Panathinaikos vs AEK Athens Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 23 Dec 2018

Tip-off: 19:00

Final 111-79

36-16 21-21 30-23 24-19

Position#1

Record8-0

FormWWWLL

Points / game89.1

Allowed / game69.6

Panathinaikos 🏆

AEK Athens

Position#3

Record7-2

FormWWWWW

Points / game78.2

Allowed / game70.0

Basket LeagueRound 10

Domestic2018-19

Meetings · Panathinaikos v AEK Athens

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Panathinaikos winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

AEK Athens winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Panathinaikos Greece

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Olympiacos

79-70

H18/11

Basket League

Barcelona

76-70

H21/11

Euroleague

Baskonia

77-86

-9

A23/11

Euroleague

Khimki M.

#13

68-76

-8

A30/11

Euroleague

Fenerbahce

69-81

-12

H07/12

Euroleague

Peristeri

80-75

H10/12

Basket League

Darussafaka

#16

75-67

H14/12

Euroleague

PAOK

93-83

+10

A16/12

Basket League

Real Madrid

68-89

-21

A19/12

Euroleague

Olimpia Milano

#11

83-86

-3

H21/12

Euroleague

15-14

17-15

23-22

24-19

13-10

21-15

21-25

21-20

12-20

20-24

23-29

22-13

25-29

19-19

7-11

17-17

12-18

21-17

19-21

17-25

21-18

22-21

26-17

11-19

22-16

21-16

14-21

18-14

19-11

29-20

21-25

24-27

10-23

21-20

24-20

13-26

23-21

17-26

16-17

27-22

155.1Avg total

76.8Scored

78.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (8)	89.1	69.6	158.8	+19.5	100%
Season at home (5)	89.6	67.4	157.0	+22.2	100%
Season away (3)	88.3	73.3	161.7	+15.0	100%
Last 10 (10)	76.8	78.3	155.1	-1.5	50%
Last 5 (5)	79.8	80.0	159.8	-0.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	66.3	82.7	149.0	-16.3	0%
vs Similar (8)	81.0	81.1	162.1	-0.1	38%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	83.9	70.8	154.7	+13.2	89%

This opponent (AEK Athens) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AEK Athens Greece

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Fuenlabrada

#42

78-71

H07/11

Champions League

Holargos B.C.

73-63

+10

H10/11

Basket League

Lietkabelis

#36

65-59

H13/11

Champions League

G.S. Kymis

#11

78-67

+11

A17/11

Basket League

Antwerp Giants

#11

71-64

A20/11

Champions League

Ifaistos Limnou

83-69

+14

H25/11

Basket League

Aris

81-77

A08/12

Basket League

Hapoel M. Jerusalem

83-70

+13

A11/12

Champions League

Lavrio

#13

83-64

+19

H15/12

Basket League

Nymburk

#40

80-76

H19/12

Champions League

24-19

17-15

18-20

19-17

15-18

16-8

23-18

19-19

17-13

14-18

16-20

18-8

20-15

19-10

24-17

15-25

20-24

8-14

23-11

20-15

22-21

19-17

24-16

18-15

17-18

22-15

22-19

20-25

29-22

19-21

13-13

22-14

15-16

22-15

27-13

19-20

20-19

9-13

24-19

27-25

145.5Avg total

77.5Scored

68.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (9)	78.2	70.0	148.2	+8.2	78%
Season at home (4)	82.5	66.8	149.2	+15.8	100%
Season away (5)	74.8	72.6	147.4	+2.2	60%
Last 10 (10)	77.5	68.0	145.5	+9.5	100%
Last 5 (5)	82.0	71.2	153.2	+10.8	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	85.8	89.5	175.2	-3.8	50%
vs Similar (9)	76.8	78.3	155.1	-1.6	33%
vs Weaker (17)	81.0	72.2	153.2	+8.8	88%

This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

PanathinaikosAEK Athens

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	18.4	38.3	+1.4	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.9	16.6	36.5	+3.4	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.8	20.6	40.4	-0.8	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.2	18.0	35.2	-0.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	17.8	36.8	+1.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	11.0	20.0	31.0	-9.0	0%	-
vs Similar (8)	19.1	20.9	40.0	-1.8	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	21.6	17.2	38.7	+4.4	84%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	20.0	41.0	+1.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.1	19.1	39.2	+1.1	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.8	20.8	42.6	+1.1	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	18.5	38.4	+1.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	19.2	39.8	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	24.5	22.0	46.5	+2.5	75%	-
vs Similar (9)	20.0	20.7	40.7	-0.7	33%	-
vs Weaker (17)	20.8	19.1	39.9	+1.6	53%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	19.1	39.6	+1.5	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.9	18.5	39.4	+2.4	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.2	19.7	39.9	+0.5	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	19.3	40.1	+1.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	20.6	42.6	+1.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	19.7	20.7	40.3	-1.0	67%	-
vs Similar (8)	19.8	21.8	41.5	-2.0	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	21.1	17.7	38.7	+3.4	74%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	17.0	35.4	+1.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.9	15.7	33.6	+2.2	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.8	18.2	37.0	+0.6	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.5	14.6	31.1	+1.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	16.2	34.4	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	20.8	20.2	41.0	+0.5	25%	-
vs Similar (9)	17.2	17.3	34.6	-0.1	33%	-
vs Weaker (17)	18.5	16.1	34.6	+2.4	76%	-

PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Olympiacos

32-29

H18/11

Basket League

Barcelona

34-25

H21/11

Euroleague

Baskonia

32-44

-12

A23/11

Euroleague

Khimki M.

#13

44-48

-4

A30/11

Euroleague

Fenerbahce

33-35

-2

H07/12

Euroleague

Peristeri

43-39

H10/12

Basket League

Darussafaka

#16

43-32

+11

H14/12

Euroleague

PAOK

48-31

+17

A16/12

Basket League

Real Madrid

31-43

-12

A19/12

Euroleague

Olimpia Milano

#11

40-47

-7

H21/12

Euroleague

75.3Avg total

38.0Scored

37.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.4	37.5	77.9	+2.9	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.8	35.1	75.9	+5.8	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.0	40.3	80.3	-0.3	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.0	37.3	75.3	+0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.0	38.4	79.4	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	30.7	40.7	71.3	-10.0	0%	-
vs Similar (8)	38.9	42.6	81.5	-3.8	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	42.6	34.8	77.5	+7.8	68%	-

This opponent (AEK Athens) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Fuenlabrada

#42

41-34

H07/11

Champions League

Holargos B.C.

31-26

H10/11

Basket League

Lietkabelis

#36

31-31

H13/11

Champions League

G.S. Kymis

#11

39-25

+14

A17/11

Basket League

Antwerp Giants

#11

28-38

-10

A20/11

Champions League

Ifaistos Limnou

41-38

H25/11

Basket League

Aris

39-33

A08/12

Basket League

Hapoel M. Jerusalem

48-43

A11/12

Champions League

Lavrio

#13

37-31

H15/12

Basket League

Nymburk

#40

29-32

-3

H19/12

Champions League

69.5Avg total

36.4Scored

33.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.4	37.0	76.4	+2.4	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.1	34.8	72.9	+3.3	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	40.6	38.9	79.6	+1.7	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.4	33.1	69.5	+3.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.8	35.4	74.2	+3.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	45.2	42.2	87.5	+3.0	75%	-
vs Similar (9)	37.2	38.0	75.2	-0.8	44%	-
vs Weaker (17)	39.2	35.2	74.5	+4.0	71%	-

This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	17.2	37.5	+3.0	73%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.9	18.1	39.1	+2.8	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.4	16.2	35.6	+3.2	79%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	20.8	40.2	-1.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	20.0	40.2	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	20.3	19.0	39.3	+1.3	67%	-
vs Similar (8)	19.0	18.5	37.5	+0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	20.7	16.4	37.2	+4.3	84%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	19.5	39.7	+0.8	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.1	20.1	41.2	+1.1	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.4	18.9	38.4	+0.5	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	16.6	38.0	+4.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	16.0	38.0	+6.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	16.8	24.5	41.2	-7.8	0%	-
vs Similar (9)	20.2	20.2	40.4	+0.0	22%	-
vs Weaker (17)	21.1	17.9	38.9	+3.2	65%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	19.6	40.1	+0.9	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.6	20.0	41.6	+1.6	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.3	19.2	38.5	+0.1	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	20.2	39.6	-0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	21.6	40.2	-3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	15.3	23.0	38.3	-7.7	0%	-
vs Similar (8)	22.2	18.6	40.9	+3.6	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	20.6	19.5	40.1	+1.1	58%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	19.5	39.8	+0.8	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.4	19.4	39.8	+1.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.2	19.6	39.8	+0.6	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	18.3	38.0	+1.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	19.8	41.0	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	23.8	22.8	46.5	+1.0	50%	-
vs Similar (9)	19.3	20.1	39.4	-0.8	56%	-
vs Weaker (17)	20.0	18.4	38.4	+1.6	53%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.7	36.9	77.6	+3.9	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.5	38.1	80.6	+4.4	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.7	35.4	74.1	+3.3	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.8	41.0	79.8	-2.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.8	41.6	80.4	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	35.7	42.0	77.7	-6.3	0%	-
vs Similar (8)	41.2	37.1	78.4	+4.1	62%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	41.3	35.9	77.3	+5.4	79%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.5	39.0	79.5	+1.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.6	39.4	81.0	+2.1	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	39.6	38.6	78.2	+1.1	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.1	34.9	76.0	+6.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.2	35.8	79.0	+7.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	40.5	47.2	87.8	-6.8	25%	-
vs Similar (9)	39.6	40.3	79.9	-0.8	33%	-
vs Weaker (17)	41.1	36.3	77.4	+4.8	65%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 73.5 points a game scored

