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Long Beach State vs CSU Bakersfield Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 11 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 81-75
42-36 39-39
Position#328
Record5-11
FormWLWWL
Points / game74.2
Allowed / game77.2
vs
Position#356
Record8-9
FormWWLWW
Points / game73.2
Allowed / game77.2
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Long Beach State v CSU Bakersfield
16 Jan 2027
LONG v CSU
upcoming
10 Jan 2026
LONG81
CSU 75
27 Feb 2025
LONG87
CSU 88
22 Feb 2024
LONG79
CSU 66
02 Mar 2023
LONG77
CSU 61
10 Mar 2022
LONG72
CSU 61
03 Feb 2022
LONG74
CSU 65
02 Jan 2021
LONG76
CSU 89
01 Jan 2021
LONG90
CSU 89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Long Beach State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
CSU Bakersfield winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Long Beach StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland
#253
L
73-93
73
93
-20
A27/11
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#301
W
76-72
76
72
+4
H30/11
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#146
L
77-84 OT
77
84
-7
A05/12
NCAA
UC San Diego
#64
L
74-80
74
80
-6
H07/12
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
L
83-89 OT
83
89
-6
A10/12
NCAA
Pepperdine
#347
W
81-78
81
78
+3
H19/12
NCAA
Iowa State
#34
L
60-91
60
91
-31
A21/12
NCAA
Lincoln University (CA)
#658
W
113-66
113
66
+47
H31/12
NCAA
Cal Poly
#266
W
74-66
74
66
+8
H04/01
NCAA
UC Irvine
#60
L
64-74
64
74
-10
A09/01
NCAA
1H
2H
35-42
38-51
34-38
42-34
30-31
37-36
30-34
44-46
39-39
38-38
36-37
45-41
20-57
40-34
55-38
58-28
38-26
36-40
30-34
34-40
156.8Avg total
77.5Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)74.277.2151.4-3.031%
Season at home (8)82.172.0154.1+10.162%
Season away (8)66.282.4148.6-16.10%
Last 10 (10)77.579.3156.8-1.840%
Last 5 (5)78.475.0153.4+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)67.577.9145.4-10.40%
vs Similar (5)73.680.4154.0-6.840%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)87.070.2157.2+16.875%
This opponent (CSU Bakersfield) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSU BakersfieldUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fresno State
#275
W
76-71
76
71
+5
A30/11
NCAA
CS Northridge
#132
L
66-87
66
87
-21
A05/12
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#146
L
84-109
84
109
-25
A07/12
NCAA
North Dakota St
#30
L
69-80
69
80
-11
H12/12
NCAA
Pepperdine
#347
L
62-70
62
70
-8
H14/12
NCAA
Nobel Knights
#532
W
97-66
97
66
+31
H19/12
NCAA
Idaho
#136
W
64-63
64
63
+1
H23/12
NCAA
UC Irvine
#60
L
77-81
77
81
-4
H01/01
NCAA
UC Davis
#139
W
81-79
81
79
+2
A03/01
NCAA
UC Riverside
#334
W
67-66
67
66
+1
H09/01
NCAA
1H
2H
34-40
42-31
32-44
34-43
36-51
48-58
30-40
39-40
26-33
36-37
49-32
48-34
26-23
38-40
34-39
43-42
40-39
41-40
31-35
36-31
151.5Avg total
74.3Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)73.277.2150.4-3.947%
Season at home (9)75.468.3143.8+7.167%
Season away (8)70.887.1157.9-16.425%
Last 10 (10)74.377.2151.5-2.950%
Last 5 (5)77.271.0148.2+6.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)68.580.8149.2-12.324%
vs Similar (8)72.474.8147.1-2.438%
vs Weaker (5)89.067.6156.6+21.4100%
This opponent (Long Beach State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: -2.9-2.91st half: -3.8-3.82nd half2nd half: +2.4+2.42nd half: +0.9+0.9
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: -2.9-2.91st half: -3.8-3.82nd half2nd half: +2.4+2.42nd half: +0.9+0.9
Long Beach StateCSU Bakersfield
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Long Beach StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland
#253
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A27/11
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#301
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H30/11
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#146
L
30-31
30
31
-1
A05/12
NCAA
UC San Diego
#64
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H07/12
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A10/12
