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Louisville vs Pittsburgh Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 70-83
34-40 36-43
Position#348
Record5-8
FormLLWLL
Points / game72.9
Allowed / game75.5
vs
Position#69
Record9-5
FormWWWLL
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game65.1
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Louisville v Pittsburgh
01 Mar 2025
LOUI79
PITT68
06 Jan 2024
LOUI70
PITT83
18 Jan 2023
LOUI54
PITT75
05 Jan 2022
LOUI75
PITT72
10 Feb 2021
LOUI v PITT
upcoming
06 Dec 2019
LOUI64
PITT46
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Louisville winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pittsburgh winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LouisvilleUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas
#112
L
80-81
80
81
-1
H19/11
NCAA
Indiana
#153
L
66-74
66
74
-8
H20/11
NCAA
New Mexico State
#285
W
90-84 OT
90
84
+6
H26/11
NCAA
Bellarmine
#342
W
73-68
73
68
+5
H30/11
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#161
L
68-75
68
75
-7
A03/12
NCAA
DePaul
#367
L
68-75
68
75
-7
A09/12
NCAA
Arkansas State
#186
L
63-75
63
75
-12
H14/12
NCAA
Pepperdine
#287
W
85-63
85
63
+22
H17/12
NCAA
Kentucky
#50
L
76-95
76
95
-19
H21/12
NCAA
Virginia
#66
L
53-77
53
77
-24
A04/01
NCAA
1H
2H
38-41
42-40
29-34
37-40
28-30
45-43
22-27
51-41
31-30
37-45
22-38
46-37
31-29
32-46
39-25
46-38
33-53
43-42
22-37
31-40
148.9Avg total
72.2Scored
76.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)72.975.5148.5-2.638%
Season at home (10)75.975.5151.4+0.450%
Season away (3)63.075.7138.7-12.70%
Last 10 (10)72.276.7148.9-4.530%
Last 5 (5)69.077.0146.0-8.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)68.278.0146.2-9.815%
vs Similar (2)81.576.0157.5+5.5100%
vs Weaker (2)64.558.0122.5+6.550%
This opponent (Pittsburgh) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PittsburghUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida
#73
L
71-86
71
86
-15
H23/11
NCAA
Oregon State
#284
W
76-51
76
51
+25
H24/11
NCAA
Missouri
#345
L
64-71
64
71
-7
H29/11
NCAA
Clemson
#74
L
70-79
70
79
-9
H03/12
NCAA
West Virginia
#338
W
80-63
80
63
+17
A07/12
NCAA
Canisius
#264
W
82-71
82
71
+11
H09/12
NCAA
South Carolina St
#266
W
86-50
86
50
+36
H16/12
NCAA
IPFW
#89
W
62-48
62
48
+14
H21/12
NCAA
Syracuse
#110
L
73-81
73
81
-8
A30/12
NCAA
North Carolina
#19
L
57-70
57
70
-13
H03/01
NCAA
1H
2H
34-39
37-47
39-27
37-24
35-38
29-33
26-37
44-42
36-35
44-28
40-41
42-30
36-20
50-30
31-17
31-31
38-30
35-51
28-31
29-39
139.1Avg total
72.1Scored
67.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)78.865.1143.9+13.664%
Season at home (12)79.264.0143.2+15.267%
Season away (2)76.572.0148.5+4.550%
Last 10 (10)72.167.0139.1+5.150%
Last 5 (5)72.064.0136.0+8.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)70.970.5141.4+0.450%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)83.267.6150.9+15.681%
This opponent (Louisville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -4.9-4.91st half: +2.8+2.82nd half2nd half: -0.2-0.22nd half: +2.3+2.3
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -4.9-4.91st half: +2.8+2.82nd half2nd half: -0.2-0.22nd half: +2.3+2.3
LouisvillePittsburgh
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
LouisvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas
#112
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H19/11
NCAA
Indiana
#153
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H20/11
NCAA
New Mexico State
#285
L
28-30
28
30
-2
H26/11
NCAA
Bellarmine
#342
L
22-27
22
27
-5
H30/11
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#161
W
31-30
31
30
+1
A03/12
NCAA
DePaul
#367
L
22-38
22
38
-16
A09/12
NCAA
Arkansas State
#186
W
31-29
31
29
+2
H14/12
NCAA
Pepperdine
#287
W
39-25
39
25
+14
H17/12
NCAA
Kentucky
#50
L
33-53
33
