PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Lietkabelis vs Neptunas Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 31 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 14:50
Final 99-79
19-33 29-20 25-11 26-15
Position#5
Record3-4
FormWWWLL
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game81.4
Vs
51%
49%
■ LIE 51%■ NEP 49%
Pythia win probability
Projected 83-83
Projected total 165.5
Position#4
Record4-3
FormWWLWL
Points / game86.6
Allowed / game83.3
LithuaniaLKL· Kalnapilio arena
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Lietkabelis v Neptunas
21 Apr 2027
LIE v NEP
upcoming
31 Oct 2026
LIE99
NEP79
13 Jun 2026
LIE82
NEP91
08 Jun 2026
LIE80
NEP68
26 Apr 2026
LIE83
NEP80
20 Sep 2025
LIE84
NEP96
30 Apr 2025
LIE84
NEP79
02 Nov 2024
LIE81
NEP89
04 Mar 2024
LIE76
NEP78
21 Jan 2024
LIE79
NEP76
14 Jan 2023
LIE73
NEP81
26 Nov 2022
LIE80
NEP73
15 Jan 2022
LIE80
NEP80
18 Sep 2021
LIE83
NEP62
13 May 2021
LIE94
NEP93
08 Apr 2021
LIE82
NEP77
03 Oct 2020
LIE87
NEP82
02 May 2020
LIE v NEP
upcoming
11 Jan 2020
LIE102
NEP64
22 Apr 2019
LIE69
NEP73
24 Nov 2018
LIE76
NEP100
17 Jun 2018
LIE78
NEP89
12 Jun 2018
LIE69
NEP71
18 Apr 2018
LIE89
NEP94
04 Oct 2017
LIE88
NEP76
01 Apr 2017
LIE74
NEP61
05 Oct 2016
LIE93
NEP74
17 Apr 2016
LIE72
NEP80
25 Oct 2015
LIE75
NEP80
16 Apr 2015
LIE81
NEP83
09 Oct 2014
LIE65
NEP78
10 Apr 2014
LIE69
NEP83
16 Jan 2013
LIE65
NEP81
21 Jan 2012
LIE103
NEP98
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off
Lietkabelis host Neptunas in the LKL. Pythia makes Lietkabelis the favourite at 51% and projects 83-83, about 165 points in all (over 163.5: 54%). On the market's main spread (Lietkabelis +2.5) Pythia gives Lietkabelis 58% to cover. Overtime chance: 5%. Lietkabelis are 3-4 this season (76.0 scored, 81.4 allowed a game), form WWWLL; Neptunas are 4-3 this season (86.6 scored, 83.3 allowed a game), form WWLWL.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lietkabelis winWon
51.2%fair 1.95
Best odds2.21
Implied42.1%
Edge+9.1pp
Neptunas winLost
48.8%fair 2.05
Best odds1.78
Implied57.9%
Edge-9.1pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 29 Oct 17:11 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LietkabelisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLietkabelis
Date
Competition
Taurage
#9
W
85-79
85
79
+6
77avg 71
H26/09
LKL
KK Bosna
#22
W
75-72
75
72
+3
66avg 71
H30/09
Eurocup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
68-97
68
97
-29
48avg 71
A04/10
LKL
BC Roma
#25
L
87-92
87
92
-5
71avg 71
A07/10
Eurocup
Jonava
#6
L
65-71
65
71
-6
56avg 71
H10/10
LKL
PAOK
#9
W
95-86
95
86
+9
93avg 71
H13/10
Eurocup
Nevezis
#10
W
73-72
73
72
+1
66avg 71
A17/10
LKL
Balkan
#32
W
64-57
64
57
+7
54avg 71
A20/10
Eurocup
Gargzdai
#3
L
80-83
80
83
-3
66avg 71
A24/10
LKL
Ulm
#14
L
68-86
68
86
-18
54avg 71
H27/10
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-18
14-16
32-28
15-17
12-20
25-18
25-15
13-19
21-20
19-29
12-23
16-25
11-22
27-21
25-27
24-22
13-20
15-13
15-14
22-24
23-22
27-18
24-24
21-22
20-19
22-9
20-21
11-23
13-10
20-15
16-20
15-12
14-27
23-12
22-16
21-28
25-22
17-28
9-17
17-19
155.5Avg total
76.0Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)76.081.4157.4-5.443%
Season at home (3)78.077.3155.3+0.767%
Season away (4)74.584.5159.0-10.025%
Last 10 (10)76.079.5155.5-3.550%
Last 5 (5)76.076.8152.8-0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)81.789.1170.9-7.429%
vs Similar ◀ (15)77.379.4156.7-2.140%
vs Weaker (8)80.470.0150.4+10.475%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Gargzdai
#3
L
78-87
78
87
-9
71avg 82
A26/09
LKL
Trento
#26
L
73-76
73
76
-3
66avg 82
H29/09
Eurocup
Nevezis
#10
W
89-62
89
62
+27
92avg 82
H03/10
LKL
Chemnitz
#7
L
84-93
84
93
-9
76avg 82
A07/10
Eurocup
Rytas
#2
L
77-86
77
86
-9
65avg 82
