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Louisville vs Wake Forest Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 72-80
26-43 46-37
Position#367
Record2-13
FormWLLLL
Points / game62.0
Allowed / game74.1
vs
Position#142
Record10-5
FormWLWWL
Points / game75.9
Allowed / game72.2
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Louisville v Wake Forest
28 Jan 2025
LOUI72
WAKE59
07 Jan 2023
LOUI72
WAKE80
29 Dec 2021
LOUI73
WAKE69
05 Feb 2020
LOUI86
WAKE76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Louisville winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Wake Forest winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LouisvilleUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cincinnati
#91
L
62-81
62
81
-19
A24/11
NCAA
Maryland
#97
L
54-79
54
79
-25
H30/11
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
L
53-80
53
80
-27
H04/12
NCAA
Florida State
#342
L
53-75
53
75
-22
A10/12
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#199
W
94-83
94
83
+11
H15/12
NCAA
Florida A&M
#352
W
61-55
61
55
+6
H17/12
NCAA
Lipscomb
#116
L
67-75
67
75
-8
H20/12
NCAA
NC State
#66
L
64-76
64
76
-12
A23/12
NCAA
Kentucky
#86
L
63-86
63
86
-23
A31/12
NCAA
Syracuse
#180
L
69-70
69
70
-1
H04/01
NCAA
1H
2H
30-31
32-50
26-37
28-42
23-42
30-38
24-36
29-39
46-35
48-48
22-20
39-35
32-33
35-42
28-31
36-45
30-45
33-41
35-34
34-36
140.0Avg total
64.0Scored
76.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)62.074.1136.1-12.113%
Season at home (10)63.471.3134.7-7.920%
Season away (5)59.279.6138.8-20.40%
Last 10 (10)64.076.0140.0-12.020%
Last 5 (5)64.872.4137.2-7.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)62.774.7137.4-12.17%
vs Similar (3)70.761.0131.7+9.7100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Wake Forest) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Wake ForestUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Carolina St
#362
W
105-74
105
74
+31
H24/11
NCAA
Hampton
#350
W
97-70
97
70
+27
H26/11
NCAA
Wisconsin
#158
W
78-75
78
75
+3
A30/11
NCAA
Clemson
#60
L
57-77
57
77
-20
A03/12
NCAA
LSU
#264
L
70-72
70
72
-2
H10/12
NCAA
Appalachian State
#203
W
67-66
67
66
+1
H15/12
NCAA
Rutgers
#132
L
57-81
57
81
-24
A17/12
NCAA
Duke
#39
W
81-70
81
70
+11
H20/12
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#138
W
77-75
77
75
+2
H31/12
NCAA
North Carolina
#117
L
79-88
79
88
-9
A05/01
NCAA
1H
2H
51-27
54-47
53-24
44-46
37-34
41-41
33-26
24-51
41-33
29-39
31-37
36-29
33-43
24-38
39-30
42-40
38-38
39-37
38-37
41-51
151.6Avg total
76.8Scored
74.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)75.972.2148.1+3.767%
Season at home (10)79.268.5147.7+10.790%
Season away (5)69.279.6148.8-10.420%
Last 10 (10)76.874.8151.6+2.060%
Last 5 (5)72.276.0148.2-3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)63.072.0135.0-9.040%
vs Similar (9)75.673.8149.3+1.867%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)82.271.9154.1+10.367%
This opponent (Louisville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: -4.8-4.81st half: +6.5+6.52nd half2nd half: -7.2-7.22nd half: -4.5-4.5
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: -4.8-4.81st half: +6.5+6.52nd half2nd half: -7.2-7.22nd half: -4.5-4.5
LouisvilleWake Forest
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
LouisvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cincinnati
#91
L
30-31
30
31
-1
A24/11
NCAA
Maryland
#97
L
26-37
26
37
-11
H30/11
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
L
23-42
23
42
-19
H04/12
NCAA
Florida State
#342
L
24-36
24
36
-12
A10/12
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#199
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H15/12
NCAA
Florida A&M
#352
W
22-20
22
20
+2
H17/12
NCAA
Lipscomb
#116
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H20/12
NCAA
NC State
#66
L
28-31
28
31
-3
A23/12
NCAA
Kentucky
#86
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A31/12
NCAA
Syracuse
#180
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H04/01
NCAA
64.0Avg total
29.6Scored
34.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.334.663.9-5.430%-
Last 30 at home (18)30.534.164.6-3.644%-
