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Okapi Aalst vs Circus Brussels Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 20 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 75-67
26-22 15-12 12-22 22-11
Position#7
Record-
FormLLLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Okapi Aalst 🏆
Belgium
vs
Circus Brussels
Belgium
Position#9
Record-
FormLWWWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
BelgiumBelgian Cup· Okapi Forum
Other2023
Meetings · Okapi Aalst v Circus Brussels
15 Mar 2025
OKAP68
CIRC82
20 Oct 2023
OKAP75
CIRC67
14 Oct 2023
OKAP82
CIRC95
18 Feb 2023
OKAP85
CIRC80
23 Jan 2022
OKAP82
CIRC70
15 Jan 2022
OKAP78
CIRC62
14 Dec 2019
OKAP80
CIRC72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Okapi Aalst winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Circus Brussels winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Okapi AalstBelgiumLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAalst
Date
Competition
Amsterdam
#20
W
104-76
104
76
+28
no box
H28/04
BNXT League
Amsterdam
#20
L
87-94
87
94
-7
no box
A03/05
BNXT League
Amsterdam
#20
W
101-67
101
67
+34
no box
H05/05
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#6
W
81-75
81
75
+6
no box
H12/05
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#6
L
65-101
65
101
-36
no box
A15/05
BNXT League
Oostende
#1
L
63-85
63
85
-22
52avg 72
A23/09
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#14
L
89-93
89
93
-4
83avg 72
A29/09
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#7
L
80-87
80
87
-7
73avg 72
H04/10
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
L
84-91
84
91
-7
74avg 72
A07/10
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#9
L
82-95
82
95
-13
77avg 72
H14/10
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-11
31-17
33-27
20-21
17-28
18-20
28-29
24-17
38-17
19-22
31-14
13-14
26-10
23-24
17-22
15-19
17-27
20-28
13-25
15-21
17-22
20-18
11-17
15-28
29-24
24-27
24-19
12-23
22-23
16-22
20-21
22-21
22-29
23-15
19-23
20-24
24-27
25-26
19-18
14-24
170.0Avg total
83.6Scored
86.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)83.686.4170.0-2.830%
Last 5 (5)79.690.2169.8-10.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)75.786.0161.7-10.30%
vs Similar (11)78.687.8166.5-9.227%
vs Weaker (16)89.977.9167.9+12.075%
This opponent (Circus Brussels) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Circus BrusselsBelgiumLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrussels
Date
Competition
QSTA Utd
#14
W
89-84
89
84
+5
no box
H28/04
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
W
77-75
77
75
+2
no box
A03/05
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
W
75-62
75
62
+13
no box
H05/05
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#8
L
61-84
61
84
-23
no box
H12/05
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#8
L
83-85
83
85
-2
no box
A14/05
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#14
L
86-94
86
94
-8
73avg 80
H24/09
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#11
W
80-72
80
72
+8
76avg 80
A30/09
BNXT League
Liege
#6
W
85-59
85
59
+26
87avg 80
A04/10
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#3
W
79-75
79
75
+4
75avg 80
H08/10
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#16
W
95-82
95
82
+13
90avg 80
A14/10
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-14
26-19
17-24
20-27
16-20
20-14
14-19
27-22
13-10
22-17
15-14
25-21
20-23
15-15
13-28
13-18
21-18
28-24
6-25
28-18
24-20
20-22
20-21
22-31
17-24
20-23
22-14
21-11
13-18
30-14
26-11
16-16
13-17
26-22
21-15
19-21
27-24
26-25
18-19
24-14
158.2Avg total
81.0Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)81.077.2158.2+3.870%
Last 5 (5)85.076.4161.4+8.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)78.185.5163.6-7.440%
vs Similar (4)86.576.8163.2+9.875%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)85.083.5168.5+1.550%
This opponent (Okapi Aalst) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +3.8+3.8Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: -4.2-4.2Q4: +1.6+1.6
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +3.8+3.8Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: -4.2-4.2Q4: +1.6+1.6
Okapi AalstCircus Brussels
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Okapi AalstLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Amsterdam
#20
W
51-28
51
28
+23
H28/04
BNXT League
Amsterdam
#20
L
35-48
35
48
-13
A03/05
BNXT League
Amsterdam
#20
W
57-39
57
39
+18
H05/05
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#6
W
49-34
49
34
+15
H12/05
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#6
L
37-55
37
55
-18
A15/05
BNXT League
Oostende
#1
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A23/09
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#14
W
53-51
53
51
+2
A29/09
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#7
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H04/10
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A07/10
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#9
L
49-53
49
53
-4
H14/10
BNXT League
88.8Avg total
45.1Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.541.886.2+2.760%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.739.387.0+8.464%-
Last 30 away (16)41.643.985.6-2.356%-
