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Leuven Bears vs Okapi Aalst Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 14 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 84-60
23-15 20-18 21-10 20-17
Position#11
Record2-6
FormWWLLL
Points / game76.1
Allowed / game78.8
vs
Position#16
Record0-8
FormWLLLL
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game88.2
EuropeBNXT League· Sportoase (Leuven)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Leuven Bears v Okapi Aalst
17 Jan 2027
LEUV v OKAP
upcoming
15 Mar 2026
LEUV90
OKAP106
26 Apr 2025
LEUV90
OKAP75
27 Mar 2024
LEUV71
OKAP63
14 Nov 2023
LEUV84
OKAP60
15 May 2023
LEUV101
OKAP65
07 Jan 2023
LEUV88
OKAP69
25 May 2022
LEUV74
OKAP66
07 Jan 2022
LEUV103
OKAP73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Leuven Bears winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Okapi Aalst winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Leuven BearsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBears
Date
Competition
Antwerp Giants
#3
L
78-82
78
82
-4
70avg 67
A23/09
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#9
L
72-80
72
80
-8
64avg 67
H30/09
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#10
W
83-71
83
71
+12
75avg 67
A04/10
BNXT League
Liege
#6
L
78-84
78
84
-6
67avg 67
H07/10
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#7
W
82-58
82
58
+24
74avg 67
H14/10
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#11
W
75-68
75
68
+7
no box
A20/10
Belgian Cup
Belfius Mons
#11
W
67-57
67
57
+10
no box
H22/10
Belgian Cup
Oostende
#1
L
75-91
75
91
-16
64avg 67
A28/10
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
L
73-84
73
84
-11
67avg 67
H31/10
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
L
68-80
68
80
-12
59avg 67
A09/11
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-14
20-19
16-27
26-22
24-17
23-20
14-22
11-21
20-18
19-18
19-15
25-20
18-16
20-16
16-24
24-28
25-21
23-21
13-7
21-9
–
–
–
–
17-16
15-14
18-14
17-13
12-24
16-17
28-28
19-22
19-21
21-19
19-22
14-22
18-21
16-19
15-20
19-20
150.6Avg total
75.1Scored
75.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)76.178.8154.9-2.625%
Season at home (4)76.276.5152.8-0.225%
Season away (4)76.081.0157.0-5.025%
Last 10 (10)75.175.5150.6-0.440%
Last 5 (5)71.676.0147.6-4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)75.078.8153.8-3.840%
vs Similar ◀ (7)80.674.7155.3+5.943%
vs Weaker (18)81.669.7151.3+11.972%
This opponent (Okapi Aalst) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Okapi AalstLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAalst
Date
Competition
Oostende
#1
L
63-85
63
85
-22
52avg 73
A23/09
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#14
L
89-93
89
93
-4
83avg 73
A29/09
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#7
L
80-87
80
87
-7
73avg 73
H04/10
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
L
84-91
84
91
-7
74avg 73
A07/10
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#9
L
82-95
82
95
-13
77avg 73
H14/10
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#9
W
75-67
75
67
+8
no box
H20/10
Belgian Cup
Circus Brussels
#9
L
66-85
66
85
-19
no box
A22/10
Belgian Cup
Limburg
#4
L
82-83
82
83
-1
80avg 73
H28/10
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#10
L
78-89
78
89
-11
77avg 73
A04/11
BNXT League
Liege
#6
L
80-83
80
83
-3
69avg 73
H10/11
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-22
20-18
11-17
15-28
29-24
24-27
24-19
12-23
22-23
16-22
20-21
22-21
22-29
23-15
19-23
20-24
24-27
25-26
19-18
14-24
26-22
15-12
12-22
22-11
13-26
13-20
16-19
24-20
21-21
17-18
23-26
21-18
19-19
23-23
16-20
20-27
21-25
23-19
21-23
15-16
163.7Avg total
77.9Scored
85.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)79.888.2168.0-8.50%
Season at home (4)81.087.0168.0-6.00%
Season away (4)78.589.5168.0-11.00%
Last 10 (10)77.985.8163.7-7.910%
Last 5 (5)76.281.4157.6-5.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)75.082.3157.3-7.317%
vs Similar ◀ (9)80.988.7169.6-7.833%
vs Weaker (15)90.778.6169.3+12.173%
This opponent (Leuven Bears) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -2.7-2.7
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -2.7-2.7
Leuven BearsOkapi Aalst
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Leuven BearsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Antwerp Giants
#3
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A23/09
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#9
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H30/09
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#10
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A04/10
BNXT League
Liege
#6
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H07/10
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#7
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H14/10
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#11
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H22/10
Belgian Cup
Oostende
#1
L
28-41
28
41
-13
A28/10
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H31/10
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A09/11
BNXT League
74.8Avg total
38.0Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)41.236.277.3+5.072%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.933.477.3+10.493%-
Last 30 away (15)38.738.777.4-0.153%-
Last 10 (9)38.036.874.8+1.267%-
Last 5 (5)36.438.675.0-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)36.238.274.4-2.060%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)43.039.082.0+4.071%-
