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Liberty vs Western Kentucky Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 03 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 70-71
35-21 35-50
Position#19
Record12-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game81.4
Allowed / game58.2
Liberty
USA
vs
Western Kentucky 🏆
USA
Position#182
Record9-4
FormWWWWL
Points / game80.6
Allowed / game76.2
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Liberty v Western Kentucky
16 Jan 2027
LIBE v WEST
upcoming
21 Feb 2026
LIBE73
WEST94
02 Jan 2025
LIBE70
WEST71
09 Mar 2024
LIBE82
WEST79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Liberty winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Western Kentucky winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LibertyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida Atlantic
#162
L
74-77 OT
74
77
-3
H16/11
NCAA
Charleston
#47
W
68-47
68
47
+21
A17/11
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#314
W
89-69
89
69
+20
H22/11
NCAA
Kansas State
#216
W
67-65
67
65
+2
A25/11
NCAA
McNeese State
#20
W
62-58
62
58
+4
H26/11
NCAA
Central Penn
#644
W
93-36
93
36
+57
H29/11
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#370
W
89-52
89
52
+37
H08/12
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#348
W
83-74
83
74
+9
H15/12
NCAA
St. Andrews
#627
W
124-50
124
50
+74
H18/12
NCAA
UT Arlington
#277
W
79-56
79
56
+23
H21/12
NCAA
1H
2H
42-39
25-28
29-29
39-18
45-32
44-37
32-29
35-36
29-29
33-29
45-21
48-15
40-16
49-36
39-37
44-37
59-20
65-30
39-22
40-34
141.2Avg total
82.8Scored
58.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)81.458.2139.5+23.292%
Season at home (10)85.758.0143.7+27.790%
Season away (3)67.058.7125.7+8.3100%
Last 10 (10)82.858.4141.2+24.490%
Last 5 (5)93.653.6147.2+40.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)70.669.8140.4+0.860%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)75.763.3139.0+12.464%
This opponent (Western Kentucky) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Western KentuckyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lipscomb
#51
W
66-61
66
61
+5
H17/11
NCAA
Jackson State
#221
W
79-62
79
62
+17
H21/11
NCAA
Kentucky
#71
L
68-87
68
87
-19
A26/11
NCAA
Marshall
#124
W
90-82
90
82
+8
H01/12
NCAA
Evansville
#319
W
79-65
79
65
+14
A07/12
NCAA
Tennessee State
#188
W
84-60
84
60
+24
H11/12
NCAA
Murray State
#214
W
81-76 OT
81
76
+5
H14/12
NCAA
Seattle
#252
W
86-73
86
73
+13
H18/12
NCAA
Kentucky Wesleyan Panthers
#405
W
91-71
91
71
+20
H21/12
NCAA
Michigan
#44
L
64-112
64
112
-48
A30/12
NCAA
1H
2H
30-31
36-30
40-28
39-34
33-45
35-42
36-40
54-42
32-33
47-32
44-31
40-29
33-39
34-28
38-32
48-41
46-41
45-30
31-59
33-53
153.7Avg total
78.8Scored
74.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)80.676.2156.8+4.569%
Season at home (9)85.072.4157.4+12.689%
Season away (4)70.884.5155.2-13.825%
Last 10 (10)78.874.9153.7+3.980%
Last 5 (5)81.278.4159.6+2.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)74.180.0154.1-5.943%
vs Similar (12)80.877.9158.8+2.958%
vs Weaker (9)82.670.3152.9+12.267%
This opponent (Liberty) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-16-8+0+8+161st half1st half: +12.5+12.51st half: -1.6-1.62nd half2nd half: +12.2+12.22nd half: +5.0+5.0
-16-8+0+8+161st half1st half: +12.5+12.51st half: -1.6-1.62nd half2nd half: +12.2+12.22nd half: +5.0+5.0
LibertyWestern Kentucky
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
LibertyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida Atlantic
#162
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H16/11
NCAA
Charleston
#47
D
29-29
29
29
+0
A17/11
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#314
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H22/11
NCAA
Kansas State
#216
W
32-29
32
29
+3
A25/11
NCAA
McNeese State
#20
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H26/11
NCAA
Central Penn
#644
W
45-21
45
21
+24
H29/11
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#370
W
40-16
40
16
+24
H08/12
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#348
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H15/12
NCAA
