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Liege vs BAL Weert Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 03 May 2024
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 86-70
22-14 17-24 25-19 22-13
Position#6
Record17-12
FormWWWWW
Points / game80.7
Allowed / game78.6
Liege 🏆
vs
BAL Weert
Position#15
Record9-16
FormLLLLL
Points / game70.3
Allowed / game78.0
EuropeBNXT League· Country Hall
Other2023-24
Meetings · Liege v BAL Weert
03 May 2024
LIE86
BAL 70
05 May 2023
LIE90
BAL 52
28 Apr 2023
LIE93
BAL 66
08 Apr 2022
LIE82
BAL 84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Liege winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
BAL Weert winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LiegeLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLiege
Date
Competition
Juventus
#2
L
87-96
87
96
-9
83avg 77
A20/03
ENBL
BAL Weert
#15
L
84-86
84
86
-2
69avg 77
A23/03
BNXT League
Leiden
#5
L
78-84
78
84
-6
72avg 77
A30/03
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#2
L
80-99
80
99
-19
69avg 77
H05/04
BNXT League
Voluntari
#3
L
79-80
79
80
-1
79avg 77
H09/04
ENBL
Siauliai
#4
W
83-73
83
73
+10
62avg 77
H10/04
ENBL
Donar Groningen
#13
W
88-70
88
70
+18
77avg 77
H14/04
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#2
W
88-72
88
72
+16
89avg 77
A19/04
BNXT League
Leiden
#5
W
94-65
94
65
+29
101avg 77
H26/04
BNXT League
Zwolle
#12
W
91-86 OT
91
86
+5
82avg 77
A01/05
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-19
26-25
15-26
29-26
17-18
25-18
17-30
25-20
18-24
18-27
22-13
20-20
15-19
23-31
18-24
24-25
23-19
16-33
17-17
23-11
17-22
23-19
23-16
20-16
18-21
28-8
23-18
19-23
22-13
28-18
22-14
16-27
28-10
19-17
30-18
17-20
27-15
16-20
22-24
15-21
166.3Avg total
85.2Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)80.778.6159.3+2.159%
Season at home (14)81.577.4158.9+4.164%
Season away (15)79.979.7159.7+0.253%
Last 10 (10)85.281.1166.3+4.150%
Last 5 (5)88.873.2162.0+15.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)83.987.6171.4-3.744%
vs Similar (14)85.482.9168.3+2.657%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)88.074.4162.4+13.671%
This opponent (BAL Weert) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BAL WeertLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWeert
Date
Competition
Zwolle
#12
W
71-69
71
69
+2
64avg 62
H17/02
BNXT League
Oostende
#1
L
74-97
74
97
-23
57avg 62
H02/03
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
L
60-75
60
75
-15
57avg 62
A15/03
BNXT League
Liege
#6
W
86-84
86
84
+2
88avg 62
H23/03
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#3
L
68-82
68
82
-14
55avg 62
H30/03
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#7
L
80-82
80
82
-2
74avg 62
A05/04
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#3
L
68-89
68
89
-21
63avg 62
A12/04
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#7
L
58-98
58
98
-40
41avg 62
H20/04
BNXT League
Oostende
#1
L
60-112
60
112
-52
46avg 62
A27/04
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
L
72-84
72
84
-12
61avg 62
H01/05
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-19
19-11
15-18
21-21
23-30
10-31
23-15
18-21
12-13
19-16
14-30
15-16
18-17
18-25
30-17
20-25
15-26
9-19
29-23
15-14
23-22
16-19
18-18
23-23
16-21
17-19
24-25
11-24
18-28
15-18
12-29
13-23
24-33
10-32
18-20
8-27
24-28
16-20
18-19
14-17
156.9Avg total
69.7Scored
87.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)70.378.0148.3-7.836%
Season at home (13)70.279.8149.9-9.631%
Season away (12)70.476.2146.6-5.842%
Last 10 (10)69.787.2156.9-17.520%
Last 5 (5)67.693.0160.6-25.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)65.781.3147.0-15.614%
vs Similar (6)76.573.7150.2+2.867%
vs Weaker (2)79.064.5143.5+14.5100%
This opponent (Liege) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: -4.8-4.8Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -6.1-6.1Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -5.3-5.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: -4.8-4.8Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -6.1-6.1Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -5.3-5.3
LiegeBAL Weert
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LiegeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Juventus
#2
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A20/03
ENBL
BAL Weert
#15
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A23/03
BNXT League
Leiden
#5
L
36-51
36
51
-15
A30/03
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#2
L
38-50
38
50
-12
H05/04
BNXT League
Voluntari
#3
L
39-52
39
52
-13
H09/04
ENBL
Siauliai
#4
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H10/04
ENBL
Donar Groningen
#13
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H14/04
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#2
W
50-31
50
31
+19
A19/04
BNXT League
Leiden
#5
W
47-27
47
27
+20
H26/04
BNXT League
Zwolle
#12
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A01/05
BNXT League
82.0Avg total
42.4Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.140.083.1+3.153%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.438.982.3+4.462%-
Last 30 away (14)42.941.284.1+1.643%-
Last 10 (10)42.439.682.0+2.850%-
Last 5 (5)45.232.677.8+12.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)44.443.387.8+1.144%-
vs Similar (14)42.340.182.4+2.150%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)43.135.478.6+7.771%-
