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Liege vs Okapi Aalst Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 05 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 81-62
24-16 11-23 21-13 25-10
Position#6
Record7-5
FormLWWWW
Points / game75.4
Allowed / game76.1
Liege 🏆
vs
Position#16
Record0-13
FormLLLLL
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game87.1
EuropeBNXT League· Country Hall (Liège)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Liege v Okapi Aalst
05 Jan 2024
LIE81
OKAP62
01 Oct 2022
LIE82
OKAP73
05 Nov 2021
LIE70
OKAP55
13 Jan 2021
LIE70
OKAP80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Liege winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Okapi Aalst winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LiegeLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLiege
Date
Competition
Voluntari
#3
L
68-89
68
89
-21
58avg 75
A15/11
ENBL
Mechelen
#8
W
63-50
63
50
+13
51avg 75
A18/11
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#10
W
68-66
68
66
+2
64avg 75
A25/11
BNXT League
Keila KK
#12
W
96-92
96
92
+4
97avg 75
A28/11
ENBL
Kortrijk
#14
L
83-85
83
85
-2
79avg 75
H01/12
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#5
L
70-90
70
90
-20
no box
A08/12
Belgian Cup
Leuven Bears
#5
W
94-93
94
93
+1
no box
H11/12
Belgian Cup
Valmiera Glass Via
#16
W
97-68
97
68
+29
101avg 75
H13/12
ENBL
Limburg
#4
W
87-82
87
82
+5
85avg 75
A22/12
BNXT League
Brno
#14
W
95-62
95
62
+33
96avg 75
A28/12
ENBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-21
19-23
15-26
21-19
16-19
18-15
9-9
20-7
15-24
23-17
16-17
14-8
20-20
29-22
18-16
29-34
20-14
22-21
25-27
16-23
17-23
18-20
20-23
15-24
23-23
23-19
26-25
22-26
14-20
27-15
24-14
32-19
23-24
20-21
21-12
23-25
24-18
34-13
23-11
14-20
159.8Avg total
82.1Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)75.476.1151.5-0.758%
Season at home (5)75.679.4155.0-3.840%
Season away (7)75.373.7149.0+1.671%
Last 10 (10)82.177.7159.8+4.470%
Last 5 (5)88.679.0167.6+9.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)76.988.3165.1-11.414%
vs Similar (15)78.878.0156.8+0.860%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)92.071.0163.0+21.0100%
This opponent (Okapi Aalst) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Okapi AalstLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAalst
Date
Competition
Circus Brussels
#9
W
75-67
75
67
+8
no box
H20/10
Belgian Cup
Circus Brussels
#9
L
66-85
66
85
-19
no box
A22/10
Belgian Cup
Limburg
#4
L
82-83
82
83
-1
80avg 68
H28/10
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#10
L
78-89
78
89
-11
77avg 68
A04/11
BNXT League
Liege
#6
L
80-83
80
83
-3
69avg 68
H10/11
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#11
L
60-84
60
84
-24
47avg 68
A14/11
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#3
L
72-91
72
91
-19
63avg 68
H25/11
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#3
L
75-102
75
102
-27
62avg 68
A02/12
BNXT League
Oostende
#1
L
72-74
72
74
-2
63avg 68
H16/12
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#10
L
74-75
74
75
-1
61avg 68
H26/12
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-22
15-12
12-22
22-11
13-26
13-20
16-19
24-20
21-21
17-18
23-26
21-18
19-19
23-23
16-20
20-27
21-25
23-19
21-23
15-16
15-23
18-20
10-21
17-20
14-27
16-18
23-24
19-22
32-24
9-26
18-25
16-27
21-25
13-13
20-25
18-11
16-15
26-14
10-18
22-28
156.7Avg total
73.4Scored
83.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)76.287.1163.3-10.80%
Season at home (7)77.484.0161.4-6.60%
Season away (6)74.890.7165.5-15.80%
Last 10 (10)73.483.3156.7-9.910%
Last 5 (5)70.685.2155.8-14.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)74.384.6158.9-10.211%
vs Similar (8)76.187.4163.5-11.212%
vs Weaker (13)93.578.5172.0+14.985%
This opponent (Liege) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: +4.7+4.7Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: -5.4-5.4Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -0.6-0.6
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: +4.7+4.7Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: -5.4-5.4Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -0.6-0.6
LiegeOkapi Aalst
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LiegeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Voluntari
#3
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A15/11
ENBL
Mechelen
#8
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A18/11
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#10
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A25/11
BNXT League
Keila KK
#12
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A28/11
ENBL
Kortrijk
#14
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H01/12
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#5
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A08/12
Belgian Cup
Leuven Bears
#5
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H11/12
Belgian Cup
Valmiera Glass Via
#16
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H13/12
ENBL
Limburg
#4
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A22/12
BNXT League
Brno
#14
W
58-31
58
31
+27
A28/12
ENBL
81.0Avg total
41.8Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)40.938.779.6+2.145%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.036.378.3+5.771%-
Last 30 away (15)39.841.080.8-1.220%-
Last 10 (10)41.839.281.0+2.650%-
Last 5 (5)44.639.283.8+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)38.143.181.3-5.029%-
vs Similar (14)37.638.576.1-0.929%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)49.035.284.2+13.888%-
