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Leiden vs Liege Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 84-78
24-18 27-18 13-22 20-20
Position#5
Record14-5
FormWLWLW
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game69.1
Leiden 🏆
vs
Liege
Position#6
Record13-10
FormLWWLL
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game78.4
EuropeBNXT League· Vijf Meihal
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Leiden winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Liege winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LeidenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLeiden
Date
Competition
Den Bosch
#1
L
72-87 OT
72
87
-15
no box
A21/01
DBL Cup
CSM Oradea
#17
L
77-90
77
90
-13
76avg 70
A24/01
FIBA Europe Cup
BAL Weert
#15
W
72-64
72
64
+8
65avg 70
H27/01
BNXT League
Varese
#7
W
81-77
81
77
+4
75avg 70
H31/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Chemnitz
#2
L
57-78
57
78
-21
56avg 70
A07/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Den Helder
#20
W
86-60
86
60
+26
98avg 70
H10/02
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#17
L
82-101
82
101
-19
73avg 70
A17/02
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#7
W
70-45
70
45
+25
72avg 70
H02/03
BNXT League
Oostende
#1
L
68-75
68
75
-7
60avg 70
A16/03
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
W
75-61
75
61
+14
78avg 70
H23/03
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-21
10-17
14-21
21-19
27-21
16-24
13-20
21-25
15-13
16-16
23-20
18-15
19-27
27-13
19-18
16-19
15-16
16-25
11-21
15-16
23-15
20-22
20-17
23-6
26-26
19-25
17-18
20-32
11-10
22-11
14-14
23-10
20-17
19-24
19-16
10-18
17-20
16-15
17-15
25-11
147.8Avg total
74.0Scored
73.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)77.369.1146.3+8.274%
Season at home (10)76.962.5139.4+14.490%
Season away (9)77.776.3154.0+1.356%
Last 10 (10)74.073.8147.8+0.250%
Last 5 (5)76.268.4144.6+7.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)66.879.2146.0-12.422%
vs Similar ◀ (10)73.967.3141.2+6.680%
vs Weaker (9)80.170.4150.6+9.778%
This opponent (Liege) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LiegeLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLiege
Date
Competition
Kortrijk
#14
W
94-83
94
83
+11
90avg 77
A02/02
BNXT League
Siauliai
#4
L
74-97
74
97
-23
63avg 77
H06/02
ENBL
Antwerp Giants
#3
W
86-80
86
80
+6
82avg 77
H09/02
BNXT League
Oostende
#1
L
76-94
76
94
-18
68avg 77
A14/02
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
W
84-74
84
74
+10
79avg 77
H17/02
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#13
L
75-81
75
81
-6
64avg 77
A06/03
BNXT League
Juventus
#2
W
95-84
95
84
+11
99avg 77
H13/03
ENBL
Zwolle
#12
W
90-70
90
70
+20
99avg 77
H15/03
BNXT League
Juventus
#2
L
87-96
87
96
-9
83avg 77
A20/03
ENBL
BAL Weert
#15
L
84-86
84
86
-2
69avg 77
A23/03
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-30
25-13
32-18
16-22
21-28
21-27
18-18
14-24
27-15
27-22
13-16
19-27
19-24
19-22
19-21
19-27
15-14
26-21
19-20
24-19
17-21
14-15
19-22
25-23
28-23
29-22
13-25
25-14
21-18
32-13
25-18
12-21
17-19
26-25
15-26
29-26
17-18
25-18
17-30
25-20
169.0Avg total
84.5Scored
84.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)79.278.4157.6+0.757%
Season at home (11)79.977.3157.2+2.664%
Season away (12)78.579.5158.0-1.050%
Last 10 (10)84.584.5169.0+0.050%
Last 5 (5)86.283.4169.6+2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)80.988.4169.2-7.538%
vs Similar ◀ (15)80.779.5160.2+1.160%
vs Weaker (7)87.375.9163.1+11.471%
This opponent (Leiden) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +4.6+4.6Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -1.5-1.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +4.6+4.6Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -1.5-1.5
LeidenLiege
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LeidenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Den Bosch
#1
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A21/01
DBL Cup
CSM Oradea
#17
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A24/01
FIBA Europe Cup
BAL Weert
#15
W
31-29
31
29
+2
H27/01
BNXT League
Varese
#7
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H31/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Chemnitz
#2
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A07/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Den Helder
#20
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H10/02
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#17
L
45-51
45
51
-6
A17/02
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#7
W
33-21
33
21
+12
H02/03
BNXT League
Oostende
#1
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A16/03
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H23/03
BNXT League
75.3Avg total
37.5Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)36.535.472.0+1.155%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.834.670.4+1.267%-
Last 30 away (14)37.336.473.6+0.943%-
Last 10 (10)37.537.875.3-0.340%-
Last 5 (5)38.637.075.6+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)33.840.474.2-6.722%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)34.832.767.5+2.160%-
