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Liege W vs Mechelen W Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 09 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 17:15
Scheduled
Position#6
Record4-3
FormWWLWW
Points / game70.3
Allowed / game66.7
Liege W
Belgium
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.0/10
Around normal
3.6/10
Below normal
Mechelen W
Belgium
Position#1
Record4-0
FormWLLWL
Points / game90.5
Allowed / game61.8
BelgiumTop Division Women· Salle du Bois Saint-Jean
Women2026-27
Meetings · Liege W v Mechelen W
09 Jan 2027
LIEG v MECH
upcoming
14 Feb 2026
LIEG53
MECH83
14 Nov 2024
LIEG36
MECH77
09 Dec 2023
LIEG35
MECH78
13 Apr 2023
LIEG45
MECH95
12 Nov 2022
LIEG25
MECH64
20 Nov 2021
LIEG42
MECH75
03 Apr 2021
LIEG v MECH
upcoming
02 Nov 2019
LIEG71
MECH69
31 Mar 2019
LIEG61
MECH64
24 Feb 2019
LIEG69
MECH64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Liege W win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Mechelen W win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Liege WBelgiumLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Phantoms W
#6
W
89-87 OT
89
87
+2
74avg 56
A04/04
Top Division Women
Namur W
#3
L
50-66
50
66
-16
43avg 56
H10/04
Top Division Women
Namur W
#3
L
39-96
39
96
-57
18avg 56
A12/04
Top Division Women
Phantoms W
#4
L
53-58
53
58
-5
39avg 56
A27/09
Top Division Women
Mechelen W
#1
L
50-92
50
92
-42
36avg 56
A03/10
Top Division Women
Spirou Basket W
#8
W
68-50
68
50
+18
63avg 56
A11/10
Top Division Women
Lummen W
#11
W
89-54
89
54
+35
97avg 56
H16/10
Top Division Women
Braine W
#2
L
69-96
69
96
-27
55avg 56
A24/10
Top Division Women
Donza W
#9
W
77-59
77
59
+18
67avg 56
H31/10
Top Division Women
Waregem W
#10
W
86-58
86
58
+28
no box
H08/11
Top Division Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-23
19-13
11-17
25-20
11-15
9-19
18-12
12-20
6-30
7-22
13-23
13-21
8-10
16-20
15-12
14-16
11-24
20-21
10-27
9-20
12-13
17-13
19-18
20-6
22-11
22-7
27-16
18-20
13-22
10-26
22-23
24-25
24-14
19-17
13-20
21-8
19-13
15-9
30-18
22-18
138.6Avg total
67.0Scored
71.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)70.366.7137.0+3.657%
Season at home (3)84.057.0141.0+27.0100%
Season away (4)60.074.0134.0-14.025%
Last 10 (10)67.071.6138.6-4.650%
Last 5 (5)77.863.4141.2+14.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)55.879.9135.7-24.20%
vs Similar (4)75.578.8154.2-3.250%
vs Weaker (14)75.653.1128.6+22.593%
This opponent (Mechelen W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mechelen WBelgiumLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Namur W
#3
W
84-78 OT
84
78
+6
76avg 78
A24/04
Top Division Women
Namur W
#3
W
91-47
91
47
+44
94avg 78
H26/04
Top Division Women
Liege W
#6
W
92-50
92
50
+42
95avg 78
H03/10
Top Division Women
Phantoms W
#4
W
90-64
90
64
+26
88avg 78
H11/10
Top Division Women
Crvena zvezda W
#3
L
56-89
56
89
-33
41avg 78
A14/10
Euroleague Women
Donza W
#9
W
96-68
96
68
+28
98avg 78
H18/10
Top Division Women
Galatasaray W
#11
L
50-77
50
77
-27
36avg 78
H22/10
Euroleague Women
Schio W
#5
L
47-83
47
83
-36
31avg 78
H29/10
Euroleague Women
Jeugd Gentson W
#7
W
84-65
84
65
+19
70avg 78
A31/10
Top Division Women
Crvena zvezda W
#3
L
69-87
69
87
-18
no box
H04/11
Euroleague Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-14
27-20
19-17
7-19
26-14
18-10
29-5
18-18
24-11
21-20
27-10
20-9
18-15
25-15
28-20
19-14
16-25
11-13
14-28
15-23
30-16
19-18
27-21
20-13
18-19
5-13
14-20
13-25
12-25
10-22
14-15
11-21
23-16
16-17
29-16
16-16
20-23
15-15
12-33
22-16
146.7Avg total
75.9Scored
70.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)90.561.8152.2+28.8100%
Season at home (3)92.760.7153.3+32.0100%
Season away (1)84.065.0149.0+19.0100%
Last 10 (10)75.970.8146.7+5.160%
Last 5 (5)69.276.0145.2-6.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)57.878.8136.7-21.017%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (24)89.757.7147.4+32.0100%
This opponent (Liege W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -1.3-1.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -1.3-1.3
Liege WMechelen W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Liege WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phantoms W
#6
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A04/04
Top Division Women
Namur W
#3
L
20-34
20
34
-14
H10/04
Top Division Women
Namur W
#3
L
13-52
13
52
-39
A12/04
Top Division Women
Phantoms W
#4
L
24-30
24
30
-6
A27/09
Top Division Women
Mechelen W
#1
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A03/10
Top Division Women
Spirou Basket W
#8
W
29-26
29
26
+3
A11/10
Top Division Women
Lummen W
#11
W
44-18
44
18
+26
H16/10
Top Division Women
Braine W
#2
L
23-48
23
48
-25
A24/10
Top Division Women
Donza W
#9
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H31/10
Top Division Women
Waregem W
#10
W
34-22
34
22
+12
H08/11
Top Division Women
64.0Avg total
29.8Scored
34.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)32.433.465.8-1.152%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.529.765.2+5.864%-
Last 30 away (15)29.536.966.4-7.540%-
Last 10 (10)29.834.264.0-4.450%-
Last 5 (5)34.629.063.6+5.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)25.340.265.5-14.88%-
