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Circus Brussels vs Mechelen Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 01 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 74-88
16-21 16-18 17-24 25-25
Position#9
Record6-4
FormWLLLW
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game75.5
vs
Position#8
Record5-5
FormWWWLL
Points / game74.3
Allowed / game73.0
EuropeBNXT League· Piscine de Neder-Over-Hembeek (Brusel)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Circus Brussels v Mechelen
28 Mar 2025
CIRC74
MECH87
01 Dec 2023
CIRC74
MECH88
02 Oct 2022
CIRC81
MECH73
21 Nov 2021
CIRC76
MECH112
22 Dec 2020
CIRC89
MECH87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Circus Brussels winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mechelen winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Circus BrusselsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrussels
Date
Competition
Liege
#6
W
85-59
85
59
+26
87avg 74
A04/10
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#3
W
79-75
79
75
+4
75avg 74
H08/10
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#16
W
95-82
95
82
+13
90avg 74
A14/10
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#7
L
67-75
67
75
-8
no box
A20/10
Belgian Cup
Okapi Aalst
#7
W
85-66
85
66
+19
no box
H22/10
Belgian Cup
Belfius Mons
#10
W
90-76
90
76
+14
86avg 74
H29/10
BNXT League
Oostende
#1
L
82-87 OT
82
87
-5
64avg 74
A10/11
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
L
58-83
58
83
-25
54avg 74
H12/11
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#7
L
61-63
61
63
-2
56avg 74
A17/11
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#11
W
79-64
79
64
+15
79avg 74
H26/11
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-18
30-14
26-11
16-16
13-17
26-22
21-15
19-21
27-24
26-25
18-19
24-14
22-26
12-15
22-12
11-22
26-13
20-13
19-16
20-24
16-24
21-20
26-19
27-13
21-18
23-19
20-20
11-18
14-24
19-18
13-18
12-23
13-20
18-14
15-12
15-17
10-14
20-13
22-19
27-18
151.1Avg total
78.1Scored
73.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)79.575.5155.0+4.060%
Season at home (5)78.478.4156.8+0.060%
Season away (5)80.672.6153.2+8.060%
Last 10 (10)78.173.0151.1+5.160%
Last 5 (5)74.074.6148.6-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)80.685.3165.9-4.650%
vs Similar ◀ (8)79.274.1153.4+5.162%
vs Weaker (8)82.880.2163.0+2.550%
This opponent (Mechelen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MechelenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMechelen
Date
Competition
Belfius Mons
#10
W
76-75
76
75
+1
75avg 68
H30/09
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#3
L
65-69
65
69
-4
61avg 68
H04/10
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#16
W
91-84
91
84
+7
86avg 68
H07/10
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
L
52-70
52
70
-18
46avg 68
A13/10
BNXT League
BCCA Neufchateau
#13
W
101-80
101
80
+21
no box
A20/10
Belgian Cup
Kortrijk
#14
W
102-74
102
74
+28
101avg 68
H28/10
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#11
W
84-73
84
73
+11
83avg 68
A31/10
BNXT League
Oostende
#1
W
69-45
69
45
+24
69avg 68
H12/11
BNXT League
Liege
#6
L
50-63
50
63
-13
38avg 68
H18/11
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#14
L
70-87
70
87
-17
61avg 68
A24/11
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-19
25-27
17-18
13-11
15-15
18-23
13-15
19-16
29-22
15-23
23-19
24-20
10-24
7-15
17-17
18-14
27-27
21-14
25-21
28-18
24-17
29-11
21-22
28-24
21-19
19-21
22-19
22-14
15-13
17-14
18-11
19-7
19-16
15-18
9-9
7-20
20-19
25-23
12-26
13-19
148.0Avg total
76.0Scored
72.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)74.373.0147.3+1.350%
Season at home (6)75.568.3143.8+7.267%
Season away (4)72.580.0152.5-7.525%
Last 10 (10)76.072.0148.0+4.060%
Last 5 (5)75.068.4143.4+6.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)74.073.1147.1+0.955%
vs Similar ◀ (12)71.877.3149.1-5.642%
vs Weaker (6)83.772.7156.3+11.083%
This opponent (Circus Brussels) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +4.1+4.1Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +2.8+2.8
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +4.1+4.1Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +2.8+2.8
Circus BrusselsMechelen
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Circus BrusselsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Liege
#6
W
43-32
43
32
+11
A04/10
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#3
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H08/10
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#16
W
53-49
53
49
+4
A14/10
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#7
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A20/10
Belgian Cup
Okapi Aalst
#7
W
46-26
46
26
+20
H22/10
Belgian Cup
Belfius Mons
#10
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H29/10
BNXT League
Oostende
#1
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A10/11
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H12/11
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#7
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A17/11
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#11
W
30-27
30
27
+3
H26/11
BNXT League
76.1Avg total
39.0Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.339.779.0-0.447%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.738.978.6+0.940%-
Last 30 away (15)38.940.679.5-1.753%-
Last 10 (10)39.037.176.1+1.950%-
