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UMBC Retrievers vs Morgan State Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 12 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 23:00
Projected 87-68
Projected total 155.0
Final 85-70
42-39 43-31
Position#258
Record1-2
FormWLLLW
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game77.0
UMBC Retrievers 🏆
USA
Vs
95%
■ UMBC 95%■ MORG 5%
Pythia win probability
Morgan State
USA
Position#84
Record3-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game90.3
Allowed / game59.0
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · UMBC Retrievers v Morgan State
12 Nov 2026
UMBC85
MORG70
27 Nov 2024
UMBC92
MORG69
10 Dec 2022
UMBC75
MORG63
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

On 12 November 2026 the UMBC Retrievers will host the Morgan State Bears in an NCAA contest, with the Pythia model designating UMBC as the clear favourite at 95% versus 5% for Morgan State, a reflection of the Retrievers' 1-2 season record, 75.0 points scored and 77.0 allowed per game, and a 275th league position, compared to Morgan State's undefeated 3-0 record, 90.3 points scored and 59.0 allowed per game, and a 24th league position; the home team's single home win, 91-61, and a recent 2-3 record over the last five games contrast with Morgan State's 4-1 record over five games and a 73-67 win on 7 November; the two sides have met four times, with UMBC winning three of those encounters, most recently 81-79 on 11 November 2025; Pythia projects a 87-68 scoreline for the game, a total of 155.0 points, and a 161.5 over line with a 34% chance of the total being exceeded, while the home team's -6.5 line is expected to be covered 87% of the time, and there is a 1% chance of overtime.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UMBC Retrievers winWon
95.0%fair 1.05
Best odds1.38
Implied69.7%
Edge+25.2pp
Morgan State winLost
5.0%fair 19.82
Best odds3.25
Implied30.3%
Edge-25.2pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 11 Nov 07:02 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UMBC RetrieversUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bryant University
#344
W
70-58
70
58
+12
H26/02
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#247
W
84-60
84
60
+24
A28/02
NCAA
NJIT
#220
W
91-52
91
52
+39
A03/03
NCAA
New Hampshire Wildcats
#340
W
84-69
84
69
+15
H07/03
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#247
W
91-69
91
69
+22
H10/03
NCAA
Vermont
#85
W
74-59
74
59
+15
H14/03
NCAA
Howard
#55
L
83-86
83
86
-3
A17/03
NCAA
George Mason
#68
L
54-82
54
82
-28
A02/11
NCAA
Marist
#307
L
80-88
80
88
-8
A06/11
NCAA
McDaniel
#417
W
91-61
91
61
+30
H09/11
NCAA
1H
2H
36-30
34-28
37-33
47-27
46-24
45-28
34-30
50-39
43-29
48-40
30-28
44-31
41-49
42-37
27-33
27-49
33-38
47-50
51-25
40-36
148.6Avg total
80.2Scored
68.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)75.077.0152.0-2.033%
Season at home (1)91.061.0152.0+30.0100%
Season away (2)67.085.0152.0-18.00%
Last 10 (10)80.268.4148.6+11.870%
Last 5 (5)76.475.2151.6+1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)54.082.0136.0-28.00%
vs Similar (3)77.389.3166.7-12.00%
vs Weaker (25)77.165.2142.3+11.980%
This opponent (Morgan State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Morgan StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
N. Carolina Central
#258
L
76-80
76
80
-4
A17/02
NCAA
Delaware State
#353
W
82-68
82
68
+14
H21/02
NCAA
South Carolina St
#336
W
90-83
90
83
+7
A25/02
NCAA
Howard
#55
L
59-84
59
84
-25