St. Andrews
#627
W
59-20
59
20
+39
H18/12
NCAA
UT Arlington
#277
W
39-22
39
22
+17
H21/12
NCAA
67.3Avg total
39.9Scored
27.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.430.465.8+5.060%-
Last 30 at home (19)37.328.766.0+8.574%-
Last 30 away (11)32.233.365.5-1.136%-
Last 10 (10)39.927.467.3+12.580%-
Last 5 (5)44.423.267.6+21.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)31.430.862.2+0.640%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)36.230.366.5+5.964%-
This opponent (Western Kentucky) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Western KentuckyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lipscomb
#51
L
30-31
30
31
-1
H17/11
NCAA
Jackson State
#221
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H21/11
NCAA
Kentucky
#71
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A26/11
NCAA
Marshall
#124
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H01/12
NCAA
Evansville
#319
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A07/12
NCAA
Tennessee State
#188
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H11/12
NCAA
Murray State
#214
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H14/12
NCAA
Seattle
#252
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H18/12
NCAA
Kentucky Wesleyan Panthers
#405
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H21/12
NCAA
Michigan
#44
L
31-59
31
59
-28
A30/12
NCAA
74.2Avg total
36.3Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.036.974.9+1.150%-
Last 30 at home (18)40.136.276.2+3.956%-
Last 30 away (12)34.938.173.0-3.242%-
Last 10 (10)36.337.974.2-1.640%-
Last 5 (5)38.440.478.8-2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)36.340.777.0-4.443%-
vs Similar (12)37.436.674.0+0.842%-
vs Weaker (9)38.034.672.6+3.456%-
This opponent (Liberty) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Liberty wins
1
Western Kentucky wins
DateGameScore
09/03/24Liberty v Western Kentucky82-79
06/01/24Western Kentucky v Liberty70-68
Libertylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/24HUT Arlington79-56
18/12/24HSt. Andrews124-50
15/12/24HN. Carolina A&T83-74
08/12/24HMiss. Valley St.89-52
29/11/24HCentral Penn93-36
26/11/24HMcNeese State62-58
25/11/24AKansas State67-65
22/11/24HLouisiana Lafayette89-69
17/11/24ACharleston68-47
16/11/24HFlorida Atlantic74-77 OT
Western Kentuckylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/24AMichigan64-112
21/12/24HKentucky Wesleyan Panthers91-71
18/12/24HSeattle86-73
14/12/24HMurray State81-76 OT
11/12/24HTennessee State84-60
07/12/24AEvansville79-65
01/12/24HMarshall90-82
26/11/24AKentucky68-87
21/11/24HJackson State79-62
17/11/24HLipscomb66-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Liberty
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW92%
HomeWWWWW90%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games13103
Win %92%90%100%
Points / game81.485.767.0
Allowed / game58.258.058.7
Point differential+23.2+27.7+8.3
Avg total139.5143.7125.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%70%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)50% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %8%10%0%
Western Kentucky
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL69%
HomeWWWWW89%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1394
Win %69%89%25%
Points / game80.685.070.8
Allowed / game76.272.484.5
Point differential+4.5+12.6-13.8
Avg total156.8157.4155.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%56%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %8%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liberty1312192%81.458.2+23.2
2 Louisiana Tech1311285%80.567.0+13.5
3 UTEP1310377%74.565.9+8.5
4 Middle Tenn. St.139469%79.571.1+8.5
5 Western Kentucky139469%80.676.2+4.5
6 Jacksonville State138562%81.569.7+11.8
7 Kennesaw State138562%81.174.8+6.2
8 New Mexico State137654%74.570.3+4.2
9 Sam Houston St.137654%81.278.2+2.9
10 Delaware137654%78.076.5+1.5
11 Missouri State147750%72.370.9+1.4
12 Florida International136746%74.270.2+4.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Liberty353570
Western Kentucky215071
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