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BC Wolves vs Jonava Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 22 Sep 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 103-90
25-21 27-20 21-22 30-27
Position#4
Record-
FormLLWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#5
Record-
FormLWLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
LithuaniaLKL· Avia Solutions Group Arena
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · BC Wolves v Jonava
24 May 2025
WOL102
JON103
18 May 2025
WOL91
JON87
18 Jan 2025
WOL85
JON72
22 Sep 2024
WOL103
JON90
11 Feb 2024
WOL85
JON96
12 May 2023
WOL76
JON80
13 Mar 2023
WOL94
JON99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BC Wolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Jonava winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BC WolvesLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWolves
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#6
W
91-80
91
80
+11
90avg 79
H18/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
96-85
96
85
+11
89avg 79
A22/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
75-113
75
113
-38
55avg 79
H24/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
78-86
78
86
-8
60avg 79
A27/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
97-86
97
86
+11
88avg 79
H30/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
86-92
86
92
-6
75avg 79
A01/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
L
84-86
84
86
-2
82avg 79
H04/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
W
81-73
81
73
+8
73avg 79
A06/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
L
84-91
84
91
-7
76avg 79
H09/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
L
87-98
87
98
-11
79avg 79
A11/06
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-16
14-15
24-26
27-23
28-17
18-24
26-17
24-27
22-32
22-29
20-36
11-16
16-17
27-22
15-27
20-20
24-23
28-15
26-12
19-36
28-23
17-25
19-27
22-17
27-21
21-17
23-25
13-23
21-17
20-14
20-18
20-24
21-24
25-21
15-18
23-28
30-23
21-25
15-24
21-26
174.9Avg total
85.9Scored
89.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)85.989.0174.9-3.140%
Last 5 (5)84.488.0172.4-3.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)85.487.3172.7-1.950%
vs Similar ◀ (1)100.088.0188.0+12.0100%
vs Weaker (19)90.281.8172.1+8.468%
This opponent (Jonava) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JonavaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJonava
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#10
W
81-80
81
80
+1
73avg 76
H02/04
LKL
Neptunas
#6
L
78-81
78
81
-3
69avg 76
H08/04
LKL
Mazeikiai
#7
W
79-62
79
62
+17
71avg 76
A14/04
LKL
Nevezis
#9
L
83-116
83
116
-33
69avg 76
A18/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
57-101
57
101
-44
33avg 76
A21/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
85-98
85
98
-13
77avg 76
H28/04
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
116-77
116
77
+39
117avg 76
A01/05
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
85-88
85
88
-3
82avg 76
A04/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
77-110
77
110
-33
66avg 76
A13/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
90-96
90
96
-6
85avg 76
H15/05
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-24
31-19
24-22
12-15
20-18
18-15
22-14
18-34
24-23
22-13
17-11
16-15
19-37
22-29
17-33
25-17
15-30
10-21
13-26
19-24
18-22
25-30
19-24
23-22
31-19
29-18
35-21
21-19
22-30
20-15
25-19
18-24
28-22
18-29
22-28
9-31
23-20
30-21
22-28
15-27
174.0Avg total
83.1Scored
90.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)83.190.9174.0-7.830%
Last 5 (5)90.693.8184.4-3.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)78.694.3172.9-15.711%
vs Similar ◀ (8)80.585.6166.1-5.125%
vs Weaker (3)101.779.7181.3+22.067%
This opponent (BC Wolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -4.0-4.0Q4: -5.2-5.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -4.0-4.0Q4: -5.2-5.2
BC WolvesJonava
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BC WolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#6
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H18/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A22/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
44-61
44
61
-17
H24/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A27/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
52-38
52
38
+14
H30/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A01/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H04/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A06/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H09/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A11/06