A10/10
LKL
JL Bourg
#24
W
93-89
93
89
+4
86avg 82
H13/10
Eurocup
Jonava
#6
W
84-83
84
83
+1
75avg 82
A17/10
LKL
Buducnost
#12
L
89-104
89
104
-15
81avg 82
A20/10
Eurocup
Siauliai
#8
W
110-88
110
88
+22
108avg 82
H25/10
LKL
Basket Napoli
#2
L
85-94
85
94
-9
77avg 82
H28/10
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-18
20-16
27-24
7-29
15-21
21-15
15-23
22-17
34-10
21-12
14-19
20-21
15-31
24-26
27-18
18-18
22-18
18-22
21-27
16-19
32-14
19-29
17-24
25-22
29-24
19-21
17-21
19-17
22-31
20-25
26-24
21-24
25-23
26-17
31-26
28-22
20-24
25-23
20-24
20-23
172.4Avg total
86.2Scored
86.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)86.683.3169.9+3.357%
Season at home (4)91.881.8173.5+10.075%
Season away (3)79.785.3165.0-5.733%
Last 10 (10)86.286.2172.4+0.040%
Last 5 (5)92.291.6183.8+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)82.393.8176.2-11.50%
vs Similar ◀ (11)82.681.6164.3+1.055%
vs Weaker (13)94.386.1180.4+8.262%
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Total points distribution

3%6%9%12%0%1201%1251%1302%1354%1407%1459%15011%15512%16012%16511%1709%1757%1805%1854%1902%1951%2001%2050%210
1%1252%1357%14511%15512%1659%1755%1852%1951%205
Pythia expects about 165 points (overtime included in the simulation); the most likely band is 165-169 (12%). The market's main line is 163.5.
Over/Under 158.5Actual: Over 158.5
Over 158.5
66.1%
@ 1.50+5.1pp
Under 158.5
33.9%
@ 2.50-5.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.50
Bet365
1.50
Marathon Be
1.49
1xBet
1.48
Under
Bet365
2.50
Betano
2.35
1xBet
2.26
Over/Under 163.5 · main lineActual: Over 163.5
Over 163.5
54.0%
@ 1.88+3.7pp
Under 163.5
46.0%
@ 1.88-3.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.88
Pinnacle
1.86
Betano
1.85
WilliamHill
1.85
Bet365
1.83
Under
Pinnacle
1.88
WilliamHill
1.85
Marathon Be
1.83
Bet365
1.83
Betano
1.82
Over/Under 168.5Actual: Over 168.5
Over 168.5
41.6%
@ 2.50+2.8pp
Under 168.5
58.4%
@ 1.53-2.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.50
Betano
2.37
1xBet
2.16
Under
1xBet
1.53
Betano
1.50
Bet365
1.50

📊 3. Team Totals

Lietkabelis total 76.5Actual: Lietkabelis over 76.5
Over 76.5
73.1%
@ 1.42+8.5pp
Under 76.5
26.9%
@ 2.62-8.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.42
1xBet
1.36
Under
Betano
2.62
1xBet
2.45
Lietkabelis total 80.5 · main lineActual: Lietkabelis over 80.5
Over 80.5
59.0%
@ 1.83+8.5pp
Under 80.5
41.0%
@ 1.85-8.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.83
Betano
1.82
Marathon Be
1.81
1xBet
1.69
Under
Betano
1.85
Marathon Be
1.85
Bet365
1.83
1xBet
1.76
Lietkabelis total 84.5Actual: Lietkabelis over 84.5
Over 84.5
43.7%
@ 2.52+6.6pp
Under 84.5
56.3%
@ 1.44-6.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.52
1xBet
2.30
Under
Betano
1.44
1xBet
1.40
Neptunas total 77.5Actual: Neptunas over 77.5
Over 77.5
68.7%
@ 1.44+2.5pp
Under 77.5
31.3%
@ 2.84-2.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.44
1xBet
1.29
Under
1xBet
2.84
Betano
2.52
Neptunas total 81.5 · main lineActual: Neptunas under 81.5
Over 81.5
53.8%
@ 1.83+1.2pp
Under 81.5
46.2%
@ 2.00-1.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.83
Marathon Be
1.78
Betano
1.70
1xBet
1.55
Under
Betano
2.00
1xBet
1.96
Marathon Be
1.86
Bet365
1.83
Neptunas total 85.5Actual: Neptunas under 85.5
Over 85.5
38.4%
@ 2.30-2.8pp
Under 85.5
61.6%
@ 1.53+2.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.30
1xBet
2.04
Under
Betano
1.53
1xBet
1.51

⚖️ 4. Spread

Winning margin distribution

2%5%7%10%0%-331%-301%-272%-242%-214%-185%-156%-128%-99%-610%-36%+010%+39%+67%+96%+124%+153%+182%+211%+241%+271%+30
0%-331%-272%-215%-158%-910%-310%+37%+94%+152%+211%+27
Margin from Lietkabelis's side (positive = Lietkabelis win). Pythia's expected margin is +0.4; Lietkabelis win by 1+ in 45% of simulations.
