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Limburg vs Circus Brussels Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 09 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 80-67
22-23 14-13 25-14 19-17
Position#4
Record12-5
FormWWWWL
Points / game77.5
Allowed / game71.2
Limburg 🏆
vs
Position#9
Record9-9
FormLLWWL
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game76.6
EuropeBNXT League· Sporthal Alverberg (Hasselt)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Limburg v Circus Brussels
29 Nov 2024
LIMB95
CIRC89
09 Feb 2024
LIMB80
CIRC67
12 Jan 2023
LIMB102
CIRC81
22 Oct 2021
LIMB72
CIRC69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Limburg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Circus Brussels winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LimburgLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLimburg
Date
Competition
Oostende
#2
W
78-70
78
70
+8
no box
A10/12
Belgian Cup
Spirou Charleroi
#7
W
76-55
76
55
+21
73avg 70
H15/12
BNXT League
Liege
#6
L
82-87
82
87
-5
81avg 70
H22/12
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
W
92-87
92
87
+5
87avg 70
A26/12
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#10
L
79-91
79
91
-12
65avg 70
H05/01
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#14
W
80-70
80
70
+10
75avg 70
A12/01
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#5
W
77-64
77
64
+13
76avg 70
H19/01
Belgian Cup
Leuven Bears
#5
W
71-47
71
47
+24
72avg 70
A21/01
Belgian Cup
Okapi Aalst
#16
W
77-68
77
68
+9
68avg 70
H26/01
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#3
L
66-84
66
84
-18
53avg 70
A02/02
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-26
23-15
20-16
25-13
16-12
15-16
20-12
25-15
24-23
21-20
12-21
25-23
17-29
27-22
26-23
22-13
20-23
13-21
21-20
25-27
19-14
29-19
18-18
14-19
23-11
23-23
12-17
19-13
13-12
24-15
18-9
16-11
17-24
13-17
29-10
18-17
23-28
7-9
20-26
16-21
150.1Avg total
77.8Scored
72.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)77.571.2148.6+6.371%
Season at home (8)77.970.6148.5+7.262%
Season away (9)77.171.7148.8+5.478%
Last 10 (10)77.872.3150.1+5.570%
Last 5 (5)74.266.6140.8+7.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)72.483.8156.2-11.440%
vs Similar ◀ (11)81.173.0154.1+8.164%
vs Weaker (13)79.868.5148.2+11.392%
This opponent (Circus Brussels) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Circus BrusselsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrussels
Date
Competition
Mechelen
#8
L
74-88
74
88
-14
68avg 72
H01/12
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#3
L
68-68
68
68
+0
no box
H08/12
Belgian Cup
Spirou Charleroi
#3
L
43-47
43
47
-4
no box
A10/12
Belgian Cup
Kortrijk
#14
W
74-72
74
72
+2
63avg 72
A15/12
BNXT League
Oostende
#1
L
64-76
64
76
-12
55avg 72
H22/12
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#7
L
63-71
63
71
-8
54avg 72
H26/12
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#3
L
88-90
88
90
-2
82avg 72
A06/01
BNXT League
Liege
#6
W
94-86
94
86
+8
97avg 72
H12/01
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
W
79-58
79
58
+21
71avg 72
A27/01
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#16
L
76-83
76
83
-7
71avg 72
H04/02
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-21
16-18
17-24
25-25
18-9
21-21
19-22
10-16
5-11
16-10
10-15
12-11
19-21
20-17
21-13
14-21
16-15
19-17
20-26
9-18
18-19
14-10
18-20
13-22
27-30
25-18
13-21
23-21
23-26
26-20
18-27
27-13
21-16
27-10
19-12
12-20
20-21
21-24
11-21
24-17
146.2Avg total
72.3Scored
73.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)78.276.6154.8+1.650%
Season at home (10)76.379.6155.9-3.340%
Season away (8)80.572.9153.4+7.662%
Last 10 (10)72.373.9146.2-1.630%
Last 5 (5)80.077.6157.6+2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)73.575.7149.3-2.236%
vs Similar ◀ (14)78.175.1153.2+3.157%
vs Weaker (5)79.676.6156.2+3.040%
This opponent (Limburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: -1.5-1.5
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: -1.5-1.5
LimburgCircus Brussels
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LimburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oostende
#2
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A10/12
Belgian Cup
Spirou Charleroi
#7
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H15/12
BNXT League
Liege
#6
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H22/12
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A26/12
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#10
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H05/01
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#14
W
48-33
48
33
+15
A12/01
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#5
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H19/01
Belgian Cup
Leuven Bears
#5
W
37-27
37
27
+10
A21/01
Belgian Cup
Okapi Aalst
#16
L
30-41
30
41
-11
H26/01
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#3
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A02/02
BNXT League
75.6Avg total
37.7Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.537.577.0+1.957%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.136.477.5+4.871%-
Last 30 away (16)38.038.676.6-0.644%-
Last 10 (10)37.737.975.6-0.250%-
Last 5 (5)38.234.472.6+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)39.241.480.6-2.240%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)40.438.278.5+2.255%-
