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Lietkabelis vs AEK Athens Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 29 Jan 2019
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 65-84
22-18 15-22 17-27 11-17
Position#36
Record4-8
FormLLWWL
Points / game76.9
Allowed / game78.8
vs
Position#3
Record10-2
FormWWWWL
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game74.4
EuropeChampions League
European cup2018
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lietkabelis winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
AEK Athens winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LietkabelisLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Juventus
#6
W
76-70
76
70
+6
A16/12
LKL
Hapoel M. Jerusalem
#1
L
70-97
70
97
-27
H18/12
Champions League
Rytas
#3
L
73-95
73
95
-22
H23/12
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
L
68-85
68
85
-17
A29/12
LKL
Skycop
#7
L
73-81
73
81
-8
H05/01
LKL
Nymburk
#40
L
71-78
71
78
-7
A08/01
Champions League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
69-73
69
73
-4
H13/01
LKL
Bamberg
#12
W
84-67
84
67
+17
H16/01
Champions League
Rytas
#3
W
96-75
96
75
+21
A19/01
LKL
Dijon
#38
L
91-99
91
99
-8
A23/01
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-18
21-18
22-20
18-14
26-26
15-30
16-24
13-17
21-24
14-26
22-25
16-20
16-23
20-19
17-26
15-17
17-14
21-20
19-18
16-29
26-19
6-18
23-16
16-25
20-12
15-17
13-18
21-26
22-10
23-22
15-23
24-12
32-21
21-24
21-19
22-11
25-20
19-17
20-31
27-31
159.1Avg total
77.1Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)76.978.8155.7-1.833%
Season at home (6)82.378.3160.7+4.067%
Season away (6)71.579.2150.7-7.70%
Last 10 (10)77.182.0159.1-4.930%
Last 5 (5)82.278.4160.6+3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)67.778.3146.0-10.60%
vs Similar (13)83.380.8164.1+2.562%
vs Weaker (10)80.474.2154.6+6.270%
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK AthensLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nymburk
#40
W
80-76
80
76
+4
H19/12
Champions League
Panathinaikos
#1
L
79-111
79
111
-32
A23/12
Basket League
Panionios
#12
W
73-62
73
62
+11
H29/12
Basket League
Olympiacos
#2
L
75-101
75
101
-26
A06/01
Basket League
Bamberg
#12
L
73-77
73
77
-4
A08/01
Champions League
Kolossos Rhodes
#14
W
94-79
94
79
+15
H12/01
Basket League
Dijon
#38
W
80-56
80
56
+24
H16/01
Champions League
Peristeri
#4
W
96-70
96
70
+26
H20/01
Basket League
Fuenlabrada
#42
W
90-82
90
82
+8
A23/01
Champions League
PAOK
#6
L
79-88
79
88
-9
A26/01
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-19
9-13
24-19
27-25
16-36
21-21
23-30
19-24
24-21
13-15
17-13
19-13
21-25
18-27
17-22
19-27
20-19
19-20
16-17
18-21
27-18
24-20
19-18
24-23
14-15
22-15
26-9
18-17
21-23
28-21
27-12
20-14
26-13
20-20
23-19
21-30
9-21
22-23
27-27
21-17
162.1Avg total
81.9Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)81.074.4155.4+6.683%
Season at home (6)78.571.2149.7+7.383%
Season away (6)83.577.7161.2+5.883%
Last 10 (10)81.980.2162.1+1.760%
Last 5 (5)87.875.0162.8+12.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)78.090.2168.2-12.225%
vs Similar (3)76.078.7154.7-2.733%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)81.672.4154.0+9.183%
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: -0.5-0.5
LietkabelisAEK Athens
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LietkabelisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Juventus
#6
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A16/12
LKL
Hapoel M. Jerusalem
#1
L
41-56
41
56
-15
H18/12
Champions League
Rytas
#3
L
35-50
35
50
-15
H23/12
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A29/12
LKL
Skycop
#7
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H05/01
LKL
Nymburk
#40
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A08/01
Champions League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H13/01
LKL
Bamberg
#12
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H16/01
Champions League
Rytas
#3
W
53-45
53
45
+8
A19/01
LKL
Dijon
#38
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A23/01
Champions League
79.3Avg total
39.5Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.436.676.0+2.950%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.237.776.9+1.553%-
Last 30 away (15)39.735.575.1+4.247%-
Last 10 (10)39.539.879.3-0.350%-
Last 5 (5)41.836.077.8+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)34.736.070.7-1.329%-
vs Similar (13)40.438.679.0+1.846%-
vs Weaker (10)41.534.375.8+7.270%-
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nymburk
#40
L
29-32
29
32
-3
H19/12
