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Louisville vs Wake Forest Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 30 Dec 2021
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 73-69
26-31 47-38
Position#265
Record7-4
FormLWLWL
Points / game70.8
Allowed / game65.9
vs
Position#50
Record11-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game67.1
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · Louisville v Wake Forest
28 Jan 2025
LOUI72
WAKE59
07 Jan 2023
LOUI72
WAKE80
29 Dec 2021
LOUI73
WAKE69
05 Feb 2020
LOUI86
WAKE76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Louisville winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Wake Forest winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LouisvilleUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Furman
#105
L
72-80 OT
72
80
-8
H13/11
NCAA
Navy
#86
W
77-60
77
60
+17
H16/11
NCAA
Detroit
#215
W
73-67
73
67
+6
H20/11
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#171
W
72-58
72
58
+14
A26/11
NCAA
Maryland
#217
W
63-55
63
55
+8
A27/11
NCAA
Michigan State
#104
L
64-73
64
73
-9
A02/12
NCAA
NC State
#297
W
73-68
73
68
+5
A04/12
NCAA
DePaul
#210
L
55-62
55
62
-7
H11/12
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#149
W
86-60
86
60
+26
H14/12
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#129
L
72-82
72
82
-10
A18/12
NCAA
1H
2H
39-35
28-32
45-33
32-27
42-35
31-32
41-25
31-33
32-27
31-28
28-36
36-37
43-29
30-39
29-26
26-36
42-31
44-29
37-46
35-36
137.2Avg total
70.7Scored
66.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)70.865.9136.7+4.964%
Season at home (6)72.564.8137.3+7.767%
Season away (5)68.867.2136.0+1.660%
Last 10 (10)70.766.5137.2+4.260%
Last 5 (5)70.069.0139.0+1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)71.169.4140.5+1.750%
vs Similar (17)66.165.3131.4+0.871%
vs Weaker (3)75.069.0144.0+6.067%
This opponent (Wake Forest) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Wake ForestUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charleston Southern
#350
W
95-59
95
59
+36
H18/11
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#280
W
87-63
87
63
+24
H20/11
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#253
W
92-61
92
61
+31
H24/11
NCAA
Oregon State
#361
W
80-77 OT
80
77
+3
H27/11
NCAA
LSU
#93
L
61-75
61
75
-14
H28/11
NCAA
Northwestern
#208
W
77-73 OT
77
73
+4
H01/12
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#102
W
80-61
80
61
+19
A04/12
NCAA
USC Upstate
#226
W
79-53
79
53
+26
H12/12
NCAA
VMI
#186
W
77-70
77
70
+7
H15/12
NCAA
Charlotte
#169
W
82-79
82
79
+3
A18/12
NCAA
1H
2H
47-24
48-35
50-29
37-34
45-32
47-29
48-29
21-40
21-31
40-44
37-32
27-32
38-34
42-27
29-18
50-35
29-42
48-28
48-34
34-45
148.1Avg total
81.0Scored
67.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)81.267.1148.2+14.192%
Season at home (10)81.266.5147.7+14.790%
Season away (2)81.070.0151.0+11.0100%
Last 10 (10)81.067.1148.1+13.990%
Last 5 (5)79.067.2146.2+11.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)63.676.3139.9-12.86%
vs Similar (5)70.665.0135.6+5.680%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)84.066.6150.6+17.4100%
This opponent (Louisville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: +5.5+5.51st half: +8.7+8.72nd half2nd half: -0.5-0.52nd half: +4.5+4.5
-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: +5.5+5.51st half: +8.7+8.72nd half2nd half: -0.5-0.52nd half: +4.5+4.5
LouisvilleWake Forest
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
LouisvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Furman
#105
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H13/11
NCAA
Navy
#86
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H16/11
NCAA
Detroit
#215
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H20/11
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#171
W
41-25
41
25
+16
A26/11
NCAA
Maryland
#217
W
32-27
32
27
+5
A27/11
NCAA
Michigan State
#104
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A02/12
NCAA
NC State
#297
W
43-29
43
29
+14
A04/12
NCAA
DePaul
#210
W
29-26
29
26
+3
H11/12
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#149
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H14/12
