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Lublin vs Zwolle Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 07 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 91-93
21-30 16-19 32-16 22-28
Position#11
Record3-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game89.7
Allowed / game89.8
vs
Zwolle 🏆
Position#6
Record2-3
FormWLWWW
Points / game70.6
Allowed / game78.2
EuropeENBL· Globus (Lublin)
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lublin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zwolle winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LublinLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLublin
Date
Competition
Spojnia Stargard
#10
L
81-86
81
86
-5
64avg 84
A16/12
Energa Basket Liga
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#4
L
78-100
78
100
-22
67avg 84
H23/12
Energa Basket Liga
Legia
#5
W
92-75
92
75
+17
90avg 84
A30/12
Energa Basket Liga
Torun
#12
L
84-98
84
98
-14
79avg 84
A04/01
Energa Basket Liga
Spartak Pleven
#13
L
95-101
95
101
-6
90avg 84
A09/01
ENBL
Bakken Bears
#1
W
98-91
98
91
+7
94avg 84
A16/01
ENBL
Lancut
#16
W
88-78
88
78
+10
85avg 84
A19/01
Energa Basket Liga
Tartu Ulikool
#8
W
85-75
85
75
+10
80avg 84
H22/01
ENBL
Dabrowa Gornicza
#9
W
114-102
114
102
+12
107avg 84
H28/01
Energa Basket Liga
GTK Gliwice
#13
W
86-83
86
83
+3
84avg 84
A02/02
Energa Basket Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-30
20-20
26-11
17-25
17-32
23-23
19-15
19-30
22-24
23-17
22-19
25-15
20-25
18-25
24-24
22-24
26-25
29-30
25-23
15-23
25-25
18-23
26-26
29-17
20-16
26-11
26-21
16-30
19-23
18-21
30-14
18-17
36-28
26-24
20-26
32-24
22-15
21-20
21-27
22-21
179.0Avg total
90.1Scored
88.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)89.789.8179.5-0.250%
Season at home (3)81.095.0176.0-14.033%
Season away (3)98.384.7183.0+13.767%
Last 10 (10)90.188.9179.0+1.260%
Last 5 (5)94.285.8180.0+8.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)84.293.9178.1-9.744%
vs Similar (12)90.287.5177.8+2.867%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)93.982.8176.7+11.178%
This opponent (Zwolle) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZwolleLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZwolle
Date
Competition
Donar Groningen
#4
L
54-61
54
61
-7
no box
A14/12
DBL Cup
Donar Groningen
#4
W
72-62
72
62
+10
no box
H17/12
DBL Cup
QSTA Utd
#19
W
88-73
88
73
+15
82avg 72
H23/12
BNXT League
Juventus
#2
L
56-84
56
84
-28
39avg 72
A10/01
ENBL
Leiden
#5
L
71-76
71
76
-5
62avg 72
H14/01
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#6
W
80-64
80
64
+16
no box
A20/01
DBL Cup
Feyenoord
#6
L
76-82
76
82
-6
no box
H23/01
DBL Cup
Donar Groningen
#13
W
72-59
72
59
+13
66avg 72
H28/01
BNXT League
Spartak Pleven
#13
W
86-80
86
80
+6
86avg 72
H30/01
ENBL
Den Helder
#20
W
80-64
80
64
+16
76avg 72
A03/02
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-16
11-10
13-19
14-16
14-18
18-13
20-14
20-17
26-25
20-24
31-12
11-12
21-24
11-23
11-22
13-15
15-22
14-10
23-22
19-22
24-20
13-17
27-14
16-13
16-18
14-23
20-29
26-12
14-11
22-16
14-15
22-17
22-21
28-19
25-19
11-21
20-16
18-19
23-16
19-13
144.0Avg total
73.5Scored
70.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)70.678.2148.8-7.640%
Season at home (3)80.379.7160.0+0.767%
Season away (2)56.076.0132.0-20.00%
Last 10 (10)73.570.5144.0+3.060%
Last 5 (5)78.869.8148.6+9.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)72.583.6156.1-11.112%
vs Similar (10)74.471.7146.1+2.750%
vs Weaker (10)83.867.8151.6+16.0100%
This opponent (Lublin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +1.3+1.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +1.3+1.3
LublinZwolle
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LublinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Spojnia Stargard
#10
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A16/12
Energa Basket Liga
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#4
L
40-55
40
55
-15
H23/12
Energa Basket Liga
Legia
#5
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A30/12
Energa Basket Liga
Torun
#12
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A04/01
Energa Basket Liga
Spartak Pleven
#13
D
55-55
55
55
+0
A09/01
ENBL
Bakken Bears
#1
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A16/01
ENBL
Lancut
#16
W
46-27
46
27
+19
A19/01
Energa Basket Liga
Tartu Ulikool
#8
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H22/01
ENBL
Dabrowa Gornicza
#9
W
62-52
62
52
+10
H28/01
Energa Basket Liga
GTK Gliwice
#13
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A02/02
Energa Basket Liga
90.4Avg total
44.7Scored
45.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.645.088.5-1.437%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.346.390.6-2.043%-
Last 30 away (16)42.943.886.8-0.931%-
Last 10 (10)44.745.790.4-1.040%-
