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Liberty vs Western Kentucky Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 82-79
36-32 46-47
Position#158
Record17-13
FormLLWLL
Points / game74.1
Allowed / game65.0
Liberty 🏆
USA
vs
Western Kentucky
USA
Position#84
Record19-10
FormWWLLL
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game74.8
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Liberty v Western Kentucky
16 Jan 2027
LIBE v WEST
upcoming
21 Feb 2026
LIBE73
WEST94
02 Jan 2025
LIBE70
WEST71
09 Mar 2024
LIBE82
WEST79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Liberty winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Western Kentucky winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LibertyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jacksonville State
#256
L
62-73
62
73
-11
A27/01
NCAA
New Mexico State
#285
L
73-79 OT
73
79
-6
A02/02
NCAA
UTEP
#185
W
67-65
67
65
+2
A04/02
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#271
W
88-53
88
53
+35
H09/02
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#54
W
65-62
65
62
+3
H11/02
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#93
L
73-83
73
83
-10
A18/02
NCAA
Florida International
#318
L
71-76
71
76
-5
A23/02
NCAA
New Mexico State
#285
W
83-58
83
58
+25
H01/03
NCAA
UTEP
#185
L
51-67
51
67
-16
H03/03
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#271
L
61-69
61
69
-8
A06/03
NCAA
1H
2H
31-33
31-40
37-35
32-34
37-29
30-36
40-31
48-22
22-29
43-33
27-50
46-33
34-37
37-39
38-32
45-26
23-35
28-32
30-33
31-36
137.9Avg total
69.4Scored
68.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)74.165.0139.1+9.157%
Season at home (20)76.860.5137.2+16.275%
Season away (10)68.874.1142.9-5.320%
Last 10 (10)69.468.5137.9+0.940%
Last 5 (5)67.870.6138.4-2.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (8)65.675.2140.9-9.625%
vs Weaker (22)77.261.3138.5+15.968%
This opponent (Western Kentucky) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Western KentuckyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida International
#318
W
105-91
105
91
+14
H26/01
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#93
L
77-79
77
79
-2
H02/02
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#271
W
88-65
88
65
+23
H04/02
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#54
W
81-76
81
76
+5
A08/02
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#256
W
70-59
70
59
+11
A10/02
NCAA
UTEP
#185
W
90-80
90
80
+10
H16/02
NCAA
New Mexico State
#285
W
72-58
72
58
+14
H17/02
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#271
L
72-74
72
74
-2
A25/02
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#54
L
84-90
84
90
-6
H29/02
NCAA
Florida International
#318
L
83-85
83
85
-2
A02/03
NCAA
1H
2H
49-46
56-45
42-38
35-41
38-38
50-27
40-37
41-39
28-29
42-30
39-40
51-40
33-33
39-25
36-34
36-40
40-47
44-43
31-44
52-41
157.9Avg total
82.2Scored
75.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)80.374.8155.0+5.566%
Season at home (16)82.974.7157.6+8.275%
Season away (13)77.174.8151.9+2.254%
Last 10 (10)82.275.7157.9+6.560%
Last 5 (5)80.277.4157.6+2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)72.080.3152.3-8.333%
vs Similar ◀ (12)76.873.8150.6+3.167%
vs Weaker (13)80.875.1155.8+5.762%
This opponent (Liberty) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: -2.5-2.51st half: -1.0-1.02nd half2nd half: +4.0+4.02nd half: +7.5+7.5
-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: -2.5-2.51st half: -1.0-1.02nd half2nd half: +4.0+4.02nd half: +7.5+7.5
LibertyWestern Kentucky
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
LibertyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jacksonville State
#256
L
31-33
31
33
-2
A27/01
NCAA
New Mexico State
#285
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A02/02
NCAA
UTEP
#185
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A04/02
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#271
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H09/02
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#54
L
22-29
22
29
-7
H11/02
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#93
L
27-50
27
50
-23
A18/02
NCAA
Florida International
#318
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A23/02
NCAA
New Mexico State
#285
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H01/03
NCAA
UTEP
#185
L
23-35
23
35
-12
H03/03
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#271
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A06/03
NCAA
66.3Avg total
31.9Scored
34.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.331.666.9+3.757%-
Last 30 at home (20)36.029.465.5+6.665%-
Last 30 away (10)33.935.969.8-2.040%-
Last 10 (10)31.934.466.3-2.540%-
Last 5 (5)30.437.467.8-7.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (8)30.835.966.6-5.125%-
vs Weaker (22)37.030.067.0+7.068%-
This opponent (Western Kentucky) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Western KentuckyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida International
#318
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H26/01
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#93
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H02/02
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#271
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H04/02
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#54
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A08/02
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#256
L
28-29
28
29
-1
A10/02
NCAA
UTEP
#185
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H16/02
NCAA
New Mexico State
#285
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H17/02
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#271
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A25/02
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#54
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H29/02
NCAA
Florida International
#318
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A02/03
NCAA
76.2Avg total
37.6Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.135.773.8+2.457%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.437.978.3+2.456%-
Last 30 away (14)35.533.168.6+2.457%-
Last 10 (10)37.638.676.2-1.040%-
Last 5 (5)35.839.675.4-3.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)33.338.071.3-4.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)36.236.372.5-0.242%-
vs Weaker (13)40.035.275.2+4.869%-
This opponent (Liberty) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Liberty wins
1
Western Kentucky wins
DateGameScore
06/01/24Western Kentucky v Liberty70-68
Libertylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/24AMiddle Tenn. St.61-69
03/03/24HUTEP51-67
01/03/24HNew Mexico State83-58
23/02/24AFlorida International71-76
18/02/24ASam Houston St.73-83
11/02/24HLouisiana Tech65-62
09/02/24HMiddle Tenn. St.88-53
04/02/24AUTEP67-65
02/02/24ANew Mexico State73-79 OT
27/01/24AJacksonville State62-73
Western Kentuckylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/24AFlorida International83-85
29/02/24HLouisiana Tech84-90
25/02/24AMiddle Tenn. St.72-74
17/02/24HNew Mexico State72-58
16/02/24HUTEP90-80
10/02/24AJacksonville State70-59
08/02/24ALouisiana Tech81-76
04/02/24HMiddle Tenn. St.88-65
02/02/24HSam Houston St.77-79
26/01/24HFlorida International105-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Liberty
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL57%
HomeWWWWL75%
AwayLWLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games302010
Win %57%75%20%
Points / game74.176.868.8
Allowed / game65.060.574.1
Point differential+9.1+16.2-5.3
Avg total139.1137.2142.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%65%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)50% (2)25% (4)
Overtime %7%0%20%
Western Kentucky
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL66%
HomeLWWWL75%
AwayLWWLL54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291613
Win %66%75%54%
Points / game80.382.977.1
Allowed / game74.874.774.8
Point differential+5.5+8.2+2.2
Avg total155.0157.6151.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%56%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)75% (4)43% (7)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Louisiana Tech3021970%74.764.2+10.5
2 Western Kentucky29191066%80.374.8+5.5
3 Sam Houston St.30191163%72.069.5+2.5
4 Delaware31181358%73.570.2+3.3
5 Liberty30171357%74.165.0+9.1
6 UTEP31161552%73.269.4+3.8
7 Missouri State33171652%71.271.3-0.0
8 Kennesaw State31151648%82.880.8+2.1
9 Jacksonville State30141647%70.065.6+4.4
10 Middle Tenn. St.30131743%65.869.4-3.7
11 New Mexico State30121840%67.372.0-4.6
12 Florida International30102033%74.176.8-2.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Liberty364682
Western Kentucky324779
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