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#129
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A18/12
NCAA
70.1Avg total
37.8Scored
32.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.631.765.3+1.870%-
Last 30 at home (17)34.531.265.8+3.376%-
Last 30 away (13)32.332.464.7-0.162%-
Last 10 (10)37.832.370.1+5.580%-
Last 5 (5)35.833.669.4+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)34.933.868.7+1.160%-
vs Similar (17)32.630.863.4+1.876%-
vs Weaker (3)34.730.365.0+4.367%-
This opponent (Wake Forest) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Wake ForestLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charleston Southern
#350
W
47-24
47
24
+23
H18/11
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#280
W
50-29
50
29
+21
H20/11
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#253
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H24/11
NCAA
Oregon State
#361
W
48-29
48
29
+19
H27/11
NCAA
LSU
#93
L
21-31
21
31
-10
H28/11
NCAA
Northwestern
#208
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H01/12
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#102
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A04/12
NCAA
USC Upstate
#226
W
29-18
29
18
+11
H12/12
NCAA
VMI
#186
L
29-42
29
42
-13
H15/12
NCAA
Charlotte
#169
W
48-34
48
34
+14
A18/12
NCAA
69.7Avg total
39.2Scored
30.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.033.667.6+0.450%-
Last 30 at home (18)34.432.867.3+1.650%-
Last 30 away (12)33.334.768.0-1.350%-
Last 10 (10)39.230.569.7+8.780%-
Last 5 (5)36.232.068.2+4.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)30.037.667.6-7.619%-
vs Similar (5)30.430.661.0-0.260%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)43.128.071.1+15.1100%-
This opponent (Louisville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Louisville wins
0
Wake Forest wins
DateGameScore
14/01/21Wake Forest v Louisville65-77
06/02/20Louisville v Wake Forest86-76
Louisvillelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/21AWestern Kentucky72-82
14/12/21HSE Louisiana86-60
11/12/21HDePaul55-62
04/12/21ANC State73-68
02/12/21AMichigan State64-73
27/11/21AMaryland63-55
26/11/21AMississippi St.72-58
20/11/21HDetroit73-67
16/11/21HNavy77-60
13/11/21HFurman72-80 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/21ACharlotte82-79
15/12/21HVMI77-70
12/12/21HUSC Upstate79-53
04/12/21AVirginia Tech80-61
01/12/21HNorthwestern77-73 OT
28/11/21HLSU61-75
27/11/21HOregon State80-77 OT
24/11/21HKennesaw State92-61
20/11/21HN. Carolina A&T87-63
18/11/21HCharleston Southern95-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Louisville
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL64%
HomeLWWLW67%
AwayWWLWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %64%67%60%
Points / game70.872.568.8
Allowed / game65.964.867.2
Point differential+4.9+7.7+1.6
Avg total136.7137.3136.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%50%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %9%17%0%
Wake Forest
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW92%
HomeWLWWW90%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games12102
Win %92%90%100%
Points / game81.281.281.0
Allowed / game67.166.570.0
Point differential+14.1+14.7+11.0
Avg total148.2147.7151.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+58%60%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %17%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke1211192%85.264.4+20.8
2 Wake Forest1211192%81.267.1+14.1
3 SMU Mustangs129375%79.268.6+10.6
4 North Carolina129375%78.671.4+7.2
5 Miami (FL)129375%73.871.0+2.8
6 Clemson139469%75.265.2+10.0
7 Stanford128467%70.569.8+0.8
8 Louisville117464%70.865.9+4.9
9 Virginia Tech138562%71.158.0+13.1
10 California138562%66.362.5+3.8
11 Florida State106460%74.166.0+8.1
12 Virginia127558%61.856.2+5.7
13 Notre Dame127558%70.165.4+4.7
14 Syracuse127558%79.075.8+3.2
15 NC State127558%76.774.2+2.4
16 Boston College116555%67.361.6+5.6
17 Georgia Tech115645%68.368.5-0.3
18 Pittsburgh135838%61.264.0-2.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Louisville264773
Wake Forest313869
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