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Lithuania vs Montenegro Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 29 Aug 2025
Tip-off: 13:30
Final 94-67
26-15 21-13 19-17 28-22
Position#4
Record1-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game94.0
Allowed / game70.0
vs
Position#19
Record0-1
FormWWLLL
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game106.0
EuropeEuroBasketRound 2· Nokia Arena
Other2025
Meetings · Lithuania v Montenegro
29 Aug 2025
LITH94
MONT67
27 Aug 2022
LITH90
MONT73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lithuania winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Montenegro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLithuania
Date
Competition
Serbia
#13
L
68-87
68
87
-19
no box
H05/09
World Cup
Slovenia
#24
W
100-84
100
84
+16
no box
H07/09
World Cup
Latvia
#3
L
63-98
63
98
-35
no box
A09/09
World Cup
Poland
#24
W
83-64
83
64
+19
no box
H22/02
EuroBasket
Estonia
#10
L
59-65
59
65
-6
no box
A26/02
EuroBasket
North Macedonia
#15
W
82-67
82
67
+15
80avg 90
A21/11
EuroBasket
North Macedonia
#15
W
94-72
94
72
+22
103avg 90
H24/11
EuroBasket
Poland
#24
W
82-48
82
48
+34
86avg 90
A21/02
EuroBasket
Estonia
#10
W
82-75
82
75
+7
78avg 90
H24/02
EuroBasket
Great Britain
#20
W
94-70
94
70
+24
95avg 90
A27/08
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-24
13-25
17-24
13-14
33-21
20-22
22-20
25-21
20-28
18-21
9-28
16-21
16-19
19-11
27-19
21-15
18-17
19-24
13-9
9-15
23-9
21-18
20-16
18-24
23-27
20-19
21-16
30-10
15-18
22-14
25-10
20-6
28-19
32-24
7-21
15-11
23-15
18-18
24-17
29-20
153.7Avg total
80.7Scored
73.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)94.070.0164.0+24.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)94.070.0164.0+24.0100%
Last 10 (10)80.773.0153.7+7.770%
Last 5 (5)86.866.4153.2+20.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)71.290.0161.2-18.80%
vs Similar (9)84.378.0162.3+6.356%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)83.968.8152.8+15.188%
This opponent (Montenegro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MontenegroLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMontenegro
Date
Competition
Egypt
#27
W
89-74
89
74
+15
no box
H27/08
World Cup
Lithuania
#9
L
71-91
71
91
-20
no box
H29/08
World Cup
Greece
#25
W
73-69
73
69
+4
no box
A03/09
World Cup
Germany
#8
L
61-85
61
85
-24
no box
A22/02
EuroBasket
Sweden
#26
W
95-70
95
70
+25
no box
H25/02
EuroBasket
Bulgaria
#13
W
85-62
85
62
+23
81avg 73
H22/11
EuroBasket
Bulgaria
#13
W
90-86
90
86
+4
84avg 73
A25/11
EuroBasket
Germany
#8
L
76-95
76
95
-19
57avg 73
H20/02
EuroBasket
Sweden
#26
L
83-86 OT
83
86
-3
66avg 73
A23/02
EuroBasket
Germany
#1
L
76-106
76
106
-30
71avg 73
H27/08
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-17
24-20
19-19
19-18
27-26
13-22
10-18
21-25
19-14
17-16
14-12
23-27
10-28
20-19
20-11
11-27
27-24
23-13
25-20
20-13
20-16
24-11
21-25
20-10
22-21
19-27
25-19
24-19
17-26
21-24
13-25
25-20
14-20
19-12
18-21
21-19
20-24
23-22
12-33
21-27
162.3Avg total
79.9Scored
82.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)76.0106.0182.0-30.00%
Season at home (1)76.0106.0182.0-30.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)79.982.4162.3-2.550%
Last 5 (5)82.087.0169.0-5.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)71.283.1154.4-11.925%
vs Similar (9)76.275.8152.0+0.456%
vs Weaker (13)82.571.5154.1+11.077%
This opponent (Lithuania) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: +3.9+3.9Q4: +0.0+0.0
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: +3.9+3.9Q4: +0.0+0.0
LithuaniaMontenegro
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LithuaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Serbia
#13
L
38-49
38
49
-11
H05/09
World Cup
Slovenia
#24
W
53-43
53
43
+10
H07/09
World Cup
Latvia
#3
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A09/09
World Cup
Poland
#24
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H22/02
EuroBasket
Estonia
#10
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A26/02
EuroBasket
North Macedonia
#15
W
44-27
44
27
+17
A21/11
EuroBasket
North Macedonia
#15
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H24/11
EuroBasket
Poland
#24
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A21/02
EuroBasket
Estonia
#10
W
60-43
60
43
+17
H24/02
EuroBasket
Great Britain
#20
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A27/08
EuroBasket
81.9Avg total
42.6Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.538.680.1+2.963%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.540.282.7+2.360%-
Last 30 away (15)40.536.977.5+3.667%-
Last 10 (10)42.639.381.9+3.360%-
Last 5 (5)45.036.281.2+8.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)35.841.877.5-6.025%-
vs Similar (9)43.840.984.7+2.967%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)41.636.678.2+5.171%-
This opponent (Montenegro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MontenegroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Egypt