Spread Lietkabelis -0.5Actual: Lietkabelis -0.5
LIE -0.5
51.2%
NEP +0.5
48.8%
Best 5 market prices
LIE
No market prices yet.
NEP
No market prices yet.
Spread Lietkabelis +2.5 · main lineActual: Lietkabelis +2.5
LIE +2.5
58.0%
@ 1.91+9.1pp
NEP -2.5
42.0%
@ 1.85-9.1pp
Best 5 market prices
LIE
Pinnacle
1.91
Betfair
1.91
BetVictor
1.88
Marathon Be
1.87
Bet365
1.83
NEP
Betano
1.85
Pinnacle
1.83
Bet365
1.83
BetVictor
1.83
Marathon Be
1.80
Spread Lietkabelis +5.5Actual: Lietkabelis +5.5
LIE +5.5
67.8%
@ 1.55+7.9pp
NEP -5.5
32.2%
@ 2.30-7.9pp
Best 5 market prices
LIE
Marathon Be
1.55
Betano
1.52
1xBet
1.48
NEP
Betano
2.30
1xBet
2.19

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: -3.6-3.6Q4: -1.6-1.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: -3.6-3.6Q4: -1.6-1.6
LietkabelisNeptunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LietkabelisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Taurage
#9
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H26/09
LKL
KK Bosna
#22
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H30/09
Eurocup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A04/10
LKL
BC Roma
#25
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A07/10
Eurocup
Jonava
#6
L
28-33
28
33
-5
H10/10
LKL
PAOK
#9
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H13/10
Eurocup
Nevezis
#10
W
42-28
42
28
+14
A17/10
LKL
Balkan
#32
W
33-25
33
25
+8
A20/10
Eurocup
Gargzdai
#3
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A24/10
LKL
Ulm
#14
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H27/10
Eurocup
76.4Avg total
38.5Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 82.5
Last 30 (30)38.440.278.7-1.837%33%
Last 30 at home (15)39.239.879.0-0.640%33%
Last 30 away (15)37.740.778.3-3.033%33%
Last 10 (10)38.537.976.4+0.640%30%
Last 5 (5)40.836.477.2+4.460%40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)42.143.685.7-1.429%43%
vs Similar ◀ (15)36.842.279.0-5.420%40%
vs Weaker (8)38.233.671.9+4.675%12%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gargzdai
#3
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A26/09
LKL
Trento
#26
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H29/09
Eurocup
Nevezis
#10
W
55-22
55
22
+33
H03/10
LKL
Chemnitz
#7
L
39-57
39
57
-18
A07/10
Eurocup
Rytas
#2
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A10/10
LKL
JL Bourg
#24
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H13/10
Eurocup
Jonava
#6
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A17/10
LKL
Buducnost
#12
L
42-56
42
56
-14
A20/10
Eurocup
Siauliai
#8
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H25/10
LKL
Basket Napoli
#2
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H28/10
Eurocup
87.1Avg total
45.1Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 82.5
Last 30 (30)45.642.588.1+3.157%70%
Last 30 at home (17)46.641.988.5+4.659%76%
Last 30 away (13)44.343.387.6+1.054%62%
Last 10 (10)45.142.087.1+3.150%60%
Last 5 (5)47.446.293.6+1.260%100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)41.749.090.7-7.30%67%
vs Similar ◀ (11)44.438.783.1+5.673%55%
vs Weaker (13)48.542.891.2+5.769%85%
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: Neptunas win
