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Liege vs Leiden Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 26 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 94-65
28-10 19-17 30-18 17-20
Position#6
Record15-12
FormLLWWW
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game78.9
Liege 🏆
vs
Leiden
Position#5
Record16-7
FormWWLWL
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game71.5
EuropeBNXT League· Country Hall
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Liege winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Leiden winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LiegeLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLiege
Date
Competition
Juventus
#2
W
95-84
95
84
+11
99avg 76
H13/03
ENBL
Zwolle
#12
W
90-70
90
70
+20
99avg 76
H15/03
BNXT League
Juventus
#2
L
87-96
87
96
-9
83avg 76
A20/03
ENBL
BAL Weert
#15
L
84-86
84
86
-2
69avg 76
A23/03
BNXT League
Leiden
#5
L
78-84
78
84
-6
72avg 76
A30/03
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#2
L
80-99
80
99
-19
69avg 76
H05/04
BNXT League
Voluntari
#3
L
79-80
79
80
-1
79avg 76
H09/04
ENBL
Siauliai
#4
W
83-73
83
73
+10
62avg 76
H10/04
ENBL
Donar Groningen
#13
W
88-70
88
70
+18
77avg 76
H14/04
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#2
W
88-72
88
72
+16
89avg 76
A19/04
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-23
29-22
13-25
25-14
21-18
32-13
25-18
12-21
17-19
26-25
15-26
29-26
17-18
25-18
17-30
25-20
18-24
18-27
22-13
20-20
15-19
23-31
18-24
24-25
23-19
16-33
17-17
23-11
17-22
23-19
23-16
20-16
18-21
28-8
23-18
19-23
22-13
28-18
22-14
16-27
166.6Avg total
85.2Scored
81.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)79.878.9158.7+1.056%
Season at home (13)80.578.4158.9+2.262%
Season away (14)79.179.3158.4-0.150%
Last 10 (10)85.281.4166.6+3.850%
Last 5 (5)83.678.8162.4+4.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)83.987.6171.4-3.744%
vs Similar ◀ (14)81.680.4161.9+1.257%
vs Weaker (7)88.074.4162.4+13.671%
This opponent (Leiden) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LeidenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLeiden
Date
Competition
Chemnitz
#2
L
57-78
57
78
-21
56avg 69
A07/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Den Helder
#20
W
86-60
86
60
+26
98avg 69
H10/02
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#17
L
82-101
82
101
-19
73avg 69
A17/02
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#7
W
70-45
70
45
+25
72avg 69
H02/03
BNXT League
Oostende
#1
L
68-75
68
75
-7
60avg 69
A16/03
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
W
75-61
75
61
+14
78avg 69
H23/03
BNXT League
Liege
#6
W
84-78
84
78
+6
85avg 69
H30/03
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#3
L
73-85
73
85
-12
63avg 69
A06/04
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
W
75-66
75
66
+9
73avg 69
A12/04
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#3
L
52-103
52
103
-51
33avg 69
H20/04
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-16
16-25
11-21
15-16
23-15
20-22
20-17
23-6
26-26
19-25
17-18
20-32
11-10
22-11
14-14
23-10
20-17
19-24
19-16
10-18
17-20
16-15
17-15
25-11
24-18
27-18
13-22
20-20
24-23
24-20
16-27
9-15
20-15
19-15
17-21
19-15
11-20
10-26
18-31
13-26
147.4Avg total
72.2Scored
75.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)76.271.5147.7+4.770%
Season at home (12)75.467.2142.6+8.283%
Season away (11)77.076.2153.2+0.855%
Last 10 (10)72.275.2147.4-3.050%
Last 5 (5)71.878.6150.4-6.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)66.081.9147.9-15.918%
vs Similar ◀ (11)74.968.4143.3+6.582%
vs Weaker (7)78.472.7151.1+5.771%
This opponent (Liege) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -4.0-4.0Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +0.8+0.8
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -4.0-4.0Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +0.8+0.8
LiegeLeiden
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LiegeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Juventus
#2
W
57-45
57
45
+12
H13/03
ENBL
Zwolle
#12
W
53-31
53
31
+22
H15/03
BNXT League
Juventus
#2
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A20/03
ENBL
BAL Weert
#15
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A23/03
BNXT League
Leiden
#5
L
36-51
36
51
-15
A30/03
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#2
L
38-50
38
50
-12
H05/04
BNXT League
Voluntari
#3
L
39-52
39
52
-13
H09/04
ENBL
Siauliai
#4
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H10/04
ENBL
Donar Groningen
#13
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H14/04
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#2
W
50-31
50
31
+19
A19/04
BNXT League
85.4Avg total
44.4Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.540.483.0+2.147%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.139.782.9+3.460%-
Last 30 away (15)41.941.183.1+0.833%-
Last 10 (10)44.441.085.4+3.450%-
Last 5 (5)42.640.683.2+2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)44.443.387.8+1.144%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)41.041.182.1-0.136%-
vs Weaker (7)43.135.478.6+7.771%-