H28/02
NCAA
Norfolk State
#233
W
90-84
90
84
+6
H02/03
NCAA
Coppin State
#354
W
70-66
70
66
+4
H06/03
NCAA
Delaware State
#353
L
70-75 OT
70
75
-5
H11/03
NCAA
Cheyney Wolves
#432
W
103-52
103
52
+51
H03/11
NCAA
Virginia-Lynchburg
#496
W
95-58
95
58
+37
H05/11
NCAA
Niagara
#383
W
73-67
73
67
+6
A07/11
NCAA
1H
2H
30-51
46-29
34-33
48-35
42-40
48-43
22-30
37-54
45-29
45-55
34-32
36-34
15-27
45-33
50-25
53-27
47-26
48-32
42-34
31-33
152.5Avg total
80.8Scored
71.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)90.359.0149.3+31.3100%
Season at home (2)99.055.0154.0+44.0100%
Season away (1)73.067.0140.0+6.0100%
Last 10 (10)80.871.7152.5+9.170%
Last 5 (5)82.263.6145.8+18.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)69.885.2155.0-15.433%
vs Similar (8)65.879.5145.2-13.812%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)86.567.4153.9+19.292%
This opponent (UMBC Retrievers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 158Actual: Under 158
Over 158
42.3%
@ 1.52-19.0pp
Under 158
57.7%
@ 2.40+19.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.52
Under
Bet365
2.40
Over/Under 163 · main lineActual: Under 163
Over 163
30.4%
@ 1.95-19.3pp
Under 163
69.6%
@ 1.89+19.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.95
Marathon Be
1.92
Pinnacle
1.91
SBO
1.85
Under
Pinnacle
1.89
SBO
1.85
Bet365
1.80
Marathon Be
1.79
Over/Under 168Actual: Under 168
Over 168
20.4%
@ 2.60-15.4pp
Under 168
79.6%
@ 1.45+15.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.60
Under
Bet365
1.45

📊 3. Team Totals

UMBC Retrievers total 80Actual: UMBC Retrievers over 80
Over 80
77.3%
Under 80
22.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
UMBC Retrievers total 84 · main lineActual: UMBC Retrievers over 84
Over 84
62.9%
@ 1.85+12.7pp
Under 84
37.1%
@ 1.87-12.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.83
Under
Marathon Be
1.87
BetVictor
1.85
UMBC Retrievers total 88Actual: UMBC Retrievers under 88
Over 88
46.3%
Under 88
53.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Morgan State total 74Actual: Morgan State under 74
Over 74
26.0%
Under 74
74.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Morgan State total 78 · main lineActual: Morgan State under 78
Over 78
14.8%
@ 1.85-35.2pp
Under 78
85.2%
@ 1.85+35.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Under
Marathon Be
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Morgan State total 81.5Actual: Morgan State under 81.5
Over 81.5
no forecast
@ 2.50
Under 81.5
no forecast
@ 1.50
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.50
Betano
2.37
Under
1xBet
1.50
Betano
1.47

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread UMBC Retrievers -9.5Actual: UMBC Retrievers -9.5
UMBC -9.5
80.5%
@ 2.35+40.9pp
MORG +9.5
19.5%
@ 1.54-40.9pp
Best 5 market prices
UMBC
Bet365
2.35
Betano
2.32
MORG
Bet365
1.54
Betano
1.52
Spread UMBC Retrievers -6.5 · main lineActual: UMBC Retrievers -6.5
UMBC -6.5
86.9%
@ 1.97+38.1pp
MORG +6.5
13.1%
@ 1.88-38.1pp
Best 5 market prices
UMBC
Pinnacle
1.97
Bet365
1.95
Betano
1.91
Marathon Be
1.90
BetVictor
1.88
MORG
Pinnacle
1.88
Betano
1.87
Bet365
1.86
SBO
1.85
Marathon Be
1.83
Spread UMBC Retrievers -3.5Actual: UMBC Retrievers -3.5
UMBC -3.5
91.8%
@ 1.57+32.2pp
MORG +3.5
8.2%
@ 2.35-32.2pp
Best 5 market prices
UMBC
Betano
1.57
Bet365
1.54
MORG
Bet365
2.35
Betano
2.25

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +5.9+5.91st half: +3.4+3.42nd half2nd half: +5.9+5.92nd half: +6.2+6.2
