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Valecnici Decin vs Zlin Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 13 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 53-81
20-24 14-28 11-13 8-16
Position#6
Record15-7
FormLWWLL
Points / game81.9
Allowed / game74.7
vs
Zlin 🏆
Czech Republic
Position#3
Record13-9
FormLLLLW
Points / game83.4
Allowed / game75.7
Czech Republic1. LigaRound 5· ARMEX Sportcentrum
Other2025-26
Meetings · Valecnici Decin v Zlin
11 Apr 2026
VALE80
ZLIN86
13 Mar 2026
VALE53
ZLIN81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valecnici Decin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zlin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Valecnici DecinCzech RepublicLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDecin
Date
Competition
Litomerice
#9
L
91-93
91
93
-2
73avg 68
H14/12
1. Liga
USK Prague B
#17
W
99-90 OT
99
90
+9
73avg 68
A19/12
1. Liga
Plzen
#4
W
91-77
91
77
+14
82avg 68
H11/01
1. Liga
Liberecko
#8
W
75-69
75
69
+6
59avg 68
H23/01
1. Liga
Radotin
#10
W
89-76
89
76
+13
86avg 68
A27/01
1. Liga
Polabi
#11
L
84-91
84
91
-7
71avg 68
A30/01
1. Liga
Pardubice 2
#7
W
85-65
85
65
+20
78avg 68
H13/02
1. Liga
Zlin
#3
W
86-78
86
78
+8
66avg 68
A20/02
1. Liga
Novy Jicin
#2
L
58-81
58
81
-23
42avg 68
H01/03
1. Liga
Pardubice 2
#7
L
69-85
69
85
-16
53avg 68
A06/03
1. Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-30
25-20
22-26
26-17
20-17
17-29
16-17
29-19
22-25
15-19
24-16
30-17
20-17
12-22
21-17
22-13
22-15
19-18
22-30
26-13
23-32
19-23
22-20
20-16
25-15
18-16
23-12
19-22
12-19
28-20
23-21
23-18
13-24
15-19
15-26
15-12
17-19
17-16
16-32
19-18
163.2Avg total
82.7Scored
80.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)81.974.7156.5+7.268%
Season at home (11)79.471.7151.1+7.664%
Season away (11)84.477.6162.0+6.773%
Last 10 (10)82.780.5163.2+2.260%
Last 5 (5)76.480.0156.4-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)86.078.0164.0+8.0100%
vs Similar (7)80.976.7157.6+4.157%
vs Weaker (14)82.173.4155.5+8.671%
This opponent (Zlin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZlinCzech RepublicLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZlin
Date
Competition
Brno U23
#14
W
85-58
85
58
+27
no box
H16/01
1. Liga
Novy Jicin
#2
W
88-70
88
70
+18
no box
H18/01
1. Liga
Opava 2
#16
W
111-66
111
66
+45
120avg 76
H20/01
1. Liga
MS Academy
#18
W
103-73
103
73
+30
104avg 76
H23/01
1. Liga
Jindrichuv Hradec
#13
L
81-89
81
89
-8
76avg 76
H28/01
1. Liga
Jindrichuv Hradec
#13
L
80-83
80
83
-3
76avg 76
A30/01
1. Liga
Plzen
#4
L
52-98
52
98
-46
33avg 76
A15/02
1. Liga
Valecnici Decin
#6
L
78-86
78
86
-8
81avg 76
H20/02
1. Liga
Litomerice
#9
L
95-102
95
102
-7
83avg 76
A27/02
1. Liga
Plzen
#4
W
87-66
87
66
+21
85avg 76
H06/03
1. Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-7
23-17
17-21
18-13
26-17
25-13
19-22
18-18
30-16
29-15
30-10
22-25
27-22
23-17
21-21
32-13
22-20
22-27
17-15
20-27
22-18
19-23
18-17
21-25
15-27
10-16
9-27
18-28
19-12
20-28
21-23
18-23
32-27
25-25
22-29
16-21
24-15
25-26
21-8
17-17
165.1Avg total
86.0Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)83.475.7159.1+7.759%
Season at home (11)87.971.1159.0+16.882%
Season away (11)78.980.3159.2-1.436%
Last 10 (10)86.079.1165.1+6.950%
Last 5 (5)78.487.0165.4-8.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)77.079.7156.7-2.750%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)84.275.1159.2+9.162%
This opponent (Valecnici Decin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: +6.3+6.3Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +6.4+6.4Q4: -1.0-1.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: +6.3+6.3Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +6.4+6.4Q4: -1.0-1.0
Valecnici DecinZlin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Valecnici DecinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Litomerice
#9
L
43-50
43
50
-7
H14/12
1. Liga
USK Prague B
#17
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A19/12
1. Liga
Plzen
#4
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H11/01
1. Liga
Liberecko
#8
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H23/01
1. Liga
Radotin
#10
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A27/01
1. Liga
Polabi
#11
L
42-55
42
55
-13
A30/01
1. Liga
Pardubice 2
#7
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H13/02
1. Liga
Zlin
#3
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A20/02
1. Liga
Novy Jicin
#2
L
28-43
28
43
-15
H01/03
1. Liga
Pardubice 2
#7
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A06/03
1. Liga
79.2Avg total
37.7Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (22)38.237.876.0+0.441%-
Last 30 at home (11)37.235.973.1+1.345%-
Last 30 away (11)39.239.778.9-0.536%-
Last 10 (10)37.741.579.2-3.830%-
Last 5 (5)37.440.678.0-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)40.039.079.0+1.0100%-
vs Similar (7)38.136.074.1+2.143%-