LIE win
52.2%
@ 2.07-0.2pp
NEP win
47.8%
@ 1.96+0.2pp
1st half Spread Lietkabelis -0.5 · main lineActual: Neptunas +0.5
LIE -0.5
50.2%
@ 1.91+1.3pp
NEP +0.5
49.8%
@ 1.80-1.3pp
1st half Over/Under 82.5 · main lineActual: Over 82.5
Over
49.9%
@ 1.91+0.3pp
Under
50.1%
@ 1.87-0.3pp
Lietkabelis 1st half total 41 · main lineActual: Lietkabelis over 41
Over
53.5%
@ 1.77+2.6pp
Under
46.5%
@ 1.89-2.6pp
Neptunas 1st half total 40.5 · main lineActual: Neptunas over 40.5
Over
52.6%
@ 1.83+1.3pp
Under
47.4%
@ 2.12-1.3pp
1st half: LIE + total 82.5
LIE & over
25.2%
@ 3.55+0.7pp
LIE & under
25.0%
@ 3.75+1.7pp
1st half: Draw + total 82.5
Draw & over
1.9%
@ 26.00-1.5pp
Draw & under
2.0%
@ 29.00-1.0pp
1st half: NEP + total 82.5
NEP & over
22.8%
@ 3.70-0.8pp
NEP & under
23.2%
@ 3.90+0.8pp
1st half Over/Under 81.25Actual: Over 81.25
Over
53.7%
@ 1.72+1.2pp
Under
46.3%
@ 1.90-1.2pp
1st half Spread Lietkabelis -1.5Actual: Neptunas +1.5
LIE -1.5
45.9%
@ 2.37+0.1pp
NEP +1.5
54.1%
@ 1.72-0.1pp
1st half Spread Lietkabelis +0.5Actual: Neptunas -0.5
LIE +0.5
54.1%
@ 2.00+6.9pp
NEP -0.5
45.9%
@ 1.80-6.9pp
1st half Over/Under 84.5Actual: Over 84.5
Over
42.4%
@ 2.15-1.4pp
Under
57.6%
@ 1.66+1.4pp
1st half Over/Under 80Actual: Over 80
Over
59.6%
@ 1.74+4.5pp
Under
40.4%
@ 2.08-4.5pp
1st half Spread Lietkabelis -2.5Actual: Neptunas +2.5
LIE -2.5
41.9%
@ 2.47+0.3pp
NEP +2.5
58.1%
@ 1.58-0.3pp
1st half Spread Lietkabelis +1.5Actual: Neptunas -1.5
LIE +1.5
58.4%
@ 1.82+0.3pp
NEP -1.5
41.6%
@ 2.22-0.3pp
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Lietkabelis (regulation)
LIE
50.2%
@ 2.12+2.9pp
Draw
3.9%
@ 16.50-2.1pp
NEP
45.9%
@ 1.99-1.3pp

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
LIE win + total 163.5
🔒 Pro
NEP win + total 163.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: LIE leads at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: level at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: NEP leads at half
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half
🔒 Pro
Team with the highest-scoring quarter
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring half
🔒 Pro
Double chance (regulation)
🔒 Pro
Quarters won (LIE:NEP): LIE wins more
🔒 Pro
🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Q4: Lietkabelis over 1871.0%1.67
Marathon Bet
1.74
1xBet
1.60
---+17.7ppWon
Q4: Lietkabelis +4.573.3%1.56
1xBet
1.56
----+16.6ppWon
Q4: Lietkabelis +5.577.4%1.45
1xBet
1.45
----+16.5ppWon
Q4: Lietkabelis +6.581.4%1.36
1xBet
1.36
----+16.3ppWon
Q4: Lietkabelis over 17.572.9%1.53
1xBet
1.53
----+16.3ppWon
Q4: Lietkabelis +7.585.0%1.29
1xBet
1.29
----+16.0ppWon
Q4: Lietkabelis over 16.578.7%1.39
1xBet
1.39
----+15.9ppWon
2nd half: Lietkabelis over 36.573.8%1.49
1xBet
1.49
----+15.6ppWon
2nd half: Lietkabelis over 35.578.0%1.40
1xBet
1.40
----+15.4ppWon
Q4: Lietkabelis over 15.583.9%1.29
1xBet
1.29
----+15.2ppWon
2nd half: Lietkabelis +7.578.4%1.39
1xBet
1.39
----+14.8ppWon
2nd half: Lietkabelis over 34.581.6%1.32
1xBet
1.32
----+14.8ppWon
2nd half: Lietkabelis +6.575.3%1.46
1xBet
1.46
----+14.8ppWon
2nd half: Lietkabelis +5.572.0%1.54
1xBet
1.54
----+14.7ppWon
2nd half: Lietkabelis +8.581.3%1.33