vs Similar (3)37.338.375.7-1.067%-
vs Weaker (14)37.426.664.0+10.786%-
This opponent (Mechelen W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mechelen WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Namur W
#3
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A24/04
Top Division Women
Namur W
#3
W
44-24
44
24
+20
H26/04
Top Division Women
Liege W
#6
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H03/10
Top Division Women
Phantoms W
#4
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H11/10
Top Division Women
Crvena zvezda W
#3
L
27-38
27
38
-11
A14/10
Euroleague Women
Donza W
#9
W
49-34
49
34
+15
H18/10
Top Division Women
Galatasaray W
#11
L
23-32
23
32
-9
H22/10
Euroleague Women
Schio W
#5
L
22-47
22
47
-25
H29/10
Euroleague Women
Jeugd Gentson W
#7
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A31/10
Top Division Women
Crvena zvezda W
#3
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H04/11
Euroleague Women
71.2Avg total
37.1Scored
34.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.531.073.5+11.477%-
Last 30 at home (18)41.832.274.0+9.672%-
Last 30 away (12)43.529.272.8+14.283%-
Last 10 (10)37.134.171.2+3.060%-
Last 5 (5)33.636.870.4-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)26.236.863.0-10.70%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (24)46.529.676.1+17.096%-
This opponent (Liege W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Liege Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Liege W: 63.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀71%
🏀🏀🏀11%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 71% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers6.9 pts a game · 11% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 73.0 points a game
53%
28%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.822.3
47.6%
46.8%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers14.42.3
16.0%
31.5%6.9
🏀 Free throws18.911.7
61.9%
71.8%11.7
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 14.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 24% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mechelen Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mechelen W: 78.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 73.0 points a game
53%
28%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.117.9
47.0%
46.8%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.99.5
32.9%
31.5%28.5
🏀 Free throws18.814.5
77.1%
71.8%14.5
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Liege W
WWLWWLLLLW
Mechelen W
LWLLWLWWWW
#6
League position
#1
-13.2
Net rating
+26.5
66.0
Offensive rating
92.4
79.2
Defensive rating
65.9
42.1%
Effective FG%
48.0%
45.4%
Opp. effective FG%
47.7%
21.2%
Turnover %
16.0%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.28
16.0%
3-point %
32.9%
57.7%
Assist %
65.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence66.0 · 92.4Defence79.2 · 65.9Shooting42.1% · 48.0%3-point %16.0% · 32.9%Ball care21.2% · 16.0%Free throws0.31 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Liege W   ■ Mechelen W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Liege W wins
10
Mechelen W wins
DateGameScore
03/10/26Mechelen W v Liege W92-50
14/02/26Liege W v Mechelen W53-83
19/10/25Mechelen W v Liege W88-48
26/01/25Mechelen W v Liege W85-42
14/11/24Liege W v Mechelen W36-77
03/03/24Mechelen W v Liege W95-50
09/12/23Liege W v Mechelen W35-78
15/04/23Mechelen W v Liege W99-50
13/04/23Liege W v Mechelen W45-95
26/03/23Mechelen W v Liege W99-54
Liege Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26HWaregem W86-58
31/10/26HDonza W77-59
24/10/26ABraine W69-96
16/10/26HLummen W89-54
11/10/26ASpirou Basket W68-50
03/10/26AMechelen W50-92
27/09/26APhantoms W53-58
12/04/26ANamur W39-96
10/04/26HNamur W50-66
04/04/26APhantoms W89-87 OT
Mechelen Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/11/26HCrvena zvezda W69-87
31/10/26AJeugd Gentson W84-65
29/10/26HSchio W47-83
22/10/26HGalatasaray W50-77
18/10/26HDonza W96-68
14/10/26ACrvena zvezda W56-89
11/10/26HPhantoms W90-64
03/10/26HLiege W92-50
26/04/26HNamur W91-47
24/04/26ANamur W84-78 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Liege W
Top Division Women 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW57%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %57%100%25%
Points / game70.384.060.0
Allowed / game66.757.074.0
Point differential+3.6+27.0-14.0
Avg total137.0141.0134.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%100%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mechelen W
Top Division Women 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game90.592.784.0
Allowed / game61.860.765.0
Point differential+28.8+32.0+19.0
Avg total152.2153.3149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Mechelen W440100%90.561.8+28.8
2 Braine W550100%88.673.2+15.4
3 Namur W54180%88.658.4+30.2
4 Phantoms W54180%77.664.2+13.4
5 Kortrijk W64267%82.064.0+18.0
6 Liege W74357%70.366.7+3.6
7 Jeugd Gentson W52340%74.682.0-7.4
8 Spirou Basket W41325%50.275.8-25.5
9 Donza W51420%69.674.8-5.2
10 Waregem W7070%62.188.1-26.0
11 Lummen W5050%49.889.0-39.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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