Last 5 (5)46.241.287.4+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)40.346.286.6-5.922%-
vs Similar (12)43.847.391.1-3.625%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)46.640.687.1+6.067%-
This opponent (Zwolle) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZwolleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Donar Groningen
#4
W
27-26
27
26
+1
A14/12
DBL Cup
Donar Groningen
#4
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H17/12
DBL Cup
QSTA Utd
#19
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H23/12
BNXT League
Juventus
#2
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A10/01
ENBL
Leiden
#5
L
29-32
29
32
-3
H14/01
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#6
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A20/01
DBL Cup
Feyenoord
#6
L
30-41
30
41
-11
H23/01
DBL Cup
Donar Groningen
#13
W
36-27
36
27
+9
H28/01
BNXT League
Spartak Pleven
#13
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H30/01
ENBL
Den Helder
#20
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A03/02
BNXT League
72.2Avg total
35.7Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.137.175.2+1.047%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.339.577.8-1.340%-
Last 30 away (15)37.934.772.7+3.253%-
Last 10 (10)35.736.572.2-0.850%-
Last 5 (5)38.236.074.2+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)35.942.978.8-7.00%-
vs Similar (10)36.234.971.1+1.360%-
vs Weaker (10)41.736.978.6+4.870%-
This opponent (Lublin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lublintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lublin: 89.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.620.9
54.1%
53.4%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.810.9
36.6%
33.5%32.7
🏀 Free throws20.314.6
71.9%
72.2%14.6
They take 68.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zwolletheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zwolle: 74.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.820.2
54.9%
53.4%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.87.3
30.7%
33.5%21.9
🏀 Free throws15.411.8
76.6%
72.2%11.8
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lublin
WWWWWLLWLL
Zwolle
WWWLWLLWWL
#11
League position
#6
+0.7
Net rating
-0.8
111.1
Offensive rating
104.4
110.4
Defensive rating
105.3
54.5%
Effective FG%
51.4%
53.2%
Opp. effective FG%
55.4%
16.6%
Turnover %
17.8%
27.6%
Off. rebound %
27.4%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.25
36.6%
3-point %
30.7%
62.9%
Assist %
65.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence111.1 · 104.4Defence110.4 · 105.3Shooting54.5% · 51.4%3-point %36.6% · 30.7%Ball care16.6% · 17.8%Off. rebounds27.6% · 27.4%Free throws0.30 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Lublin   ■ Zwolle
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Lublin wins
0
Zwolle wins
No previous meetings.
Lublinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/02/24AGTK Gliwice86-83
28/01/24HDabrowa Gornicza114-102
22/01/24HTartu Ulikool85-75
19/01/24ALancut88-78
16/01/24ABakken Bears98-91
09/01/24ASpartak Pleven95-101
04/01/24ATorun84-98
30/12/23ALegia92-75
23/12/23HOstrow Wielkopolski78-100
16/12/23ASpojnia Stargard81-86
Zwollelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/02/24ADen Helder80-64
30/01/24HSpartak Pleven86-80
28/01/24HDonar Groningen72-59
23/01/24HFeyenoord76-82
20/01/24AFeyenoord80-64
14/01/24HLeiden71-76
10/01/24AJuventus56-84
23/12/23HQSTA Utd88-73
17/12/23HDonar Groningen72-62
14/12/23ADonar Groningen54-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lublin
ENBL 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW50%
HomeLLW33%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%33%67%
Points / game89.781.098.3
Allowed / game89.895.084.7
Point differential-0.2-14.0+13.7
Avg total179.5176.0183.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Zwolle
ENBL 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW40%
HomeWLW67%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %40%67%0%
Points / game70.680.356.0
Allowed / game78.279.776.0
Point differential-7.6+0.7-20.0
Avg total148.8160.0132.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Juventus76186%91.476.6+14.9
2 Voluntari76186%85.172.7+12.4
3 Siauliai76186%94.082.6+11.4
4 Bakken Bears65183%92.881.3+11.5
5 Newcastle Eagles64267%89.584.8+4.7
6 Zielona Gora64267%92.091.2+0.8
7 Bristol Flyers74357%83.074.1+8.9
8 Liege74357%89.183.9+5.3
9 Tartu Ulikool74357%78.775.6+3.1
10 Lublin63350%89.789.8-0.2
11 Zwolle52340%70.678.2-7.6
12 Keila KK72529%84.190.9-6.7
13 Spartak Pleven71614%79.188.0-8.9
14 Brno71614%74.685.4-10.9
15 Svendborg71614%68.991.1-22.3
16 Valmiera Glass Via7070%80.396.6-16.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lublin2116322291
Zwolle3019162893
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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