Last 5 (5)35.036.871.8-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)40.639.279.9+1.457%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)38.539.678.1-1.150%-
vs Weaker (8)37.840.878.5-3.025%-
This opponent (Mechelen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MechelenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Belfius Mons
#10
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H30/09
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#3
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H04/10
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#16
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H07/10
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
L
17-39
17
39
-22
A13/10
BNXT League
BCCA Neufchateau
#13
W
48-41
48
41
+7
A20/10
Belgian Cup
Kortrijk
#14
W
53-28
53
28
+25
H28/10
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#11
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A31/10
BNXT League
Oostende
#1
W
32-27
32
27
+5
H12/11
BNXT League
Liege
#6
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H18/11
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#14
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A24/11
BNXT League
77.2Avg total
39.2Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.939.077.9-0.140%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.837.177.9+3.747%-
Last 30 away (15)37.040.977.9-3.933%-
Last 10 (10)39.238.077.2+1.240%-
Last 5 (5)40.834.275.0+6.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)37.138.775.8-1.645%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)37.239.376.5-2.217%-
vs Weaker (6)44.238.582.7+5.767%-
This opponent (Circus Brussels) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Circus Brusselstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Circus Brussels: 78.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀25%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.5 pts a game · 25% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.618.7
51.1%
52.2%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.47.2
35.3%
33.1%21.6
🏀 Free throws26.419.5
73.9%
71.4%19.5
They take 57.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mechelentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mechelen: 73.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.9 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.721.2
52.1%
52.2%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.35.3
30.6%
33.1%15.9
🏀 Free throws21.715.4
71.0%
71.4%15.4
They take 58.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 17.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Circus Brussels
WLLLWWLWWW
Mechelen
LLWWWWLWLW
#9
League position
#8
+5.4
Net rating
+2.4
106.2
Offensive rating
99.4
100.8
Defensive rating
97.0
51.8%
Effective FG%
50.3%
50.4%
Opp. effective FG%
46.8%
19.2%
Turnover %
20.7%
26.6%
Off. rebound %
25.6%
0.46
Free-throw rate
0.37
35.3%
3-point %
30.6%
57.5%
Assist %
57.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence106.2 · 99.4Defence100.8 · 97.0Shooting51.8% · 50.3%3-point %35.3% · 30.6%Ball care19.2% · 20.7%Off. rebounds26.6% · 25.6%Free throws0.46 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Circus Brussels   ■ Mechelen
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Circus Brussels wins
4
Mechelen wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/11/23HLeuven Bears79-64
17/11/23ASpirou Charleroi61-63
12/11/23HLimburg58-83
10/11/23AOostende82-87 OT
29/10/23HBelfius Mons90-76
22/10/23HOkapi Aalst85-66
20/10/23AOkapi Aalst67-75
14/10/23AOkapi Aalst95-82
08/10/23HAntwerp Giants79-75
04/10/23ALiege85-59
Mechelenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/11/23AKortrijk70-87
18/11/23HLiege50-63
12/11/23HOostende69-45
31/10/23ALeuven Bears84-73
28/10/23HKortrijk102-74
20/10/23ABCCA Neufchateau101-80
13/10/23ALimburg52-70
07/10/23HOkapi Aalst91-84
04/10/23HAntwerp Giants65-69
30/09/23HBelfius Mons76-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Circus Brussels
BNXT League 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW60%
HomeLWWLW60%
AwayWWWLL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %60%60%60%
Points / game79.578.480.6
Allowed / game75.578.472.6
Point differential+4.0+0.0+8.0
Avg total155.0156.8153.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%40%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %10%0%20%
Mechelen
BNXT League 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL50%
HomeLWWWL67%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %50%67%25%
Points / game74.375.572.5
Allowed / game73.068.380.0
Point differential+1.3+7.2-7.5
Avg total147.3143.8152.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%33%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Den Bosch98189%84.168.8+15.3
2 Leiden98189%80.869.3+11.4
3 Oostende108280%77.370.5+6.8
4 Antwerp Giants108280%80.774.0+6.7
5 Zwolle97278%79.866.8+13.0
6 Limburg97278%77.367.7+9.7
7 Kortrijk117464%80.681.3-0.6
8 Circus Brussels106460%79.575.5+4.0
9 BAL Weert95456%72.673.7-1.1
10 Liege116555%74.475.5-1.2
11 Mechelen105550%74.373.0+1.3
12 Spirou Charleroi105550%73.074.7-1.7
13 Donar Groningen94544%73.469.7+3.8
14 Feyenoord94544%75.184.1-9.0
15 Leuven Bears113827%75.177.9-2.8
16 Den Helder92722%67.380.8-13.4
17 LWD Basket81712%74.683.4-8.8
18 QSTA Utd91811%70.082.2-12.2
19 Belfius Mons101910%72.882.4-9.6
20 Okapi Aalst100100%77.088.1-11.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Circus Brussels1616172574
Mechelen2118242588
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