Libertad vs Weber Bahia Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 22 Mar 2016

Tip-off: 00:30

Final 86-91

18-22 21-18 22-24 25-27

Position#6

Record26-20

FormWWLWL

Points / game82.6

Allowed / game79.9

Libertad

Weber Bahia 🏆

Position#5

Record21-21

FormLWWWW

Points / game75.1

Allowed / game78.0

Liga A

Other2015-16

Meetings · Libertad v Weber Bahia

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Libertad winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Weber Bahia winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Libertad

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ferro

#15

95-77

+18

H13/02

Liga A

Weber Bahia

75-79

-4

A18/02

Liga A

Argentino

#16

83-73

+10

A20/02

Liga A

Quilmes

#17

89-101

101

-12

A26/02

Liga A

Penarol

88-101

101

-13

A28/02

Liga A

Regatas

89-80

H02/03

Liga A

Boca Juniors

#18

100-83

100

+17

H11/03

Liga A

Gimnasia

68-93

-25

A15/03

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#12

101-91

101

+10

A17/03

Liga A

San Lorenzo

71-96

-25

A19/03

Liga A

27-9

21-19

24-25

23-24

13-13

20-23

24-24

18-19

23-24

16-11

17-12

27-26

15-21

30-30

26-21

18-29

27-23

17-31

23-28

21-19

22-13

11-28

29-17

27-22

15-22

26-13

31-27

28-21

19-26

18-26

12-18

19-23

26-19

20-22

24-22

31-28

20-24

16-20

18-27

17-25

173.3Avg total

85.9Scored

87.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (46)	82.6	79.9	162.5	+2.7	57%
Season at home (22)	87.6	74.3	161.9	+13.3	86%
Season away (24)	78.1	85.0	163.1	-6.9	29%
Last 10 (10)	85.9	87.4	173.3	-1.5	50%
Last 5 (5)	85.8	88.6	174.4	-2.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	77.5	87.5	165.0	-10.0	50%
vs Similar ◀ (26)	82.9	82.8	165.7	+0.2	46%
vs Weaker (1)	95.0	70.0	165.0	+25.0	100%

This opponent (Weber Bahia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Weber Bahia Argentina

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Olimpico

64-83

-19

A06/02

Liga A

Estudiantes

#11

70-68

H10/02

Liga A

Libertad

79-75

H18/02

Liga A

San Lorenzo

69-77

-8

A27/02

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#12

80-74

A29/02

Liga A

Argentino

#16

78-85

-7

A02/03

Liga A

Lanus

#13

76-72

H08/03

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#12

79-65

+14

H10/03

Liga A

Olimpico

89-83

H13/03

Liga A

Sionista

#20

95-76

+19

H16/03

Liga A

18-14

16-19

19-26

11-24

13-21

16-13

16-19

25-15

13-13

23-20

24-24

19-18

16-18

10-15

16-20

27-24

24-14

23-19

13-22

20-19

14-27

24-22

23-17

17-19

19-21

21-13

21-11

15-27

16-18

19-21

24-16

20-10

23-20

24-9

19-25

23-29

23-18

25-17

24-21

23-20

153.7Avg total

77.9Scored

75.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (42)	75.1	78.0	153.1	-2.9	50%
Season at home (20)	78.2	75.8	154.0	+2.5	75%
Season away (22)	72.2	80.0	152.2	-7.8	27%
Last 10 (10)	77.9	75.8	153.7	+2.1	70%
Last 5 (5)	83.4	76.2	159.6	+7.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	75.1	81.9	157.0	-6.7	43%
vs Similar ◀ (23)	74.0	75.2	149.2	-1.3	52%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Libertad) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

LibertadWeber Bahia

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	17.9	37.5	+1.8	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.6	15.4	36.0	+5.2	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.7	20.3	39.1	-1.6	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	19.4	40.1	+1.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	20.8	41.2	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	22.0	19.5	41.5	+2.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (26)	19.3	18.2	37.5	+1.0	42%	-
vs Weaker (1)	21.0	11.0	32.0	+10.0	100%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.9	19.3	36.2	-2.4	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.9	20.6	38.5	-2.6	21%	-
Last 30 away (16)	15.9	18.2	34.1	-2.2	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.9	18.4	36.3	-0.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	20.8	39.8	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	16.3	19.6	35.9	-3.3	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (23)	17.0	19.2	36.3	-2.2	35%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	20.7	40.3	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.1	19.5	38.6	-0.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.3	21.8	42.1	-1.5	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	22.3	41.8	-2.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	21.8	40.0	-3.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	19.5	23.0	42.5	-3.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (26)	19.8	20.6	40.3	-0.8	42%	-
vs Weaker (1)	18.0	18.0	36.0	+0.0	0%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	17.4	36.2	+1.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.9	16.4	36.4	+3.5	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.8	18.3	36.1	-0.5	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	16.8	36.9	+3.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	16.4	39.0	+6.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	18.9	16.4	35.3	+2.4	57%	-
vs Similar ◀ (23)	18.8	17.7	36.5	+1.0	57%	-
vs Weaker	no games

LibertadLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ferro

#15

48-28

+20

H13/02

Liga A

Weber Bahia

33-36

-3

A18/02

Liga A

Argentino

#16

39-35

A20/02

Liga A

Quilmes

#17

45-51

-6

A26/02

Liga A

Penarol

44-54

-10

A28/02

Liga A

Regatas

33-41

-8

H02/03

Liga A

Boca Juniors

#18

41-35

H11/03

Liga A

Gimnasia

37-52

-15

A15/03

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#12

46-41

A17/03

Liga A

San Lorenzo

36-44

-8

A19/03

Liga A

81.9Avg total

40.2Scored

41.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.3	38.5	77.9	+0.8	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.7	34.9	74.6	+4.7	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.0	42.1	81.1	-3.1	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.2	41.7	81.9	-1.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.6	42.6	81.2	-4.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	41.5	42.5	84.0	-1.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (26)	39.0	38.8	77.8	+0.2	42%	-
vs Weaker (1)	39.0	29.0	68.0	+10.0	100%	-

This opponent (Weber Bahia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Weber BahiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Olimpico

34-33

A06/02

Liga A

Estudiantes

#11

29-34

-5

H10/02

Liga A

Libertad

36-33

H18/02

Liga A

San Lorenzo

26-33

-7

A27/02

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#12

47-33

+14

A29/02

Liga A

Argentino

#16

38-49

-11

A02/03

Liga A

Lanus

#13

40-34

H08/03

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#12

35-39

-4

H10/03

Liga A

Olimpico

47-29

+18

H13/03

Liga A

Sionista

#20

48-35

+13

H16/03

Liga A

73.2Avg total

38.0Scored

35.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.7	36.7	72.4	-1.1	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	37.9	37.0	74.9	+0.9	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	33.8	36.5	70.2	-2.8	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.0	35.2	73.2	+2.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.6	37.2	78.8	+4.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	35.1	36.0	71.1	-0.9	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (23)	35.8	37.0	72.8	-1.1	43%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Libertad) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.6	20.3	42.9	+2.4	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.4	18.4	41.8	+5.0	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.9	22.1	44.0	-0.3	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.8	22.1	44.9	+0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	22.2	45.0	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	16.0	18.5	34.5	-2.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (26)	23.2	20.1	43.3	+3.1	69%	-
vs Weaker (1)	28.0	18.0	46.0	+10.0	100%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	19.3	39.2	+0.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.4	18.6	38.9	+1.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.4	19.9	39.4	-0.5	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	20.1	40.0	-0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	18.0	40.2	+4.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	20.4	22.3	42.7	-1.9	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (23)	19.7	18.4	38.1	+1.3	57%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	23.8	44.2	-3.4	27%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.9	23.2	46.1	-0.3	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.0	24.4	42.4	-6.4	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.9	23.6	46.5	-0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.4	23.8	48.2	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	20.0	26.5	46.5	-6.5	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (26)	20.4	23.6	44.0	-3.2	27%	-
vs Weaker (1)	28.0	23.0	51.0	+5.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	20.7	39.4	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.3	20.0	39.3	-0.7	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.2	21.4	39.6	-3.2	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	20.5	40.5	-0.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	21.0	40.6	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	19.6	23.6	43.1	-4.0	43%	-
vs Similar ◀ (23)	18.4	19.9	38.3	-1.4	39%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.1	44.1	87.1	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	46.3	41.6	87.9	+4.7	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.9	46.5	86.4	-6.7	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.7	45.7	91.4	+0.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.2	46.0	93.2	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	36.0	45.0	81.0	-9.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (26)	43.6	43.7	87.3	-0.0	42%	-
vs Weaker (1)	56.0	41.0	97.0	+15.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.6	40.0	78.6	-1.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.6	38.6	78.2	+1.1	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.6	41.3	78.9	-3.7	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.9	40.6	80.5	-0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.8	39.0	80.8	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	40.0	45.9	85.9	-5.9	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (23)	38.1	38.3	76.4	-0.1	48%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Libertad wins

