Libertad vs Estudiantes Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 18 Mar 2015

Tip-off: 00:00

Final 74-82

8-19 15-19 27-20 24-24

Position#15

Record13-23

FormLWLLL

Points / game79.9

Allowed / game82.8

Libertad

Estudiantes 🏆

Position#12

Record15-24

FormLLLWW

Points / game74.2

Allowed / game76.0

Liga A

Other2014-15

Meetings · Libertad v Estudiantes

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Libertad winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Estudiantes winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Libertad

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Olimpico

#13

96-77

+19

H29/01

Liga A

Atenas

82-79

H04/02

Liga A

Ciclista

#18

68-80

-12

A08/02

Liga A

Argentino

86-91

-5

A10/02

Liga A

Argentino

77-72

H19/02

Liga A

Gimnasia

84-92

-8

H23/02

Liga A

San Martin

88-85

H28/02

Liga A

Quilmes

89-99

-10

A04/03

Liga A

Penarol

108-117 OT

108

117

-9

A06/03

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#10

69-71

-2

A08/03

Liga A

27-21

19-26

26-16

24-14

24-26

15-12

22-18

21-23

15-22

16-10

18-24

19-24

20-23

25-15

17-22

24-31

19-12

19-25

15-18

24-17

15-22

22-19

21-28

26-23

21-18

20-20

24-21

23-26

20-27

25-27

22-23

22-22

22-23

11-24

25-29

39-21

19-25

16-12

15-13

19-21

171.0Avg total

84.7Scored

86.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (36)	79.9	82.8	162.7	-2.9	36%
Season at home (16)	82.6	78.3	160.9	+4.3	62%
Season away (20)	77.7	86.4	164.1	-8.8	15%
Last 10 (10)	84.7	86.3	171.0	-1.6	40%
Last 5 (5)	87.6	92.8	180.4	-5.2	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	81.9	90.0	171.9	-8.1	18%
vs Similar ◀ (17)	78.8	82.1	160.9	-3.2	35%
vs Weaker (2)	89.0	79.0	168.0	+10.0	50%

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Estudiantes Argentina

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Lanus

#17

83-92

-9

A15/02

Liga A

Gimnasia

61-80

-19

H19/02

Liga A

San Martin

81-70

+11

H24/02

Liga A

Valencia

76-81

-5

H01/03

ACB

Regatas

59-66

-7

H02/03

Liga A

Gimnasia

79-88

-9

A06/03

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

73-76

-3

A07/03

Liga A

Tenerife

#11

74-81

-7

A08/03

ACB

Boca Juniors

#14

86-84

A09/03

Liga A

Tecnyconta Zaragoza

66-61

H15/03

ACB

20-25

21-24

20-22

22-21

12-33

17-11

16-18

14-17

17-12

25-20

25-21

20-24

15-15

22-21

19-21

11-26

20-10

11-17

17-13

17-23

14-25

19-17

29-23

14-15

18-24

24-18

17-19

17-14

24-20

14-20

19-27

19-21

20-14

25-21

22-28

12-14

21-14

12-13

21-20

151.7Avg total

73.8Scored

77.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (39)	74.2	76.0	150.2	-1.9	38%
Season at home (18)	74.6	72.0	146.6	+2.6	56%
Season away (21)	73.8	79.5	153.2	-5.7	24%
Last 10 (10)	73.8	77.9	151.7	-4.1	30%
Last 5 (5)	75.6	78.0	153.6	-2.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	66.8	82.0	148.8	-15.2	0%
vs Similar ◀ (18)	75.4	76.2	151.7	-0.8	56%
vs Weaker (4)	80.5	73.0	153.5	+7.5	75%

