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Long Beach State vs CSU Bakersfield Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 17 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 02:00
Scheduled
Position#287
Record1-2
FormLWLLW
Points / game65.0
Allowed / game69.3
vs
Position#56
Record3-0
FormLLWWW
Points / game91.7
Allowed / game72.3
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Long Beach State v CSU Bakersfield
16 Jan 2027
LONG v CSU
upcoming
10 Jan 2026
LONG81
CSU 75
27 Feb 2025
LONG87
CSU 88
22 Feb 2024
LONG79
CSU 66
02 Mar 2023
LONG77
CSU 61
10 Mar 2022
LONG72
CSU 61
03 Feb 2022
LONG74
CSU 65
02 Jan 2021
LONG76
CSU 89
01 Jan 2021
LONG90
CSU 89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Long Beach State win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
CSU Bakersfield win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Long Beach StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UC Davis
#139
L
54-71
54
71
-17
A14/02
NCAA
UC Irvine
#60
L
58-69
58
69
-11
H20/02
NCAA
CS Northridge
#132
L
76-78
76
78
-2
H22/02
NCAA
Cal Poly
#266
L
92-102
92
102
-10
A27/02
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#356
W
88-87
88
87
+1
A01/03
NCAA
UC Davis
#139
L
70-76 OT
70
76
-6
H06/03
NCAA
Hawaii
#44
W
84-75
84
75
+9
A08/03
NCAA
Utah Utes
#71
L
63-66
63
66
-3
A03/11
NCAA
Montana State
#286
L
70-83
70
83
-13
A07/11
NCAA
Pacific
#149
W
62-59
62
59
+3
H12/11
NCAA
1H
2H
27-41
27-30
20-24
38-45
38-46
38-32
40-48
52-54
44-43
44-44
34-31
28-31
44-34
40-41
40-28
23-38
32-41
38-42
33-34
29-25
148.3Avg total
71.7Scored
76.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)65.069.3134.3-4.333%
Season at home (1)62.059.0121.0+3.0100%
Season away (2)66.574.5141.0-8.00%
Last 10 (10)71.776.6148.3-4.930%
Last 5 (5)69.871.8141.6-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)70.676.6147.2-5.917%
vs Similar (8)77.181.1158.2-4.038%
vs Weaker (4)90.876.5167.2+14.2100%
This opponent (CSU Bakersfield) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSU BakersfieldUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hawaii
#44
L
74-89
74
89
-15
H13/02
NCAA
UC Riverside
#334
L
65-93
65
93
-28
A20/02
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#187
L
80-88
80
88
-8
H22/02
NCAA
UC San Diego
#64
L
72-84
72
84
-12
A27/02
NCAA
Long Beach State
#328
L
87-88
87
88
-1
H01/03
NCAA
CS Northridge
#132
L
84-86
84
86
-2
H06/03
NCAA
Cal Poly
#266
L
76-108
76
108
-32
A08/03
NCAA
Stanton
#451
W
93-54
93
54
+39
H06/11
NCAA
North Dakota St
#264
W
91-80
91
80
+11
H08/11
NCAA
Western Illinois
#303
W
91-83
91
83
+8
A13/11
NCAA
1H
2H
32-43
42-46
23-43
42-50
42-41
38-47
27-43
45-41
43-44
44-44
34-36
50-50
41-62
35-46
36-22
57-32
38-32
53-48
32-38
59-45
166.6Avg total
81.3Scored
85.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)91.772.3164.0+19.3100%
Season at home (2)92.067.0159.0+25.0100%
Season away (1)91.083.0174.0+8.0100%
Last 10 (10)81.385.3166.6-4.030%
Last 5 (5)87.082.2169.2+4.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)72.485.1157.5-12.717%
vs Similar (1)62.070.0132.0-8.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)91.274.8166.0+16.5100%
This opponent (Long Beach State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: -1.8-1.81st half: -5.6-5.62nd half2nd half: -2.5-2.52nd half: +1.6+1.6
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: -1.8-1.81st half: -5.6-5.62nd half2nd half: -2.5-2.52nd half: +1.6+1.6
Long Beach StateCSU Bakersfield
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Long Beach StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UC Davis
#139
L
27-41
27
41
-14
A14/02
NCAA
UC Irvine
#60
L
20-24
20
24
-4
H20/02
NCAA
CS Northridge
#132
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H22/02
NCAA
Cal Poly
#266
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A27/02
