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FC Porto vs Limburg Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 23 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 80-61
12-11 23-16 20-19 25-15
Position#7
Record1-1
FormLWWLW
Points / game73.5
Allowed / game78.5
vs
Position#26
Record1-1
FormWLWWL
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game84.5
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 3· Pavilhão Dragão Arena
European cup2024
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FC Porto winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Limburg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FC PortoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPorto
Date
Competition
Ovarense
#5
W
77-60
77
60
+17
72avg 75
H23/05
LPB
Ovarense
#5
W
86-83
86
83
+3
81avg 75
A26/05
LPB
Ovarense
#5
W
77-74
77
74
+3
63avg 75
A28/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
66-89
66
89
-23
52avg 75
H05/06
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
62-73
62
73
-11
60avg 75
H07/06
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
76-83
76
83
-7
66avg 75
A10/06
LPB
Benfica
#2
W
97-93 OT
97
93
+4
no box
A28/09
Super Cup
Szolnoki Olaj
#38
W
77-68
77
68
+9
69avg 75
H09/10
FIBA Europe Cup
PAOK
#9
L
70-89
70
89
-19
58avg 75
A16/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Vitoria
#9
W
88-80
88
80
+8
85avg 75
H19/10
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-15
14-13
21-16
22-16
10-16
29-18
25-23
22-26
14-17
21-24
17-11
25-22
16-22
19-19
10-23
21-25
16-13
21-15
13-23
12-22
25-20
10-21
24-15
17-27
23-22
23-22
21-19
18-22
20-16
18-10
19-23
20-19
18-26
21-20
24-22
7-21
24-17
18-19
23-16
23-28
156.8Avg total
77.6Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)73.578.5152.0-5.050%
Season at home (1)77.068.0145.0+9.0100%
Season away (1)70.089.0159.0-19.00%
Last 10 (10)77.679.2156.8-1.660%
Last 5 (5)81.682.6164.2-1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)72.182.1154.3-10.029%
vs Similar (5)72.875.2148.0-2.440%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)86.973.2160.1+13.888%
This opponent (Limburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LimburgLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLimburg
Date
Competition
Antwerp Giants
#2
W
71-70
71
70
+1
62avg 71
H22/05
Pro Basketball League
Antwerp Giants
#2
L
64-76
64
76
-12
58avg 71
A24/05
Pro Basketball League
Belfius Mons
#9
W
83-78
83
78
+5
76avg 71
A14/09
BNXT League
Mechelen
#3
W
74-65
74
65
+9
69avg 71
H20/09
BNXT League
Den Helder
#16
W
84-44
84
44
+40
76avg 71
H27/09
BNXT League
Leiden
#12
W
86-66
86
66
+20
86avg 71
A05/10
BNXT League
PAOK
#9
L
70-74
70
74
-4
66avg 71
H09/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Szolnoki Olaj
#38
W
100-95 OT
100
95
+5
92avg 71
A16/10
FIBA Europe Cup
BAL Weert
#18
W
73-65
73
65
+8
63avg 71
H18/10
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#7
L
68-85
68
85
-17
55avg 71
A20/10
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-18
21-8
18-25
15-19
15-18
17-17
13-26
19-15
23-23
17-20
21-18
22-17
20-20
19-10
23-20
12-15
15-11
22-8
25-7
22-18
24-23
19-16
23-14
20-13
21-21
21-14
16-14
12-25
22-17
19-30
25-17
20-22
14-12
22-18
23-20
14-15
7-18
24-30
18-14
19-23
149.1Avg total
77.3Scored
71.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)85.084.5169.5+0.550%
Season at home (1)70.074.0144.0-4.00%
Season away (1)100.095.0195.0+5.0100%
Last 10 (10)77.371.8149.1+5.570%
Last 5 (5)79.477.0156.4+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)70.179.0149.1-8.929%
vs Similar (14)75.473.5148.9+1.957%
vs Weaker (9)84.770.8155.4+13.9100%
This opponent (FC Porto) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: -4.1-4.1Q4: -0.7-0.7
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: -4.1-4.1Q4: -0.7-0.7
FC PortoLimburg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FC PortoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ovarense
#5
W
34-28
34
28
+6
H23/05
LPB
Ovarense
#5
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A26/05
LPB
Ovarense
#5
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A28/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H05/06
LPB
Benfica
#1
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H07/06
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A10/06
LPB
Benfica
#2
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A28/09
Super Cup
Szolnoki Olaj
#38
W
38-26
38
26
+12
H09/10
FIBA Europe Cup
PAOK
#9
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A16/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Vitoria
#9
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H19/10
LPB
74.5Avg total
38.0Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.738.278.9+2.460%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.036.876.8+3.262%-
Last 30 away (17)41.239.480.5+1.859%-
Last 10 (10)38.036.574.5+1.560%-
Last 5 (5)40.038.678.6+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)36.739.476.1-2.743%-
vs Similar (5)36.639.275.8-2.640%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)43.237.180.3+6.171%-
This opponent (Limburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LimburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Antwerp Giants
#2
W
38-26
38
26
+12
H22/05
Pro Basketball League
Antwerp Giants
#2
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A24/05
Pro Basketball League
