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Circus Brussels vs Okapi Aalst Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 76-83
20-21 21-24 11-21 24-17
Position#9
Record9-8
FormLLLWW
Points / game78.3
Allowed / game76.2
vs
Position#16
Record1-15
FormLLLWL
Points / game75.2
Allowed / game85.6
EuropeBNXT League· Piscine de Neder-Over-Hembeek (Brusel)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Circus Brussels v Okapi Aalst
17 Jan 2025
CIRC90
OKAP98
13 Apr 2024
CIRC75
OKAP71
04 Feb 2024
CIRC76
OKAP83
22 Oct 2023
CIRC85
OKAP66
25 Nov 2022
CIRC68
OKAP78
21 Jan 2022
CIRC79
OKAP70
26 Sep 2021
CIRC78
OKAP72
13 Dec 2019
CIRC79
OKAP83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Circus Brussels winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Okapi Aalst winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Circus BrusselsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrussels
Date
Competition
Leuven Bears
#11
W
79-64
79
64
+15
79avg 72
H26/11
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
L
74-88
74
88
-14
68avg 72
H01/12
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#3
L
68-68
68
68
+0
no box
H08/12
Belgian Cup
Spirou Charleroi
#3
L
43-47
43
47
-4
no box
A10/12
Belgian Cup
Kortrijk
#14
W
74-72
74
72
+2
63avg 72
A15/12
BNXT League
Oostende
#1
L
64-76
64
76
-12
55avg 72
H22/12
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#7
L
63-71
63
71
-8
54avg 72
H26/12
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#3
L
88-90
88
90
-2
82avg 72
A06/01
BNXT League
Liege
#6
W
94-86
94
86
+8
97avg 72
H12/01
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
W
79-58
79
58
+21
71avg 72
A27/01
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-14
20-13
22-19
27-18
16-21
16-18
17-24
25-25
18-9
21-21
19-22
10-16
5-11
16-10
10-15
12-11
19-21
20-17
21-13
14-21
16-15
19-17
20-26
9-18
18-19
14-10
18-20
13-22
27-30
25-18
13-21
23-21
23-26
26-20
18-27
27-13
21-16
27-10
19-12
12-20
144.6Avg total
72.6Scored
72.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)78.376.2154.5+2.153%
Season at home (9)76.379.2155.6-2.944%
Season away (8)80.572.9153.4+7.662%
Last 10 (10)72.672.0144.6+0.640%
Last 5 (5)77.676.2153.8+1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)73.575.7149.3-2.236%
vs Similar ◀ (13)78.374.5152.8+3.862%
vs Weaker (6)83.782.0165.7+1.733%
This opponent (Okapi Aalst) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Okapi AalstLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAalst
Date
Competition
Belfius Mons
#10
L
78-89
78
89
-11
77avg 66
A04/11
BNXT League
Liege
#6
L
80-83
80
83
-3
69avg 66
H10/11
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#11
L
60-84
60
84
-24
47avg 66
A14/11
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#3
L
72-91
72
91
-19
63avg 66
H25/11
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#3
L
75-102
75
102
-27
62avg 66
A02/12
BNXT League
Oostende
#1
L
72-74
72
74
-2
63avg 66
H16/12
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#10
L
74-75
74
75
-1
61avg 66
H26/12
BNXT League
Liege
#6
L
62-81
62
81
-19
48avg 66
A05/01
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
W
82-80
82
80
+2
64avg 66
H12/01
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
L
68-77
68
77
-9
64avg 66
A26/01
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
23-23
16-20
20-27
21-25
23-19
21-23
15-16
15-23
18-20
10-21
17-20
14-27
16-18
23-24
19-22
32-24
9-26
18-25
16-27
21-25
13-13
20-25
18-11
16-15
26-14
10-18
22-28
16-24
23-11
13-21
10-25
15-24
15-23
32-17
20-16
24-17
17-13
10-29
17-18
155.9Avg total
72.3Scored
83.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)75.285.6160.8-10.46%
Season at home (8)78.083.5161.5-5.512%
Season away (8)72.487.8160.1-15.40%
Last 10 (10)72.383.6155.9-11.310%
Last 5 (5)71.677.4149.0-5.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)73.483.2156.7-9.817%
vs Similar ◀ (8)76.187.4163.5-11.212%
vs Weaker (10)92.278.4170.6+13.880%
This opponent (Circus Brussels) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: +5.0+5.0Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: -5.0-5.0Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -3.6-3.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: +5.0+5.0Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: -5.0-5.0Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -3.6-3.6
Circus BrusselsOkapi Aalst
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Circus BrusselsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Leuven Bears
#11
W
30-27
30
27
+3
H26/11
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H01/12
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#3
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H08/12
Belgian Cup
Spirou Charleroi
#3
D
21-21
21
21
+0
A10/12
Belgian Cup
Kortrijk
#14
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A15/12
BNXT League
Oostende
#1
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H22/12
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#7
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H26/12
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#3
W
52-48
52
48
+4
A06/01
BNXT League
Liege
#6
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H12/01
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
W
48-26
48
26
+22
A27/01
BNXT League
71.3Avg total
37.7Scored
33.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.037.376.2+1.760%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.236.674.8+1.656%-
Last 30 away (14)39.938.077.9+1.964%-
Last 10 (10)37.733.671.3+4.180%-
