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Lietkabelis vs BC Roma Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 09 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Scheduled
Position#21
Record3-4
FormWLWLW
Points / game73.7
Allowed / game81.7
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.6/10
Around normal
4.3/10
Below normal
Position#18
Record3-4
FormWLLWL
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game90.6
EuropeEurocupRound 9· Kalnapilio arena
European cup2026
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lietkabelis win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
BC Roma win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LietkabelisLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLietkabelis
Date
Competition
PAOK
#7
W
95-86
95
86
+9
93avg 71
H13/10
Eurocup
Nevezis
#10
W
73-72
73
72
+1
66avg 71
A17/10
LKL
Balkan
#32
W
64-57
64
57
+7
54avg 71
A20/10
Eurocup
Gargzdai
#3
L
80-83
80
83
-3
66avg 71
A24/10
LKL
Ulm
#15
L
68-86
68
86
-18
54avg 71
H27/10
Eurocup
Neptunas
#5
W
99-79
99
79
+20
91avg 71
H31/10
LKL
Manresa
#8
L
66-80
66
80
-14
no box
H04/11
Eurocup
Rytas
#2
W
85-81
85
81
+4
no box
H07/11
LKL
Bahcesehir Kol.
#3
L
61-99
61
99
-38
no box
A11/11
Eurocup
Taurage
#9
W
81-73
81
73
+8
no box
A14/11
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-22
27-18
24-24
21-22
20-19
22-9
20-21
11-23
13-10
20-15
16-20
15-12
14-27
23-12
22-16
21-28
25-22
17-28
9-17
17-19
19-33
29-20
25-11
26-15
14-24
14-21
17-22
21-13
20-21
22-25
23-14
20-21
19-22
16-25
9-32
17-20
22-21
23-21
19-15
17-16
156.8Avg total
77.2Scored
79.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)73.781.7155.4-8.043%
Season at home (4)76.081.0157.0-5.050%
Season away (3)70.782.7153.3-12.033%
Last 10 (10)77.279.6156.8-2.460%
Last 5 (5)78.482.4160.8-4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)78.087.2165.2-9.231%
vs Similar (11)80.079.0159.0+1.045%
vs Weaker (6)72.871.7144.5+1.267%
This opponent (BC Roma) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BC RomaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRoma
Date
Competition
Balkan
#32
W
77-72 OT
77
72
+5
69avg 86
H13/10
Eurocup
Venezia
#7
L
98-104
98
104
-6
92avg 86
H17/10
Lega A
Manresa
#8
L
88-108
88
108
-20
78avg 86
A20/10
Eurocup
Varese
#6
L
103-110 OT
103
110
-7
95avg 86
A24/10
Lega A
KK Bosna
#23
L
80-85
80
85
-5
70avg 86
H27/10
Eurocup
Scafati
#15
W
103-90
103
90
+13
101avg 86
H31/10
Lega A
PAOK
#7
L
111-113
111
113
-2
no box
A03/11
Eurocup
Trieste
#8
L
100-116
100
116
-16
no box
A08/11
Lega A
Ulm
#15
W
83-78
83
78
+5
no box
H11/11
Eurocup
Verona
#10
L
88-89
88
89
-1
no box
H14/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-12
16-21
18-12
22-24
29-24
26-22
13-24
30-34
21-32
25-25
24-25
18-26
28-32
17-17
22-17
28-29
21-16
20-27
26-20
13-22
25-29
26-24
27-23
25-14
22-29
38-32
26-31
25-21
32-28
24-30
26-34
18-24
11-15
24-19
27-16
21-28
31-29
19-23
19-21
19-16
189.6Avg total
93.1Scored
96.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)87.090.6177.6-3.643%
Season at home (4)83.080.5163.5+2.575%
Season away (3)92.3104.0196.3-11.70%
Last 10 (10)93.196.5189.6-3.430%
Last 5 (5)97.097.2194.2-0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)94.2107.0201.2-12.80%
vs Similar (7)91.695.9187.4-4.314%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)95.079.8174.8+15.2100%
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -1.9-1.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -1.9-1.9
LietkabelisBC Roma
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LietkabelisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
PAOK
#7
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H13/10
Eurocup
Nevezis
#10
W
42-28
42
28
+14
A17/10
LKL
Balkan
#32
W
33-25
33
25
+8
A20/10
Eurocup
Gargzdai
#3
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A24/10
LKL
Ulm
#15
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H27/10
Eurocup
Neptunas
#5
L
48-53
48
53
-5
H31/10
LKL
Manresa
#8
L
28-45
28
45
-17
H04/11
Eurocup
Rytas
#2
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H07/11
LKL
Bahcesehir Kol.