Belfius Mons
#9
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A14/09
BNXT League
Mechelen
#3
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H20/09
BNXT League
Den Helder
#16
W
37-19
37
19
+18
H27/09
BNXT League
Leiden
#12
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A05/10
BNXT League
PAOK
#9
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H09/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Szolnoki Olaj
#38
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A16/10
FIBA Europe Cup
BAL Weert
#18
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H18/10
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#7
L
31-48
31
48
-17
A20/10
BNXT League
73.1Avg total
37.9Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.937.875.7+0.147%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.335.372.6+2.153%-
Last 30 away (15)38.540.378.8-1.940%-
Last 10 (10)37.935.273.1+2.760%-
Last 5 (5)38.639.878.4-1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)36.339.475.7-3.143%-
vs Similar (14)37.337.975.2-0.636%-
vs Weaker (9)40.136.376.4+3.867%-
This opponent (FC Porto) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
FC Portotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

FC Porto: 72.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.418.5
53.8%
52.6%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.77.7
31.2%
34.0%23.1
🏀 Free throws17.512.1
69.1%
72.6%12.1
They take 59.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Limburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Limburg: 76.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.817.7
48.1%
52.6%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.77.9
36.4%
34.0%23.7
🏀 Free throws24.117.5
72.6%
72.6%17.5
They take 58.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
FC Porto
WLWWLLLWWW
Limburg
LWWLWWWWLW
#7
League position
#26
-1.0
Net rating
+7.7
106.1
Offensive rating
105.8
107.1
Defensive rating
98.1
50.8%
Effective FG%
50.5%
51.4%
Opp. effective FG%
45.5%
17.2%
Turnover %
17.6%
29.6%
Off. rebound %
28.0%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.41
31.2%
3-point %
36.4%
55.0%
Assist %
57.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence106.1 · 105.8Defence107.1 · 98.1Shooting50.8% · 50.5%3-point %31.2% · 36.4%Ball care17.2% · 17.6%Off. rebounds29.6% · 28.0%Free throws0.30 · 0.41Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ FC Porto   ■ Limburg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
FC Porto wins
0
Limburg wins
No previous meetings.
FC Portolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/10/24HVitoria88-80
16/10/24APAOK70-89
09/10/24HSzolnoki Olaj77-68
28/09/24ABenfica97-93 OT
10/06/24ABenfica76-83
07/06/24HBenfica62-73
05/06/24HBenfica66-89
28/05/24AOvarense77-74
26/05/24AOvarense86-83
23/05/24HOvarense77-60
Limburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/10/24ALeuven Bears68-85
18/10/24HBAL Weert73-65
16/10/24ASzolnoki Olaj100-95 OT
09/10/24HPAOK70-74
05/10/24ALeiden86-66
27/09/24HDen Helder84-44
20/09/24HMechelen74-65
14/09/24ABelfius Mons83-78
24/05/24AAntwerp Giants64-76
22/05/24HAntwerp Giants71-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

FC Porto
FIBA Europe Cup 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game73.577.070.0
Allowed / game78.568.089.0
Point differential-5.0+9.0-19.0
Avg total152.0145.0159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Limburg
FIBA Europe Cup 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game85.070.0100.0
Allowed / game84.574.095.0
Point differential+0.5-4.0+5.0
Avg total169.5144.0195.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %50%0%100%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bilbao550100%87.259.6+27.6
2 Cholet330100%96.773.0+23.7
3 Tofas330100%99.080.0+19.0
4 Sassari330100%81.765.7+16.0
5 Ludwigsburg330100%78.765.3+13.3
6 PAOK330100%81.768.7+13.0
7 BC Kalev/Cramo330100%82.771.0+11.7
8 CSM Oradea330100%79.773.7+6.0
9 Dijon54180%97.069.6+27.4
10 Maroussi54180%90.877.0+13.8
11 Anwil Wloclawek32167%91.067.7+23.3
12 Le Portel32167%82.366.3+16.0
13 Fribourg Olympic32167%89.077.7+11.3
14 Basket Zaragoza32167%92.785.7+7.0
15 Spojnia Stargard32167%76.370.3+6.0
16 Levice32167%80.776.7+4.0
17 Bursaspor32167%82.782.7+0.0
18 Spirou Charleroi53260%79.876.6+3.2
19 BC Prievidza53260%82.682.4+0.2
20 Limburg21150%85.084.5+0.5
21 FC Porto21150%73.578.5-5.0
22 Anorthosis52340%79.282.0-2.8
23 Alba Fehervar52340%90.294.6-4.4
24 Basketball Braunschweig31233%91.085.3+5.7
25 Arges Pitesti31233%67.769.3-1.7
26 Sporting CP62433%69.775.2-5.5
27 Antwerp Giants31233%78.784.3-5.7
28 Keravnos31233%83.091.7-8.7
29 Norrkoping31233%79.788.7-9.0
30 Kutaisi31233%70.781.0-10.3
31 BC Dnipro62433%68.383.2-14.8
32 AEK Larnaca31233%70.086.0-16.0
33 Caledonia Gladiators31233%65.384.0-18.7
34 CSM Constanta51420%72.487.8-15.4
35 Sabah Baku3030%73.779.3-5.7
36 Starlites2020%74.584.0-9.5
37 Szolnoki Olaj3030%76.386.3-10.0
38 Parnu3030%69.780.0-10.3
39 Rilski Sportist3030%69.789.0-19.3
40 Trepca3030%68.789.3-20.7
41 Neptunas2020%62.584.5-22.0
42 Balkan3030%67.790.0-22.3
43 Peja2020%78.0102.0-24.0
44 Dinamo Zagreb2020%70.5100.0-29.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 44 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
FC Porto1223202580
Limburg1116191561
← all games of the day
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