Last 5 (5)43.236.279.4+7.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)39.734.674.4+5.173%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)39.138.177.2+1.062%-
vs Weaker (6)37.340.377.7-3.033%-
This opponent (Okapi Aalst) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Okapi AalstLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Belfius Mons
#10
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A04/11
BNXT League
Liege
#6
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H10/11
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#11
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A14/11
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#3
L
30-45
30
45
-15
H25/11
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#3
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A02/12
BNXT League
Oostende
#1
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H16/12
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#10
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H26/12
BNXT League
Liege
#6
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A05/01
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
L
30-47
30
47
-17
H12/01
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
W
41-30
41
30
+11
A26/01
BNXT League
77.9Avg total
37.6Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.141.183.2+0.947%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.139.283.3+4.947%-
Last 30 away (15)40.143.183.1-3.047%-
Last 10 (10)37.640.377.9-2.730%-
Last 5 (5)37.235.873.0+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)37.241.078.2-3.833%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)42.944.086.9-1.138%-
vs Weaker (10)47.339.086.3+8.370%-
This opponent (Circus Brussels) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Circus Brusselstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Circus Brussels: 72.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.417.6
52.7%
52.2%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.27.5
33.8%
33.1%22.5
🏀 Free throws20.215.1
74.8%
71.4%15.1
They take 55.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Okapi Aalsttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Okapi Aalst: 71.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.4 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.219.8
49.3%
52.2%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.25.8
27.4%
33.1%17.4
🏀 Free throws20.114.3
71.1%
71.4%14.3
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Circus Brussels
WWLLLWLLLW
Okapi Aalst
LWLLLLLLLL
#9
League position
#16
-2.4
Net rating
-15.0
102.6
Offensive rating
95.4
104.9
Defensive rating
110.4
51.9%
Effective FG%
46.4%
49.6%
Opp. effective FG%
55.1%
22.2%
Turnover %
19.8%
30.0%
Off. rebound %
27.0%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.33
33.8%
3-point %
27.4%
54.2%
Assist %
52.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence102.6 · 95.4Defence104.9 · 110.4Shooting51.9% · 46.4%3-point %33.8% · 27.4%Ball care22.2% · 19.8%Off. rebounds30.0% · 27.0%Free throws0.36 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)40% · 10%
■ Circus Brussels   ■ Okapi Aalst
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Circus Brussels wins
6
Okapi Aalst wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/24AMechelen79-58
12/01/24HLiege94-86
06/01/24AAntwerp Giants88-90
26/12/23HSpirou Charleroi63-71
22/12/23HOostende64-76
15/12/23AKortrijk74-72
10/12/23ASpirou Charleroi43-47
08/12/23HSpirou Charleroi68-68
01/12/23HMechelen74-88
26/11/23HLeuven Bears79-64
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/01/24ALimburg68-77
12/01/24HMechelen82-80
05/01/24ALiege62-81
26/12/23HBelfius Mons74-75
16/12/23HOostende72-74
02/12/23AAntwerp Giants75-102
25/11/23HAntwerp Giants72-91
14/11/23ALeuven Bears60-84
10/11/23HLiege80-83
04/11/23ABelfius Mons78-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Circus Brussels
BNXT League 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW53%
HomeWLLLW44%
AwayLLWLW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %53%44%62%
Points / game78.376.380.5
Allowed / game76.279.272.9
Point differential+2.1-2.9+7.6
Avg total154.5155.6153.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%22%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)100% (1)25% (4)
Overtime %6%0%12%
Okapi Aalst
BNXT League 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL6%
HomeLLLLW12%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %6%12%0%
Points / game75.278.072.4
Allowed / game85.683.587.8
Point differential-10.4-5.5-15.4
Avg total160.8161.5160.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)20% (5)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Den Bosch1514193%82.167.7+14.3
2 Oostende1715288%78.371.2+7.1
3 Antwerp Giants1714382%82.671.5+11.1
4 Leiden1411379%77.669.3+8.4
5 Zwolle1410471%77.767.1+10.6
6 Limburg1712571%77.571.2+6.3
7 Liege1710759%78.077.6+0.4
8 Donar Groningen148657%71.666.0+5.6
9 Circus Brussels179853%78.376.2+2.1
10 Spirou Charleroi189950%72.775.1-2.4
11 Mechelen1881044%75.676.6-1.0
12 Kortrijk1881044%79.080.2-1.2
13 BAL Weert146843%69.873.0-3.2
14 Feyenoord145936%74.081.4-7.4
15 Belfius Mons1851328%73.380.8-7.5
16 QSTA Utd1541127%74.181.6-7.5
17 Leuven Bears1741324%74.678.9-4.3
18 LWD Basket1431121%74.182.4-8.3
19 Den Helder1431121%65.578.5-13.0
20 Okapi Aalst161156%75.285.6-10.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Circus Brussels2021112476
Okapi Aalst2124211783
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