NCAA
Pepperdine
#347
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H19/12
NCAA
Iowa State
#34
L
20-57
20
57
-37
A21/12
NCAA
Lincoln University (CA)
#658
W
55-38
55
38
+17
H31/12
NCAA
Cal Poly
#266
W
38-26
38
26
+12
H04/01
NCAA
UC Irvine
#60
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A09/01
NCAA
72.3Avg total
34.7Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.436.667.9-5.220%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.935.670.5-0.733%-
Last 30 away (15)27.937.565.4-9.77%-
Last 10 (10)34.737.672.3-2.920%-
Last 5 (5)35.838.474.2-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)29.737.467.1-7.714%-
vs Similar (5)33.234.667.8-1.420%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)37.834.872.5+3.050%-
This opponent (CSU Bakersfield) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSU BakersfieldLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fresno State
#275
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A30/11
NCAA
CS Northridge
#132
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A05/12
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#146
L
36-51
36
51
-15
A07/12
NCAA
North Dakota St
#30
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H12/12
NCAA
Pepperdine
#347
L
26-33
26
33
-7
H14/12
NCAA
Nobel Knights
#532
W
49-32
49
32
+17
H19/12
NCAA
Idaho
#136
W
26-23
26
23
+3
H23/12
NCAA
UC Irvine
#60
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H01/01
NCAA
UC Davis
#139
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A03/01
NCAA
UC Riverside
#334
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H09/01
NCAA
71.4Avg total
33.8Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.036.070.0-1.940%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.633.469.0+2.250%-
Last 30 away (14)32.238.971.1-6.729%-
Last 10 (10)33.837.671.4-3.830%-
Last 5 (5)36.033.669.6+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)29.937.767.6-7.818%-
vs Similar (8)36.237.273.5-1.050%-
vs Weaker (5)44.428.072.4+16.4100%-
This opponent (Long Beach State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
09/01/26AUC Irvine64-74
04/01/26HCal Poly74-66
31/12/25HLincoln University (CA)113-66
21/12/25AIowa State60-91
19/12/25HPepperdine81-78
10/12/25ASan Jose State83-89 OT
07/12/25HUC San Diego74-80
05/12/25AUC Santa Barbara77-84 OT
30/11/25HSan Diego Toreros76-72
27/11/25APortland73-93
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/01/26HUC Riverside67-66
03/01/26AUC Davis81-79
01/01/26HUC Irvine77-81
23/12/25HIdaho64-63
19/12/25HNobel Knights97-66
14/12/25HPepperdine62-70
12/12/25HNorth Dakota St69-80
07/12/25AUC Santa Barbara84-109
05/12/25ACS Northridge66-87
30/11/25AFresno State76-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Long Beach State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL31%
HomeWLWWW62%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %31%62%0%
Points / game74.282.166.2
Allowed / game77.272.082.4
Point differential-3.0+10.1-16.1
Avg total151.4154.1148.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %12%0%25%
CSU Bakersfield
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW47%
HomeLWWLW67%
AwayLWLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %47%67%25%
Points / game73.275.470.8
Allowed / game77.268.387.1
Point differential-3.9+7.1-16.4
Avg total150.4143.8157.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%44%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)67% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hawaii1411379%80.463.2+17.2
2 UC San Diego1612475%80.971.6+9.4
3 UC Irvine1712571%78.666.8+11.9
4 CS Northridge1710759%81.078.9+2.1
5 UC Santa Barbara169756%79.274.5+4.7
6 UC Davis169756%81.076.4+4.6
7 CSU Bakersfield178947%73.277.2-3.9
8 CS Fullerton1771041%86.885.9+0.8
9 Cal Poly1871139%81.485.3-3.9
10 UC Riverside1661038%71.978.1-6.2
11 Long Beach State1651131%74.277.2-3.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Long Beach State423981
CSU Bakersfield363975
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