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Cherno More vs Lok. Plovdiv Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 08 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 11:00
Final 79-76
19-17 18-27 22-13 20-19
Position#3
Record15-5
FormLWWWW
Points / game90.8
Allowed / game81.2
Cherno More 🏆
Bulgaria
vs
Lok. Plovdiv
Bulgaria
Position#4
Record12-8
FormLLWWL
Points / game91.0
Allowed / game84.2
BulgariaNBLRound 23· DKS - Varna
Other2025-26
Meetings · Cherno More v Lok. Plovdiv
13 Feb 2027
CHER v LOK.
upcoming
08 Mar 2026
CHER79
LOK.76
20 Dec 2025
CHER107
LOK.91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cherno More winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lok. Plovdiv winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Cherno MoreBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMore
Date
Competition
Lok. Plovdiv
#4
W
107-91
107
91
+16
105avg 84
H20/12
NBL
Botev 2012
#6
W
96-76
96
76
+20
96avg 84
A23/12
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
W
77-73
77
73
+4
72avg 84
H29/12
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#9
L
94-95
94
95
-1
93avg 84
A03/01
NBL
Levski
#10
W
109-77
109
77
+32
109avg 84
H10/01
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#5
L
78-83
78
83
-5
no box
A16/01
NBL
Balkan
#1
W
93-66
93
66
+27
91avg 84
H26/01
NBL
Minyor
#7
W
91-72
91
72
+19
93avg 84
A01/02
NBL
Beroe
#8
W
86-84
86
84
+2
81avg 84
A08/02
NBL
Shumen
#11
W
92-86
92
86
+6
no box
A04/03
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-25
25-22
17-23
33-21
24-22
23-16
20-20
29-18
21-21
18-11
22-25
16-16
25-18
25-16
22-34
22-27
34-22
27-24
22-19
26-12
23-23
22-14
13-27
20-19
26-12
25-22
20-16
22-16
16-16
18-19
22-24
35-13
18-22
25-19
24-20
19-23
25-13
22-26
22-27
23-20
172.6Avg total
92.3Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)90.881.2172.0+9.575%
Season at home (10)93.779.5173.2+14.290%
Season away (10)87.883.0170.8+4.860%
Last 10 (10)92.380.3172.6+12.080%
Last 5 (5)88.078.2166.2+9.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)81.882.8164.7-1.033%
vs Similar ◀ (8)86.082.4168.4+3.675%
vs Weaker (15)91.881.5173.3+10.380%
This opponent (Lok. Plovdiv) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lok. PlovdivBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPlovdiv
Date
Competition
Cherno More
#3
L
91-107
91
107
-16
79avg 84
A20/12
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
89-94
89
94
-5
79avg 84
H23/12
NBL
Shumen
#11
W
107-89
107
89
+18
110avg 84
A28/12
NBL
Beroe
#8
W
117-88
117
88
+29
124avg 84
H04/01
NBL
Botev 2012
#6
W
105-87
105
87
+18
no box
H17/01
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
72-84
72
84
-12
60avg 84
H25/01
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#9
L
86-90
86
90
-4
no box
A02/02
NBL
Levski
#10
W
115-80
115
80
+35
114avg 84
H07/02
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#5
W
84-79
84
79
+5
76avg 84
A15/02
NBL
Minyor
#7
L
103-109
103
109
-6
98avg 84
A04/03
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-32
22-25
23-17
21-33
24-18
22-27
19-26
24-23
33-18
18-24
35-23
21-24
34-21
29-26
38-21
16-20
19-27
31-18
23-21
32-21
14-19
20-24
19-26
19-15
24-14
27-25
17-30
18-21
33-21
25-18
33-26
24-15
15-19
30-18
23-15
16-27
23-27
28-39
21-21
31-22
187.6Avg total
96.9Scored
90.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)91.084.2175.2+6.860%
Season at home (10)94.881.8176.6+13.070%
Season away (10)87.386.6173.9+0.750%
Last 10 (10)96.990.7187.6+6.250%
Last 5 (5)92.088.4180.4+3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)79.883.8163.5-4.025%
vs Similar ◀ (2)84.096.5180.5-12.50%
vs Weaker (14)95.382.6177.9+12.779%
This opponent (Cherno More) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +5.0+5.0Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: +4.1+4.1Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: +6.0+6.0Q4: +0.1+0.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +5.0+5.0Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: +4.1+4.1Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: +6.0+6.0Q4: +0.1+0.1
Cherno MoreLok. Plovdiv
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Cherno MoreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lok. Plovdiv
#4
W
57-47
57
47
+10
H20/12
NBL
Botev 2012
#6
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A23/12
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H29/12
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#9
W
50-34
50
34
+16
A03/01
NBL
Levski
#10
W
61-46
61
46
+15
H10/01
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#5
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A16/01
NBL
Balkan
#1
W
51-34
51
34
+17
H26/01
NBL
Minyor
#7
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A01/02
NBL
Beroe
#8
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A08/02
NBL
Shumen
#11
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A04/03
NBL
85.7Avg total
47.4Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.140.184.2+3.960%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.641.486.1+3.257%-
Last 30 away (16)43.639.082.6+4.662%-
Last 10 (10)47.438.385.7+9.190%-