LKL
87.6Avg total
45.6Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.442.188.5+4.377%-
Last 30 at home (16)49.641.891.4+7.888%-
Last 30 away (14)42.742.485.1+0.364%-
Last 10 (10)45.642.087.6+3.680%-
Last 5 (5)46.242.088.2+4.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)45.143.088.1+2.170%-
vs Similar ◀ (1)47.049.096.0-2.00%-
vs Weaker (19)47.141.388.3+5.884%-
This opponent (Jonava) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JonavaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#10
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H02/04
LKL
Neptunas
#6
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H08/04
LKL
Mazeikiai
#7
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A14/04
LKL
Nevezis
#9
L
41-66
41
66
-25
A18/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
25-51
25
51
-26
A21/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
43-52
43
52
-9
H28/04
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
60-37
60
37
+23
A01/05
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A04/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A13/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
53-41
53
41
+12
H15/05
LKL
89.4Avg total
43.9Scored
45.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.144.285.3-3.127%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.141.782.8-0.643%-
Last 30 away (16)41.146.387.4-5.212%-
Last 10 (10)43.945.589.4-1.650%-
Last 5 (5)48.845.294.0+3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)38.744.983.6-6.211%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)42.945.588.4-2.638%-
vs Weaker (3)51.736.087.7+15.7100%-
This opponent (BC Wolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
BC Wolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BC Wolves: 84.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.618.9
53.1%
55.6%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.99.8
33.9%
35.9%29.4
🏀 Free throws22.617.7
78.3%
75.0%17.7
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Jonavatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jonava: 82.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.919.6
53.1%
55.6%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.310.6
33.9%
35.9%31.8
🏀 Free throws16.311.1
68.1%
75.0%11.1
They take 68.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Sep 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
BC Wolves
LLWLLWLLWW
Jonava
LLLWLLLWLW
#4
League position
#5
-4.2
Net rating
-10.6
114.5
Offensive rating
108.7
118.7
Defensive rating
119.2
52.1%
Effective FG%
52.1%
53.7%
Opp. effective FG%
58.5%
14.0%
Turnover %
15.7%
28.9%
Off. rebound %
29.3%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.24
33.9%
3-point %
33.9%
59.2%
Assist %
65.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence114.5 · 108.7Defence118.7 · 119.2Shooting52.1% · 52.1%3-point %33.9% · 33.9%Ball care14.0% · 15.7%Off. rebounds28.9% · 29.3%Free throws0.35 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ BC Wolves   ■ Jonava
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
BC Wolves wins
6
Jonava wins
DateGameScore
13/03/24Jonava v BC Wolves81-68
11/02/24BC Wolves v Jonava85-96
21/10/23Jonava v BC Wolves71-83
14/05/23Jonava v BC Wolves80-75
12/05/23BC Wolves v Jonava76-80
02/04/23Jonava v BC Wolves74-85
13/03/23BC Wolves v Jonava94-99 OT
07/10/22Jonava v BC Wolves80-62
BC Wolveslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/06/24ALietkabelis87-98
09/06/24HLietkabelis84-91
06/06/24ALietkabelis81-73
04/06/24HLietkabelis84-86
01/06/24ARytas86-92
30/05/24HRytas97-86
27/05/24ARytas78-86
24/05/24HRytas75-113
22/05/24ARytas96-85
18/05/24HNeptunas91-80
Jonavalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/05/24HRytas90-96
13/05/24ARytas77-110
04/05/24AJuventus85-88
01/05/24APieno Zvaigzdes116-77
28/04/24HRytas85-98
21/04/24AZalgiris Kaunas57-101
18/04/24ANevezis83-116
14/04/24AMazeikiai79-62
08/04/24HNeptunas78-81
02/04/24HSiauliai81-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BC Wolves
LKL 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Jonava
LKL 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas110100%91.063.0+28.0
2 Neptunas110100%90.084.0+6.0
3 Lietkabelis110100%82.078.0+4.0
4 Mazeikiai1010%78.082.0-4.0
5 Rytas1010%84.090.0-6.0
6 Siauliai1010%63.091.0-28.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
BC Wolves25272130103
Jonava2120222790
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