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BC Wolves vs Lietkabelis Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 17 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 15:20
Final 109-72
27-16 19-13 36-25 27-18
Position#3
Record15-7
FormWWLWL
Points / game83.4
Allowed / game78.3
vs
Position#5
Record12-7
FormWWLLW
Points / game84.5
Allowed / game81.5
LithuaniaLKL· Avia Solutions Group Arena
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · BC Wolves v Lietkabelis
27 Apr 2025
WOL88
LIE92
16 Feb 2025
WOL91
LIE100
25 Jan 2025
WOL82
LIE97
09 Jun 2024
WOL84
LIE91
04 Jun 2024
WOL84
LIE86
17 Mar 2024
WOL109
LIE72
23 Dec 2023
WOL73
LIE78
08 Apr 2023
WOL70
LIE65
28 Dec 2022
WOL80
LIE86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BC Wolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lietkabelis winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BC WolvesLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWolves
Date
Competition
Prometey
#7
L
64-91
64
91
-27
59avg 78
A17/01
Eurocup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
82-82
82
82
+0
77avg 78
A21/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Venezia
#12
W
75-57
75
57
+18
70avg 78
A24/01
Eurocup
Neptunas
#6
W
92-73
92
73
+19
80avg 78
H27/01
LKL
Hamburg
#19
W
94-84
94
84
+10
92avg 78
H30/01
Eurocup
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
94-79
94
79
+15
92avg 78
H03/02
LKL
London Lions
#5
W
85-80
85
80
+5
76avg 78
A07/02
Eurocup
Jonava
#8
L
85-96
85
96
-11
82avg 78
H11/02
LKL
Mazeikiai
#7
W
84-73
84
73
+11
78avg 78
A02/03
LKL
Jonava
#8
L
68-81
68
81
-13
58avg 78
A13/03
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-29
14-20
23-21
12-21
26-23
22-21
18-21
16-17
15-15
17-16
15-19
28-7
30-17
23-17
22-21
17-18
22-20
34-21
19-22
19-21
31-17
21-24
21-20
21-18
24-23
21-16
19-21
21-20
25-25
19-17
20-27
21-27
21-25
23-13
20-19
20-16
13-21
18-26
18-16
19-18
161.9Avg total
82.3Scored
79.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)83.478.3161.7+5.068%
Season at home (11)84.676.6161.3+8.073%
Season away (11)82.180.0162.1+2.164%
Last 10 (10)82.379.6161.9+2.760%
Last 5 (5)83.281.8165.0+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)77.284.9162.1-7.631%
vs Similar (3)72.785.7158.3-13.033%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)86.479.8166.2+6.573%
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LietkabelisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLietkabelis
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#3
W
79-76
79
76
+3
78avg 78
H21/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Turk Telekom
#15
L
73-88
73
88
-15
69avg 78
A24/01
Eurocup
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
84-78
84
78
+6
74avg 78
A27/01
LKL
Slask Wroclaw
#18
W
91-75
91
75
+16
92avg 78
H30/01
Eurocup
Cluj-Napoca
#4
W
92-87
92
87
+5
91avg 78
H07/02
Eurocup
Siauliai
#10
W
92-85
92
85
+7
95avg 78
H11/02
LKL
Rytas
#1
W
94-86
94
86
+8
86avg 78
A17/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
70-86
70
86
-16
63avg 78
A18/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#6
L
76-78
76
78
-2
74avg 78
H04/03
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
92-74
92
74
+18
96avg 78
A09/03
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-17
17-21
29-14
15-24
16-19
20-25
24-15
13-29
14-20
25-17
26-16
19-25
20-22
28-19
15-18
28-16
27-26
25-20
18-21
22-20
25-29
22-15
21-14
24-27
15-23
16-18
27-17
36-28
19-23
19-29
18-18
14-16
21-23
18-26
25-15
12-14
24-15
20-24
17-22
31-13
165.6Avg total
84.3Scored
81.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)84.581.5165.9+3.063%
Season at home (9)86.681.9168.4+4.767%
Season away (10)82.681.1163.7+1.560%
Last 10 (10)84.381.3165.6+3.070%
Last 5 (5)84.881.8166.6+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)84.788.7173.3-4.047%
vs Similar (8)77.478.2155.6-0.938%
vs Weaker (7)88.080.0168.0+8.086%
This opponent (BC Wolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +5.0+5.0Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +0.2+0.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +5.0+5.0Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +0.2+0.2
BC WolvesLietkabelis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BC WolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Prometey
#7
L
29-49
29
49
-20
A17/01
Eurocup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A21/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Venezia
#12
W
32-31
32
31
+1
A24/01
Eurocup
Neptunas
#6
W
53-34
53
34
+19
H27/01
LKL
Hamburg
#19
W
56-41
56
41
+15
H30/01
Eurocup
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
52-41
52
41
+11
H03/02
LKL
London Lions
#5
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A07/02
Eurocup
Jonava
#8
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H11/02
LKL
Mazeikiai
#7
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A02/03
LKL
Jonava
#8
L
31-47
31
47
-16
A13/03
LKL
84.0Avg total
43.4Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.442.983.3-2.550%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.644.185.7-2.644%-
Last 30 away (14)39.041.580.5-2.557%-
Last 10 (10)43.440.684.0+2.880%-
