Liberty vs Valparaiso Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 04 Nov 2024

Tip-off: 22:00

Final 83-63

42-32 41-31

Position#19

Record-

FormWLLWL

Points / game-

Allowed / game-

Liberty 🏆

Valparaiso

Position#248

Record-

FormLLLWL

Points / game-

Allowed / game-

NCAA

Other2024-25

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Liberty winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Valparaiso winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Liberty

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

UTEP

#185

67-65

A04/02

NCAA

Middle Tenn. St.

#271

88-53

+35

H09/02

NCAA

Louisiana Tech

#54

65-62

H11/02

NCAA

Sam Houston St.

#93

73-83

-10

A18/02

NCAA

Florida International

#318

71-76

-5

A23/02

NCAA

New Mexico State

#285

83-58

+25

H01/03

NCAA

UTEP

#185

51-67

-16

H03/03

NCAA

Middle Tenn. St.

#271

61-69

-8

A06/03

NCAA

Western Kentucky

#84

82-79

H09/03

NCAA

UTEP

#185

57-66

-9

H14/03

NCAA

37-29

30-36

40-31

48-22

22-29

43-33

27-50

46-33

34-37

37-39

38-32

45-26

23-35

28-32

30-33

31-36

36-32

46-47

30-31

27-35

137.6Avg total

69.8Scored

67.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season	no games
Season at home	no games
Season away	no games
Last 10 (10)	69.8	67.8	137.6	+2.0	50%
Last 5 (5)	66.8	67.8	134.6	-1.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (9)	67.4	75.7	143.1	-8.2	33%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	75.3	62.5	137.8	+12.8	62%

This opponent (Valparaiso) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Valparaiso USA

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Evansville

#225

62-63

-1

H03/02

NCAA

Indiana State

#13

61-101

101

-40

A08/02

NCAA

Belmont

#128

78-96

-18

H10/02

NCAA

Northern Iowa

#150

67-86

-19

H15/02

NCAA

Missouri State

#198

74-82

-8

A17/02

NCAA

Indiana State

#13

64-83

-19

H22/02

NCAA

Murray State

#296

68-80

-12

A24/02

NCAA

Northern Iowa

#150

54-68

-14

A28/02

NCAA

Illinois State

#240

75-72

H03/03

NCAA

Belmont

#128

61-86

-25

A07/03

NCAA

32-30

30-33

36-50

25-51

27-54

51-42

26-38

41-48

41-38

33-44

37-45

27-38

44-36

24-44

21-38

33-30

44-31

31-41

22-48

39-38

148.1Avg total

66.4Scored

81.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season	no games
Season at home	no games
Season away	no games
Last 10 (10)	66.4	81.7	148.1	-15.3	10%
Last 5 (5)	64.4	77.8	142.2	-13.4	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)	66.9	76.3	143.2	-9.4	20%
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Liberty) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

LibertyValparaiso

Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by half · pick a half

LibertyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

UTEP

#185

37-29

A04/02

NCAA

Middle Tenn. St.

#271

40-31

H09/02

NCAA

Louisiana Tech

#54

22-29

-7

H11/02

NCAA

Sam Houston St.

#93

27-50

-23

A18/02

NCAA

Florida International

#318

34-37

-3

A23/02

NCAA

New Mexico State

#285

38-32

H01/03

NCAA

UTEP

#185

23-35

-12

H03/03

NCAA

Middle Tenn. St.

#271

30-33

-3

A06/03

NCAA

Western Kentucky

#84

36-32

H09/03

NCAA

UTEP

#185

30-31

-1

H14/03

NCAA

65.6Avg total

31.7Scored

33.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	34.8	32.3	67.1	+2.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (20)	35.2	30.5	65.7	+4.7	60%	-
Last 30 away (10)	33.9	35.9	69.8	-2.0	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	31.7	33.9	65.6	-2.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	31.4	32.6	64.0	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (9)	31.3	35.4	66.8	-4.1	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	36.2	31.0	67.2	+5.3	62%	-

