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Liberty vs UTEP Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 14 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 57-66
30-31 27-35
Position#158
Record18-13
FormLWLLW
Points / game74.4
Allowed / game65.5
vs
UTEP 🏆
USA
Position#185
Record16-15
FormLLWWW
Points / game73.2
Allowed / game69.4
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Liberty v UTEP
17 Jan 2026
LIBE80
UTEP69
12 Mar 2025
LIBE81
UTEP60
16 Jan 2025
LIBE70
UTEP72
14 Mar 2024
LIBE57
UTEP66
02 Mar 2024
LIBE51
UTEP67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Liberty winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UTEP winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LibertyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Mexico State
#285
L
73-79 OT
73
79
-6
A02/02
NCAA
UTEP
#185
W
67-65
67
65
+2
A04/02
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#271
W
88-53
88
53
+35
H09/02
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#54
W
65-62
65
62
+3
H11/02
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#93
L
73-83
73
83
-10
A18/02
NCAA
Florida International
#318
L
71-76
71
76
-5
A23/02
NCAA
New Mexico State
#285
W
83-58
83
58
+25
H01/03
NCAA
UTEP
#185
L
51-67
51
67
-16
H03/03
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#271
L
61-69
61
69
-8
A06/03
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#84
W
82-79
82
79
+3
H09/03
NCAA
1H
2H
37-35
32-34
37-29
30-36
40-31
48-22
22-29
43-33
27-50
46-33
34-37
37-39
38-32
45-26
23-35
28-32
30-33
31-36
36-32
46-47
140.5Avg total
71.4Scored
69.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)74.465.5139.8+8.958%
Season at home (21)77.061.4138.4+15.676%
Season away (10)68.874.1142.9-5.320%
Last 10 (10)71.469.1140.5+2.350%
Last 5 (5)69.669.8139.4-0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)67.475.7143.1-8.233%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)76.062.2138.1+13.867%
This opponent (UTEP) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UTEPUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jacksonville State
#256
W
79-71
79
71
+8
H02/02
NCAA
Liberty
#158
L
65-67
65
67
-2
H04/02
NCAA
New Mexico State
#285
W
74-49
74
49
+25
H11/02
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#84
L
80-90
80
90
-10
A16/02
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#271
L
90-96 OT
90
96
-6
A17/02
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#54
L
59-65
59
65
-6
H23/02
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#93
L
54-65
54
65
-11
H25/02
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#256
W
72-65
72
65
+7
A01/03
NCAA
Liberty
#158
W
67-51
67
51
+16
A03/03
NCAA
Florida International
#318
W
83-76
83
76
+7
H08/03
NCAA
1H
2H
36-32
43-39
29-37
36-30
35-27
39-22
40-39
40-51
32-38
36-30
31-29
28-36
25-29
29-36
37-31
35-34
35-23
32-28
40-26
43-50
141.8Avg total
72.3Scored
69.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)73.269.4142.5+3.852%
Season at home (20)77.568.0145.4+9.570%
Season away (11)65.371.9137.2-6.618%
Last 10 (10)72.369.5141.8+2.850%
Last 5 (5)67.064.4131.4+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)61.663.6125.2-2.020%
vs Similar (13)67.570.5137.9-3.046%
vs Weaker (12)80.270.4150.7+9.867%
This opponent (Liberty) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -1.9-1.91st half: +2.9+2.92nd half2nd half: +4.8+4.82nd half: +0.5+0.5
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -1.9-1.91st half: +2.9+2.92nd half2nd half: +4.8+4.82nd half: +0.5+0.5
LibertyUTEP
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
LibertyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Mexico State
#285
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A02/02
NCAA
UTEP
#185
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A04/02
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#271
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H09/02
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#54
L
22-29
22
29
-7
H11/02
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#93
L
27-50
27
50
-23
A18/02
NCAA
Florida International
#318
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A23/02
NCAA
New Mexico State
#285
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H01/03
NCAA
UTEP
#185
L
23-35
23
35
-12
H03/03
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#271