vs Weaker (13)39.235.374.5+3.969%-
This opponent (Circus Brussels) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Circus BrusselsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mechelen
#8
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H01/12
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#3
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H08/12
Belgian Cup
Spirou Charleroi
#3
D
21-21
21
21
+0
A10/12
Belgian Cup
Kortrijk
#14
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A15/12
BNXT League
Oostende
#1
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H22/12
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#7
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H26/12
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#3
W
52-48
52
48
+4
A06/01
BNXT League
Liege
#6
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H12/01
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
W
48-26
48
26
+22
A27/01
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#16
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H04/02
BNXT League
74.2Avg total
38.8Scored
35.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.837.175.9+1.760%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.836.374.1+1.556%-
Last 30 away (14)39.938.077.9+1.964%-
Last 10 (10)38.835.474.2+3.470%-
Last 5 (5)44.438.883.2+5.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)39.734.674.4+5.173%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)39.238.677.8+0.657%-
vs Weaker (5)35.438.473.8-3.040%-
This opponent (Limburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Limburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Limburg: 76.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.9 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.021.7
52.9%
52.2%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.56.3
34.1%
33.1%18.9
🏀 Free throws18.914.4
76.2%
71.4%14.4
They take 59.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Circus Brusselstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Circus Brussels: 74.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.618.6
53.8%
52.2%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.67.9
35.0%
33.1%23.7
🏀 Free throws18.013.7
76.1%
71.4%13.7
They take 57.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Limburg
LWWWWLWLWW
Circus Brussels
LWWLLLWLLL
#4
League position
#9
+8.2
Net rating
+0.1
106.0
Offensive rating
105.1
97.9
Defensive rating
105.0
52.4%
Effective FG%
53.2%
48.5%
Opp. effective FG%
50.0%
18.2%
Turnover %
21.0%
27.1%
Off. rebound %
29.1%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.31
34.1%
3-point %
35.0%
57.1%
Assist %
53.2%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence106.0 · 105.1Defence97.9 · 105.0Shooting52.4% · 53.2%3-point %34.1% · 35.0%Ball care18.2% · 21.0%Off. rebounds27.1% · 29.1%Free throws0.32 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Limburg   ■ Circus Brussels
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Limburg wins
0
Circus Brussels wins
Limburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/02/24AAntwerp Giants66-84
26/01/24HOkapi Aalst77-68
21/01/24ALeuven Bears71-47
19/01/24HLeuven Bears77-64
12/01/24AKortrijk80-70
05/01/24HBelfius Mons79-91
26/12/23AMechelen92-87
22/12/23HLiege82-87
15/12/23HSpirou Charleroi76-55
10/12/23AOostende78-70
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/02/24HOkapi Aalst76-83
27/01/24AMechelen79-58
12/01/24HLiege94-86
06/01/24AAntwerp Giants88-90
26/12/23HSpirou Charleroi63-71
22/12/23HOostende64-76
15/12/23AKortrijk74-72
10/12/23ASpirou Charleroi43-47
08/12/23HSpirou Charleroi68-68
01/12/23HMechelen74-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Limburg
BNXT League 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL71%
HomeLWLLW62%
AwayWWWWL78%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %71%62%78%
Points / game77.577.977.1
Allowed / game71.270.671.7
Point differential+6.3+7.2+5.4
Avg total148.6148.5148.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%50%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Circus Brussels
BNXT League 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL50%
HomeLLLWL40%
AwayLLWLW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18108
Win %50%40%62%
Points / game78.276.380.5
Allowed / game76.679.672.9
Point differential+1.6-3.3+7.6
Avg total154.8155.9153.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%20%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)100% (1)25% (4)
Overtime %6%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Den Bosch1514193%82.167.7+14.3
2 Oostende1715288%78.371.2+7.1
3 Leiden1411379%77.669.3+8.4
4 Antwerp Giants1814478%82.572.3+10.2
5 Zwolle1410471%77.767.1+10.6
6 Limburg1712571%77.571.2+6.3
7 Liege1811761%78.477.7+0.7
8 Donar Groningen148657%71.666.0+5.6
9 Circus Brussels189950%78.276.6+1.6
10 Spirou Charleroi189950%72.775.1-2.4
11 BAL Weert157847%70.771.9-1.3
12 Mechelen1881044%75.676.6-1.0
13 Kortrijk1881044%79.080.2-1.2
14 Feyenoord1551033%72.981.5-8.7
15 Belfius Mons1851328%73.380.8-7.5
16 QSTA Utd1541127%74.181.6-7.5
17 Leuven Bears1741324%74.678.9-4.3
18 LWD Basket1431121%74.182.4-8.3
19 Den Helder1431121%65.578.5-13.0
20 Okapi Aalst1721512%75.685.1-9.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Limburg2214251980
Circus Brussels2313141767
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