1xBet
1.33
----+14.6ppWon
2nd half: Lietkabelis +9.584.0%1.28
1xBet
1.28
----+14.4ppWon
Q4: Neptunas over 16.579.2%1.28
1xBet
1.28
----+9.8ppLost
Q1: Lietkabelis over 17.574.9%1.33
1xBet
1.33
----+8.8ppWon
Lietkabelis over 76.573.1%1.39
Betano
1.42
1xBet
1.36
---+8.5ppWon
Over 154.574.8%1.38
Betano
1.38
----+8.5ppWon
Lietkabelis over 74.579.1%1.24
1xBet
1.24
----+8.5ppWon
Q4: Neptunas under 24.575.8%1.31
1xBet
1.31
----+8.3ppWon
Q4: Neptunas over 17.573.3%1.35
1xBet
1.35
----+8.2ppLost
2nd half: Neptunas over 36.574.2%1.33
1xBet
1.33
----+8.0ppLost
1st half: Lietkabelis +6.577.4%1.28
1xBet
1.28
----+7.9ppWon
Lietkabelis +6.571.0%1.42
Betano
1.45
1xBet
1.40
---+7.7ppWon
2nd half: Neptunas over 35.578.2%1.24
1xBet
1.24
----+7.5ppLost
Q2: Neptunas over 16.578.2%1.24
1xBet
1.24
----+7.5ppWon
Q3: Lietkabelis over 17.572.3%1.36
1xBet
1.36
----+7.5ppWon
Lietkabelis +7.573.9%1.35
Betano
1.38
1xBet
1.33
---+7.4ppWon
Q1: Lietkabelis +4.575.2%1.31
1xBet
1.31
----+7.3ppLost
Q2: Neptunas over 17.571.5%1.36
1xBet
1.36
----+7.2ppWon
Lietkabelis over 70.588.4%1.14
Bet365
1.14
----+7.0ppWon
Lietkabelis +8.576.6%1.29
Betano
1.32
1xBet
1.27
---+6.8ppWon
Lietkabelis over 75.576.2%1.31
1xBet
1.31
Bet365
1.30
---+6.8ppWon
Neptunas over 64.596.2%1.04
Bet365
1.04
----+6.6ppWon
Neptunas over 70.588.0%1.14
Bet365
1.14
----+6.6ppWon
Q3: Neptunas over 17.571.3%1.36
1xBet
1.36
----+6.6ppLost
Neptunas over 71.585.9%1.16
Bet365
1.16
----+6.4ppWon
2nd half: Neptunas under 45.573.0%1.32
1xBet
1.32
----+6.2ppWon
1st half: Lietkabelis over 36.576.0%1.27
1xBet
1.27
----+6.1ppWon
Neptunas over 66.594.4%1.06
Bet365
1.06
----+6.1ppWon
Neptunas over 62.597.6%1.02
Bet365
1.02
----+6.0ppWon
Lietkabelis over 71.586.5%1.15
Bet365
1.15
----+6.0ppWon
Neptunas over 68.591.5%1.10
Bet365
1.10
----+6.0ppWon
Lietkabelis over 62.597.5%1.02
Bet365
1.02
----+6.0ppWon
Lietkabelis over 66.594.3%1.06
Bet365
1.06
----+6.0ppWon
Neptunas over 74.578.3%1.28
Bet365
1.28
----+5.9ppWon
Lietkabelis over 64.596.1%1.03
Bet365
1.03
----+5.9ppWon
Q1: Neptunas under 23.572.8%1.32
1xBet
1.32
----+5.9ppLost
2nd half: Neptunas +6.575.4%1.28
1xBet
1.28
----+5.8ppLost
Neptunas over 72.583.6%1.20
Bet365
1.20
----+5.8ppWon
Neptunas over 61.598.1%1.01
Bet365
1.01
----+5.8ppWon
Q4: Neptunas +4.574.4%1.30
1xBet
1.30
----+5.8ppLost
Lietkabelis over 68.591.8%1.09
Bet365
1.09
----+5.7ppWon
Lietkabelis over 63.596.9%1.02
Bet365
1.02
----+5.7ppWon
Lietkabelis over 60.598.5%1.01
Bet365
1.01
----+5.7ppWon
Neptunas over 60.598.5%1.01
Bet365
1.01
----+5.7ppWon
Lietkabelis over 73.581.8%1.22
Bet365
1.22
----+5.6ppWon
Lietkabelis over 65.595.2%1.04
Bet365
1.04
----+5.6ppWon
1st half: Lietkabelis +4.570.5%1.41
Betano
1.47
1xBet
1.34
---+5.6ppLost
Neptunas +25.597.7%1.01
Bet365
1.01
----+5.5ppWon
Neptunas over 63.597.0%1.02
Bet365
1.02
----+5.5ppWon
Lietkabelis over 72.584.3%1.18
Bet365
1.18
----+5.4ppWon
1st half: Neptunas under 46.578.4%1.25
1xBet
1.27
Bet365
1.22
---+5.3ppLost
Q1: Lietkabelis +3.570.5%1.39
1xBet
1.40
Bet365
1.38
---+5.3ppLost
Lietkabelis over 61.598.0%1.01
Bet365
1.01
----+5.2ppWon
Neptunas +20.594.6%1.04
Bet365
1.04
----+5.2ppWon
Over 138.595.4%1.03
Bet365
1.03
----+5.2ppWon
