39

A17/02

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

31-30

A20/02

Liga A

Lanus

#17

45-39

A22/02

Liga A

76.4Avg total

38.2Scored

38.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.5	36.5	72.0	-1.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	38.4	35.4	73.8	+3.0	69%	-
Last 30 away (17)	33.3	37.3	70.6	-4.0	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.2	38.2	76.4	+0.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.0	37.8	74.8	-0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	33.9	37.2	71.1	-3.3	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	34.6	36.2	70.8	-1.6	47%	-
vs Weaker (5)	41.4	35.8	77.2	+5.6	80%	-

This opponent (Libertad) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

LibertadLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Boca Juniors

#14

42-43

-1

A14/01

Liga A

Gimnasia

28-34

-6

A17/01

Liga A

Ciclista

#18

52-27

+25

H20/01

Liga A

Olimpico

#13

46-47

-1

H29/01

Liga A

Atenas

39-38

H04/02

Liga A

Ciclista

#18

31-32

-1

A08/02

Liga A

Argentino

45-38

A10/02

Liga A

Argentino

38-37

H19/02

Liga A

Gimnasia

37-41

-4

H23/02

Liga A

San Martin

41-38

H28/02

Liga A

77.4Avg total

39.9Scored

37.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.4	39.2	75.6	-2.8	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.3	37.8	76.1	+0.5	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	34.8	40.4	75.2	-5.6	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.9	37.5	77.4	+2.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.4	37.2	75.6	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	35.2	39.9	75.1	-4.7	27%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	36.6	39.9	76.5	-3.2	35%	-
vs Weaker (2)	41.5	29.5	71.0	+12.0	50%	-

This opponent (Quilmes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	20.0	39.5	-0.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.5	21.4	40.9	-1.8	38%	-
Last 30 away (17)	19.5	18.9	38.4	+0.5	65%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	22.5	41.2	-3.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	24.4	43.8	-5.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	20.2	20.8	41.0	-0.6	60%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	18.7	19.7	38.4	-1.1	40%	-
vs Weaker (5)	20.6	19.2	39.8	+1.4	80%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	21.5	43.0	+0.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.1	19.4	41.5	+2.8	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.0	23.4	44.4	-2.4	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	21.6	43.1	-0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	22.6	41.6	-3.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	23.9	23.6	47.5	+0.3	64%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	19.8	20.1	39.9	-0.3	53%	-
vs Weaker (2)	23.0	21.5	44.5	+1.5	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	20.6	41.4	+0.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	22.2	19.5	41.7	+2.8	77%	-
Last 30 away (17)	19.8	21.4	41.2	-1.6	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	20.2	41.0	+0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	23.2	45.4	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	19.8	21.6	41.4	-1.8	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	20.7	20.1	40.8	+0.7	53%	-
vs Weaker (5)	23.2	20.0	43.2	+3.2	80%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	21.7	42.7	-0.7	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.3	22.0	44.3	+0.3	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.9	21.4	41.3	-1.6	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.1	23.1	46.2	+0.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	24.2	47.4	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	20.7	23.4	44.1	-2.6	27%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	20.8	19.9	40.6	+0.9	53%	-
vs Weaker (2)	24.5	28.0	52.5	-3.5	0%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.3	40.6	80.9	-0.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	41.8	40.8	82.6	+0.9	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	39.2	40.4	79.6	-1.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.5	42.7	82.2	-3.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.6	47.6	89.2	-6.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	40.0	42.4	82.4	-2.4	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	39.4	39.8	79.2	-0.4	40%	-
vs Weaker (5)	43.8	39.2	83.0	+4.6	80%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.5	43.2	85.7	-0.7	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	44.4	41.4	85.8	+3.1	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	40.9	44.8	85.7	-3.9	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.6	44.7	89.3	-0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.2	46.8	89.0	-4.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	44.6	47.0	91.6	-2.4	27%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	40.6	40.0	80.6	+0.6	47%	-
vs Weaker (2)	47.5	49.5	97.0	-2.0	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Quilmes wins

Libertad wins

Date	Game	Score
08/02/14	Quilmes v Libertad	72-77
01/02/14	Libertad v Quilmes	91-90
13/02/12	Quilmes v Libertad	66-73
05/12/11	Libertad v Quilmes	99-80

Quilmeslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
22/02/15	A	Lanus	93-86
20/02/15	A	Obras Sanitarias	68-89
17/02/15	A	Boca Juniors	81-71
16/02/15	A	Gimnasia	79-84
13/02/15	H	Quimsa	72-97
10/02/15	H	Olimpico	87-85
03/02/15	A	Olimpico	58-73
01/02/15	A	Quimsa	78-86 OT
29/01/15	H	Argentino	74-81
26/01/15	H	Ciclista	94-72

Libertadlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
28/02/15	H	San Martin	88-85
23/02/15	H	Gimnasia	84-92
19/02/15	H	Argentino	77-72
10/02/15	A	Argentino	86-91
08/02/15	A	Ciclista	68-80
04/02/15	H	Atenas	82-79
29/01/15	H	Olimpico	96-77
20/01/15	H	Ciclista	110-78
17/01/15	A	Gimnasia	78-84
14/01/15	A	Boca Juniors	76-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Quilmes

Liga A 2014-15

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLW	57%
Home	WWLWL	76%
Away	LLWLW	39%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	35	17	18
Win %	57%	76%	39%
Points / game	76.5	80.6	72.7
Allowed / game	77.1	76.5	77.7
Point differential	-0.6	+4.2	-5.1
Avg total	153.7	157.1	150.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	23%	35%	11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	70% (10)	86% (7)	33% (3)
Overtime %	3%	0%	6%

Libertad

Liga A 2014-15

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLW	39%
Home	WWWLW	62%
Away	LLLLL	18%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	33	16	17
Win %	39%	62%	18%
Points / game	79.1	82.6	75.7
Allowed / game	81.6	78.3	84.8
Point differential	-2.6	+4.3	-9.1
Avg total	160.7	160.9	160.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	12%	25%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (14)	57% (7)	43% (7)
Overtime %	3%	0%	6%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Quimsa	35	31	4	89%	84.0	70.6	+13.4
2	Obras Sanitarias	37	25	12	68%	81.3	74.4	+6.9
3	Penarol	31	20	11	65%	80.3	74.7	+5.5
4	Regatas	35	22	13	63%	80.3	74.7	+5.6
5	Gimnasia	35	21	14	60%	78.5	73.9	+4.5
6	Quilmes	35	20	15	57%	76.5	77.1	-0.6
7	Argentino	35	19	16	54%	78.5	78.3	+0.1
8	San Martin	35	18	17	51%	76.2	78.1	-1.9
9	Atenas	36	18	18	50%	76.2	77.5	-1.3
10	Olimpico	37	18	19	49%	79.6	80.4	-0.9
11	Boca Juniors	36	16	20	44%	77.1	78.1	-1.0
12	Libertad	33	13	20	39%	79.1	81.6	-2.6
13	Estudiantes	36	14	22	39%	73.7	75.5	-1.8
14	La Union	34	13	21	38%	79.6	83.7	-4.1
15	Sionista	35	13	22	37%	73.3	76.5	-3.1
16	Weber Bahia	35	13	22	37%	75.3	80.4	-5.2
17	Lanus	33	12	21	36%	78.5	83.1	-4.6
18	Ciclista	35	8	27	23%	72.9	82.2	-9.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Quilmes	27	27	23	22	99
Libertad	20	25	22	22	89

← all games of the day

Quilmes vs Libertad Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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