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Louisville vs Bellarmine Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 20 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 100-68
48-27 52-41
Position#26
Record1-1
FormLLLWL
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game61.0
vs
Position#362
Record0-4
FormLLLLL
Points / game66.8
Allowed / game78.5
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Louisville v Bellarmine
19 Nov 2024
LOUI100
BELL68
29 Nov 2023
LOUI73
BELL68
09 Nov 2022
LOUI66
BELL67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Louisville winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bellarmine winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LouisvilleUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston College
#169
L
77-89
77
89
-12
A14/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#69
L
59-86
59
86
-27
A17/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#291
L
50-72
50
72
-22
H22/02
NCAA
Duke
#32
L
59-84
59
84
-25
A29/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#110
L
76-82
76
82
-6
H03/03
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#161
L
64-80
64
80
-16
H06/03
NCAA
Boston College
#169
L
61-67
61
67
-6
H09/03
NCAA
NC State
#94
L
85-94
85
94
-9
A12/03
NCAA
Morehead State
#232
W
93-45
93
45
+48
H05/11
NCAA
Tennessee
#23
L
55-77
55
77
-22
H09/11
NCAA
1H
2H
47-39
30-50
27-37
32-49
25-31
25-41
23-36
36-48
28-39
48-43
31-49
33-31
31-41
30-26
46-45
39-49
41-14
52-31
26-40
29-37
145.5Avg total
67.9Scored
77.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)74.061.0135.0+13.050%
Season at home (2)74.061.0135.0+13.050%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)67.977.6145.5-9.710%
Last 5 (5)71.672.6144.2-1.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)71.281.2152.4-10.013%
vs Similar (5)69.473.6143.0-4.260%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)80.560.0140.5+20.550%
This opponent (Bellarmine) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BellarmineUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida Gulf Coast
#260
L
52-63
52
63
-11
A11/02
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#173
L
65-75
65
75
-10
H18/02
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#336
W
68-65
68
65
+3
H22/02
NCAA
North Alabama
#236
W
82-70
82
70
+12
H24/02
NCAA
Lipscomb
#105
L
74-90
74
90
-16
A29/02
NCAA
Austin Peay
#171
L
87-90 OT
87
90
-3
A02/03
NCAA
VCU Rams
#18
L
65-84
65
84
-19
A05/11
NCAA
VMI
#250
L
71-76
71
76
-5
H09/11
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#322
L
69-71
69
71
-2
H13/11
NCAA
Marshall
#124
L
62-83
62
83
-21
A17/11
NCAA
1H
2H
28-29
24-34
37-39
28-36
32-40
36-25
37-38
45-32
30-35
44-55
35-38
43-40
38-45
27-39
29-43
42-33
31-30
38-41
34-34
28-49
146.2Avg total
69.5Scored
76.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)66.878.5145.2-11.80%
Season at home (2)70.073.5143.5-3.50%
Season away (2)63.583.5147.0-20.00%
Last 10 (10)69.576.7146.2-7.220%
Last 5 (5)70.880.8151.6-10.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)68.580.5149.0-12.110%
vs Similar (7)65.168.1133.3-3.029%
vs Weaker (2)82.555.0137.5+27.5100%
This opponent (Louisville) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -4.6-4.61st half: -4.0-4.02nd half2nd half: -5.1-5.12nd half: -2.9-2.9
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -4.6-4.61st half: -4.0-4.02nd half2nd half: -5.1-5.12nd half: -2.9-2.9
LouisvilleBellarmine
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
LouisvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston College
#169
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A14/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#69
L
27-37
27
37
-10
A17/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#291
L
25-31
25
31
-6
H22/02
NCAA
Duke
#32
L
23-36
23
36
-13
A29/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#110
L
28-39
28
39
-11
H03/03
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#161
L
31-49
31
49
-18
H06/03
NCAA
Boston College
#169
L
31-41
31
41
-10
H09/03
NCAA
NC State
#94
W
46-45
46
45
+1
A12/03
NCAA
Morehead State
#232
W
41-14
41
14
+27
H05/11
NCAA
Tennessee
#23
L
26-40
26
40
-14
H09/11
NCAA
69.6Avg total
32.5Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.437.669.0-6.323%-
