PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Lokomotiv Kuban vs Alba Berlin Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 31 Oct 2018
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 75-83
17-25 22-24 19-18 17-16
Position#3
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game85.5
Allowed / game72.5
vs
Position#4
Record3-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game91.0
Allowed / game81.8
EuropeEurocupRound 5
European cup2018
Meetings · Lokomotiv Kuban v Alba Berlin
31 Oct 2018
LKU75
ABE83
18 Oct 2017
LKU75
ABE59
28 Feb 2012
LKU73
ABE70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lokomotiv Kuban winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alba Berlin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Lokomotiv KubanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Khimki M.
#5
L
72-77
72
77
-5
A26/05
VTB United League
Khimki M.
#5
L
73-86
73
86
-13
A28/05
VTB United League
Gdynia
#23
W
80-73
80
73
+7
A02/10
Eurocup
Zenit Petersburg
#4
W
96-64
96
64
+32
H05/10
VTB United League
Limoges
#17
W
82-64
82
64
+18
H10/10
Eurocup
Unics Kazan
#2
L
75-79
75
79
-4
A14/10
VTB United League
Tofas
#12
W
95-72
95
72
+23
H17/10
Eurocup
VEF Riga
#10
W
92-63
92
63
+29
H20/10
VTB United League
Cedevita
#18
W
85-81
85
81
+4
A24/10
Eurocup
Nizhny Novgorod
#8
W
88-75
88
75
+13
A27/10
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-15
16-19
16-21
17-22
23-25
21-14
14-24
15-23
17-12
14-20
26-16
23-25
29-17
23-19
26-14
18-14
28-18
18-13
18-18
18-15
18-15
18-19
20-24
19-21
22-18
20-20
26-14
27-20
30-17
22-10
17-16
23-20
29-20
22-17
9-26
25-18
26-25
23-16
20-16
19-18
157.2Avg total
83.8Scored
73.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)85.572.5158.0+13.0100%
Season at home (2)88.568.0156.5+20.5100%
Season away (2)82.577.0159.5+5.5100%
Last 10 (10)83.873.4157.2+10.470%
Last 5 (5)87.074.0161.0+13.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)75.078.5153.5-3.50%
vs Similar ◀ (2)80.578.5159.0+2.050%
vs Weaker (26)82.172.8154.9+9.269%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#1
L
85-106
85
106
-21
A16/06
BBL
Jena
#18
W
112-55
112
55
+57
H29/09
BBL
Tofas
#12
W
107-91
107
91
+16
H02/10
Eurocup
Bayreuth
#15
W
88-68
88
68
+20
H07/10
German Cup
Cedevita
#18
L
73-75
73
75
-2
A10/10
Eurocup
Crailsheim Merlins
#16
W
115-76
115
76
+39
H12/10
BBL
Limoges
#17
W
102-93
102
93
+9
A17/10
Eurocup
Ulm
#6
W
92-74
92
74
+18
A20/10
BBL
Gdynia
#23
W
82-68
82
68
+14
H23/10
Eurocup
Ludwigsburg
#10
W
86-80
86
80
+6
H26/10
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-32
20-26
22-28
24-20
22-16
30-15
33-9
27-15
30-19
25-35
19-21
33-16
19-19
31-15
14-17
24-17
21-22
15-16
14-18
23-19
33-15
20-16
27-22
35-23
26-20
30-19
25-30
21-24
24-17
20-20
24-15
24-22
23-16
17-19
14-18
28-15
18-31
25-12
20-17
23-20
172.8Avg total
94.2Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)91.081.8172.8+9.275%
Season at home (2)94.579.5174.0+15.0100%
Season away (2)87.584.0171.5+3.550%
Last 10 (10)94.278.6172.8+15.680%
Last 5 (5)95.478.2173.6+17.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (9)87.485.8173.2+1.767%
vs Weaker (20)95.279.0174.2+16.380%
This opponent (Lokomotiv Kuban) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +6.3+6.3Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +7.1+7.1
Lokomotiv KubanAlba Berlin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Lokomotiv KubanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Khimki M.
#5
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A26/05
VTB United League
Khimki M.