#27
W
51-37
51
37
+14
H27/08
World Cup
Lithuania
#9
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H29/08
World Cup
Greece
#25
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A03/09
World Cup
Germany
#8
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A22/02
EuroBasket
Sweden
#26
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H25/02
EuroBasket
Bulgaria
#13
W
44-27
44
27
+17
H22/11
EuroBasket
Bulgaria
#13
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A25/11
EuroBasket
Germany
#8
L
38-50
38
50
-12
H20/02
EuroBasket
Sweden
#26
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A23/02
EuroBasket
Germany
#1
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H27/08
EuroBasket
80.8Avg total
40.6Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.637.075.6+1.557%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.236.877.0+3.460%-
Last 30 away (15)36.937.374.2-0.353%-
Last 10 (10)40.640.280.8+0.450%-
Last 5 (5)39.840.680.4-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)34.243.177.4-8.925%-
vs Similar (9)38.938.076.9+0.944%-
vs Weaker (13)41.032.673.6+8.485%-
This opponent (Lithuania) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lithuaniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lithuania: 81.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.1 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.919.6
56.1%
52.4%39.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.78.7
35.3%
33.4%26.1
🏀 Free throws24.316.4
67.6%
73.1%16.4
They take 59.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Montenegrotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Montenegro: 80.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.3 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.020.1
54.4%
52.4%40.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.07.7
35.1%
33.4%23.1
🏀 Free throws23.116.9
72.8%
73.1%16.9
They take 59.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 7/7 games with a box score before 29 Aug 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lithuania
WWWWWLWLWL
Montenegro
LLLWWWLWLW
#4
League position
#19
+23.2
Net rating
-4.3
113.5
Offensive rating
110.8
90.3
Defensive rating
115.1
54.8%
Effective FG%
53.8%
45.8%
Opp. effective FG%
54.6%
17.2%
Turnover %
18.0%
32.8%
Off. rebound %
30.9%
0.41
Free-throw rate
0.39
35.3%
3-point %
35.1%
69.7%
Assist %
47.7%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence113.5 · 110.8Defence90.3 · 115.1Shooting54.8% · 53.8%3-point %35.3% · 35.1%Ball care17.2% · 18.0%Off. rebounds32.8% · 30.9%Free throws0.41 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Lithuania   ■ Montenegro
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Lithuania wins
0
Montenegro wins
DateGameScore
29/08/23Montenegro v Lithuania71-91
14/11/22Montenegro v Lithuania56-65
27/08/22Lithuania v Montenegro90-73
Lithuanialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/08/25AGreat Britain94-70
24/02/25HEstonia82-75
21/02/25APoland82-48
24/11/24HNorth Macedonia94-72
21/11/24ANorth Macedonia82-67
26/02/24AEstonia59-65
22/02/24HPoland83-64
09/09/23ALatvia63-98
07/09/23HSlovenia100-84
05/09/23HSerbia68-87
Montenegrolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/08/25HGermany76-106
23/02/25ASweden83-86 OT
20/02/25HGermany76-95
25/11/24ABulgaria90-86
22/11/24HBulgaria85-62
25/02/24HSweden95-70
22/02/24AGermany61-85
03/09/23AGreece73-69
29/08/23HLithuania71-91
27/08/23HEgypt89-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lithuania
EuroBasket 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game94.0-94.0
Allowed / game70.0-70.0
Point differential+24.0-+24.0
Avg total164.0-164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%-100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Montenegro
EuroBasket 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game76.076.0-
Allowed / game106.0106.0-
Point differential-30.0-30.0-
Avg total182.0182.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Serbia110100%98.064.0+34.0
2 France110100%92.064.0+28.0
3 Bosnia & Herzegovina110100%91.064.0+27.0
4 Germany220100%105.579.5+26.0
5 Lithuania110100%94.070.0+24.0
6 Turkey220100%92.575.5+17.0
7 Georgia110100%83.069.0+14.0
8 Israel110100%83.071.0+12.0
9 Portugal110100%62.050.0+12.0
10 Poland110100%105.095.0+10.0
11 Greece110100%75.066.0+9.0
12 Finland110100%93.090.0+3.0
13 Italy1010%66.075.0-9.0
14 Slovenia1010%95.0105.0-10.0
15 Iceland1010%71.083.0-12.0
16 Sweden2020%86.599.0-12.5
17 Czech Republic2020%64.077.0-13.0
18 Spain1010%69.083.0-14.0
19 Latvia1010%73.093.0-20.0
20 Great Britain1010%70.094.0-24.0
21 Cyprus1010%64.091.0-27.0
22 Belgium1010%64.092.0-28.0
23 Montenegro1010%76.0106.0-30.0
24 Estonia1010%64.098.0-34.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lithuania2621192894
Montenegro1513172267
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