PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Lietkabelis vs BC Wolves Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Sep 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 83-81
28-15 24-25 18-21 13-20
Position#3
Record1-0
FormLWWWL
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game78.0
Lietkabelis 🏆
Lithuania
vs
BC Wolves
Lithuania
Position#4
Record1-0
FormWLLWL
Points / game103.0
Allowed / game90.0
LithuaniaLKL· Kalnapilio arena
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Lietkabelis v BC Wolves
30 Mar 2025
LIE78
WOL64
28 Sep 2024
LIE83
WOL81
11 Jun 2024
LIE98
WOL87
06 Jun 2024
LIE73
WOL81
14 Oct 2023
LIE108
WOL105
03 Dec 2022
LIE92
WOL96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lietkabelis winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
BC Wolves winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LietkabelisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLietkabelis
Date
Competition
Juventus
#4
W
100-99 OT
100
99
+1
90avg 79
A17/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
72-93
72
93
-21
65avg 79
A21/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
89-90
89
90
-1
88avg 79
H23/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
79-88
79
88
-9
76avg 79
A26/05
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
W
86-84
86
84
+2
84avg 79
A04/06
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
73-81
73
81
-8
70avg 79
H06/06
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
W
91-84
91
84
+7
91avg 79
A09/06
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
W
98-87
98
87
+11
96avg 79
H11/06
LKL
Mazeikiai
#10
W
82-78
82
78
+4
80avg 79
H21/09
LKL
Turk Telekom
#8
L
66-72
66
72
-6
49avg 79
A24/09
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-18
25-25
20-17
20-28
14-33
24-15
22-18
12-27
22-16
17-22
29-23
21-29
18-18
26-21
10-24
25-25
21-27
17-21
25-23
23-13
17-21
14-20
18-20
24-20
24-21
21-25
18-15
28-23
23-30
25-21
24-15
26-21
24-17
19-17
19-20
20-24
17-22
17-13
14-19
18-18
169.2Avg total
83.6Scored
85.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)82.078.0160.0+4.0100%
Season at home (1)82.078.0160.0+4.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)83.685.6169.2-2.050%
Last 5 (5)82.080.4162.4+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)83.588.8172.3-5.437%
vs Similar ◀ (2)80.083.0163.0-3.00%
vs Weaker (9)88.379.4167.8+8.989%
This opponent (BC Wolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BC WolvesLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWolves
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
L
75-113
75
113
-38
55avg 79
H24/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
78-86
78
86
-8
60avg 79
A27/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
97-86
97
86
+11
88avg 79
H30/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
86-92
86
92
-6
75avg 79
A01/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
L
84-86
84
86
-2
82avg 79
H04/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
W
81-73
81
73
+8
73avg 79
A06/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
L
84-91
84
91
-7
76avg 79
H09/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
L
87-98
87
98
-11
79avg 79
A11/06
LKL
Jonava
#5
W
103-90
103
90
+13
107avg 79
H22/09
LKL
Bahcesehir Kol.
#2
L
69-80
69
80
-11
61avg 79
H25/09
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-32
22-29
20-36
11-16
16-17
27-22
15-27
20-20
24-23
28-15
26-12
19-36
28-23
17-25
19-27
22-17
27-21
21-17
23-25
13-23
21-17
20-14
20-18
20-24
21-24
25-21
15-18
23-28
30-23
21-25
15-24
21-26
25-21
27-20
21-22
30-27
26-23
17-22
13-20
13-15
173.9Avg total
84.4Scored
89.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)103.090.0193.0+13.0100%
Season at home (1)103.090.0193.0+13.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)84.489.5173.9-5.130%
Last 5 (5)84.886.4171.2-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)85.190.4175.6-5.344%
vs Similar ◀ (2)101.589.0190.5+12.5100%
vs Weaker (19)90.281.8172.1+8.468%
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -4.2-4.2Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -4.0-4.0
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -4.2-4.2Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -4.0-4.0
LietkabelisBC Wolves
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LietkabelisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Juventus
#4
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A17/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A21/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H23/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A26/05
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A04/06
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
31-41
31
41
-10
H06/06
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A09/06
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
48-51
48
51
-3
H11/06
LKL
Mazeikiai
#10
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H21/09
LKL
Turk Telekom
#8
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A24/09
Eurocup
83.1Avg total
40.8Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.244.385.6-3.140%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.244.286.4-1.944%-
Last 30 away (14)40.144.584.6-4.436%-
Last 10 (10)40.842.383.1-1.540%-
Last 5 (5)40.241.481.6-1.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)40.345.986.3-5.626%-
vs Similar ◀ (2)40.046.086.0-6.00%-
vs Weaker (9)43.440.684.0+2.978%-
This opponent (BC Wolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BC WolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
L
44-61
44
61
-17
H24/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A27/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
52-38
52
38
+14
H30/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A01/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H04/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A06/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H09/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A11/06
LKL
Jonava
#5
W
52-41
52
41
+11
H22/09
LKL
Bahcesehir Kol.
