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Longwood vs Morgan State Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 19 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 20:00
Scheduled
Position#174
Record3-2
FormWLWWL
Points / game90.2
Allowed / game69.8
vs
Position#83
Record4-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game64.6
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Longwood v Morgan State
19 Dec 2026
LONG v MORG
upcoming
09 Nov 2024
LONG84
MORG66
11 Dec 2021
LONG93
MORG55
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Longwood win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Morgan State win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LongwoodUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
USC Upstate
#274
W
82-75 OT
82
75
+7
H14/02
NCAA
Presbyterian
#263
L
65-72
65
72
-7
A20/02
NCAA
Charleston Southern
#229
W
107-96 OT
107
96
+11
A21/02
NCAA
Radford
#176
W
90-74
90
74
+16
H28/02
NCAA
UNC Asheville
#237
L
82-85 OT
82
85
-3
A06/03
NCAA
Pfeiffer Falcons
#505
W
123-67
123
67
+56
H03/11
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#78
L
73-82
73
82
-9
A05/11
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#357
W
80-75 OT
80
75
+5
H07/11
NCAA
St. Mary's (MD)
#507
W
101-45
101
45
+56
H11/11
NCAA
Old Dominion
#59
L
74-80
74
80
-6
A14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
31-28
38-41
37-25
28-47
28-40
54-42
34-37
56-37
36-40
37-33
60-22
63-45
28-40
45-42
35-27
33-41
48-23
53-22
41-34
33-46
162.8Avg total
87.7Scored
75.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)90.269.8160.0+20.460%
Season at home (3)101.362.3163.7+39.0100%
Season away (2)73.581.0154.5-7.50%
Last 10 (10)87.775.1162.8+12.660%
Last 5 (5)90.269.8160.0+20.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)70.575.0145.5-4.525%
vs Similar (12)77.379.4156.8-2.133%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)80.368.2148.6+12.175%
This opponent (Morgan State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Morgan StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Carolina St
#336
W
90-83
90
83
+7
A25/02
NCAA
Howard
#55
L
59-84
59
84
-25
H28/02
NCAA
Norfolk State
#233
W
90-84
90
84
+6
H02/03
NCAA
Coppin State
#354
W
70-66
70
66
+4
H06/03
NCAA
Delaware State
#353
L
70-75 OT
70
75
-5
H11/03
NCAA
Cheyney Wolves
#433
W
103-52
103
52
+51
H03/11
NCAA
Virginia-Lynchburg
#498
W
95-58
95
58
+37
H05/11
NCAA
Niagara
#383
W
73-67
73
67
+6
A07/11
NCAA
UMBC Retrievers
#261
L
70-85
70
85
-15
A12/11
NCAA
Loyola Maryland
#335
W
63-61 OT
63
61
+2
A14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
42-40
48-43
22-30
37-54
45-29
45-55
34-32
36-34
15-27
45-33
50-25
53-27
47-26
48-32
42-34
31-33
39-42
31-43
30-35
27-22
149.8Avg total
78.3Scored
71.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)80.864.6145.4+16.280%
Season at home (2)99.055.0154.0+44.0100%
Season away (3)68.771.0139.7-2.367%
Last 10 (10)78.371.5149.8+6.870%
Last 5 (5)80.864.6145.4+16.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)69.585.1154.6-15.638%
vs Similar (7)64.779.6144.3-14.914%
vs Weaker (15)83.968.1152.0+15.787%
This opponent (Longwood) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.2+6.21st half: +4.6+4.62nd half2nd half: +4.4+4.42nd half: +2.5+2.5
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.2+6.21st half: +4.6+4.62nd half2nd half: +4.4+4.42nd half: +2.5+2.5
LongwoodMorgan State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
LongwoodLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
USC Upstate
#274
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H14/02
NCAA
Presbyterian
#263
W
37-25
37
25
+12
A20/02
NCAA
Charleston Southern
#229
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A21/02
NCAA
Radford
#176
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H28/02
NCAA
UNC Asheville
#237
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A06/03
NCAA
Pfeiffer Falcons
#505
W
60-22
60
22
+38
H03/11
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#78
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A05/11
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#357
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H07/11
NCAA
St. Mary's (MD)
#507
W
48-23
48
23
+25
H11/11
NCAA
Old Dominion
#59