Champions League
Panathinaikos
#1
L
37-57
37
57
-20
A23/12
Basket League
Panionios
#12
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H29/12
Basket League
Olympiacos
#2
L
39-52
39
52
-13
A06/01
Basket League
Bamberg
#12
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A08/01
Champions League
Kolossos Rhodes
#14
W
51-38
51
38
+13
H12/01
Basket League
Dijon
#38
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H16/01
Champions League
Peristeri
#4
W
49-44
49
44
+5
H20/01
Basket League
Fuenlabrada
#42
W
46-33
46
33
+13
A23/01
Champions League
PAOK
#6
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A26/01
Basket League
79.9Avg total
39.4Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.237.376.6+1.963%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.934.774.6+5.179%-
Last 30 away (16)38.739.678.3-0.950%-
Last 10 (10)39.440.579.9-1.150%-
Last 5 (5)42.637.880.4+4.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)41.545.887.2-4.250%-
vs Similar (3)36.340.376.7-4.033%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)39.235.574.7+3.770%-
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Lietkabelis wins
1
AEK Athens wins
DateGameScore
13/11/18AEK Athens v Lietkabelis65-59
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/01/19ADijon91-99
19/01/19ARytas96-75
16/01/19HBamberg84-67
13/01/19HZalgiris Kaunas69-73
08/01/19ANymburk71-78
05/01/19HSkycop73-81
29/12/18AAlytaus Dzukija68-85
23/12/18HRytas73-95
18/12/18HHapoel M. Jerusalem70-97
16/12/18AJuventus76-70
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/01/19APAOK79-88
23/01/19AFuenlabrada90-82
20/01/19HPeristeri96-70
16/01/19HDijon80-56
12/01/19HKolossos Rhodes94-79
08/01/19ABamberg73-77
06/01/19AOlympiacos75-101
29/12/18HPanionios73-62
23/12/18APanathinaikos79-111
19/12/18HNymburk80-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lietkabelis
Champions League 2018
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL33%
HomeWWWLW67%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %33%67%0%
Points / game76.982.371.5
Allowed / game78.878.379.2
Point differential-1.8+4.0-7.7
Avg total155.7160.7150.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %8%17%0%
AEK Athens
Champions League 2018
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW83%
HomeWWWWW83%
AwayWWWLW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %83%83%83%
Points / game81.078.583.5
Allowed / game74.471.277.7
Point differential+6.6+7.3+5.8
Avg total155.4149.7161.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%17%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %8%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Murcia1412286%76.469.4+7.1
2 Hapoel M. Jerusalem1210283%89.876.8+13.0
3 Tenerife1210283%81.869.2+12.7
4 AEK Athens1210283%81.074.4+6.6
5 Aris43175%74.560.8+13.8
6 Virtus Bologna129375%85.477.1+8.3
7 Bakken Bears43175%80.873.5+7.2
8 Banvit128467%81.975.2+6.7
9 Venezia128467%84.179.5+4.6
10 Bamberg128467%82.180.2+1.9
11 Promitheas128467%81.980.8+1.1
12 Kauhajoen Karhu64267%76.784.5-7.8
13 Nanterre149564%84.871.9+12.9
14 Antwerp Giants1610662%82.578.6+3.9
15 PAOK127558%80.573.9+6.6
16 Hapoel Holon127558%83.379.3+4.0
17 Besiktas127558%77.376.5+0.8
18 Avellino127558%82.582.5+0.0
19 Oostende127558%75.578.2-2.8
20 Nizhny Novgorod1911858%79.674.2+5.4
21 Lukoil Levski42250%84.281.2+3.0
22 Cantu42250%82.280.8+1.5
23 Spirou Charleroi63350%70.569.0+1.5
24 Neptunas126650%83.482.3+1.1
25 Estudiantes42250%70.069.2+0.8
26 Strasbourg126650%75.675.9-0.3
27 Z-Mobile Prishtina21150%69.572.0-2.5
28 Minsk21150%75.580.0-4.5
29 Norrkoping21150%66.571.5-5.0
30 Hapoel Tel-Aviv21150%67.573.0-5.5
31 Fribourg Olympic1881044%78.481.9-3.4
32 Le Mans125742%74.076.6-2.6
33 Bonn125742%79.885.4-5.6
34 Ventspils135838%79.782.8-3.1
35 Bayreuth145936%77.777.4+0.3
36 Torun62433%75.074.5+0.5
37 Lietkabelis124833%76.978.8-1.8
38 Anwil Wloclawek124833%78.381.8-3.4
39 Dijon124833%76.080.5-4.5
40 Donar Groningen41325%72.072.5-0.5
41 Ludwigsburg123925%77.483.8-6.3
42 Nymburk123925%76.884.8-8.0
43 Fuenlabrada123925%76.485.1-8.7
44 Petrol Olimpija121118%75.282.8-7.5
45 Opava121118%70.193.4-23.3
46 Saratov2020%82.583.5-1.0
47 CSM Oradea2020%79.083.5-4.5
48 Szolnoki Olaj2020%69.579.5-10.0
49 Sakarya BB2020%68.581.5-13.0
50 Siauliai2020%72.085.0-13.0
51 AEK Larnaca2020%64.579.5-15.0
52 Leicester Riders2020%80.596.5-16.0
53 Pardubice2020%70.588.5-18.0
54 FC Porto2020%67.089.0-22.0
55 Dinamo Tbilisi2020%59.091.0-32.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lietkabelis2215171165
AEK Athens1822271784
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