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Liberty vs Western Kentucky Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 73-94
0-0 37-48 0-0 36-46
Position#26
Record23-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game79.3
Allowed / game68.5
vs
Position#151
Record15-11
FormWLWWW
Points / game77.9
Allowed / game75.1
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Liberty v Western Kentucky
16 Jan 2027
LIBE v WEST
upcoming
21 Feb 2026
LIBE73
WEST94
02 Jan 2025
LIBE70
WEST71
09 Mar 2024
LIBE82
WEST79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Liberty winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Western Kentucky winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LibertyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Mexico State
#178
W
73-71
73
71
+2
H15/01
NCAA
UTEP
#307
W
80-69
80
69
+11
H17/01
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
W
76-69
76
69
+7
A22/01
NCAA
Delaware
#326
W
67-51
67
51
+16
H24/01
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
W
81-65
81
65
+16
A30/01
NCAA
Delaware
#326
W
75-69
75
69
+6
A05/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#223
W
79-76
79
76
+3
H07/02
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
W
77-75
77
75
+2
A12/02
NCAA
UTEP
#307
W
73-64
73
64
+9
A14/02
NCAA
Florida International
#232
W
90-89 OT
90
89
+1
H19/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
46-29
0-0
27-42
0-0
41-38
0-0
39-31
0-0
35-32
0-0
41-37
0-0
34-28
0-0
33-23
0-0
43-29
0-0
38-36
0-0
29-30
0-0
46-39
0-0
42-38
0-0
37-38
0-0
30-32
0-0
47-43
0-0
28-26
0-0
45-38
0-0
41-40
0-0
39-40
146.9Avg total
77.1Scored
69.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)79.368.5147.9+10.888%
Season at home (14)84.165.9150.1+18.293%
Season away (12)73.871.6145.3+2.283%
Last 10 (10)77.169.8146.9+7.3100%
Last 5 (5)78.874.6153.4+4.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)72.670.3142.9+2.278%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)81.168.4149.5+12.790%
This opponent (Western Kentucky) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Western KentuckyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Missouri State
#223
W
87-72
87
72
+15
H15/01
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
L
65-81
65
81
-16
H17/01
NCAA
Liberty
#26
L
69-76
69
76
-7
H22/01
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
L
58-73
58
73
-15
A24/01
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
L
69-72
69
72
-3
A29/01
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
W
65-60
65
60
+5
A31/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#228
L
66-71
66
71
-5
H06/02
NCAA
Florida International
#232
W
80-70
80
70
+10
H07/02
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
W
82-80
82
80
+2
H15/02
NCAA
Delaware
#326
W
88-87 OT
88
87
+1
A19/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
41-34
0-0
46-38
0-0
34-43
0-0
31-38
0-0
32-35
0-0
37-41
0-0
21-38
0-0
37-35
0-0
36-37
0-0
33-35
0-0
30-23
0-0
35-37
0-0
28-33
0-0
38-38
0-0
30-38
0-0
50-32
0-0
42-37
0-0
40-43
0-0
29-41
0-0
50-38
147.1Avg total
72.9Scored
74.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)77.975.1153.0+2.858%
Season at home (16)81.774.6156.3+7.169%
Season away (10)71.875.9147.7-4.140%
Last 10 (10)72.974.2147.1-1.350%
Last 5 (5)76.273.6149.8+2.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)76.982.8159.6-5.925%
vs Similar (15)70.172.0142.1-1.947%
vs Weaker (6)83.773.0156.7+10.7100%
This opponent (Liberty) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +4.7+4.7Q2: -3.6-3.6Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: +2.2+2.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +4.7+4.7Q2: -3.6-3.6Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: +2.2+2.2
LibertyWestern Kentucky
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LibertyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Mexico State
#178
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H15/01
NCAA
UTEP
#307
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H17/01
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A22/01
NCAA
Delaware
#326
W
34-28
34
28
+6
H24/01
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
W
43-29
43
29
+14
A30/01
NCAA
Delaware
#326
L
29-30
29
30
-1
A05/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#223
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H07/02
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A12/02
NCAA
UTEP
#307
W
28-26
28
26
+2
A14/02
NCAA
Florida International
#232
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H19/02
NCAA
69.1Avg total
36.9Scored
32.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.331.969.2+5.473%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.430.571.9+10.988%-
Last 30 away (13)31.933.865.7-1.854%-
Last 10 (10)36.932.269.1+4.780%-
Last 5 (5)34.033.267.2+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)34.433.768.1+0.856%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)38.531.269.7+7.381%-
This opponent (Western Kentucky) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Western KentuckyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Missouri State
#223
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H15/01
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H17/01
NCAA
Liberty
#26
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H22/01
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
L
21-38
21
38
-17
A24/01
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A29/01
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
W
30-23
30
23
+7
A31/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#228
L
28-33
28
33
-5
H06/02
NCAA
Florida International
#232
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H07/02
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H15/02
NCAA
Delaware
#326
L
29-41
29
41
-12
A19/02
NCAA
68.2Avg total
32.3Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.635.269.8-0.650%-
Last 30 at home (19)37.134.771.8+2.463%-
Last 30 away (11)30.236.166.3-5.927%-
Last 10 (10)32.335.968.2-3.630%-
Last 5 (5)31.834.466.2-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)34.038.872.8-4.838%-
vs Similar (15)32.934.767.5-1.847%-
vs Weaker (6)36.333.069.3+3.367%-
This opponent (Liberty) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Liberty wins
2
Western Kentucky wins
Libertylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/02/26HFlorida International90-89 OT
14/02/26AUTEP73-64
12/02/26ANew Mexico State77-75
07/02/26HMissouri State79-76
05/02/26ADelaware75-69
30/01/26AMiddle Tenn. St.81-65
24/01/26HDelaware67-51
22/01/26AWestern Kentucky76-69
17/01/26HUTEP80-69
15/01/26HNew Mexico State73-71
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/02/26ADelaware88-87 OT
15/02/26HMiddle Tenn. St.82-80
07/02/26HFlorida International80-70
06/02/26HJacksonville State66-71
31/01/26AMiddle Tenn. St.65-60
29/01/26AKennesaw State69-72
24/01/26ASam Houston St.58-73
22/01/26HLiberty69-76
17/01/26HKennesaw State65-81
15/01/26HMissouri State87-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Liberty
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW88%
HomeWWWWW93%
AwayWWWWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261412
Win %88%93%83%
Points / game79.384.173.8
Allowed / game68.565.971.6
Point differential+10.8+18.2+2.2
Avg total147.9150.1145.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%57%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won86% (7)75% (4)100% (3)
Overtime %8%7%8%
Western Kentucky
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW58%
HomeLLLWW69%
AwayWLLWW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261610
Win %58%69%40%
Points / game77.981.771.8
Allowed / game75.174.675.9
Point differential+2.8+7.1-4.1
Avg total153.0156.3147.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%44%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)57% (7)67% (3)
Overtime %8%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liberty2623388%79.368.5+10.8
2 Sam Houston St.2719870%82.774.0+8.8
3 Kennesaw State26151158%85.377.2+8.1
4 Louisiana Tech26151158%69.564.7+4.7
5 Western Kentucky26151158%77.975.1+2.8
6 New Mexico State25131252%75.971.0+4.9
7 Jacksonville State27131448%72.867.8+5.0
8 Florida International27131448%81.477.8+3.6
9 Middle Tenn. St.27131448%75.372.9+2.5
10 Missouri State27131448%75.373.5+1.7
11 UTEP26101638%69.871.8-2.0
12 Delaware2791833%67.672.7-5.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Liberty03703673
Western Kentucky04804694
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