Last 30 at home (18)30.936.167.0-5.122%-
Last 30 away (12)32.040.072.0-8.025%-
Last 10 (10)32.537.169.6-4.630%-
Last 5 (5)35.037.872.8-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)32.539.972.3-7.426%-
vs Similar (5)26.232.058.2-5.80%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)31.526.057.5+5.550%-
This opponent (Bellarmine) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BellarmineLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida Gulf Coast
#260
L
28-29
28
29
-1
A11/02
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#173
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H18/02
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#336
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H22/02
NCAA
North Alabama
#236
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H24/02
NCAA
Lipscomb
#105
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A29/02
NCAA
Austin Peay
#171
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A02/03
NCAA
VCU Rams
#18
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A05/11
NCAA
VMI
#250
L
29-43
29
43
-14
H09/11
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#322
W
31-30
31
30
+1
H13/11
NCAA
Marshall
#124
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A17/11
NCAA
70.2Avg total
33.1Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.535.369.8-0.837%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.633.368.9+2.350%-
Last 30 away (16)33.637.170.6-3.525%-
Last 10 (10)33.137.170.2-4.010%-
Last 5 (5)33.438.071.4-4.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)34.138.072.2-3.925%-
vs Similar (7)32.031.363.3+0.743%-
vs Weaker (2)39.526.566.0+13.0100%-
This opponent (Louisville) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Louisville wins
1
Bellarmine wins
DateGameScore
30/11/23Louisville v Bellarmine73-68
10/11/22Louisville v Bellarmine66-67
Louisvillelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/24HTennessee55-77
05/11/24HMorehead State93-45
12/03/24ANC State85-94
09/03/24HBoston College61-67
06/03/24HVirginia Tech64-80
03/03/24HSyracuse76-82
29/02/24ADuke59-84
22/02/24HNotre Dame50-72
17/02/24APittsburgh59-86
14/02/24ABoston College77-89
Bellarminelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/11/24AMarshall62-83
13/11/24HSouthern Indiana69-71
09/11/24HVMI71-76
05/11/24AVCU Rams65-84
02/03/24AAustin Peay87-90 OT
29/02/24ALipscomb74-90
24/02/24HNorth Alabama82-70
22/02/24HCentral Arkansas68-65
18/02/24HEastern Kentucky65-75
11/02/24AFlorida Gulf Coast52-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Louisville
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeWL50%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %50%50%-
Points / game74.074.0-
Allowed / game61.061.0-
Point differential+13.0+13.0-
Avg total135.0135.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Bellarmine
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game66.870.063.5
Allowed / game78.573.583.5
Point differential-11.8-3.5-20.0
Avg total145.2143.5147.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Miami (FL)330100%98.066.3+31.7
2 Pittsburgh550100%88.259.6+28.6
3 Stanford440100%83.561.0+22.5
4 Notre Dame330100%86.366.7+19.7
5 NC State440100%83.064.2+18.8
6 Virginia330100%65.753.7+12.0
7 Syracuse330100%88.083.0+5.0
8 SMU Mustangs54180%91.870.6+21.2
9 Wake Forest54180%72.267.6+4.6
10 Duke43175%88.558.0+30.5
11 Clemson43175%81.268.0+13.2
12 Florida State43175%73.266.5+6.8
13 Virginia Tech43175%74.568.0+6.5
14 California43175%79.274.2+5.0
15 Boston College43175%69.567.5+2.0
16 North Carolina32167%95.374.3+21.0
17 Louisville21150%74.061.0+13.0
18 Georgia Tech42250%82.076.5+5.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
ASUN conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Austin Peay43175%74.576.2-1.8
2 Eastern Kentucky32167%80.774.0+6.7
3 North Alabama53260%83.876.6+7.2
4 North Florida53260%84.281.8+2.4
5 Lipscomb52340%71.072.6-1.6
6 Queens Royals52340%66.070.6-4.6
7 Central Arkansas41325%70.574.5-4.0
8 Stetson41325%71.578.2-6.8
9 Florida Gulf Coast4040%60.269.2-9.0
10 Bellarmine4040%66.878.5-11.8
11 West Georgia4040%62.582.5-20.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Louisville4852100
Bellarmine274168
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