vs Weaker (9)39.935.275.1+4.778%-
This opponent (Liege) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LiegeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kortrijk
#14
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A02/02
BNXT League
Siauliai
#4
L
42-55
42
55
-13
H06/02
ENBL
Antwerp Giants
#3
W
54-37
54
37
+17
H09/02
BNXT League
Oostende
#1
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A14/02
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H17/02
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#13
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A06/03
BNXT League
Juventus
#2
W
57-45
57
45
+12
H13/03
ENBL
Zwolle
#12
W
53-31
53
31
+22
H15/03
BNXT League
Juventus
#2
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A20/03
ENBL
BAL Weert
#15
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A23/03
BNXT League
85.5Avg total
44.7Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)42.040.082.0+2.045%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.137.880.9+5.269%-
Last 30 away (16)41.141.882.9-0.625%-
Last 10 (10)44.740.885.5+3.960%-
Last 5 (5)45.238.483.6+6.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)43.043.286.2-0.238%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)41.039.480.4+1.643%-
vs Weaker (7)42.937.680.4+5.357%-
This opponent (Leiden) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Leidentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leiden: 73.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.5 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.722.2
53.2%
52.2%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.86.9
38.8%
33.1%20.7
🏀 Free throws12.48.5
68.5%
71.4%8.5
They take 59.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 17.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Liegetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Liege: 83.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.3 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.821.1
51.7%
52.2%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.37.8
33.5%
33.1%23.4
🏀 Free throws23.618.3
77.5%
71.4%18.3
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Leiden
WLWLWLWWLL
Liege
LLWWLWLWLW
#5
League position
#6
+3.3
Net rating
+0.3
101.2
Offensive rating
107.4
97.9
Defensive rating
107.1
54.7%
Effective FG%
51.2%
48.8%
Opp. effective FG%
53.5%
20.7%
Turnover %
22.5%
24.0%
Off. rebound %
37.2%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.37
38.8%
3-point %
33.5%
68.4%
Assist %
63.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence101.2 · 107.4Defence97.9 · 107.1Shooting54.7% · 51.2%3-point %38.8% · 33.5%Ball care20.7% · 22.5%Off. rebounds24.0% · 37.2%Free throws0.21 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Leiden   ■ Liege
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Leiden wins
0
Liege wins
No previous meetings.
Leidenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/24HLimburg75-61
16/03/24AOostende68-75
02/03/24HSpirou Charleroi70-45
17/02/24ALWD Basket82-101
10/02/24HDen Helder86-60
07/02/24AChemnitz57-78
31/01/24HVarese81-77
27/01/24HBAL Weert72-64
24/01/24ACSM Oradea77-90
21/01/24ADen Bosch72-87 OT
Liegelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/24ABAL Weert84-86
20/03/24AJuventus87-96
15/03/24HZwolle90-70
13/03/24HJuventus95-84
06/03/24ADonar Groningen75-81
17/02/24HMechelen84-74
14/02/24AOostende76-94
09/02/24HAntwerp Giants86-80
06/02/24HSiauliai74-97
02/02/24AKortrijk94-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Leiden
BNXT League 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW74%
HomeWWWWW90%
AwayWLWLL56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %74%90%56%
Points / game77.376.977.7
Allowed / game69.162.576.3
Point differential+8.2+14.4+1.3
Avg total146.3139.4154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%50%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Liege
BNXT League 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL57%
HomeWLWWW64%
AwayLWLLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %57%64%50%
Points / game79.279.978.5
Allowed / game78.477.379.5
Point differential+0.7+2.6-1.0
Avg total157.6157.2158.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%36%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)67% (3)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oostende2321291%80.770.8+9.8
2 Den Bosch2017385%81.870.7+11.2
3 Antwerp Giants2317674%82.072.4+9.6
4 Leiden1914574%77.369.1+8.2
5 Limburg2416867%77.072.2+4.7
6 Zwolle1912763%75.969.0+6.9
7 Liege23131057%79.278.4+0.7
8 Donar Groningen1910953%72.069.4+2.6
9 Spirou Charleroi23121152%72.874.8-2.0
10 BAL Weert1991047%71.173.9-2.8
11 Circus Brussels24111346%78.176.9+1.2
12 Mechelen25111444%76.476.8-0.3
13 Kortrijk25101540%78.280.2-1.9
14 Leuven Bears2491538%75.578.4-2.9
15 Feyenoord2071335%72.880.2-7.5
16 Belfius Mons2481633%76.782.2-5.5
17 LWD Basket2061430%78.384.0-5.8
18 QSTA Utd2061430%73.279.2-6.0
19 Okapi Aalst2461825%75.781.2-5.5
20 Den Helder2251723%67.180.5-13.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Leiden2427132084
Liege1818222078
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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