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +5.9+5.91st half: +3.4+3.42nd half2nd half: +5.9+5.92nd half: +6.2+6.2
UMBC RetrieversMorgan State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UMBC RetrieversLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bryant University
#344
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H26/02
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#247
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A28/02
NCAA
NJIT
#220
W
46-24
46
24
+22
A03/03
NCAA
New Hampshire Wildcats
#340
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H07/03
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#247
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H10/03
NCAA
Vermont
#85
W
30-28
30
28
+2
H14/03
NCAA
Howard
#55
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A17/03
NCAA
George Mason
#68
L
27-33
27
33
-6
A02/11
NCAA
Marist
#307
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A06/11
NCAA
McDaniel
#417
W
51-25
51
25
+26
H09/11
NCAA
69.7Avg total
37.8Scored
31.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 75
Last 30 (30)36.031.367.3+4.760%17%
Last 30 at home (15)37.429.767.1+7.780%20%
Last 30 away (15)34.633.067.6+1.640%13%
Last 10 (10)37.831.969.7+5.970%20%
Last 5 (5)36.434.671.0+1.840%40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)27.033.060.0-6.00%0%
vs Similar (3)34.344.078.3-9.70%33%
vs Weaker (25)36.030.066.0+6.068%12%
This opponent (Morgan State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Morgan StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
N. Carolina Central
#258
L
30-51
30
51
-21
A17/02
NCAA
Delaware State
#353
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H21/02
NCAA
South Carolina St
#336
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A25/02
NCAA
Howard
#55
L
22-30
22
30
-8
H28/02
NCAA
Norfolk State
#233
W
45-29
45
29
+16
H02/03
NCAA
Coppin State
#354
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H06/03
NCAA
Delaware State
#353
L
15-27
15
27
-12
H11/03
NCAA
Cheyney Wolves
#432
W
50-25
50
25
+25
H03/11
NCAA
Virginia-Lynchburg
#496
W
47-26
47
26
+21
H05/11
NCAA
Niagara
#383
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A07/11
NCAA
68.8Avg total
36.1Scored
32.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 75
Last 30 (30)34.836.771.5-1.843%40%
Last 30 at home (16)37.732.570.2+5.256%31%
Last 30 away (14)31.641.473.0-9.929%50%
Last 10 (10)36.132.768.8+3.470%30%
Last 5 (5)37.628.866.4+8.880%20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)30.339.970.2-9.611%33%
vs Similar (8)29.841.271.0-11.512%38%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)41.131.672.7+9.585%46%
This opponent (UMBC Retrievers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: UMBC Retrievers win
UMBC win
no forecast
@ 1.48
MORG win
no forecast
@ 2.72
1st half Spread UMBC Retrievers -3 · main linePush
UMBC -3
no forecast
@ 1.90
MORG +3
no forecast
@ 1.96
1st half Over/Under 75 · main lineActual: Over 75
Over
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under
no forecast
@ 1.87
UMBC Retrievers 1st half total 40 · main lineActual: UMBC Retrievers over 40
Over
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under
no forecast
@ 1.87
Morgan State 1st half total 37 · main lineActual: Morgan State over 37
Over
no forecast
@ 1.87
Under
no forecast
@ 1.85
1st half: UMBC + total 76.5
UMBC & over
no forecast
@ 2.85
UMBC & under
no forecast
@ 3.00
1st half: Draw + total 76.5
Draw & over
no forecast
@ 23.00
Draw & under
no forecast
@ 26.00
1st half: MORG + total 76.5
MORG & over
no forecast