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#356
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A01/03
NCAA
UC Davis
#139
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H06/03
NCAA
Hawaii
#44
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A08/03
NCAA
Utah Utes
#71
W
40-28
40
28
+12
A03/11
NCAA
Montana State
#286
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A07/11
NCAA
Pacific
#149
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H12/11
NCAA
72.2Avg total
35.2Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.237.172.3-1.937%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.535.471.9+1.147%-
Last 30 away (15)33.938.872.7-4.927%-
Last 10 (10)35.237.072.2-1.840%-
Last 5 (5)36.633.670.2+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)32.536.869.3-4.328%-
vs Similar (8)36.937.073.9-0.138%-
vs Weaker (4)44.238.582.8+5.875%-
This opponent (CSU Bakersfield) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSU BakersfieldLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hawaii
#44
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H13/02
NCAA
UC Riverside
#334
L
23-43
23
43
-20
A20/02
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#187
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H22/02
NCAA
UC San Diego
#64
L
27-43
27
43
-16
A27/02
NCAA
Long Beach State
#328
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H01/03
NCAA
CS Northridge
#132
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H06/03
NCAA
Cal Poly
#266
L
41-62
41
62
-21
A08/03
NCAA
Stanton
#451
W
36-22
36
22
+14
H06/11
NCAA
North Dakota St
#264
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H08/11
NCAA
Western Illinois
#303
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A13/11
NCAA
75.2Avg total
34.8Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.239.372.5-6.123%-
Last 30 at home (17)34.635.970.5-1.235%-
Last 30 away (13)31.343.875.2-12.58%-
Last 10 (10)34.840.475.2-5.630%-
Last 5 (5)36.238.074.2-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)32.341.774.0-9.412%-
vs Similar (1)26.033.059.0-7.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)39.531.070.5+8.575%-
This opponent (Long Beach State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26HPacific62-59
07/11/26AMontana State70-83
03/11/26AUtah Utes63-66
08/03/26AHawaii84-75
06/03/26HUC Davis70-76 OT
01/03/26ACSU Bakersfield88-87
27/02/26ACal Poly92-102
22/02/26HCS Northridge76-78
20/02/26HUC Irvine58-69
14/02/26AUC Davis54-71
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26AWestern Illinois91-83
08/11/26HNorth Dakota St91-80
06/11/26HStanton93-54
08/03/26ACal Poly76-108
06/03/26HCS Northridge84-86
01/03/26HLong Beach State87-88
27/02/26AUC San Diego72-84
22/02/26HCS Fullerton80-88
20/02/26AUC Riverside65-93
13/02/26HHawaii74-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Long Beach State
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLW33%
HomeW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%100%0%
Points / game65.062.066.5
Allowed / game69.359.074.5
Point differential-4.3+3.0-8.0
Avg total134.3121.0141.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
CSU Bakersfield
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game91.792.091.0
Allowed / game72.367.083.0
Point differential+19.3+25.0+8.0
Avg total164.0159.0174.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UC Irvine330100%91.061.7+29.3
2 UC Santa Barbara330100%83.761.7+22.0
3 CSU Bakersfield330100%91.772.3+19.3
4 Hawaii43175%81.863.0+18.8
5 UC Riverside43175%83.567.8+15.8
6 UC Davis43175%74.064.0+10.0
7 CS Fullerton32167%88.786.0+2.7
8 UC San Diego32167%87.786.7+1.0
9 Cal Poly42250%79.084.8-5.8
10 CS Northridge31233%84.381.0+3.3
11 Long Beach State31233%65.069.3-4.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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