PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Liege vs Den Bosch Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 05 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 80-99
15-19 23-31 18-24 24-25
Position#6
Record13-11
FormWWLLL
Points / game79.1
Allowed / game78.7
vs
Position#2
Record17-3
FormWLLWW
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game70.7
EuropeBNXT League· Country Hall
Other2023-24
Meetings · Liege v Den Bosch
05 Apr 2024
LIE80
DBO99
27 Jan 2009
LIE81
DBO68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Liege winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Den Bosch winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LiegeLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLiege
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#4
L
74-97
74
97
-23
63avg 76
H06/02
ENBL
Antwerp Giants
#3
W
86-80
86
80
+6
82avg 76
H09/02
BNXT League
Oostende
#1
L
76-94
76
94
-18
68avg 76
A14/02
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
W
84-74
84
74
+10
79avg 76
H17/02
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#13
L
75-81
75
81
-6
64avg 76
A06/03
BNXT League
Juventus
#2
W
95-84
95
84
+11
99avg 76
H13/03
ENBL
Zwolle
#12
W
90-70
90
70
+20
99avg 76
H15/03
BNXT League
Juventus
#2
L
87-96
87
96
-9
83avg 76
A20/03
ENBL
BAL Weert
#15
L
84-86
84
86
-2
69avg 76
A23/03
BNXT League
Leiden
#5
L
78-84
78
84
-6
72avg 76
A30/03
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-28
21-27
18-18
14-24
27-15
27-22
13-16
19-27
19-24
19-22
19-21
19-27
15-14
26-21
19-20
24-19
17-21
14-15
19-22
25-23
28-23
29-22
13-25
25-14
21-18
32-13
25-18
12-21
17-19
26-25
15-26
29-26
17-18
25-18
17-30
25-20
18-24
18-27
22-13
20-20
167.5Avg total
82.9Scored
84.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)79.178.7157.8+0.554%
Season at home (11)79.977.3157.2+2.664%
Season away (13)78.579.8158.3-1.446%
Last 10 (10)82.984.6167.5-1.740%
Last 5 (5)86.884.0170.8+2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)80.988.4169.2-7.538%
vs Similar (15)81.080.3161.3+0.760%
vs Weaker (7)87.375.9163.1+11.471%
This opponent (Den Bosch) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Den BoschLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBosch
Date
Competition
Leiden
#5
L
58-70
58
70
-12
no box
A18/01
DBL Cup
Leiden
#5
W
87-72 OT
87
72
+15
no box
H21/01
DBL Cup
Feyenoord
#18
W
82-73
82
73
+9
76avg 75
H28/01
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#17
W
109-84
109
84
+25
114avg 75
A03/02
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#13
W
92-68
92
68
+24
86avg 75
H10/02
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#3
W
78-76
78
76
+2
74avg 75
H01/03
BNXT League
Oostende
#1
L
73-83
73
83
-10
71avg 75
H06/03
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#7
L
68-84
68
84
-16
56avg 75
A15/03
BNXT League
Zwolle
#7
W
89-82
89
82
+7
no box
A24/03
DBL Cup
Limburg
#4
W
95-86
95
86
+9
100avg 75
H29/03
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-21
22-15
16-13
8-21
21-21
17-10
21-14
19-21
22-17
19-15
16-23
25-18
30-25
31-18
28-24
20-17
20-22
29-9
24-21
19-16
23-19
16-25
22-18
17-14
26-23
14-20
16-21
17-19
17-21
22-23
12-17
17-23
22-23
12-17
21-24
34-18
32-7
17-37
30-22
16-20
160.9Avg total
83.1Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)81.870.7152.5+11.285%
Season at home (11)83.669.5153.1+14.291%
Season away (9)79.772.1151.8+7.678%
Last 10 (10)83.177.8160.9+5.370%
Last 5 (5)80.682.2162.8-1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)66.782.7149.3-16.00%
vs Similar (8)83.182.4165.5+0.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)81.767.8149.6+13.994%
This opponent (Liege) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +0.5+0.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +0.5+0.5
LiegeDen Bosch
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LiegeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#4
L
42-55
42
55
-13
H06/02
ENBL
Antwerp Giants
#3
W
54-37
54
37
+17
H09/02
BNXT League
Oostende
#1
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A14/02
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H17/02
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#13
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A06/03
BNXT League
Juventus
#2
W
57-45
57
45
+12
H13/03
ENBL
Zwolle
#12
W
53-31
53
31
+22
H15/03
BNXT League
Juventus
#2
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A20/03
ENBL
BAL Weert
#15
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A23/03
BNXT League
Leiden
#5
L
36-51
36
51
-15
A30/03
BNXT League
85.3Avg total
43.7Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.840.482.2+1.443%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.137.880.9+5.269%-
Last 30 away (17)40.842.383.1-1.524%-
Last 10 (10)43.741.685.3+2.150%-
Last 5 (5)46.241.487.6+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)43.043.286.2-0.238%-
vs Similar (15)40.740.180.8+0.540%-
vs Weaker (7)42.937.680.4+5.357%-
This opponent (Den Bosch) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Den BoschLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Leiden
#5
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A18/01