vs Weaker (17)41.934.476.3+7.576%-
This opponent (Okapi Aalst) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Okapi AalstLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oostende
#1
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A23/09
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#14
W
53-51
53
51
+2
A29/09
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#7
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H04/10
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A07/10
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#9
L
49-53
49
53
-4
H14/10
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#9
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H20/10
Belgian Cup
Circus Brussels
#9
L
26-46
26
46
-20
A22/10
Belgian Cup
Limburg
#4
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H28/10
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#10
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A04/11
BNXT League
Liege
#6
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H10/11
BNXT League
85.1Avg total
41.3Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.841.986.7+2.957%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.339.186.5+8.260%-
Last 30 away (15)42.344.786.9-2.453%-
Last 10 (10)41.343.885.1-2.530%-
Last 5 (5)38.241.079.2-2.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)38.541.279.7-2.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)44.147.391.4-3.233%-
vs Weaker (15)47.738.986.7+8.880%-
This opponent (Leuven Bears) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Leuven Bearstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leuven Bears: 70.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.418.1
49.7%
52.2%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.67.5
36.4%
33.1%22.5
🏀 Free throws17.112.2
71.3%
71.4%12.2
They take 57.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Okapi Aalsttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Okapi Aalst: 78.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀21%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.8 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.9 pts a game · 21% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.922.9
54.6%
52.2%45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.95.6
31.5%
33.1%16.9
🏀 Free throws23.116.1
69.7%
71.4%16.1
They take 59.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 17.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/8 games with a box score before 14 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Leuven Bears
LLLWWWLWLL
Okapi Aalst
LLLLWLLLLL
#11
League position
#16
-5.3
Net rating
-11.3
107.2
Offensive rating
104.5
112.5
Defensive rating
115.8
51.5%
Effective FG%
52.4%
56.2%
Opp. effective FG%
55.9%
15.0%
Turnover %
19.1%
25.9%
Off. rebound %
26.7%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.39
36.4%
3-point %
31.5%
54.3%
Assist %
58.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence107.2 · 104.5Defence112.5 · 115.8Shooting51.5% · 52.4%3-point %36.4% · 31.5%Ball care15.0% · 19.1%Off. rebounds25.9% · 26.7%Free throws0.30 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)40% · 10%
■ Leuven Bears   ■ Okapi Aalst
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Leuven Bears wins
3
Okapi Aalst wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/23ALimburg68-80
31/10/23HMechelen73-84
28/10/23AOostende75-91
22/10/23HBelfius Mons67-57
20/10/23ABelfius Mons75-68
14/10/23HSpirou Charleroi82-58
07/10/23HLiege78-84
04/10/23ABelfius Mons83-71
30/09/23HCircus Brussels72-80
23/09/23AAntwerp Giants78-82
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/23HLiege80-83
04/11/23ABelfius Mons78-89
28/10/23HLimburg82-83
22/10/23ACircus Brussels66-85
20/10/23HCircus Brussels75-67
14/10/23HCircus Brussels82-95
07/10/23AMechelen84-91
04/10/23HSpirou Charleroi80-87
29/09/23AKortrijk89-93
23/09/23AOostende63-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Leuven Bears
BNXT League 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL25%
HomeLLWL25%
AwayLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %25%25%25%
Points / game76.176.276.0
Allowed / game78.876.581.0
Point differential-2.6-0.2-5.0
Avg total154.9152.8157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%25%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Okapi Aalst
BNXT League 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLLL0%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game79.881.078.5
Allowed / game88.287.089.5
Point differential-8.5-6.0-11.0
Avg total168.0168.0168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Limburg87188%78.565.9+12.6
2 Leiden76186%81.468.1+13.3
3 Den Bosch65183%86.269.5+16.7
4 Zwolle86275%77.065.0+12.0
5 Antwerp Giants86275%79.275.0+4.2
6 Oostende86275%76.873.1+3.6
7 BAL Weert64267%73.372.7+0.7
8 Mechelen85362%77.972.5+5.4
9 Circus Brussels85362%81.978.5+3.4
10 Donar Groningen74357%73.467.1+6.3
11 Liege84450%75.578.8-3.2
12 Spirou Charleroi73443%74.677.9-3.3
13 Kortrijk73443%77.184.0-6.9
14 Feyenoord73443%73.783.1-9.4
15 Den Helder72529%66.680.9-14.3
16 Leuven Bears82625%76.178.8-2.6
17 Belfius Mons61517%76.784.7-8.0
18 QSTA Utd71614%69.381.3-12.0
19 Okapi Aalst8080%79.888.2-8.5
20 LWD Basket7070%72.985.3-12.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Leuven Bears2320212084
Okapi Aalst1518101760
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