Neptunas under 89.575.2%1.27
1xBet
1.27
----+5.2ppWon
Neptunas over 65.595.4%1.03
Bet365
1.03
----+5.2ppWon
Over 156.570.6%1.40
Betano
1.40
----+5.2ppWon
Lietkabelis +24.597.4%1.01
Bet365
1.01
----+5.1ppWon
Lietkabelis over 67.593.1%1.06
Bet365
1.06
----+5.1ppWon
1st half: Lietkabelis over 37.571.6%1.35
Bet365
1.37
1xBet
1.34
---+5.0ppWon
Q1: Lietkabelis over 12.595.2%1.03
Bet365
1.03
----+5.0ppWon
Lietkabelis +19.594.4%1.04
Bet365
1.04
----+5.0ppWon
Over 153.576.8%1.29
Bet365
1.29
----+5.0ppWon
Lietkabelis +9.579.1%1.25
Betano
1.27
Bet365
1.22
---+4.9ppWon
Over 143.591.5%1.08
Bet365
1.08
----+4.9ppWon
Over 148.585.4%1.15
Bet365
1.15
----+4.9ppWon
1st half: Lietkabelis +9.585.4%1.15
Bet365
1.15
----+4.9ppWon
Neptunas under 101.596.3%1.02
Bet365
1.02
----+4.8ppWon
Neptunas under 102.597.0%1.01
Bet365
1.01
----+4.8ppWon
Q1: Over 34.583.6%1.18
Bet365
1.18
----+4.7ppWon
Lietkabelis over 69.590.2%1.10
Bet365
1.10
----+4.7ppWon
Lietkabelis under 101.596.2%1.02
Bet365
1.02
----+4.6ppWon
Neptunas over 67.592.9%1.06
Bet365
1.06
----+4.6ppWon
1st half: Over 71.585.1%1.15
Bet365
1.15
----+4.6ppWon
Q1: Lietkabelis over 16.580.7%1.22
Bet365
1.22
----+4.6ppWon
1st half: Lietkabelis over 33.586.7%1.13
Bet365
1.13
----+4.5ppWon
1st half: Neptunas over 30.593.1%1.05
Bet365
1.05
----+4.4ppWon
Neptunas under 100.595.5%1.02
Bet365
1.02
----+4.4ppWon
Q1: Neptunas over 12.594.6%1.03
Bet365
1.03
----+4.4ppWon
Q1: Over 36.575.8%1.30
Bet365
1.30
----+4.3ppWon
Lietkabelis under 103.597.1%1.01
Bet365
1.01
----+4.3ppWon
Q1: Neptunas over 17.573.4%1.28
1xBet
1.28
----+4.3ppWon
Q1: Neptunas under 28.594.7%1.03
Bet365
1.03
----+4.2ppLost
Q1: Lietkabelis over 10.597.9%1.01
Bet365
1.01
----+4.2ppWon
Q1: Lietkabelis +5.579.5%1.23
Bet365
1.23
----+4.2ppLost
Q1: Neptunas under 30.597.9%1.01
Bet365
1.01
----+4.2ppLost
Under 190.593.5%1.04
Bet365
1.04
----+4.2ppWon
Q1: Neptunas over 10.597.8%1.01
Bet365
1.01
----+4.1ppWon
Lietkabelis under 99.594.3%1.03
Bet365
1.03
----+4.1ppWon
Lietkabelis under 102.596.4%1.01
Bet365
1.01
----+4.1ppWon
1st half: Over 73.580.3%1.22
Bet365
1.22
----+4.1ppWon
Q2: Lietkabelis under 23.570.7%1.32
1xBet
1.32
----+4.1ppLost
1st half: Lietkabelis over 31.591.6%1.07
Bet365
1.07
----+4.1ppWon
1st half: Lietkabelis +7.580.2%1.22
Bet365
1.22
----+4.1ppWon
1st half: Neptunas under 45.574.1%1.27
1xBet
1.27
----+4.1ppLost
Over 155.572.8%1.34
Betano
1.40
Bet365
1.29
---+4.0ppWon
1st half: Under 92.582.9%1.18
Bet365
1.18
----+4.0ppLost
1st half: Lietkabelis over 35.580.2%1.22
Bet365
1.22
----+4.0ppWon
1st half: Lietkabelis +5.574.1%1.29
Bet365
1.32
1xBet
1.27
---+3.9ppWon
Over 140.594.1%1.03
Bet365
1.03
----+3.9ppWon
Q1: Lietkabelis under 30.597.5%1.01
Bet365
1.01
----+3.8ppWon
1st half: Neptunas +10.585.2%1.14
Bet365
1.14
----+3.8ppWon
Overtime: no94.8%1.03
Betano
1.03
----+3.8pp-
Neptunas over 69.589.9%1.09
Bet365
1.09
----+3.8ppWon
Q1: Lietkabelis over 14.589.9%1.09
Bet365
1.09
----+3.8ppWon
1st half: Neptunas over 36.573.6%1.30
Bet365
1.31
1xBet
1.29
---+3.8ppWon
1st half: Neptunas over 32.588.8%1.10
Bet365
1.10
----+3.7ppWon
Q1: Lietkabelis under 28.594.0%1.03
Bet365
1.03
----+3.7ppWon
Neptunas +10.579.8%1.22
Bet365
1.22