#3
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A11/11
Eurocup
Taurage
#9
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A14/11
LKL
81.7Avg total
40.2Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.342.080.3-3.627%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.142.280.3-4.120%-
Last 30 away (15)38.641.780.3-3.133%-
Last 10 (10)40.241.581.7-1.340%-
Last 5 (5)39.646.686.2-7.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)39.844.283.9-4.415%-
vs Similar (11)37.844.081.8-6.218%-
vs Weaker (6)36.233.569.7+2.767%-
This opponent (BC Roma) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BC RomaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Balkan
#32
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H13/10
Eurocup
Venezia
#7
W
55-46
55
46
+9
H17/10
Lega A
Manresa
#8
L
46-57
46
57
-11
A20/10
Eurocup
Varese
#6
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A24/10
Lega A
KK Bosna
#23
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H27/10
Eurocup
Scafati
#15
L
51-53
51
53
-2
H31/10
Lega A
PAOK
#7
L
60-61
60
61
-1
A03/11
Eurocup
Trieste
#8
L
56-58
56
58
-2
A08/11
Lega A
Ulm
#15
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H11/11
Eurocup
Verona
#10
L
50-52
50
52
-2
H14/11
Lega A
95.4Avg total
46.8Scored
48.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (15)47.148.195.3-1.033%-
Last 30 at home (8)45.042.987.9+2.150%-
Last 30 away (7)49.654.1103.7-4.614%-
Last 10 (10)46.848.695.4-1.820%-
Last 5 (5)50.451.6102.0-1.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)50.055.2105.2-5.20%-
vs Similar (7)46.947.694.4-0.743%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)44.842.086.8+2.850%-
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lietkabelistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lietkabelis: 76.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.7 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.419.3
51.6%
54.0%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.37.8
35.0%
34.0%23.4
🏀 Free throws18.814.6
77.7%
75.6%14.6
They take 59.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
BC Romatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BC Roma: 91.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.7 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.722.2
60.5%
54.0%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.710.2
34.3%
34.0%30.6
🏀 Free throws20.716.7
80.7%
75.6%16.7
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lietkabelis
WLWLWLLWWW
BC Roma
LWLLWLLLLW
#21
League position
#18
-2.7
Net rating
+0.8
95.5
Offensive rating
100.1
98.3
Defensive rating
99.3
51.9%
Effective FG%
56.5%
58.2%
Opp. effective FG%
53.4%
15.3%
Turnover %
16.6%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.31
35.0%
3-point %
34.3%
56.1%
Assist %
59.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence95.5 · 100.1Defence98.3 · 99.3Shooting51.9% · 56.5%3-point %35.0% · 34.3%Ball care15.3% · 16.6%Free throws0.31 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Lietkabelis   ■ BC Roma
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Lietkabelis wins
1
BC Roma wins
DateGameScore
07/10/26BC Roma v Lietkabelis92-87
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ATaurage81-73
11/11/26ABahcesehir Kol.61-99
07/11/26HRytas85-81
04/11/26HManresa66-80
31/10/26HNeptunas99-79
27/10/26HUlm68-86
24/10/26AGargzdai80-83
20/10/26ABalkan64-57
17/10/26ANevezis73-72
13/10/26HPAOK95-86
BC Romalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HVerona88-89
11/11/26HUlm83-78
08/11/26ATrieste100-116
03/11/26APAOK111-113
31/10/26HScafati103-90
27/10/26HKK Bosna80-85
24/10/26AVarese103-110 OT
20/10/26AManresa88-108
17/10/26HVenezia98-104
13/10/26HBalkan77-72 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lietkabelis
Eurocup 2026
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL43%
HomeWWLL50%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %43%50%33%
Points / game73.776.070.7
Allowed / game81.781.082.7
Point differential-8.0-5.0-12.0
Avg total155.4157.0153.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
BC Roma
Eurocup 2026
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW43%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %43%75%0%
Points / game87.083.092.3
Allowed / game90.680.5104.0
Point differential-3.6+2.5-11.7
Avg total177.6163.5196.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)75% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %14%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hapoel Jerusalem770100%88.474.0+14.4
2 Basket Napoli770100%94.984.0+10.9
3 Bahcesehir Kol.76186%92.676.6+16.0
4 Aris76186%90.677.0+13.6
5 Tenerife76186%91.479.0+12.4
6 Tofas76186%91.782.9+8.9
7 PAOK75271%87.782.0+5.7
8 Manresa75271%88.183.3+4.9
9 London Lions74357%81.175.3+5.9
10 Buducnost74357%88.484.4+4.0
11 Maxima Roma74357%88.484.7+3.7
12 Le Mans74357%80.778.1+2.6
13 Chemnitz74357%87.985.4+2.4
14 Venezia73443%86.380.6+5.7
15 Ulm73443%87.687.4+0.1
16 Turk Telekom73443%80.680.9-0.3
17 Tortona73443%80.683.3-2.7
18 BC Roma73443%87.090.6-3.6
19 Siauliai73443%80.086.3-6.3
20 Rigas Zelli73443%78.685.3-6.7
21 Lietkabelis73443%73.781.7-8.0
22 Frankfurt73443%86.694.7-8.1
23 KK Bosna72529%79.981.9-2.0
24 JL Bourg72529%81.184.7-3.6
25 Cedevita Olimpija72529%74.979.0-4.1
26 Neptunas72529%84.790.3-5.6
27 Trento72529%82.189.0-6.9
28 Rostock72529%78.486.4-8.0
29 Cluj-Napoca72529%81.394.3-13.0
30 San Pablo Burgos71614%76.985.9-9.0
31 Slask Wroclaw71614%79.789.9-10.1
32 Balkan71614%67.480.6-13.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 32 teams: scroll the table.
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