Last 30 away (12)27.435.462.8-8.08%-
Last 10 (10)29.634.464.0-4.830%-
Last 5 (5)29.432.662.0-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)28.935.764.6-6.722%-
vs Similar (3)32.325.357.7+7.0100%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Wake Forest) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Wake ForestLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Carolina St
#362
W
51-27
51
27
+24
H24/11
NCAA
Hampton
#350
W
53-24
53
24
+29
H26/11
NCAA
Wisconsin
#158
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A30/11
NCAA
Clemson
#60
W
33-26
33
26
+7
A03/12
NCAA
LSU
#264
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H10/12
NCAA
Appalachian State
#203
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H15/12
NCAA
Rutgers
#132
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A17/12
NCAA
Duke
#39
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H20/12
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#138
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H31/12
NCAA
North Carolina
#117
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A05/01
NCAA
72.3Avg total
39.4Scored
32.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.531.968.4+4.770%-
Last 30 at home (19)39.530.770.2+8.879%-
Last 30 away (11)31.433.965.3-2.555%-
Last 10 (10)39.432.972.3+6.570%-
Last 5 (5)35.837.072.8-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)30.032.062.0-2.060%-
vs Similar (9)34.736.070.7-1.344%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)39.430.069.4+9.487%-
This opponent (Louisville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Louisville wins
1
Wake Forest wins
DateGameScore
27/02/22Wake Forest v Louisville99-77
30/12/21Louisville v Wake Forest73-69
14/01/21Wake Forest v Louisville65-77
06/02/20Louisville v Wake Forest86-76
Louisvillelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/23HSyracuse69-70
31/12/22AKentucky63-86
23/12/22ANC State64-76
20/12/22HLipscomb67-75
17/12/22HFlorida A&M61-55
15/12/22HWestern Kentucky94-83
10/12/22AFlorida State53-75
04/12/22HMiami (FL)53-80
30/11/22HMaryland54-79
24/11/22ACincinnati62-81
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/01/23ANorth Carolina79-88
31/12/22HVirginia Tech77-75
20/12/22HDuke81-70
17/12/22ARutgers57-81
15/12/22HAppalachian State67-66
10/12/22HLSU70-72
03/12/22AClemson57-77
30/11/22AWisconsin78-75
26/11/22HHampton97-70
24/11/22HSouth Carolina St105-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Louisville
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL13%
HomeLWWLL20%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games15105
Win %13%20%0%
Points / game62.063.459.2
Allowed / game74.171.379.6
Point differential-12.1-7.9-20.4
Avg total136.1134.7138.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%10%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (4)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Wake Forest
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL67%
HomeWLWWW90%
AwayLWLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games15105
Win %67%90%20%
Points / game75.979.269.2
Allowed / game72.268.579.6
Point differential+3.7+10.7-10.4
Avg total148.1147.7148.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)75% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %13%10%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Clemson1512380%75.466.2+9.2
2 Virginia1310377%69.859.1+10.7
3 NC State1612475%79.867.8+12.1
4 Duke1612475%72.462.5+9.9
5 Virginia Tech1511473%74.764.2+10.5
6 Pittsburgh1511473%75.367.7+7.5
7 North Carolina1611569%81.474.2+7.1
8 Syracuse1510567%75.269.1+6.1
9 Wake Forest1510567%75.972.2+3.7
10 Miami (FL)29191066%76.271.2+5.0
11 Georgia Tech158753%71.169.1+1.9
12 Notre Dame168850%69.369.3+0.0
13 Boston College168850%64.767.3-2.6
14 SMU Mustangs156940%68.871.2-2.4
15 Stanford1551033%68.366.7+1.5
16 Florida State1651131%69.073.4-4.4
17 California1631319%61.566.6-5.1
18 Louisville1521313%62.074.1-12.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Louisville264672
Wake Forest433780
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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