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A06/03
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#84
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H09/03
NCAA
66.7Avg total
32.4Scored
34.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.932.067.0+2.957%-
Last 30 at home (20)35.530.165.6+5.465%-
Last 30 away (10)33.935.969.8-2.040%-
Last 10 (10)32.434.366.7-1.950%-
Last 5 (5)32.233.866.0-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)31.335.466.8-4.133%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)36.530.667.0+5.967%-
This opponent (UTEP) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UTEPLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jacksonville State
#256
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H02/02
NCAA
Liberty
#158
L
29-37
29
37
-8
H04/02
NCAA
New Mexico State
#285
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H11/02
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#84
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A16/02
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#271
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A17/02
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#54
W
31-29
31
29
+2
H23/02
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#93
L
25-29
25
29
-4
H25/02
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#256
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A01/03
NCAA
Liberty
#158
W
35-23
35
23
+12
A03/03
NCAA
Florida International
#318
W
40-26
40
26
+14
H08/03
NCAA
65.1Avg total
34.0Scored
31.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.531.965.4+1.653%-
Last 30 at home (19)34.631.866.4+2.858%-
Last 30 away (11)31.532.063.5-0.545%-
Last 10 (10)34.031.165.1+2.970%-
Last 5 (5)33.627.661.2+6.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)30.031.261.2-1.240%-
vs Similar (13)32.233.565.8-1.338%-
vs Weaker (12)36.330.366.7+6.075%-
This opponent (Liberty) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Liberty wins
1
UTEP wins
DateGameScore
03/03/24Liberty v UTEP51-67
04/02/24UTEP v Liberty65-67
Libertylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/24HWestern Kentucky82-79
06/03/24AMiddle Tenn. St.61-69
03/03/24HUTEP51-67
01/03/24HNew Mexico State83-58
23/02/24AFlorida International71-76
18/02/24ASam Houston St.73-83
11/02/24HLouisiana Tech65-62
09/02/24HMiddle Tenn. St.88-53
04/02/24AUTEP67-65
02/02/24ANew Mexico State73-79 OT
UTEPlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/24HFlorida International83-76
03/03/24ALiberty67-51
01/03/24AJacksonville State72-65
25/02/24HSam Houston St.54-65
23/02/24HLouisiana Tech59-65
17/02/24AMiddle Tenn. St.90-96 OT
16/02/24AWestern Kentucky80-90
11/02/24HNew Mexico State74-49
04/02/24HLiberty65-67
02/02/24HJacksonville State79-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Liberty
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW58%
HomeWWWLW76%
AwayLWLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312110
Win %58%76%20%
Points / game74.477.068.8
Allowed / game65.561.474.1
Point differential+8.9+15.6-5.3
Avg total139.8138.4142.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%62%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)67% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %6%0%20%
UTEP
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW52%
HomeLWLLW70%
AwayLLLWW18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312011
Win %52%70%18%
Points / game73.277.565.3
Allowed / game69.468.071.9
Point differential+3.8+9.6-6.6
Avg total142.5145.4137.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%35%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)50% (6)0% (2)
Overtime %3%0%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Louisiana Tech32221069%74.864.5+10.2
2 Sam Houston St.32211166%72.469.3+3.2
3 Western Kentucky30191163%80.275.0+5.2
4 Liberty31181358%74.465.5+8.9
5 Delaware33191458%73.269.7+3.5
6 UTEP31161552%73.269.4+3.8
7 Missouri State33171652%71.271.3-0.0
8 Kennesaw State31151648%82.880.8+2.1
9 Jacksonville State32141844%70.066.4+3.6
10 Middle Tenn. St.32141844%66.069.8-3.8
11 New Mexico State31131842%67.671.9-4.3
12 Florida International33112233%73.676.5-2.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Liberty302757
UTEP313566
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