DBL Cup
Leiden
#5
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H21/01
DBL Cup
Feyenoord
#18
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H28/01
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#17
W
61-43
61
43
+18
A03/02
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#13
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H10/02
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#3
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H01/03
BNXT League
Oostende
#1
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H06/03
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#7
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A15/03
BNXT League
Zwolle
#7
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A24/03
DBL Cup
Limburg
#4
W
49-44
49
44
+5
H29/03
BNXT League
81.2Avg total
42.4Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.335.675.8+4.767%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.134.976.9+7.275%-
Last 30 away (14)38.236.474.6+1.957%-
Last 10 (10)42.438.881.2+3.650%-
Last 5 (5)40.243.083.2-2.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)34.342.777.0-8.30%-
vs Similar (8)43.439.082.4+4.475%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)39.732.972.6+6.772%-
This opponent (Liege) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Liegetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Liege: 82.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.521.4
51.6%
52.2%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.47.6
32.5%
33.1%22.8
🏀 Free throws22.516.7
74.2%
71.4%16.7
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Den Boschtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Den Bosch: 81.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.820.1
56.1%
52.2%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.69.1
35.5%
33.1%27.3
🏀 Free throws18.213.8
75.8%
71.4%13.8
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Liege
LLLWWLWLWL
Den Bosch
WWLLWWWWWL
#6
League position
#2
-2.6
Net rating
+12.0
105.8
Offensive rating
113.1
108.4
Defensive rating
101.1
50.5%
Effective FG%
55.0%
53.9%
Opp. effective FG%
50.4%
22.2%
Turnover %
15.9%
37.6%
Off. rebound %
27.0%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.30
32.5%
3-point %
35.5%
65.5%
Assist %
65.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence105.8 · 113.1Defence108.4 · 101.1Shooting50.5% · 55.0%3-point %32.5% · 35.5%Ball care22.2% · 15.9%Off. rebounds37.6% · 27.0%Free throws0.35 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Liege   ■ Den Bosch
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Liege wins
1
Den Bosch wins
DateGameScore
24/02/09Den Bosch v Liege67-58
27/01/09Liege v Den Bosch81-68
Liegelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/03/24ALeiden78-84
23/03/24ABAL Weert84-86
20/03/24AJuventus87-96
15/03/24HZwolle90-70
13/03/24HJuventus95-84
06/03/24ADonar Groningen75-81
17/02/24HMechelen84-74
14/02/24AOostende76-94
09/02/24HAntwerp Giants86-80
06/02/24HSiauliai74-97
Den Boschlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/03/24HLimburg95-86
24/03/24AZwolle89-82
15/03/24ASpirou Charleroi68-84
06/03/24HOostende73-83
01/03/24HAntwerp Giants78-76
10/02/24HDonar Groningen92-68
03/02/24ALWD Basket109-84
28/01/24HFeyenoord82-73
21/01/24HLeiden87-72 OT
18/01/24ALeiden58-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Liege
BNXT League 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL54%
HomeWLWWW64%
AwayWLLLL46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241113
Win %54%64%46%
Points / game79.179.978.5
Allowed / game78.777.379.8
Point differential+0.5+2.6-1.4
Avg total157.8157.2158.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%36%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)67% (3)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Den Bosch
BNXT League 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW85%
HomeWWWLW91%
AwayWWWWL78%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20119
Win %85%91%78%
Points / game81.883.679.7
Allowed / game70.769.572.1
Point differential+11.2+14.2+7.6
Avg total152.5153.1151.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%55%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (1)100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oostende2422292%81.270.7+10.5
2 Den Bosch2017385%81.870.7+11.2
3 Antwerp Giants2418675%82.072.2+9.8
4 Leiden2015575%77.669.5+8.1
5 Limburg2416867%77.072.2+4.7
6 Zwolle2012860%75.769.5+6.2
7 Liege24131154%79.178.7+0.5
8 Spirou Charleroi24131154%73.074.7-1.6
9 Donar Groningen20101050%71.870.7+1.1
10 Circus Brussels25121348%78.677.2+1.4
11 BAL Weert2091145%71.074.3-3.4
12 Mechelen25111444%76.476.8-0.3
13 Leuven Bears25101540%75.978.1-2.2
14 Kortrijk26101638%77.980.4-2.5
15 Belfius Mons2591636%76.881.5-4.7
16 Feyenoord2171433%73.380.8-7.4
17 LWD Basket2161529%78.084.1-6.1
18 QSTA Utd2161529%72.879.1-6.4
19 Okapi Aalst2571828%76.280.8-4.6
20 Den Helder2251723%67.180.5-13.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Liege1523182480
Den Bosch1931242599
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.