53
-20
H21/12
NCAA
Virginia
#66
L
22-37
22
37
-15
A04/01
NCAA
63.9Avg total
29.5Scored
34.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.336.566.8-6.227%-
Last 30 at home (18)31.135.166.2-3.928%-
Last 30 away (12)29.138.667.7-9.525%-
Last 10 (10)29.534.463.9-4.930%-
Last 5 (5)29.436.465.8-7.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)31.037.668.6-6.727%-
vs Similar (2)25.028.553.5-3.50%-
vs Weaker (2)27.029.556.5-2.550%-
This opponent (Pittsburgh) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PittsburghLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida
#73
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H23/11
NCAA
Oregon State
#284
W
39-27
39
27
+12
H24/11
NCAA
Missouri
#345
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H29/11
NCAA
Clemson
#74
L
26-37
26
37
-11
H03/12
NCAA
West Virginia
#338
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A07/12
NCAA
Canisius
#264
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H09/12
NCAA
South Carolina St
#266
W
36-20
36
20
+16
H16/12
NCAA
IPFW
#89
W
31-17
31
17
+14
H21/12
NCAA
Syracuse
#110
W
38-30
38
30
+8
A30/12
NCAA
North Carolina
#19
L
28-31
28
31
-3
H03/01
NCAA
65.8Avg total
34.3Scored
31.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.933.069.8+3.963%-
Last 30 at home (19)38.630.569.2+8.168%-
Last 30 away (11)33.837.271.0-3.455%-
Last 10 (10)34.331.565.8+2.850%-
Last 5 (5)34.627.862.4+6.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)34.434.869.1-0.443%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)39.131.470.4+7.781%-
This opponent (Louisville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Louisville wins
3
Pittsburgh wins
Louisvillelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/24AVirginia53-77
21/12/23HKentucky76-95
17/12/23HPepperdine85-63
14/12/23HArkansas State63-75
09/12/23ADePaul68-75
03/12/23AVirginia Tech68-75
30/11/23HBellarmine73-68
26/11/23HNew Mexico State90-84 OT
20/11/23HIndiana66-74
19/11/23HTexas80-81
Pittsburghlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/24HNorth Carolina57-70
30/12/23ASyracuse73-81
21/12/23HIPFW62-48
16/12/23HSouth Carolina St86-50
09/12/23HCanisius82-71
07/12/23AWest Virginia80-63
03/12/23HClemson70-79
29/11/23HMissouri64-71
24/11/23HOregon State76-51
23/11/23HFlorida71-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Louisville
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL38%
HomeWWLWL50%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games13103
Win %38%50%0%
Points / game72.975.963.0
Allowed / game75.575.575.7
Point differential-2.6+0.4-12.7
Avg total148.5151.4138.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)67% (3)-
Overtime %8%10%0%
Pittsburgh
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL64%
HomeLWWWL67%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games14122
Win %64%67%50%
Points / game78.879.276.5
Allowed / game65.164.072.0
Point differential+13.6+15.2+4.5
Avg total143.9143.2148.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+64%67%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Clemson1311285%82.271.2+11.1
2 Miami (FL)1411379%83.970.8+13.1
3 Virginia1411379%66.655.9+10.6
4 Duke1310377%83.566.6+16.9
5 North Carolina1310377%85.072.0+13.0
6 Wake Forest1310377%81.568.7+12.8
7 NC State1310377%77.868.8+9.1
8 SMU Mustangs1410471%75.661.6+14.0
9 Syracuse1410471%77.571.5+6.0
10 Boston College139469%79.371.8+7.5
11 Virginia Tech139469%73.466.1+7.3
12 Pittsburgh149564%78.865.1+13.6
13 Georgia Tech138562%71.671.9-0.3
14 Stanford137654%78.273.6+4.5
15 Florida State137654%76.673.5+3.1
16 Notre Dame146843%62.864.8-2.0
17 Louisville135838%72.975.5-2.6
18 California1441029%75.777.7-2.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Louisville343670
Pittsburgh404383
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