vs Weaker (14)38.138.676.7-0.636%-
This opponent (Zlin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brno U23
#14
W
50-24
50
24
+26
H16/01
1. Liga
Novy Jicin
#2
W
51-30
51
30
+21
H18/01
1. Liga
Opava 2
#16
W
59-31
59
31
+28
H20/01
1. Liga
MS Academy
#18
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H23/01
1. Liga
Jindrichuv Hradec
#13
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H28/01
1. Liga
Jindrichuv Hradec
#13
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A30/01
1. Liga
Plzen
#4
L
25-43
25
43
-18
A15/02
1. Liga
Valecnici Decin
#6
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H20/02
1. Liga
Litomerice
#9
W
57-52
57
52
+5
A27/02
1. Liga
Plzen
#4
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H06/03
1. Liga
85.3Avg total
46.5Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.437.279.6+5.163%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.535.481.9+11.180%-
Last 30 away (15)38.339.177.3-0.847%-
Last 10 (10)46.538.885.3+7.760%-
Last 5 (5)42.243.485.6-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)39.338.077.3+1.367%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)43.137.080.2+6.162%-
This opponent (Valecnici Decin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valecnici Decintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valecnici Decin: 82.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.322.0
49.7%
51.4%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.67.5
25.3%
29.5%22.5
🏀 Free throws26.316.2
61.6%
65.8%16.2
They take 73.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zlin: 84.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.123.5
57.2%
51.4%47.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.57.8
33.2%
29.5%23.4
🏀 Free throws23.714.4
60.8%
65.8%14.4
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valecnici Decin
LLWWLWWWWL
Zlin
WLLLLLWWWW
#6
League position
#3
+2.3
Net rating
+5.6
86.4
Offensive rating
94.5
84.1
Defensive rating
89.0
45.0%
Effective FG%
54.5%
47.9%
Opp. effective FG%
50.1%
14.9%
Turnover %
17.4%
36.3%
Off. rebound %
35.3%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.37
25.3%
3-point %
33.2%
51.5%
Assist %
61.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence86.4 · 94.5Defence84.1 · 89.0Shooting45.0% · 54.5%3-point %25.3% · 33.2%Ball care14.9% · 17.4%Off. rebounds36.3% · 35.3%Free throws0.36 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Valecnici Decin   ■ Zlin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Valecnici Decin wins
0
Zlin wins
DateGameScore
20/02/26Zlin v Valecnici Decin78-86
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/26APardubice 269-85
01/03/26HNovy Jicin58-81
20/02/26AZlin86-78
13/02/26HPardubice 285-65
30/01/26APolabi84-91
27/01/26ARadotin89-76
23/01/26HLiberecko75-69
11/01/26HPlzen91-77
19/12/25AUSK Prague B99-90 OT
14/12/25HLitomerice91-93
Zlinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/26HPlzen87-66
27/02/26ALitomerice95-102
20/02/26HValecnici Decin78-86
15/02/26APlzen52-98
30/01/26AJindrichuv Hradec80-83
28/01/26HJindrichuv Hradec81-89
23/01/26HMS Academy103-73
20/01/26HOpava 2111-66
18/01/26HNovy Jicin88-70
16/01/26HBrno U2385-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valecnici Decin
1. Liga 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL68%
HomeLWWWL64%
AwayWWLWL73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %68%64%73%
Points / game81.979.484.4
Allowed / game74.771.777.6
Point differential+7.2+7.6+6.7
Avg total156.5151.1162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%45%55%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (3)-
Overtime %5%0%9%
Zlin
1. Liga 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW59%
HomeWWLLW82%
AwayWLLLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %59%82%36%
Points / game83.487.978.9
Allowed / game75.771.180.3
Point differential+7.7+16.8-1.4
Avg total159.1159.0159.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%73%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)100% (1)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Novy Jicin2217577%87.976.9+11.0
2 Plzen2215768%81.771.7+10.0
3 Valecnici Decin2215768%81.974.7+7.2
4 Pardubice 22315865%78.975.1+3.7
5 Svitavy2214864%88.883.4+5.4
6 Litomerice2314961%84.783.5+1.3
7 Zlin2213959%83.475.7+7.7
8 Liberecko2213959%80.379.5+0.7
9 Polabi22121055%81.180.1+1.0
10 CZ.ACADEMY22111150%82.085.2-3.2
11 Jindrichuv Hradec22101245%85.084.1+0.9
12 Radotin22101245%82.181.4+0.7
13 Brno U2322101245%79.081.7-2.8
14 Vysoka22101245%78.183.1-5.0
15 Opava 22291341%78.583.7-5.2
16 USK Prague B2081240%78.280.2-1.9
17 Sokol Prazsky2271532%82.190.4-8.3
18 MS Academy2161529%80.991.1-10.2
19 Basketbal Olomouc2261627%75.181.2-6.1
20 Chomutov2351822%80.688.0-7.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valecnici Decin201411853
Zlin2428131681
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