🏀🏀56%

🏀🏀🏀26%

🏀18%

🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 56% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.9 pts a game · 26% of the points

🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 18% of the points

League average for comparison: 82.5 points a game

48%

33%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.0	20.6	51.5%	53.7%	41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	21.0	6.3	30.0%	34.8%	18.9
🏀 Free throws	18.9	13.4	70.9%	73.9%	13.4

They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.8	20.6	53.1%	53.7%	41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	18.6	7.4	39.8%	34.8%	22.2
🏀 Free throws	18.9	13.6	72.0%	73.9%	13.6

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.6	21.5	54.2%	53.7%	42.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.2	7.2	31.1%	34.8%	21.7
🏀 Free throws	17.8	12.4	69.5%	73.9%	12.4

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.7	20.3	52.5%	53.7%	40.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	19.9	7.2	36.4%	34.8%	21.7
🏀 Free throws	20.5	14.8	72.0%	73.9%	14.8

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Panathinaikos wins

AEK Athens wins

Date	Game	Score
11/05/18	Panathinaikos v AEK Athens	115-85
14/01/18	AEK Athens v Panathinaikos	74-94
05/11/17	AEK Athens v Panathinaikos	73-69
22/05/17	AEK Athens v Panathinaikos	67-105
18/05/17	Panathinaikos v AEK Athens	81-72
14/05/17	AEK Athens v Panathinaikos	71-70
11/05/17	Panathinaikos v AEK Athens	80-70
26/03/17	AEK Athens v Panathinaikos	87-106 OT
11/12/16	Panathinaikos v AEK Athens	77-68
16/02/15	AEK Athens v Panathinaikos	62-70

Panathinaikoslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
21/12/18	H	Olimpia Milano	83-86
19/12/18	A	Real Madrid	68-89
16/12/18	A	PAOK	93-83
14/12/18	H	Darussafaka	75-67
10/12/18	H	Peristeri	80-75
07/12/18	H	Fenerbahce	69-81
30/11/18	A	Khimki M.	68-76
23/11/18	A	Baskonia	77-86
21/11/18	H	Barcelona	76-70
18/11/18	H	Olympiacos	79-70

AEK Athenslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
19/12/18	H	Nymburk	80-76
15/12/18	H	Lavrio	83-64
11/12/18	A	Hapoel M. Jerusalem	83-70
08/12/18	A	Aris	81-77
25/11/18	H	Ifaistos Limnou	83-69
20/11/18	A	Antwerp Giants	71-64
17/11/18	A	G.S. Kymis	78-67
13/11/18	H	Lietkabelis	65-59
10/11/18	H	Holargos B.C.	73-63
07/11/18	H	Fuenlabrada	78-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Panathinaikos

Basket League 2018-19

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	100%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	WWW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	8	5	3
Win %	100%	100%	100%
Points / game	89.1	89.6	88.3
Allowed / game	69.6	67.4	73.3
Point differential	+19.5	+22.2	+15.0
Avg total	158.8	157.0	161.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	75%	60%	100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	100% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

AEK Athens

Basket League 2018-19

Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	78%
Home	WWWW	100%
Away	LWLWW	60%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	9	4	5
Win %	78%	100%	60%
Points / game	78.2	82.5	74.8
Allowed / game	70.0	66.8	72.6
Point differential	+8.2	+15.8	+2.2
Avg total	148.2	149.2	147.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	56%	100%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	-	50% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Panathinaikos	8	8	0	100%	89.1	69.6	+19.5
2	Olympiacos	10	9	1	90%	84.8	67.2	+17.6
3	Peristeri	10	8	2	80%	77.9	73.5	+4.4
4	AEK Athens	9	7	2	78%	78.2	70.0	+8.2
5	Promitheas	10	7	3	70%	75.0	70.0	+5.0
6	PAOK	10	6	4	60%	78.6	73.0	+5.6
7	Holargos B.C.	10	5	5	50%	67.4	68.9	-1.5
8	Ifaistos Limnou	10	5	5	50%	73.4	77.3	-3.9
9	Panionios	10	3	7	30%	73.8	82.0	-8.2
10	Kolossos Rhodes	8	2	6	25%	72.9	79.8	-6.9
11	Lavrio	9	2	7	22%	71.3	83.0	-11.7
12	Aris	10	2	8	20%	68.2	72.7	-4.5
13	Rethymno	10	2	8	20%	68.5	77.1	-8.6
14	G.S. Kymis	10	1	9	10%	69.6	82.5	-12.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Panathinaikos	36	21	30	24	111
AEK Athens	16	21	23	19	79

← all games of the day

Panathinaikos vs AEK Athens Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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