This opponent (Libertad) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

LibertadEstudiantes

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	21.0	39.9	-2.0	30%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	20.1	19.6	39.7	+0.5	50%	-
Last 30 away (18)	18.2	21.9	40.1	-3.7	17%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	21.9	42.1	-1.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	23.0	42.4	-3.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	17.6	20.4	38.0	-2.7	18%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	19.6	21.6	41.2	-2.1	35%	-
vs Weaker (2)	21.0	18.5	39.5	+2.5	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	15.9	19.9	35.8	-4.0	30%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	16.1	18.3	34.4	-2.2	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	15.8	21.2	37.0	-5.5	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.6	21.2	36.8	-5.6	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.8	17.4	33.2	-1.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	14.1	23.1	37.2	-9.0	12%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	16.0	18.8	34.8	-2.8	28%	-
vs Weaker (4)	19.0	18.0	37.0	+1.0	75%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.7	19.5	37.3	-1.8	43%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	19.2	19.4	38.6	-0.2	58%	-
Last 30 away (18)	16.8	19.6	36.4	-2.8	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	19.0	37.8	-0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	20.4	39.2	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	16.9	20.4	37.3	-3.5	55%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	17.9	20.0	37.9	-2.1	29%	-
vs Weaker (2)	20.5	11.0	31.5	+9.5	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.3	18.0	36.3	+0.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.3	16.3	34.6	+2.0	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.4	19.5	37.9	-1.1	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	16.9	35.6	+1.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	19.4	38.8	+0.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	16.9	19.4	36.2	-2.5	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	18.8	17.6	36.3	+1.2	56%	-
vs Weaker (4)	19.2	17.2	36.5	+2.0	75%	-

LibertadLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Olimpico

#13

46-47

-1

H29/01

Liga A

Atenas

39-38

H04/02

Liga A

Ciclista

#18

31-32

-1

A08/02

Liga A

Argentino

45-38

A10/02

Liga A

Argentino

38-37

H19/02

Liga A

Gimnasia

37-41

-4

H23/02

Liga A

San Martin

41-38

H28/02

Liga A

Quilmes

45-54

-9

A04/03

Liga A

Penarol

33-47

-14

A06/03

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#10

35-37

-2

A08/03

Liga A

79.9Avg total

39.0Scored

40.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.7	40.5	77.2	-3.8	27%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	39.2	39.0	78.2	+0.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (18)	35.0	41.5	76.5	-6.5	11%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.0	40.9	79.9	-1.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.2	43.4	81.6	-5.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	34.5	40.7	75.3	-6.2	18%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	37.5	41.6	79.2	-4.1	29%	-
vs Weaker (2)	41.5	29.5	71.0	+12.0	50%	-

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Lanus

#17

41-49

-8

A15/02

Liga A

Gimnasia

29-44

-15

H19/02

Liga A

San Martin

31-29

H24/02

Liga A

Valencia

35-39

-4

H01/03

ACB

Regatas

31-36

-5

H02/03

Liga A

Gimnasia

31-48

-17

A06/03

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

32-39

-7

A07/03

Liga A

Tenerife

#11

41-34

A08/03

ACB

Boca Juniors

#14

39-35

A09/03

Liga A

Tecnyconta Zaragoza

33-28

H15/03

ACB

72.4Avg total

34.3Scored

38.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	34.2	37.9	72.1	-3.6	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	34.4	34.6	68.9	-0.2	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	34.1	40.8	74.9	-6.6	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.3	38.1	72.4	-3.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.2	36.8	72.0	-1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	31.0	42.5	73.5	-11.5	12%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	34.8	36.4	71.2	-1.6	50%	-
vs Weaker (4)	38.2	35.2	73.5	+3.0	75%	-

This opponent (Libertad) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	21.6	43.3	+0.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	23.0	19.1	42.1	+3.9	83%	-
Last 30 away (18)	20.8	23.2	44.1	-2.4	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	21.2	41.7	-0.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	22.8	44.2	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	24.1	24.4	48.5	-0.3	55%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	20.0	19.8	39.8	+0.2	53%	-
vs Weaker (2)	23.0	21.5	44.5	+1.5	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	18.5	37.6	+0.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.3	17.1	35.4	+1.2	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.7	19.8	39.5	-0.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	18.7	37.5	+0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	17.8	36.6	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	17.2	19.4	36.6	-2.1	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	19.2	18.0	37.2	+1.2	56%	-
vs Weaker (4)	21.8	19.2	41.0	+2.5	75%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	21.8	43.4	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	22.7	22.7	45.3	+0.0	50%	-
Last 30 away (18)	20.9	21.3	42.2	-0.4	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.1	22.2	46.3	+1.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.8	22.6	48.4	+3.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	22.3	23.1	45.4	-0.8	36%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	20.8	20.3	41.1	+0.5	47%	-
vs Weaker (2)	24.5	28.0	52.5	-3.5	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	20.9	41.5	-0.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.1	19.4	39.5	+0.8	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.9	22.3	43.2	-1.4	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	21.1	41.8	-0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	23.4	45.0	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	18.5	20.1	38.6	-1.6	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	21.4	21.8	43.3	-0.4	50%	-
vs Weaker (4)	20.5	18.5	39.0	+2.0	75%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.3	43.4	86.7	-0.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	45.7	41.8	87.4	+3.9	67%	-
Last 30 away (18)	41.7	44.5	86.2	-2.8	28%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.6	43.4	88.0	+1.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.2	45.4	92.6	+1.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	46.4	47.5	93.8	-1.1	36%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	40.8	40.1	80.9	+0.8	47%	-
vs Weaker (2)	47.5	49.5	97.0	-2.0	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.6	39.5	79.0	+0.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.4	36.4	74.9	+2.0	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	40.6	42.1	82.7	-1.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.5	39.8	79.3	-0.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.4	41.2	81.6	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	35.8	39.5	75.2	-3.8	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	40.7	39.8	80.5	+0.8	61%	-
vs Weaker (4)	42.2	37.8	80.0	+4.5	75%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Libertad wins