@ 4.90
MORG & under
no forecast
@ 5.25
1st half Over/Under 73.5Actual: Over 73.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.52
Under
no forecast
@ 2.50
1st half Over/Under 76.5Actual: Over 76.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.87
Under
no forecast
@ 2.08
1st half Spread UMBC Retrievers -4Actual: Morgan State +4
UMBC -4
no forecast
@ 2.10
MORG +4
no forecast
@ 1.81
1st half Spread UMBC Retrievers -2Actual: UMBC Retrievers -2
UMBC -2
no forecast
@ 1.75
MORG +2
no forecast
@ 2.10
1st half Over/Under 78Actual: Over 78
Over
no forecast
@ 1.97
Under
no forecast
@ 1.84
1st half Spread UMBC Retrievers -5Actual: Morgan State +5
UMBC -5
no forecast
@ 2.32
MORG +5
no forecast
@ 1.62
1st half Over/Under 71.5Actual: Over 71.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.42
Under
no forecast
@ 3.20
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: UMBC Retrievers (regulation)
UMBC
no forecast
@ 1.53
Draw
no forecast
@ 21.00
MORG
no forecast
@ 2.78

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
UMBC win + total 162.5
🔒 Pro
MORG win + total 162.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: UMBC leads at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: level at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: MORG leads at half
🔒 Pro
Winning margin: close (1-10 points)
🔒 Pro
Winning margin: clear (11-20 points)
🔒 Pro
🔒 8 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
UMBC Retrievers -1274.6%2.90
Bet365
2.90		----+42.7ppWon
UMBC Retrievers -884.7%2.19
Pinnacle
2.27
Bet365
2.10		---+42.6ppWon
UMBC Retrievers -1371.6%3.20
Bet365
3.20		----+42.5ppWon
UMBC Retrievers -8.582.8%2.23
Pinnacle
2.37
Betano
2.18
Bet365
2.15		--+42.5ppWon
UMBC Retrievers -1080.0%2.50
Bet365
2.50		----+42.5ppWon
UMBC Retrievers -1177.4%2.65
Bet365
2.65		----+42.3ppWon
UMBC Retrievers -12.572.5%3.00
Bet365
3.05
Betano
2.95		---+41.6ppWon
UMBC Retrievers -11.575.3%2.74
Bet365
2.75
Betano
2.72		---+41.5ppWon
UMBC Retrievers -10.578.0%2.52
Bet365
2.55
Betano
2.50		---+41.4ppWon
UMBC Retrievers -982.4%2.25
Bet365
2.25		----+41.3ppWon
UMBC Retrievers -9.580.5%2.33
Bet365
2.35
Betano
2.32		---+40.9ppWon
UMBC Retrievers -7.585.0%2.07
Pinnacle
2.17
Betano
2.05
Bet365
2.00		--+40.9ppWon
Morgan State under 73.571.6%2.96
1xBet
3.20
Betano
2.72		---+40.5ppWon
UMBC Retrievers -786.7%1.98
Pinnacle
2.07
Marathon Bet
1.96
SBO
1.96
Bet365
1.95		-+40.3ppWon
Morgan State under 75.577.9%2.38
1xBet
2.50
Betano
2.25		---+39.0ppWon
UMBC Retrievers -6.586.9%1.90
Pinnacle
1.97
Bet365
1.95
Betano
1.91
Marathon Bet
1.90
BetVictor
1.88		+38.1ppWon
Morgan State under 74.574.8%2.49
Bet365
2.50
1xBet
2.50
Betano
2.47		--+37.3ppWon
UMBC Retrievers -688.5%1.83
Pinnacle
1.87
Marathon Bet
1.84
SBO
1.81
Bet365
1.80		-+37.2ppWon
Morgan State under 7987.4%1.83
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Bet
1.82		---+37.0ppWon
Morgan State under 77.583.2%1.89
Pinnacle
1.98
Betano
1.95
Marathon Bet
1.86
WilliamHill
1.85
BetVictor
1.85		+35.6ppWon
Morgan State under 76.580.7%2.13
1xBet
2.25
Betano
2.07
Pinnacle
2.07		--+35.4ppWon
Morgan State under 7885.2%1.85
Marathon Bet
1.85
BetVictor
1.85		---+35.2ppWon
Morgan State under 78.585.5%1.85
Pinnacle
1.88
Bet365
1.86
WilliamHill
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Bet
1.84		+35.1ppWon
UMBC Retrievers -5.588.7%1.76
Betano
1.80
Pinnacle
1.79
Marathon Bet
1.77
SBO
1.75
BetVictor
1.75		+35.1ppWon
Morgan State under 80.589.5%1.58
Pinnacle
1.73
Betano
1.55
1xBet
1.53
Bet365
1.50		-+35.0ppWon