#2
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H25/09
Eurocup
89.9Avg total
46.5Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.942.589.4+4.473%-
Last 30 at home (18)49.441.991.3+7.483%-
Last 30 away (12)43.243.286.4-0.158%-
Last 10 (10)46.543.489.9+3.170%-
Last 5 (5)46.642.088.6+4.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)46.044.490.4+1.656%-
vs Similar ◀ (2)49.545.094.5+4.550%-
vs Weaker (19)47.141.388.3+5.884%-
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lietkabelistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lietkabelis: 82.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.8 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.419.0
53.7%
55.6%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.38.2
35.2%
35.9%24.6
🏀 Free throws26.319.8
75.3%
75.0%19.8
They take 58.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
BC Wolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BC Wolves: 83.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.418.9
53.4%
55.6%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.79.5
33.1%
35.9%28.5
🏀 Free throws22.017.3
78.6%
75.0%17.3
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Sep 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lietkabelis
LWWWLWLLLW
BC Wolves
LWLLWLLWLL
#3
League position
#4
-3.3
Net rating
-6.3
112.3
Offensive rating
112.9
115.6
Defensive rating
119.2
53.3%
Effective FG%
51.7%
55.6%
Opp. effective FG%
55.5%
19.8%
Turnover %
14.3%
34.5%
Off. rebound %
27.4%
0.45
Free-throw rate
0.34
35.2%
3-point %
33.1%
65.4%
Assist %
63.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence112.3 · 112.9Defence115.6 · 119.2Shooting53.3% · 51.7%3-point %35.2% · 33.1%Ball care19.8% · 14.3%Off. rebounds34.5% · 27.4%Free throws0.45 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Lietkabelis   ■ BC Wolves
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Lietkabelis wins
4
BC Wolves wins
DateGameScore
11/06/24Lietkabelis v BC Wolves98-87
09/06/24BC Wolves v Lietkabelis84-91
06/06/24Lietkabelis v BC Wolves73-81
04/06/24BC Wolves v Lietkabelis84-86
17/03/24BC Wolves v Lietkabelis109-72
23/12/23BC Wolves v Lietkabelis73-78
14/10/23Lietkabelis v BC Wolves108-105 OT
08/04/23BC Wolves v Lietkabelis70-65
28/12/22BC Wolves v Lietkabelis80-86
03/12/22Lietkabelis v BC Wolves92-96
Lietkabelislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/09/24ATurk Telekom66-72
21/09/24HMazeikiai82-78
11/06/24HBC Wolves98-87
09/06/24ABC Wolves91-84
06/06/24HBC Wolves73-81
04/06/24ABC Wolves86-84
26/05/24AZalgiris Kaunas79-88
23/05/24HZalgiris Kaunas89-90
21/05/24AZalgiris Kaunas72-93
17/05/24AJuventus100-99 OT
BC Wolveslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/09/24HBahcesehir Kol.69-80
22/09/24HJonava103-90
11/06/24ALietkabelis87-98
09/06/24HLietkabelis84-91
06/06/24ALietkabelis81-73
04/06/24HLietkabelis84-86
01/06/24ARytas86-92
30/05/24HRytas97-86
27/05/24ARytas78-86
24/05/24HRytas75-113

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lietkabelis
LKL 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game82.082.0-
Allowed / game78.078.0-
Point differential+4.0+4.0-
Avg total160.0160.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
BC Wolves
LKL 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game103.0103.0-
Allowed / game90.090.0-
Point differential+13.0+13.0-
Avg total193.0193.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas220100%92.067.5+24.5
2 BC Wolves110100%103.090.0+13.0
3 Neptunas110100%90.084.0+6.0
4 Lietkabelis110100%82.078.0+4.0
5 Rytas21150%85.084.0+1.0
6 Juventus21150%78.080.0-2.0
7 Mazeikiai1010%78.082.0-4.0
8 Nevezis1010%74.078.0-4.0
9 Jonava2020%81.098.0-17.0
10 Siauliai1010%63.091.0-28.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lietkabelis2824181383
BC Wolves1525212081
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.