This opponent (Okapi Aalst) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Okapi AalstLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Circus Brussels
#9
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H20/10
Belgian Cup
Circus Brussels
#9
L
26-46
26
46
-20
A22/10
Belgian Cup
Limburg
#4
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H28/10
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#10
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A04/11
BNXT League
Liege
#6
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H10/11
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#11
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A14/11
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#3
L
30-45
30
45
-15
H25/11
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#3
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A02/12
BNXT League
Oostende
#1
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H16/12
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#10
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H26/12
BNXT League
78.1Avg total
37.1Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.741.485.1+2.250%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.438.083.4+7.456%-
Last 30 away (14)41.645.487.0-3.743%-
Last 10 (10)37.141.078.1-3.920%-
Last 5 (5)36.041.077.0-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)37.342.279.6-4.922%-
vs Similar (8)42.944.086.9-1.138%-
vs Weaker (13)48.539.387.8+9.277%-
This opponent (Liege) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Liegetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Liege: 80.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.721.3
52.3%
52.2%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.47.2
33.6%
33.1%21.6
🏀 Free throws23.116.3
70.6%
71.4%16.3
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Okapi Aalsttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Okapi Aalst: 75.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀21%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.9 pts a game · 21% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.421.3
54.1%
52.2%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.15.3
26.4%
33.1%15.9
🏀 Free throws23.016.6
72.2%
71.4%16.6
They take 59.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Liege
WWWWLLWWWL
Okapi Aalst
LLLLLLLLLW
#6
League position
#16
+7.7
Net rating
-13.9
104.5
Offensive rating
100.4
96.9
Defensive rating
114.3
51.7%
Effective FG%
49.2%
45.6%
Opp. effective FG%
56.5%
20.6%
Turnover %
19.6%
31.0%
Off. rebound %
27.8%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.39
33.6%
3-point %
26.4%
62.8%
Assist %
53.8%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence104.5 · 100.4Defence96.9 · 114.3Shooting51.7% · 49.2%3-point %33.6% · 26.4%Ball care20.6% · 19.6%Off. rebounds31.0% · 27.8%Free throws0.37 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)70% · 10%
■ Liege   ■ Okapi Aalst
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Liege wins
3
Okapi Aalst wins
DateGameScore
10/11/23Okapi Aalst v Liege80-83
13/01/23Okapi Aalst v Liege84-86
01/10/22Liege v Okapi Aalst82-73
05/11/21Liege v Okapi Aalst70-55
24/09/21Okapi Aalst v Liege77-71
13/01/21Liege v Okapi Aalst70-80
05/01/21Okapi Aalst v Liege101-58
Liegelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/12/23ABrno95-62
22/12/23ALimburg87-82
13/12/23HValmiera Glass Via97-68
11/12/23HLeuven Bears94-93
08/12/23ALeuven Bears70-90
01/12/23HKortrijk83-85
28/11/23AKeila KK96-92
25/11/23ABelfius Mons68-66
18/11/23AMechelen63-50
15/11/23AVoluntari68-89
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/12/23HBelfius Mons74-75
16/12/23HOostende72-74
02/12/23AAntwerp Giants75-102
25/11/23HAntwerp Giants72-91
14/11/23ALeuven Bears60-84
10/11/23HLiege80-83
04/11/23ABelfius Mons78-89
28/10/23HLimburg82-83
22/10/23ACircus Brussels66-85
20/10/23HCircus Brussels75-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Liege
BNXT League 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW58%
HomeWLLWL40%
AwayLWWWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %58%40%71%
Points / game75.475.675.3
Allowed / game76.179.473.7
Point differential-0.7-3.8+1.6
Avg total151.5155.0149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%20%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)50% (2)100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Okapi Aalst
BNXT League 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game76.277.474.8
Allowed / game87.184.090.7
Point differential-10.8-6.6-15.8
Avg total163.3161.4165.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (5)0% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Den Bosch1110191%81.366.6+14.6
2 Oostende1412286%76.970.0+6.9
3 Antwerp Giants1411379%82.671.5+11.1
4 Limburg1310377%78.169.0+9.1
5 Zwolle118373%78.667.4+11.3
6 Leiden118373%78.370.6+7.6
7 Donar Groningen127558%71.465.8+5.7
8 Liege127558%75.476.1-0.7
9 Kortrijk137654%80.080.8-0.8
10 Mechelen147750%76.475.4+1.0
11 Circus Brussels147750%76.475.9+0.6
12 BAL Weert105550%71.272.7-1.5
13 Spirou Charleroi147750%72.175.1-3.0
14 Feyenoord115645%74.981.4-6.5
15 Den Helder113827%65.778.5-12.7
16 Leuven Bears1331023%74.078.7-4.7
17 Belfius Mons1431121%71.680.9-9.3
18 QSTA Utd112918%71.582.5-11.0
19 LWD Basket101910%72.181.1-9.0
20 Okapi Aalst130130%76.287.1-10.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Liege2411212581
Okapi Aalst1623131062
← all games of the day
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