Weber Bahia wins

Date	Game	Score
18/02/16	Weber Bahia v Libertad	79-75
21/03/15	Libertad v Weber Bahia	79-75
08/03/15	Weber Bahia v Libertad	71-69
10/02/14	Weber Bahia v Libertad	92-85
03/02/14	Libertad v Weber Bahia	81-73
31/01/13	Weber Bahia v Libertad	86-84
26/01/13	Libertad v Weber Bahia	87-83
20/02/12	Libertad v Weber Bahia	81-71
11/12/11	Weber Bahia v Libertad	76-82
08/03/11	Libertad v Weber Bahia	83-68

Libertadlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
19/03/16	A	San Lorenzo	71-96
17/03/16	A	Obras Sanitarias	101-91
15/03/16	A	Gimnasia	68-93
11/03/16	H	Boca Juniors	100-83
02/03/16	H	Regatas	89-80
28/02/16	A	Penarol	88-101
26/02/16	A	Quilmes	89-101
20/02/16	A	Argentino	83-73
18/02/16	A	Weber Bahia	75-79
13/02/16	H	Ferro	95-77

Weber Bahialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
16/03/16	H	Sionista	95-76
13/03/16	H	Olimpico	89-83
10/03/16	H	Obras Sanitarias	79-65
08/03/16	H	Lanus	76-72
02/03/16	A	Argentino	78-85
29/02/16	A	Obras Sanitarias	80-74
27/02/16	A	San Lorenzo	69-77
18/02/16	H	Libertad	79-75
10/02/16	H	Estudiantes	70-68
06/02/16	A	Olimpico	64-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Libertad

Liga A 2015-16

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWL	57%
Home	WWWWW	86%
Away	LLLWL	29%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	46	22	24
Win %	57%	86%	29%
Points / game	82.6	87.6	78.1
Allowed / game	79.9	74.3	85.0
Point differential	+2.7	+13.3	-6.9
Avg total	162.5	161.9	163.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	39%	59%	21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	75% (8)	80% (5)	67% (3)
Overtime %	2%	5%	0%

Weber Bahia

Liga A 2015-16

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWW	50%
Home	WWWWW	75%
Away	LLLWL	27%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	42	20	22
Win %	50%	75%	27%
Points / game	75.1	78.2	72.2
Allowed / game	78.0	75.8	80.0
Point differential	-2.9	+2.5	-7.8
Avg total	153.1	154.0	152.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	19%	35%	5%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	80% (10)	100% (5)	60% (5)
Overtime %	2%	0%	5%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Olimpico	44	30	14	68%	82.7	76.6	+6.1
2	Gimnasia	43	26	17	60%	83.3	77.0	+6.3
3	Libertad	46	26	20	57%	82.6	79.9	+2.7
4	Quimsa	41	23	18	56%	81.2	78.3	+2.9
5	San Lorenzo	45	25	20	56%	84.2	80.1	+4.1
6	La Union	47	26	21	55%	80.1	78.9	+1.2
7	Penarol	44	24	20	55%	84.3	83.2	+1.1
8	San Martin	45	24	21	53%	85.6	84.0	+1.6
9	Obras Sanitarias	45	23	22	51%	84.1	84.3	-0.2
10	Weber Bahia	42	21	21	50%	75.1	78.0	-2.9
11	Instituto de Cordoba	45	22	23	49%	76.3	76.3	+0.0
12	Regatas	44	21	23	48%	79.9	79.4	+0.5
13	Estudiantes	44	21	23	48%	74.1	78.8	-4.6
14	Boca Juniors	46	21	25	46%	79.5	80.7	-1.2
15	Ferro	47	21	26	45%	77.0	79.4	-2.4
16	Quilmes	45	20	25	44%	80.1	81.4	-1.3
17	Lanus	43	18	25	42%	80.2	82.4	-2.2
18	Atenas	47	19	28	40%	76.1	79.1	-3.0
19	Argentino	41	16	25	39%	77.6	81.2	-3.6
20	Sionista	42	16	26	38%	76.8	82.2	-5.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Libertad	18	21	22	25	86
Weber Bahia	22	18	24	27	91

← all games of the day

Libertad vs Weber Bahia Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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