Last 10 (10)45.143.788.8+1.450%-
Last 5 (5)44.446.691.0-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)39.742.081.7-2.333%-
vs Similar (11)41.546.588.0-4.936%-
vs Weaker (16)47.438.585.9+8.981%-
This opponent (Circus Brussels) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Circus BrusselsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
QSTA Utd
#14
W
52-33
52
33
+19
H28/04
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A03/05
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H05/05
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#8
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H12/05
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#8
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A14/05
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#14
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H24/09
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#11
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A30/09
BNXT League
Liege
#6
W
43-32
43
32
+11
A04/10
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#3
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H08/10
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#16
W
53-49
53
49
+4
A14/10
BNXT League
80.6Avg total
42.3Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.841.381.1-1.547%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.640.380.9+0.443%-
Last 30 away (16)39.142.281.2-3.150%-
Last 10 (10)42.338.380.6+4.070%-
Last 5 (5)43.241.885.0+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)39.840.580.2-0.850%-
vs Similar (4)44.242.586.8+1.875%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)37.043.280.2-6.217%-
This opponent (Okapi Aalst) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Okapi Aalsttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Okapi Aalst: 78.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀18%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.2 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers14.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.8 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 57.6 points a game
50%
28%
22%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.222.6
53.6%
53.1%45.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.04.8
30.0%
33.8%14.4
🏀 Free throws25.418.8
74.0%
71.0%18.8
They take 58.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 16.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 27% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Circus Brusselstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Circus Brussels: 83.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.0 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 57.6 points a game
50%
28%
22%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.420.2
54.0%
53.1%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.87.8
35.8%
33.8%23.4
🏀 Free throws26.220.0
76.3%
71.0%20.0
They take 59.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 5/5 games with a box score before 20 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Okapi Aalst
LLLLLLWWLW
Circus Brussels
WWWWLLLWWW
#7
League position
#9
-14.4
Net rating
+10.9
102.8
Offensive rating
111.2
117.2
Defensive rating
100.3
51.2%
Effective FG%
53.9%
54.6%
Opp. effective FG%
50.3%
20.0%
Turnover %
17.6%
25.6%
Off. rebound %
26.3%
0.44
Free-throw rate
0.44
30.0%
3-point %
35.8%
51.1%
Assist %
58.6%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence102.8 · 111.2Defence117.2 · 100.3Shooting51.2% · 53.9%3-point %30.0% · 35.8%Ball care20.0% · 17.6%Off. rebounds25.6% · 26.3%Free throws0.44 · 0.44Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ Okapi Aalst   ■ Circus Brussels
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Okapi Aalst wins
3
Circus Brussels wins
DateGameScore
14/10/23Okapi Aalst v Circus Brussels82-95
18/02/23Okapi Aalst v Circus Brussels85-80
25/11/22Circus Brussels v Okapi Aalst68-78
23/01/22Okapi Aalst v Circus Brussels82-70
21/01/22Circus Brussels v Okapi Aalst79-70
15/01/22Okapi Aalst v Circus Brussels78-62
26/09/21Circus Brussels v Okapi Aalst78-72
14/12/19Okapi Aalst v Circus Brussels80-72
13/12/19Circus Brussels v Okapi Aalst79-83
Okapi Aalstlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/10/23HCircus Brussels82-95
07/10/23AMechelen84-91
04/10/23HSpirou Charleroi80-87
29/09/23AKortrijk89-93
23/09/23AOostende63-85
15/05/23ALeuven Bears65-101
12/05/23HLeuven Bears81-75
05/05/23HAmsterdam101-67
03/05/23AAmsterdam87-94
28/04/23HAmsterdam104-76
Circus Brusselslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/10/23AOkapi Aalst95-82
08/10/23HAntwerp Giants79-75
04/10/23ALiege85-59
30/09/23ALeuven Bears80-72
24/09/23HKortrijk86-94
14/05/23ASpirou Charleroi83-85
12/05/23HSpirou Charleroi61-84
05/05/23HFeyenoord75-62
03/05/23AFeyenoord77-75
28/04/23HQSTA Utd89-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Okapi Aalst
Belgian Cup 2023
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Circus Brussels
Belgian Cup 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oostende110100%101.064.0+37.0
2 Mailleux Comblain1010%64.0101.0-37.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Okapi Aalst2615122275
Circus Brussels2212221167
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