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A14/11
NCAA
69.4Avg total
37.8Scored
31.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.031.868.8+5.253%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.127.166.1+12.073%-
Last 30 away (15)34.936.671.5-1.733%-
Last 10 (10)37.831.669.4+6.260%-
Last 5 (5)42.429.271.6+13.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)33.535.068.5-1.525%-
vs Similar (12)33.634.968.5-1.333%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)38.829.268.0+9.575%-
This opponent (Morgan State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Morgan StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Carolina St
#336
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A25/02
NCAA
Howard
#55
L
22-30
22
30
-8
H28/02
NCAA
Norfolk State
#233
W
45-29
45
29
+16
H02/03
NCAA
Coppin State
#354
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H06/03
NCAA
Delaware State
#353
L
15-27
15
27
-12
H11/03
NCAA
Cheyney Wolves
#433
W
50-25
50
25
+25
H03/11
NCAA
Virginia-Lynchburg
#498
W
47-26
47
26
+21
H05/11
NCAA
Niagara
#383
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A07/11
NCAA
UMBC Retrievers
#261
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A12/11
NCAA
Loyola Maryland
#335
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A14/11
NCAA
68.6Avg total
36.6Scored
32.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.136.371.4-1.343%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.731.769.3+6.060%-
Last 30 away (15)32.541.073.5-8.527%-
Last 10 (10)36.632.068.6+4.660%-
Last 5 (5)41.632.474.0+9.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)31.139.670.8-8.512%-
vs Similar (7)28.640.769.3-12.114%-
vs Weaker (15)40.232.572.7+7.773%-
This opponent (Longwood) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Longwood wins
1
Morgan State wins
DateGameScore
06/12/25Morgan State v Longwood80-84
09/11/24Longwood v Morgan State84-66
03/12/23Morgan State v Longwood54-88
11/12/21Longwood v Morgan State93-55
07/12/19Morgan State v Longwood73-65
Longwoodlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AOld Dominion74-80
11/11/26HSt. Mary's (MD)101-45
07/11/26HN. Carolina Central80-75 OT
05/11/26ASaint Josephs Hawks73-82
03/11/26HPfeiffer Falcons123-67
06/03/26AUNC Asheville82-85 OT
28/02/26HRadford90-74
21/02/26ACharleston Southern107-96 OT
20/02/26APresbyterian65-72
14/02/26HUSC Upstate82-75 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ALoyola Maryland63-61 OT
12/11/26AUMBC Retrievers70-85
07/11/26ANiagara73-67
05/11/26HVirginia-Lynchburg95-58
03/11/26HCheyney Wolves103-52
11/03/26HDelaware State70-75 OT
06/03/26HCoppin State70-66
02/03/26HNorfolk State90-84
28/02/26HHoward59-84
25/02/26ASouth Carolina St90-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Longwood
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL60%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %60%100%0%
Points / game90.2101.373.5
Allowed / game69.862.381.0
Point differential+20.4+39.0-7.5
Avg total160.0163.7154.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %20%33%0%
Morgan State
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW80%
HomeWW100%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %80%100%67%
Points / game80.899.068.7
Allowed / game64.655.071.0
Point differential+16.2+44.0-2.3
Avg total145.4154.0139.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %20%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big South conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 High Point440100%76.559.0+17.5
2 Longwood53260%90.269.8+20.4
3 Charleston Southern42250%78.274.2+4.0
4 UNC Asheville52340%80.080.4-0.4
5 Radford41325%70.273.2-3.0
6 Gardner Webb41325%61.582.2-20.8
7 USC Upstate51420%75.473.6+1.8
8 Winthrop4040%84.890.0-5.2
9 Presbyterian3030%71.790.7-19.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Mid-Eastern Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Morgan State54180%80.864.6+16.2
2 South Carolina St43175%78.272.8+5.5
3 Howard53260%72.070.6+1.4
4 Norfolk State42250%69.872.8-3.0
5 Delaware State41325%68.068.2-0.2
6 Coppin State51420%62.467.6-5.2
7 Md.-East. Shore51420%58.670.0-11.4
8 N. Carolina Central4040%63.574.2-10.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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