Last 5 (5)43.241.484.6+1.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)37.143.780.8-6.631%-
vs Similar (3)34.046.080.0-12.033%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)46.840.987.7+5.982%-
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LietkabelisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#3
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H21/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Turk Telekom
#15
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A24/01
Eurocup
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A27/01
LKL
Slask Wroclaw
#18
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H30/01
Eurocup
Cluj-Napoca
#4
W
52-46
52
46
+6
H07/02
Eurocup
Siauliai
#10
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H11/02
LKL
Rytas
#1
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A17/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
38-52
38
52
-14
A18/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#6
L
39-49
39
49
-10
H04/03
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A09/03
LKL
84.0Avg total
40.9Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.840.780.6-0.947%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.441.082.4+0.446%-
Last 30 away (17)38.640.579.2-1.947%-
Last 10 (10)40.943.184.0-2.250%-
Last 5 (5)39.845.084.8-5.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)39.740.880.5-1.147%-
vs Similar (8)37.240.978.1-3.625%-
vs Weaker (7)43.140.483.6+2.771%-
This opponent (BC Wolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
BC Wolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BC Wolves: 81.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.321.0
52.1%
55.4%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.88.8
35.5%
34.7%26.4
🏀 Free throws19.112.7
66.5%
73.2%12.7
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lietkabelistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lietkabelis: 83.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.918.8
57.1%
55.4%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.09.3
37.2%
34.7%27.9
🏀 Free throws23.818.2
76.5%
73.2%18.2
They take 57.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
BC Wolves
LWLWWWWWLL
Lietkabelis
WLLWWWWWLW
#3
League position
#5
+3.1
Net rating
+4.4
108.7
Offensive rating
115.1
105.6
Defensive rating
110.7
52.5%
Effective FG%
56.6%
51.9%
Opp. effective FG%
55.3%
19.2%
Turnover %
19.9%
36.0%
Off. rebound %
33.0%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.41
35.5%
3-point %
37.2%
59.1%
Assist %
75.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence108.7 · 115.1Defence105.6 · 110.7Shooting52.5% · 56.6%3-point %35.5% · 37.2%Ball care19.2% · 19.9%Off. rebounds36.0% · 33.0%Free throws0.29 · 0.41Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ BC Wolves   ■ Lietkabelis
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
BC Wolves wins
3
Lietkabelis wins
DateGameScore
23/12/23BC Wolves v Lietkabelis73-78
14/10/23Lietkabelis v BC Wolves108-105 OT
08/04/23BC Wolves v Lietkabelis70-65
28/12/22BC Wolves v Lietkabelis80-86
03/12/22Lietkabelis v BC Wolves92-96
BC Wolveslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/03/24AJonava68-81
02/03/24AMazeikiai84-73
11/02/24HJonava85-96
07/02/24ALondon Lions85-80
03/02/24HPieno Zvaigzdes94-79
30/01/24HHamburg94-84
27/01/24HNeptunas92-73
24/01/24AVenezia75-57
21/01/24AZalgiris Kaunas82-82
17/01/24APrometey64-91
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/24AJonava92-74
04/03/24HNeptunas76-78
18/02/24AZalgiris Kaunas70-86
17/02/24ARytas94-86
11/02/24HSiauliai92-85
07/02/24HCluj-Napoca92-87
30/01/24HSlask Wroclaw91-75
27/01/24APieno Zvaigzdes84-78
24/01/24ATurk Telekom73-88
21/01/24HNeptunas79-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BC Wolves
LKL 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL68%
HomeLLWWL73%
AwayLLWWL64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %68%73%64%
Points / game83.484.682.1
Allowed / game78.376.680.0
Point differential+5.0+8.0+2.1
Avg total161.7161.3162.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%55%45%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %5%0%9%
Lietkabelis
LKL 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW63%
HomeWLLWL67%
AwayWLWWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %63%67%60%
Points / game84.586.682.6
Allowed / game81.581.981.1
Point differential+3.0+4.7+1.5
Avg total165.9168.4163.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%22%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)60% (5)100% (2)
Overtime %5%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas2119290%85.571.7+13.8
2 Rytas2218482%93.679.1+14.5
3 BC Wolves2215768%83.478.3+5.0
4 Lietkabelis1912763%84.581.5+3.0
5 Juventus2113862%89.179.6+9.5
6 Neptunas23111248%83.784.5-0.8
7 Mazeikiai21101148%78.882.0-3.2
8 Jonava2391439%82.485.0-2.7
9 Siauliai2261627%81.086.9-5.9
10 Nevezis2261627%82.692.5-9.9
11 Pieno Zvaigzdes2151624%84.894.6-9.9
12 Gargzdai1731418%77.994.1-16.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
BC Wolves27193627109
Lietkabelis1613251872
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