Morgan State under 79.587.6%1.81
BetVictor
1.88
WilliamHill
1.85
Marathon Bet
1.84
Bet365
1.83
Pinnacle
1.78		+34.6ppWon
UMBC Retrievers -590.2%1.73
SBO
1.78
Marathon Bet
1.74
Pinnacle
1.72
Bet365
1.66		-+34.5ppWon
UMBC Retrievers -491.7%1.60
Pinnacle
1.63
Bet365
1.57		---+33.3ppWon
UMBC Retrievers -4.590.4%1.66
Marathon Bet
1.68
Pinnacle
1.67
Betano
1.65
Bet365
1.62		-+33.0ppWon
UMBC Retrievers -3.591.8%1.56
Betano
1.57
Bet365
1.54		---+32.2ppWon
UMBC Retrievers -392.8%1.50
Bet365
1.50		----+30.3ppWon
UMBC Retrievers -2.592.9%1.47
Betano
1.47
Bet365
1.47		---+30.0ppWon
UMBC Retrievers (regulation)94.1%1.40
Betano
1.40
Marathon Bet
1.39		---+29.7ppWon
UMBC Retrievers -1.594.2%1.41
Betano
1.42
Bet365
1.40		---+28.5ppWon
UMBC Retrievers -294.1%1.41
Bet365
1.41		----+28.4ppWon
UMBC Retrievers -194.9%1.36
Bet365
1.36		----+26.1ppWon
UMBC Retrievers win95.0%1.36
Betano
1.38
Pinnacle
1.38
Marathon Bet
1.37
1xBet
1.37
WilliamHill
1.36		+25.2ppWon
UMBC Retrievers +1.595.5%1.29
Betano
1.30
Bet365
1.28		---+23.7ppWon
UMBC Retrievers +195.5%1.29
Bet365
1.29		----+23.6ppWon
Under 16777.7%1.64
Pinnacle
1.72
Marathon Bet
1.69
Bet365
1.50		--+22.5ppWon
UMBC Retrievers +2.596.3%1.25
Betano
1.26
Bet365
1.25		---+22.3ppWon
Under 167.578.1%1.58
Pinnacle
1.70
Marathon Bet
1.65
Betano
1.50
Bet365
1.47		-+22.2ppWon
UMBC Retrievers +296.3%1.26
Bet365
1.26		----+22.2ppWon
Under 16573.8%1.76
SBO
1.93
Pinnacle
1.79
Marathon Bet
1.68
Bet365
1.64		-+20.7ppWon
Under 16675.8%1.64
Pinnacle
1.71
Marathon Bet
1.65
Bet365
1.57		--+20.4ppWon
Under 165.574.3%1.68
WilliamHill
1.80
Pinnacle
1.75
Marathon Bet
1.64
Betano
1.62
Bet365
1.60		+20.0ppWon
Under 166.576.3%1.63
Marathon Bet
1.74
Pinnacle
1.68
Betano
1.55
Bet365
1.54		-+19.9ppWon
UMBC Retrievers +3.596.8%1.20
Bet365
1.20		----+19.0ppWon
Under 16471.7%1.77
SBO
1.88
Pinnacle
1.79
Bet365
1.71
Marathon Bet
1.70		-+18.7ppWon
Under 163.570.2%1.80
Pinnacle
1.84
BetVictor
1.83
1xBet
1.83
SBO
1.81
Betano
1.80		+18.5ppWon
Under 164.572.3%1.77
SBO
1.96
BetVictor
1.83
1xBet
1.83
WilliamHill
1.80
Pinnacle
1.75		+18.0ppWon
Under 171.584.7%1.37
Betano
1.40
Bet365
1.34		---+17.0ppWon
Under 17184.4%1.37
Bet365
1.37		----+16.9ppWon
Under 17285.9%1.33
Bet365
1.33		----+15.9ppWon
Under 174.588.6%1.27
Bet365
1.27		----+15.8ppWon
Under 16879.6%1.45
Bet365
1.45		----+15.4ppWon
Under 170.583.2%1.36
Betano
1.40
Bet365
1.33		---+15.3ppWon
Under 175.589.7%1.25
Bet365
1.25		----+15.3ppWon
Under 168.579.9%1.42
Betano
1.44
Bet365
1.41		---+15.1ppWon
Under 16981.3%1.40
Bet365
1.40		----+15.0ppWon
Under 172.586.1%1.30
Bet365
1.30		----+14.7ppWon
Under 169.581.6%1.38
Betano
1.39
Bet365
1.37		---+14.6ppWon
Under 17082.9%1.35
Bet365
1.35		----+14.0ppWon
Under 179.593.4%1.14
Bet365
1.14		----+12.0ppWon
Under 180.594.2%1.13
Bet365
1.13		----+11.9ppWon
UMBC Retrievers over 80.574.9%1.46
1xBet
1.50
Betano
1.42		---+11.7ppWon
UMBC Retrievers +8.598.6%1.07
Bet365
1.07		----+11.5ppWon
UMBC Retrievers over 81.571.6%1.53
Bet365
1.55
1xBet
1.53
Betano
1.50		--+11.1ppWon
UMBC Retrievers over 78.580.9%1.31
Betano
1.31
1xBet
1.30		---+10.7ppWon
UMBC Retrievers over 79.578.0%1.34
Bet365
1.38
Betano
1.34
1xBet
1.30		--+10.6ppWon
UMBC Retrievers over 77.583.5%1.26
Bet365
1.27
1xBet
1.25		---+10.0ppWon
UMBC Retrievers +13.599.4%1.02
Bet365
1.02		----+8.7ppWon
Overtime: no98.8%1.04
WilliamHill
1.05
Betano
1.02		---+8.2ppWon
UMBC Retrievers over 73.591.6%1.11
Bet365
1.11		----+7.7ppWon
Under 176.590.8%1.12
Bet365
1.12		----+7.7ppWon
UMBC Retrievers over 71.594.2%1.07
Bet365
1.07		----+7.1ppWon