Estudiantes wins

Date	Game	Score
30/12/14	Estudiantes v Libertad	88-89
18/11/14	Estudiantes v Libertad	72-70
20/10/14	Libertad v Estudiantes	80-72
06/04/14	Libertad v Estudiantes	79-63
29/01/14	Estudiantes v Libertad	64-73
25/11/13	Libertad v Estudiantes	83-81
13/10/13	Estudiantes v Libertad	76-72

Libertadlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/03/15	A	Weber Bahia	69-71
06/03/15	A	Penarol	108-117 OT
04/03/15	A	Quilmes	89-99
28/02/15	H	San Martin	88-85
23/02/15	H	Gimnasia	84-92
19/02/15	H	Argentino	77-72
10/02/15	A	Argentino	86-91
08/02/15	A	Ciclista	68-80
04/02/15	H	Atenas	82-79
29/01/15	H	Olimpico	96-77

Estudianteslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
15/03/15	H	Tecnyconta Zaragoza	66-61
09/03/15	A	Boca Juniors	86-84
08/03/15	A	Tenerife	74-81
07/03/15	A	Obras Sanitarias	73-76
06/03/15	A	Gimnasia	79-88
02/03/15	H	Regatas	59-66
01/03/15	H	Valencia	76-81
24/02/15	H	San Martin	81-70
19/02/15	H	Gimnasia	61-80
15/02/15	A	Lanus	83-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Libertad

Liga A 2014-15

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLL	36%
Home	WWWLW	62%
Away	LLLLL	15%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	36	16	20
Win %	36%	62%	15%
Points / game	79.9	82.6	77.7
Allowed / game	82.8	78.3	86.4
Point differential	-2.9	+4.3	-8.8
Avg total	162.7	160.9	164.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	11%	25%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	47% (15)	57% (7)	38% (8)
Overtime %	6%	0%	10%

Estudiantes

Liga A 2014-15

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLW	38%
Home	WLLWL	56%
Away	LLLLW	24%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	39	18	21
Win %	38%	56%	24%
Points / game	74.2	74.6	73.8
Allowed / game	76.0	72.0	79.5
Point differential	-1.9	+2.6	-5.7
Avg total	150.2	146.6	153.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	21%	33%	10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	22% (9)	33% (3)	17% (6)
Overtime %	3%	6%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Quimsa	38	32	6	84%	84.0	72.0	+12.0
2	Obras Sanitarias	40	28	12	70%	81.0	73.9	+7.1
3	Penarol	33	22	11	67%	81.5	75.8	+5.7
4	Regatas	38	25	13	66%	81.7	74.9	+6.8
5	Gimnasia	37	23	14	62%	78.7	73.6	+5.1
6	Quilmes	38	22	16	58%	77.8	78.1	-0.3
7	San Martin	39	22	17	56%	77.8	79.0	-1.2
8	Argentino	35	19	16	54%	78.5	78.3	+0.1
9	Atenas	40	20	20	50%	77.0	77.7	-0.7
10	Olimpico	40	19	21	48%	79.8	81.5	-1.7
11	Boca Juniors	39	16	23	41%	77.2	78.5	-1.3
12	Weber Bahia	39	16	23	41%	75.7	79.6	-3.9
13	Estudiantes	39	15	24	38%	74.2	76.0	-1.9
14	Libertad	36	13	23	36%	79.9	82.8	-2.9
15	Sionista	39	14	25	36%	72.4	76.3	-3.8
16	Lanus	37	13	24	35%	78.9	83.2	-4.3
17	La Union	37	13	24	35%	79.6	84.4	-4.8
18	Ciclista	38	9	29	24%	72.9	82.3	-9.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Libertad	8	15	27	24	74
Estudiantes	19	19	20	24	82

← all games of the day

Libertad vs Estudiantes Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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