#5
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A28/05
VTB United League
Gdynia
#23
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A02/10
Eurocup
Zenit Petersburg
#4
W
52-36
52
36
+16
H05/10
VTB United League
Limoges
#17
W
46-31
46
31
+15
H10/10
Eurocup
Unics Kazan
#2
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A14/10
VTB United League
Tofas
#12
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H17/10
Eurocup
VEF Riga
#10
W
52-27
52
27
+25
H20/10
VTB United League
Cedevita
#18
W
51-37
51
37
+14
A24/10
Eurocup
Nizhny Novgorod
#8
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A27/10
VTB United League
79.1Avg total
44.2Scored
34.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.935.177.0+6.877%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.633.977.4+9.786%-
Last 30 away (16)40.436.276.7+4.269%-
Last 10 (10)44.234.979.1+9.390%-
Last 5 (5)46.035.481.4+10.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)38.535.073.5+3.5100%-
vs Similar ◀ (2)44.042.086.0+2.050%-
vs Weaker (26)42.034.676.6+7.477%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#1
L
39-58
39
58
-19
A16/06
BBL
Jena
#18
W
52-31
52
31
+21
H29/09
BBL
Tofas
#12
W
55-54
55
54
+1
H02/10
Eurocup
Bayreuth
#15
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H07/10
German Cup
Cedevita
#18
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A10/10
Eurocup
Crailsheim Merlins
#16
W
53-31
53
31
+22
H12/10
BBL
Limoges
#17
W
56-39
56
39
+17
A17/10
Eurocup
Ulm
#6
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A20/10
BBL
Gdynia
#23
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H23/10
Eurocup
Ludwigsburg
#10
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H26/10
BBL
86.8Avg total
46.8Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.841.086.8+4.867%-
Last 30 at home (17)48.040.288.2+7.871%-
Last 30 away (13)42.942.084.9+0.962%-
Last 10 (10)46.840.086.8+6.870%-
Last 5 (5)47.237.084.2+10.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (9)40.743.484.1-2.844%-
vs Weaker (20)47.940.288.1+7.775%-
This opponent (Lokomotiv Kuban) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lokomotiv Kubantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lokomotiv Kuban: 84.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.422.4
58.3%
51.9%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.08.4
44.2%
36.6%25.2
🏀 Free throws17.814.2
79.8%
74.9%14.2
They take 57.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 90.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.5 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.8 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.819.2
49.7%
51.9%38.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.212.2
46.7%
36.6%36.8
🏀 Free throws18.814.8
78.7%
74.9%14.8
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 5/4 games with a box score before 31 Oct 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lokomotiv Kuban
WWWWLWWWLL
Alba Berlin
WWWWWLWWWL
#3
League position
#4
+19.4
Net rating
+11.2
112.1
Offensive rating
115.1
92.7
Defensive rating
103.9
61.0%
Effective FG%
57.9%
45.3%
Opp. effective FG%
56.8%
22.8%
Turnover %
17.3%
30.6%
Off. rebound %
28.7%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.29
44.2%
3-point %
46.7%
63.0%
Assist %
77.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence112.1 · 115.1Defence92.7 · 103.9Shooting61.0% · 57.9%3-point %44.2% · 46.7%Ball care22.8% · 17.3%Off. rebounds30.6% · 28.7%Free throws0.31 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)70% · 80%
■ Lokomotiv Kuban   ■ Alba Berlin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Lokomotiv Kuban wins
0
Alba Berlin wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/10/18ANizhny Novgorod88-75
24/10/18ACedevita85-81
20/10/18HVEF Riga92-63
17/10/18HTofas95-72
14/10/18AUnics Kazan75-79
10/10/18HLimoges82-64
05/10/18HZenit Petersburg96-64
02/10/18AGdynia80-73
28/05/18AKhimki M.73-86
26/05/18AKhimki M.72-77
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/10/18HLudwigsburg86-80
23/10/18HGdynia82-68
20/10/18AUlm92-74
17/10/18ALimoges102-93
12/10/18HCrailsheim Merlins115-76
10/10/18ACedevita73-75
07/10/18HBayreuth88-68
02/10/18HTofas107-91
29/09/18HJena112-55
16/06/18ABayern85-106

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lokomotiv Kuban
Eurocup 2018
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game85.588.582.5
Allowed / game72.568.077.0
Point differential+13.0+20.5+5.5
Avg total158.0156.5159.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Alba Berlin
Eurocup 2018
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWW75%
HomeWW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game91.094.587.5
Allowed / game81.879.584.0
Point differential+9.2+15.0+3.5
Avg total172.8174.0171.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Lokomotiv Kuban440100%85.572.5+13.0
2 Crvena zvezda54180%77.468.2+9.2
3 Lyon-Villeurbanne54180%79.870.8+9.0
4 Valencia54180%83.074.0+9.0
5 Unics Kazan43175%88.876.8+12.0
6 Alba Berlin43175%91.081.8+9.2
7 Unicaja43175%85.277.2+8.0
8 Monaco43175%76.071.0+5.0
9 Frankfurt43175%80.078.0+2.0
10 Zenit Petersburg53260%87.682.2+5.4
11 MoraBanc Andorra42250%91.288.8+2.5
12 Cedevita42250%75.575.2+0.2
13 Limoges42250%82.083.2-1.2
14 Rytas42250%75.076.8-1.8
15 Ulm52340%83.888.0-4.2
16 Galatasaray52340%80.485.0-4.6
17 Partizan41325%77.883.0-5.2
18 Tofas41325%85.092.5-7.5
19 Turk Telekom41325%72.881.0-8.2
20 Mornar Bar41325%79.592.8-13.2
21 Brescia51420%77.283.6-6.4
22 Trento51420%69.281.8-12.6
23 Torino4040%80.587.5-7.0
24 Gdynia4040%70.284.0-13.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lokomotiv Kuban1722191775
Alba Berlin2524181683
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.