UMBC Retrievers over 74.589.9%1.12
1xBet
1.14
Bet365
1.10		---+6.7ppWon
UMBC Retrievers over 75.588.0%1.14
Bet365
1.14
1xBet
1.14		---+6.6ppWon
Under 181.594.8%1.06
Bet365
1.06		----+6.5ppWon
UMBC Retrievers over 76.585.9%1.15
Bet365
1.15
1xBet
1.14		---+4.9ppWon
UMBC Retrievers over 72.593.0%1.06
Bet365
1.06		----+4.7ppWon
UMBC Retrievers under 99.589.4%1.04
Bet365
1.04		-----0.2ppWon
UMBC Retrievers under 95.580.2%1.14
Bet365
1.14		-----1.2ppWon
UMBC Retrievers under 97.585.3%1.06
Bet365
1.06		-----2.7ppWon
Over 136.587.4%1.01
Bet365
1.01		-----4.8ppWon
UMBC Retrievers under 94.577.3%1.12
Bet365
1.12
1xBet
1.12		----5.8ppWon
UMBC Retrievers under 93.574.1%1.14
Bet365
1.15
1xBet
1.12		----7.7ppWon
Over 139.583.1%1.01
Bet365
1.01		-----9.1ppWon
Over 141.579.8%1.05
Bet365
1.05		-----9.2ppWon
Over 140.581.5%1.02
Bet365
1.02		-----10.0ppWon
UMBC Retrievers under 92.570.7%1.14
1xBet
1.14		-----10.7ppWon
Over 144.574.2%1.04
Bet365
1.04		-----15.2ppWon
Morgan State over 60.576.8%1.01
Bet365
1.01		-----16.9ppWon
Over 145.572.1%1.05
Bet365
1.05		-----16.9ppWon
Morgan State over 62.570.3%1.02
Bet365
1.02		-----21.2ppWon
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
UMBC Retrievers wins
1
Morgan State wins
DateGameScore
11/11/25Morgan State v UMBC Retrievers79-81
27/11/24UMBC Retrievers v Morgan State92-69
06/12/23Morgan State v UMBC Retrievers92-80
10/12/22UMBC Retrievers v Morgan State75-63
UMBC Retrieverslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/26HMcDaniel91-61
06/11/26AMarist80-88
02/11/26AGeorge Mason54-82
17/03/26AHoward83-86
14/03/26HVermont74-59
10/03/26HUMass Lowell91-69
07/03/26HNew Hampshire Wildcats84-69
03/03/26ANJIT91-52
28/02/26AUMass Lowell84-60
26/02/26HBryant University70-58
Morgan Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26ANiagara73-67
05/11/26HVirginia-Lynchburg95-58
03/11/26HCheyney Wolves103-52
11/03/26HDelaware State70-75 OT
06/03/26HCoppin State70-66
02/03/26HNorfolk State90-84
28/02/26HHoward59-84
25/02/26ASouth Carolina St90-83
21/02/26HDelaware State82-68
17/02/26AN. Carolina Central76-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UMBC Retrievers
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLW33%
HomeW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%100%0%
Points / game75.091.067.0
Allowed / game77.061.085.0
Point differential-2.0+30.0-18.0
Avg total152.0152.0152.0
Over 16333%0%50%
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Morgan State
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game90.399.073.0
Allowed / game59.055.067.0
Point differential+31.3+44.0+6.0
Avg total149.3154.0140.0
Over 1630%0%0%
Win by 10+67%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

America East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UMass Lowell43175%79.262.8+16.5
2 Binghamton43175%70.066.5+3.5
3 Vermont31233%70.067.3+2.7
4 UMBC Retrievers31233%75.077.0-2.0
5 Bryant University41325%62.571.8-9.2
6 Maine Black Bears41325%64.273.5-9.2
7 NJIT51420%54.880.2-25.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Mid-Eastern Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Morgan State330100%90.359.0+31.3
2 South Carolina St43175%78.272.8+5.5
3 Norfolk State42250%69.872.8-3.0
4 Delaware State31233%74.767.0+7.7
5 Howard31233%73.777.7-4.0
6 Coppin State31233%65.069.7-4.7
7 Md.-East. Shore41325%61.570.8-9.2
8 N. Carolina Central3030%62.774.3-11.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UMBC Retrievers424385
Morgan State393170
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