----+3.7ppLost
1st half: Over 75.574.6%1.31
Bet365
1.31
----+3.7ppWon
Neptunas +15.589.2%1.10
Bet365
1.10
----+3.6ppLost
Q2: Lietkabelis over 17.573.4%1.27
1xBet
1.27
----+3.6ppWon
Neptunas under 98.593.3%1.04
Bet365
1.04
----+3.6ppWon
Q2: Neptunas under 23.572.9%1.28
1xBet
1.28
----+3.6ppWon
Q1: Neptunas +6.581.4%1.20
Bet365
1.20
----+3.6ppWon
Neptunas over 76.572.1%1.32
Bet365
1.40
1xBet
1.24
---+3.6ppWon
Q1: Neptunas over 16.579.6%1.22
Bet365
1.22
----+3.4ppWon
1st half: Neptunas under 50.590.9%1.07
Bet365
1.07
----+3.4ppLost
Q1: Neptunas over 14.588.8%1.10
Bet365
1.10
----+3.3ppWon
1st half: Neptunas under 48.585.6%1.13
Bet365
1.13
----+3.3ppLost
Under 180.582.8%1.16
Bet365
1.16
----+3.2ppWon
Lietkabelis +14.588.7%1.10
Bet365
1.10
----+3.2ppWon
Lietkabelis under 97.591.9%1.05
Bet365
1.05
----+3.2ppLost
Under 185.589.2%1.09
Bet365
1.09
----+3.1ppWon
1st half: Neptunas over 34.581.8%1.18
Bet365
1.18
----+3.0ppWon
2nd half: Neptunas +5.571.9%1.29
1xBet
1.29
----+3.0ppLost
1st half: Lietkabelis under 51.591.7%1.05
Bet365
1.05
----+3.0ppWon
Q1: Lietkabelis or Neptunas94.4%1.04
Bet365
1.04
----+2.9pp-
Neptunas under 96.591.1%1.06
Bet365
1.06
----+2.8ppWon
Over 150.582.2%1.16
Bet365
1.16
----+2.7ppWon
Over 145.589.3%1.08
Bet365
1.08
----+2.7ppWon
1st half: Under 88.571.6%1.35
Bet365
1.35
----+2.7ppLost
1st half: Under 90.577.4%1.25
Bet365
1.25
----+2.7ppLost
Under 188.592.0%1.04
Bet365
1.04
----+2.6ppWon
Lietkabelis under 95.588.7%1.09
Bet365
1.09
----+2.6ppLost
Q1: Neptunas under 26.588.7%1.09
Bet365
1.09
----+2.6ppLost
Under 175.574.0%1.30
Bet365
1.30
----+2.6ppLost
Q1: Neptunas +4.572.9%1.32
Bet365
1.32
----+2.5ppWon
Neptunas under 88.572.0%1.30
1xBet
1.32
Bet365
1.28
---+2.4ppWon
Lietkabelis under 93.584.6%1.13
Bet365
1.13
----+2.4ppLost
1st half: Over 72.582.7%1.15
Bet365
1.15
----+2.2ppWon
Neptunas under 94.587.6%1.10
Bet365
1.10
----+2.1ppWon
1st half: Neptunas +8.579.8%1.20
Bet365
1.20
----+2.0ppWon
Q1: Lietkabelis under 26.587.5%1.10
Bet365
1.10
----+1.9ppWon
Neptunas under 92.583.3%1.14
Bet365
1.14
----+1.9ppWon
1st half: Lietkabelis under 49.586.9%1.10
Bet365
1.10
----+1.9ppWon
Lietkabelis under 92.582.3%1.15
Bet365
1.15
----+1.8ppLost
1st half: Neptunas +6.573.0%1.30
Bet365
1.30
----+1.6ppWon
Q2: Lietkabelis or Neptunas94.5%1.02
Bet365
1.02
----+1.6pp-
Q1: Under 46.576.8%1.23
Bet365
1.23
----+1.5ppLost
1st half: Lietkabelis under 45.571.5%1.29
Bet365
1.31
1xBet
1.28
---+1.4ppLost
Neptunas under 91.580.8%1.16
Bet365
1.16
----+1.3ppWon
1st half: Under 91.580.2%1.18
Bet365
1.18
----+1.3ppLost
1st half: Over 74.577.5%1.22
Bet365
1.22
----+1.3ppWon
Q1: Neptunas under 24.579.0%1.20
Bet365
1.20
----+1.2ppLost
1st half: Lietkabelis under 47.579.9%1.18
Bet365
1.18
----+1.0ppLost
Neptunas +7.572.0%1.29
Betano
1.29
----+1.0ppLost
Lietkabelis under 91.579.7%1.18
Bet365
1.18
----+0.9ppLost
Q4: Lietkabelis under 23.570.6%1.27
1xBet
1.27
----+0.8ppLost
Under 183.586.9%1.09
Bet365
1.09
----+0.8ppWon
Q1: Lietkabelis under 24.576.9%1.22
Bet365
1.22
----+0.8ppWon
1st half: Over 76.571.5%1.31
Bet365
1.31
----+0.5ppWon
Neptunas under 90.578.1%1.20
Bet365
1.20
----+0.3ppWon
Q1: Lietkabelis under 23.570.3%1.27
1xBet
1.27