Last 5 (5)44.037.281.2+6.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)40.242.382.5-2.250%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)43.541.685.1+1.950%-
vs Weaker (15)46.138.784.7+7.467%-
This opponent (Lok. Plovdiv) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lok. PlovdivLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cherno More
#3
L
47-57
47
57
-10
A20/12
NBL
Balkan
#1
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H23/12
NBL
Shumen
#11
W
51-42
51
42
+9
A28/12
NBL
Beroe
#8
W
63-47
63
47
+16
H04/01
NBL
Botev 2012
#6
W
50-45
50
45
+5
H17/01
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H25/01
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#9
W
51-39
51
39
+12
A02/02
NBL
Levski
#10
W
58-39
58
39
+19
H07/02
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#5
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A15/02
NBL
Minyor
#7
L
51-66
51
66
-15
A04/03
NBL
95.6Avg total
49.6Scored
46.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (20)45.243.388.5+1.960%-
Last 30 at home (10)47.141.788.8+5.470%-
Last 30 away (10)43.344.988.2-1.650%-
Last 10 (10)49.646.095.6+3.670%-
Last 5 (5)47.844.892.6+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)39.044.283.2-5.250%-
vs Similar ◀ (2)43.047.590.5-4.550%-
vs Weaker (14)47.342.489.7+4.964%-
This opponent (Cherno More) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cherno Moretheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cherno More: 95.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
50%
29%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.422.5
60.2%
54.5%45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.811.0
36.9%
32.5%33.0
🏀 Free throws22.817.3
75.9%
71.3%17.3
They take 67.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lok. Plovdivtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lok. Plovdiv: 94.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.3 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
50%
29%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.120.1
52.8%
54.5%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.310.9
37.2%
32.5%32.7
🏀 Free throws28.021.3
76.1%
71.3%21.3
They take 67.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cherno More
WWWWLWLWWW
Lok. Plovdiv
LWWLLWWWLL
#3
League position
#4
+21.0
Net rating
+10.4
116.2
Offensive rating
114.1
95.2
Defensive rating
103.7
58.0%
Effective FG%
54.1%
49.5%
Opp. effective FG%
50.8%
15.4%
Turnover %
11.6%
33.2%
Off. rebound %
27.2%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.42
36.9%
3-point %
37.2%
64.5%
Assist %
68.7%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence116.2 · 114.1Defence95.2 · 103.7Shooting58.0% · 54.1%3-point %36.9% · 37.2%Ball care15.4% · 11.6%Off. rebounds33.2% · 27.2%Free throws0.34 · 0.42Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ Cherno More   ■ Lok. Plovdiv
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Cherno More wins
0
Lok. Plovdiv wins
DateGameScore
20/12/25Cherno More v Lok. Plovdiv107-91
06/10/25Lok. Plovdiv v Cherno More77-86
Cherno Morelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/03/26AShumen92-86
08/02/26ABeroe86-84
01/02/26AMinyor91-72
26/01/26HBalkan93-66
16/01/26ASpartak Pleven78-83
10/01/26HLevski109-77
03/01/26AAcademic Plovdiv94-95
29/12/25HRilski Sportist77-73
23/12/25ABotev 201296-76
20/12/25HLok. Plovdiv107-91
Lok. Plovdivlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/03/26AMinyor103-109
15/02/26ASpartak Pleven84-79
07/02/26HLevski115-80
02/02/26AAcademic Plovdiv86-90
25/01/26HRilski Sportist72-84
17/01/26HBotev 2012105-87
04/01/26HBeroe117-88
28/12/25AShumen107-89
23/12/25HBalkan89-94
20/12/25ACherno More91-107

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cherno More
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW75%
HomeWWWWW90%
AwayLLWWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %75%90%60%
Points / game90.893.787.8
Allowed / game81.279.583.0
Point differential+9.5+14.2+4.8
Avg total172.0173.2170.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%60%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)100% (1)25% (4)
Overtime %5%10%0%
Lok. Plovdiv
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL60%
HomeLWWLW70%
AwayLWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %60%70%50%
Points / game91.094.887.3
Allowed / game84.281.886.6
Point differential+6.8+13.0+0.7
Avg total175.2176.6173.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%60%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)50% (2)60% (5)
Overtime %5%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Balkan2017385%93.075.8+17.2
2 Rilski Sportist2016480%90.578.3+12.2
3 Cherno More2015575%90.881.2+9.5
4 Lok. Plovdiv2012860%91.084.2+6.8
5 Botev 201220101050%79.382.3-3.0
6 Spartak Pleven2091145%79.883.2-3.4
7 Minyor2091145%84.489.8-5.5
8 Academic Plovdiv2081240%81.685.3-3.7
9 Beroe2081240%83.087.5-4.6
10 Shumen2031715%79.291.2-12.0
11 Levski2031715%75.789.3-13.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cherno More1918222079
Lok. Plovdiv1727131976
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