This opponent (Leiden) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LeidenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chemnitz
#2
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A07/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Den Helder
#20
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H10/02
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#17
L
45-51
45
51
-6
A17/02
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#7
W
33-21
33
21
+12
H02/03
BNXT League
Oostende
#1
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A16/03
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H23/03
BNXT League
Liege
#6
W
51-36
51
36
+15
H30/03
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#3
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A06/04
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
W
39-30
39
30
+9
A12/04
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#3
L
21-46
21
46
-25
H20/04
BNXT League
76.4Avg total
38.3Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.035.972.9+1.157%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.935.170.9+0.869%-
Last 30 away (14)38.236.975.1+1.443%-
Last 10 (10)38.338.176.4+0.250%-
Last 5 (5)38.438.076.4+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)33.941.275.1-7.327%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)36.632.168.7+4.573%-
vs Weaker (7)40.735.976.6+4.971%-
This opponent (Liege) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Liegetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Liege: 85.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.522.1
53.3%
52.2%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.47.9
32.4%
33.1%23.7
🏀 Free throws22.317.1
76.7%
71.4%17.1
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Leidentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leiden: 71.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.121.1
54.0%
52.2%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.56.5
33.3%
33.1%19.5
🏀 Free throws14.610.0
68.5%
71.4%10.0
They take 58.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Liege
WWWLLLLLWW
Leiden
LWLWWLWLWL
#6
League position
#5
+3.9
Net rating
-3.4
108.0
Offensive rating
98.5
104.0
Defensive rating
101.9
51.5%
Effective FG%
52.6%
52.5%
Opp. effective FG%
50.4%
21.9%
Turnover %
22.1%
36.1%
Off. rebound %
26.2%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.25
32.4%
3-point %
33.3%
63.3%
Assist %
70.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence108.0 · 98.5Defence104.0 · 101.9Shooting51.5% · 52.6%3-point %32.4% · 33.3%Ball care21.9% · 22.1%Off. rebounds36.1% · 26.2%Free throws0.34 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Liege   ■ Leiden
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Liege wins
1
Leiden wins
DateGameScore
30/03/24Leiden v Liege84-78
Liegelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/04/24ADen Bosch88-72
14/04/24HDonar Groningen88-70
10/04/24HSiauliai83-73
09/04/24HVoluntari79-80
05/04/24HDen Bosch80-99
30/03/24ALeiden78-84
23/03/24ABAL Weert84-86
20/03/24AJuventus87-96
15/03/24HZwolle90-70
13/03/24HJuventus95-84
Leidenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/04/24HAntwerp Giants52-103
12/04/24ALimburg75-66
06/04/24AAntwerp Giants73-85
30/03/24HLiege84-78
23/03/24HLimburg75-61
16/03/24AOostende68-75
02/03/24HSpirou Charleroi70-45
17/02/24ALWD Basket82-101
10/02/24HDen Helder86-60
07/02/24AChemnitz57-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Liege
BNXT League 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW56%
HomeWWWLW62%
AwayLLLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %56%62%50%
Points / game79.880.579.1
Allowed / game78.978.479.3
Point differential+1.0+2.2-0.1
Avg total158.7158.9158.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%38%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)67% (3)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Leiden
BNXT League 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL70%
HomeWWWWL83%
AwayWLLLW55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %70%83%55%
Points / game76.275.477.0
Allowed / game71.567.276.2
Point differential+4.7+8.2+0.8
Avg total147.7142.6153.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%42%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oostende2725293%82.371.1+11.2
2 Den Bosch2318578%81.372.4+8.8
3 Antwerp Giants2721678%83.171.4+11.8
4 Leiden2316770%76.271.5+4.7
5 Limburg2718967%77.373.0+4.3
6 Spirou Charleroi27161159%74.073.8+0.2
7 Liege27151256%79.878.9+1.0
8 Zwolle23121152%75.671.4+4.2
9 Mechelen29151452%78.076.6+1.5
10 Circus Brussels29141548%78.776.9+1.8
11 Leuven Bears29131645%76.777.5-0.8
12 Belfius Mons29131645%78.180.7-2.6
13 Donar Groningen23101343%72.572.8-0.3
14 BAL Weert2391439%70.776.3-5.7
15 Kortrijk29111838%79.281.2-2.0
16 Feyenoord2581732%74.082.1-8.0
17 Okapi Aalst2992031%76.780.0-3.3
18 LWD Basket2571828%78.384.7-6.4
19 QSTA Utd2571828%73.279.6-6.4
20 Den Helder2552020%66.881.2-14.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Liege2819301794
Leiden1017182065
← all games of the day
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