----+0.2ppWon
Lietkabelis under 89.573.9%1.26
Bet365
1.26
----+0.1ppLost
Under 178.579.5%1.16
Bet365
1.16
----+0.0ppWon
1st half: Under 89.574.5%1.25
Bet365
1.25
-----0.2ppLost
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lietkabelistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lietkabelis: 74.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.018.5
50.0%
55.6%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.77.5
33.0%
35.3%22.5
🏀 Free throws19.615.4
78.6%
70.8%15.4
They take 59.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 85.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.4 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.621.3
52.5%
55.6%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.57.9
32.2%
35.3%23.7
🏀 Free throws24.519.4
79.2%
70.8%19.4
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lietkabelis
LLWWWLLLWW
Neptunas
LWLWWLLWLL
#5
League position
#4
-4.8
Net rating
-0.5
92.4
Offensive rating
97.6
97.3
Defensive rating
98.0
49.8%
Effective FG%
50.9%
56.2%
Opp. effective FG%
56.0%
15.5%
Turnover %
14.9%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.38
33.0%
3-point %
32.2%
56.9%
Assist %
64.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence92.4 · 97.6Defence97.3 · 98.0Shooting49.8% · 50.9%3-point %33.0% · 32.2%Ball care15.5% · 14.9%Free throws0.33 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Lietkabelis   ■ Neptunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Lietkabelis wins
6
Neptunas wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/10/26HUlm68-86
24/10/26AGargzdai80-83
20/10/26ABalkan64-57
17/10/26ANevezis73-72
13/10/26HPAOK95-86
10/10/26HJonava65-71
07/10/26ABC Roma87-92
04/10/26AZalgiris Kaunas68-97
30/09/26HKK Bosna75-72
26/09/26HTaurage85-79
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/26HBasket Napoli85-94
25/10/26HSiauliai110-88
20/10/26ABuducnost89-104
17/10/26AJonava84-83
13/10/26HJL Bourg93-89
10/10/26ARytas77-86
07/10/26AChemnitz84-93
03/10/26HNevezis89-62
29/09/26HTrento73-76
26/09/26AGargzdai78-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lietkabelis
LKL 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL43%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %43%67%25%
Points / game76.078.074.5
Allowed / game81.477.384.5
Point differential-5.4+0.7-10.0
Avg total157.4155.3159.0
Over 163.543%67%25%
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Neptunas
LKL 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW57%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%75%33%
Points / game86.691.879.7
Allowed / game83.381.885.3
Point differential+3.3+10.0-5.7
Avg total169.9173.5165.0
Over 163.557%50%67%
Win by 10+43%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas770100%93.073.0+20.0
2 Rytas54180%91.283.4+7.8
3 Gargzdai75271%90.688.4+2.1
4 Neptunas74357%86.683.3+3.3
5 Juventus73443%85.786.3-0.6
6 Siauliai73443%83.686.7-3.1
7 Lietkabelis73443%76.081.4-5.4
8 Jonava62433%75.879.0-3.2
9 Taurage72529%80.088.7-8.7
10 Nevezis6060%71.383.5-12.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lietkabelis1929252699
Neptunas3320111579
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.