This opponent (Valparaiso) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

ValparaisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Evansville

#225

32-30

H03/02

NCAA

Indiana State

#13

36-50

-14

A08/02

NCAA

Belmont

#128

27-54

-27

H10/02

NCAA

Northern Iowa

#150

26-38

-12

H15/02

NCAA

Missouri State

#198

41-38

A17/02

NCAA

Indiana State

#13

37-45

-8

H22/02

NCAA

Murray State

#296

44-36

A24/02

NCAA

Northern Iowa

#150

21-38

-17

A28/02

NCAA

Illinois State

#240

44-31

+13

H03/03

NCAA

Belmont

#128

22-48

-26

A07/03

NCAA

73.8Avg total

33.0Scored

40.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	32.0	37.7	69.7	-5.7	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	31.7	36.8	68.5	-5.1	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	32.2	38.6	70.8	-6.4	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	33.0	40.8	73.8	-7.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.6	39.6	73.2	-6.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)	32.0	37.7	69.7	-5.7	30%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Liberty) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.8	33.5	71.3	+4.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (20)	39.8	32.1	71.9	+7.6	65%	-
Last 30 away (10)	33.8	36.1	69.9	-2.3	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.1	33.9	72.0	+4.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.4	35.2	70.6	+0.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (9)	35.3	39.0	74.3	-3.7	22%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	38.9	31.1	70.0	+7.8	62%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	34.9	38.6	73.5	-3.7	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	36.6	38.5	75.1	-1.9	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	33.3	38.7	71.9	-5.4	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	33.4	40.9	74.3	-7.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	30.8	38.2	69.0	-7.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)	34.9	38.6	73.5	-3.7	33%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Liberty wins

Valparaiso wins

No previous meetings.

Libertylast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
14/03/24	H	UTEP	57-66
09/03/24	H	Western Kentucky	82-79
06/03/24	A	Middle Tenn. St.	61-69
03/03/24	H	UTEP	51-67
01/03/24	H	New Mexico State	83-58
23/02/24	A	Florida International	71-76
18/02/24	A	Sam Houston St.	73-83
11/02/24	H	Louisiana Tech	65-62
09/02/24	H	Middle Tenn. St.	88-53
04/02/24	A	UTEP	67-65

Valparaisolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/03/24	A	Belmont	61-86
03/03/24	H	Illinois State	75-72
28/02/24	A	Northern Iowa	54-68
24/02/24	A	Murray State	68-80
22/02/24	H	Indiana State	64-83
17/02/24	A	Missouri State	74-82
15/02/24	H	Northern Iowa	67-86
10/02/24	H	Belmont	78-96
08/02/24	A	Indiana State	61-101
03/02/24	H	Evansville	62-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Liberty

NCAA 2024-25

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	-	-
Home	-	-
Away	-	-

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	-	-	-
Win %	-	-	-
Points / game	-	-	-
Allowed / game	-	-	-
Point differential	-	-	-
Avg total	-	-	-
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	-	-	-
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	-	-	-

Valparaiso

NCAA 2024-25

Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	-	-
Home	-	-
Away	-	-

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	-	-	-
Win %	-	-	-
Points / game	-	-	-
Allowed / game	-	-	-
Point differential	-	-	-
Avg total	-	-	-
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	-	-	-
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	-	-	-

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Jacksonville State	1	1	0	100%	112.0	48.0	+64.0
2	IUPUI	1	1	0	100%	100.0	44.0	+56.0
3	Middle Tenn. St.	1	1	0	100%	97.0	51.0	+46.0
4	UT Arlington	1	1	0	100%	90.0	55.0	+35.0
5	UMBC Retrievers	1	1	0	100%	95.0	66.0	+29.0
6	Stanford	1	1	0	100%	85.0	62.0	+23.0
7	Charleston	1	1	0	100%	90.0	80.0	+10.0
8	Santa Clara	1	1	0	100%	85.0	78.0	+7.0
9	St. Louis Billikens	1	0	1	0%	78.0	85.0	-7.0
10	Southern Illinois	1	0	1	0%	80.0	90.0	-10.0
11	Denver	1	0	1	0%	62.0	85.0	-23.0
12	Penn State-York	1	0	1	0%	66.0	95.0	-29.0
13	North Texas-Dallas	1	0	1	0%	55.0	90.0	-35.0
14	Oglethorpe	1	0	1	0%	51.0	97.0	-46.0
15	IUPUC	1	0	1	0%	44.0	100.0	-56.0
16	La Grange	1	0	1	0%	48.0	112.0	-64.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	1H	2H	Final
Liberty	42	41	83
Valparaiso	32	31	63

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Liberty vs Valparaiso Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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