This opponent (BAL Weert) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BAL WeertLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zwolle
#12
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H17/02
BNXT League
Oostende
#1
L
33-61
33
61
-28
H02/03
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A15/03
BNXT League
Liege
#6
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H23/03
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#3
L
24-45
24
45
-21
H30/03
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#7
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A05/04
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#3
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A12/04
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#7
L
33-46
33
46
-13
H20/04
BNXT League
Oostende
#1
L
34-65
34
65
-31
A27/04
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H01/05
BNXT League
78.5Avg total
33.8Scored
44.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)35.340.275.5-4.931%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.141.476.5-6.327%-
Last 30 away (14)35.538.974.4-3.436%-
Last 10 (10)33.844.778.5-10.920%-
Last 5 (5)35.848.083.8-12.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)33.341.274.5-8.019%-
vs Similar (6)41.039.580.5+1.550%-
vs Weaker (2)39.531.070.5+8.5100%-
This opponent (Liege) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Liegetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Liege: 84.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.8 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.522.6
53.2%
52.2%45.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.57.2
29.4%
33.1%21.6
🏀 Free throws23.917.8
74.5%
71.4%17.8
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
BAL Weerttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BAL Weert: 69.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.518.7
51.2%
52.2%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.26.7
33.2%
33.1%20.1
🏀 Free throws17.111.8
69.0%
71.4%11.8
They take 56.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 May 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Liege
WWWWWLLLLL
BAL Weert
LLLLLLWLLW
#6
League position
#15
+3.5
Net rating
-22.5
107.2
Offensive rating
92.1
103.7
Defensive rating
114.6
49.9%
Effective FG%
50.7%
53.1%
Opp. effective FG%
56.3%
19.9%
Turnover %
23.8%
35.5%
Off. rebound %
20.1%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.30
29.4%
3-point %
33.2%
63.1%
Assist %
53.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence107.2 · 92.1Defence103.7 · 114.6Shooting49.9% · 50.7%3-point %29.4% · 33.2%Ball care19.9% · 23.8%Off. rebounds35.5% · 20.1%Free throws0.36 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ Liege   ■ BAL Weert
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Liege wins
2
BAL Weert wins
DateGameScore
23/03/24BAL Weert v Liege86-84
05/05/23Liege v BAL Weert90-52
03/05/23BAL Weert v Liege69-80
28/04/23Liege v BAL Weert93-66
18/03/23BAL Weert v Liege82-88
29/04/22BAL Weert v Liege68-70
08/04/22Liege v BAL Weert82-84
Liegelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/05/24AZwolle91-86 OT
26/04/24HLeiden94-65
19/04/24ADen Bosch88-72
14/04/24HDonar Groningen88-70
10/04/24HSiauliai83-73
09/04/24HVoluntari79-80
05/04/24HDen Bosch80-99
30/03/24ALeiden78-84
23/03/24ABAL Weert84-86
20/03/24AJuventus87-96
BAL Weertlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/05/24HLimburg72-84
27/04/24AOostende60-112
20/04/24HSpirou Charleroi58-98
12/04/24AAntwerp Giants68-89
05/04/24ASpirou Charleroi80-82
30/03/24HAntwerp Giants68-82
23/03/24HLiege86-84
15/03/24ALimburg60-75
02/03/24HOostende74-97
17/02/24HZwolle71-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Liege
BNXT League 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW59%
HomeWWLWW64%
AwayLLLWW53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %59%64%53%
Points / game80.781.579.9
Allowed / game78.677.479.7
Point differential+2.1+4.1+0.2
Avg total159.3158.9159.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%43%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)67% (3)80% (5)
Overtime %3%0%7%
BAL Weert
BNXT League 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL36%
HomeLWLLL31%
AwayWLLLL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %36%31%42%
Points / game70.370.270.4
Allowed / game78.079.876.2
Point differential-7.8-9.6-5.8
Avg total148.3149.9146.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%8%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oostende2927293%83.470.6+12.8
2 Den Bosch2519676%80.872.4+8.4
3 Antwerp Giants2922776%82.971.8+11.1
4 Limburg29191066%77.173.3+3.8
5 Leiden2516964%75.473.0+2.4
6 Spirou Charleroi29181162%74.273.7+0.6
7 Liege29171259%80.778.6+2.1
8 Mechelen31171455%78.776.4+2.3
9 Circus Brussels31161552%78.676.5+2.1
10 Leuven Bears31151648%77.076.4+0.6
11 Belfius Mons31151648%79.080.3-1.3
12 Zwolle25121348%75.372.1+3.2
13 Donar Groningen25111444%73.573.6-0.0
14 BAL Weert2591636%70.378.0-7.8
15 Kortrijk31112035%79.682.1-2.5
16 Okapi Aalst31102132%77.279.4-2.2
17 LWD Basket2781930%77.283.9-6.7
18 Feyenoord2781930%74.483.1-8.7
19 QSTA Utd2772026%72.379.8-7.6
20 Den Helder2752219%66.480.8-14.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Liege2217252286
BAL Weert1424191370
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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